Raging weasel
Footballguy
Saints Thomas and Wash Davis. I'd think DJohnson, Cooper and Cousins are pretty chalky.
My bad didn't realize that was DJ at RB2, can't see Cooper seeing Ramsey all game as chalk and even though Det has given up a ton to QBs pretty sure the chalk at QB this week will be Brady/Ryan/DaltonSaints Thomas and Wash Davis. I'd think DJohnson, Cooper and Cousins are pretty chalky.
Thanks for the input. I could downsize Johnson to Freeman to upgrade at QB and replace Cooper with ARob or Crabtree. Think I'll still use it in the 5 man game but fiddle with it for the 50/50s.My bad didn't realize that was DJ at RB2, can't see Cooper seeing Ramsey all game as chalk and even though Det has given up a ton to QBs pretty sure the chalk at QB this week will be Brady/Ryan/Dalton
I can assure you Ramsey will be on Cooper unless he is in the slot, do what you will with infoThe reason I am in on Cooper is I am hoping they try to have Ramsey cover him 1 on 1 all game. I think Coop will eat him for lunch myself. He is the best route runner in the league. A hobbled Jeffery schooled him last week in the first half, he did do better in the second half. Don't get me wrong, I think Ramsey is good, just not as good as Coop.
If McCoy sits my RB combo will be Murray and Gilislee.Any love for Gilisse or Matt Jones as pivots off Rogers in gpp? I have Jones in now but if I swap for Gil I can upgrade Evans to Green or Pitta to Rudolph/Henry. Thoughts?
How about this lineup instead for cash?Megla said:is Thomas D Thomas-Den or is that M Thomas- NO and is Davis V Davis-Wash?
Not much chalk here for a cash LU other than Murray/AJG, way too much risk here for my cash LU taste.
pretty dead on, outside of TWilliams and Doyle I figure the rest will be heavily owned, one of my cash LUs is close to this and I think that this week the variance at one or two roster spots is what is going to get you in the money. My only worry with this core is having a TB RB and WR but SF is pretty bad and Rogers is so cheap.How about this lineup instead for cash?
brady
murray rogers
green evans ty williams
doyle bryant
pats
Going to put the Cousins lineup in a small gpp and see what happens
My opinion is a bit skewed, I'm a Jags fan. I know this, the first half of the Chic game was the worst he has played and the way he responded in the second half says a lot. He basically shut Jeffery down and baited Hoyer into the throw on 4th and 10 to secure the win. I wont play a WR he is shadowing.Megla- What is your thoughts on the Cooper/Ramsey matchup? You may have some insight I don't know about.
The Jags running is BAD, real bad, I wouldn't play any Jags RB, no matter how cheap. As for Bottles, there is a lot of talk locally about the Jags going more up tempo, no huddle in order to be more effective as these are the areas that Bottles excels. if that comes to fruition then I can see Bottles being a good GPP play, but he has been much too inconsistent to use in cashThanks for the insight. I value your opinion a lot. How do you feel about the Jags running game against the Raiders this week? The Raiders can definitely be run on. What is your thoughts on Bortles this week, a lot of people are talking him up.
Is this the week ARob finally looks like ARob??The Jags running is BAD, real bad, I wouldn't play any Jags RB, no matter how cheap. As for Bottles, there is a lot of talk locally about the Jags going more up tempo, no huddle in order to be more effective as these are the areas that Bottles excels. if that comes to fruition then I can see Bottles being a good GPP play, but he has been much too inconsistent to use in cash
A lot of what made ARob ARob last year was getting single coverage, mostly when the Jags were behind in the second half. We wont see much of that this year with an improved DEF.Is this the week ARob finally looks like ARob??
I have a Bortles/Lee and Bortle/ARob lineup that I have been looking at all day.
It's all personal choice where you want to save the money.I hate this but I keep coming coming back to Geno in most of my GPP's. Using Geno and J. Rodgers gives you choice of pretty much any 3 WR and RB1 you want.
oh well, here goes nothing.
Also think Mike Wallace is a good sleeper this week, Flacco or not.
I do all the Raiders writeups here at FBG and I think the Crabtree usage last week was just a one time thing because Marcus Peters shadowed him the whole game and Amari Cooper had a rookie (DJ White) on him the whole way. Definitely think Crabtree bounces back and gets 9+ targets this week.NixonMask said:An interesting note on Michael Crabtree. Since joining the Raiders he has had 5 targets or less only 4 times. Once was last week. In each of the other 3 cases, in the following game, he saw exactly 11 targets. The past two games were the fewest targets he has seen in back to back games, since joining the Raiders, with 11. The next closest pair of games was 14 targets, which probably relevantly was also this season. On 3 occasions last year he saw 15 targets in back to back games. Definitely worth monitoring if his reduced targets are a trend going forward.
My personal feeling is Crabtree is the spot to attack for GPPs on the Raiders this week. He also runs routes primarily on the right side of the field. For reference, the passer rating to wide receivers against the Jaguars on passes to the left side of the field, which is where Amari Cooper runs the majority of his routes, is 85.2. That is top 10 in the league. The passer rating to wide receivers against the Jaguars on passes to the right side of the field is 135.9. That is bottom 10 in the league.
Good stuff.Looking at that fantasy aces % for the Thursday gpp . As expected, the cheap Rbs are very highly owned, as is Murray. Again, this is just a snapshot of one gpp, but probably reflects a little what the masses are thinking:
Rodgers - 55%
D.Murray - 50%
Gillislee - 38%
Ryan and Green were over 20%, Evans and Julio were over 35%.
As expected, looks like this is the week for going with the cheap Rbs and trying to get as many of the stud Wrs in your roster you can shove in there. So not sure what the answer is for gpps. Instead of D.Murray, throw a Johnson or Bell in there? I think another way to attack it is to go a little different at TE/Def and stick with the mostly chalk plays at the RBs/WRs.
Where is that writeup located? I must have missed that.Good stuff.
I included full Thursday FantasyDraft ownership in my Footballguys writeup this week. Might make that a weekly thing since I've been compiling it every week anyway. Murray had the highest ownership of anybody all season (64%). Rodgers was surprisingly low at 35%.
Ware (15%) and Freeman (16%) were also top 5 in ownership, which was a little disappointing. Both are sharp plays this week and I was hoping they'd fly a little bit more under the radar due to the split touches in those backfields.
Thanks for the question about the article! I submitted it this morning and it somehow slipped through the cracks and wasn't posted to the site. Just contacted higher-ups and hopefully they will get it up in the next few minutes.Where is that writeup located? I must have missed that.
It is a bit disappointing, as those were top of the list for RBs for me this week. I am still having trouble moving away from that core group of RBs, just seems like pts, Vegas, matchups all point to them: DMurr, Freeman, Ware.
Last week was a bad week for TEs, but this looks like week that you could exploit some of those for a stack and differentiate yourself from the rest of the people using the same core group of Rbs and WRs. I mean, if you are looking at your linuep and think guys like Doyle, Davis, Brate, etc.. have a chance to put up some points, maybe try to stack them with their QBs as their Qbs are also projected to be able to have good games overall either. Smith/Kelce, Mariota/Walker also in play.
Dunno, just thinking out load here. Just might be a way to separate yourself from the 40% of people running a Dalton/Green or Ryan/Julio stack paired with Murray and Rodgers.
You raise a good point. Maybe some of the footballguys threads should be only viewable by premium subscribers.A brief shout out to everyone who's laying bare your process. Very helpful for lurkers like me.
I was on Ware even without the JC injury news. I agree with Nixon that he is neck and neck with Murray this week if JC is out. NO D sucks, and KC wants to run the ball.ive been seeing a lot of talk about ware if jc is out. is there any concern he only gets half the workload?
I'm in the same boat on San Diego. Rivers is a nice play, but so are a bunch of other QBs so he's not finding his way into many of my lineups. Tough to figure out where the targets are going to go. Could be a shootout like SD vs. NO a few weeks ago and 5 different SD players had 7+ targets. And over the past 4 games, they've had a different guy lead the team in targets ever week (Henry, Inman, Williams and Benjamin all had 1 week as top target).Wow - if seems like every time I look, that SD@ATL game's o/u jumps up. It's at 54.5 now, folks.
Problem I am having is on the SD side. I like T.Williams, but his targets have dropped a lot since Gates came back. Is Benjamin hurt? If so, where does the top Atl go to? I was really thinking about Gordon, but saw that his targets also have evaporated the last couple weeks. I just don't know WTF to do with this game. I think if we aren't trying to get a piece of this game in one form or another, we are probably doing it wrong.
That link didn't work, and I still don't see the article you are talking about.Thanks for the question about the article! I submitted it this morning and it somehow slipped through the cracks and wasn't posted to the site. Just contacted higher-ups and hopefully they will get it up in the next few minutes.
I attached my FantasyDraft ownership numbers spreadsheet here in the meantime. It's probably most helpful for DraftKings, since the pricing and lineup requirements are almost identical (just with all the prices doubled and a 100k cap instead of 50k). But still gives some insight into who will be chalky and popular on FanDuel.
I agree with your thinking on TE being wide open and a potential point of differentiation if you want to roll out a pair of the highly owned RBs with Ryan/Julio or whatever. Aside from maybe Gronk and maybe Hunter Henry, I think ownership is going to be all over the board this week. TE is also the position I'm having the most trouble with personally and hope to look at it a little deeper tonight. On the surface, a lot of guys seem to have pretty good matchups and target potential but there isn't one that is sticking out as a much better option than the rest.
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Yes, definitely a little bit of concern that if Charles was fully healthy that Ware might only see 50-60% of the touches and depending upon game flow and if he scored, he could have somewhat of a clunker splitting. I liked him even before the Charles news as a tournament play and didn't hate him for 50/50.ive been seeing a lot of talk about ware if jc is out. is there any concern he only gets half the workload?
With the latest news (http://www.kansascity.com/sports/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs/article109719207.html), I think Ware would shoot up to the #1 RB option this week for me personally if Charles is inactive (though that would mean a bit more C. West). Even if Charles does end up playing, the news probably still puts Ware into the conversation for top back given his price compared to Murray. You really can't go wrong with any of Murray, Ware, and Rodgers this week and the decision on which of the 2 to play (if you're just doing one lineup) should come down to how much money you need to get the guys you like at other positions.The return of Jamaal Charles has clouded the backfield situation for the Chiefs. But if you are Andy Reid, how do you go away from Spencer Ware as the lead back? He’s averaged just under 5.5 YPC over the past two seasons. More importantly, the Chiefs have won 13 of their last 15 regular season games by riding Ware. Ware also shown a lot of improvement as a pass catcher and is averaging 12.2 yards per target this season on 3.8 targets per game. Any tidbits we can glean out of Kansas City about how the backs are expected split touches in the days leading up to the game will be key, but the lack of clarity also provides a real opportunity in tournaments to get Ware at depressed ownership levels. If we _knew_ that Ware would easily lead the backfield in touches again, he would be the chalkiest cash game play on the slate. The Chiefs are 6-point home favorites with a 28-point implied team total against an awful Saints defense. New Orleans has allowed a whopping 11 touchdowns to opposing running backs (10 rushing and one passing) through five games. Ware found the end zone and put up 163 total yards last week and has similar upside in Week 7, making him a great boom/bust option for GPPs.