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Fantasy Index (1 Viewer)

Bob_Magaw

Footballguy
i've been getting the index for over a decade now (20th anniversary edition in 2006)... i'm generally a fan, & it is easily my second favorite after FBG (OK, i'm a homer :) )...

sure they make some bonehead calls like tatum bell... but i appreciate that they lay their rationale out to agree or disagree with, & that can sharpen the debate. they have a good command of comp players, historical precedents, current trends, etc...

i haven't read it cover to cover yet (bob henry is in experts poll, & john norton did some defensive write-ups in the past), & am through WR section... that seemed like a good place to take stock of what i have read so far... as usual, there were some interesting factoids i found potentially useful... & some i found questionable... i'll try & note both kinds below, by skill position...

for those that don't have, i'll try & give context, & for those that do, feel free to add your own positives & negatives under this thread...

QB -

manning - #1... not a very controversial stance. they are predicting a big uptick of TDs, to around 40, which could be about 12 more than just about everybody else. it may not be a stretch to think without edge they could emphasize pass more. teams dared IND to run last year (coming off 49 passing TDs in partial season)... & they did, repeatedly, with success. defenses still dared them to run... maybe better than alternative. edge was probably a better runner than two-headed monster of rhodes/addai (latter should at least be in RBBC as probable RB of the future & possibly present), & maybe helped sustain some drives last season that might not be this year. i think kirwan did a study that colts scored a HUGE percentage of their passing TDs to the backside two years ago (coincided with trend where harrison wasn't scoring as high a percentage of receiving TDs, wayne was maturing & stokely put up historic WR3 TD numbers... first team in NFL history with three WRs over 10 TDs)... he as much predicted defenses would adjust to this. my question is, if defenses dare IND to run & play in a dime defense entire game (sometimes it seems like with 8 DBs in coverage), will it be harder to get 40 passing TDs? they do bring up good point (they do good work with potentially meaningful splits, imo) that he threw for 17 TDs in last 7 games (before clinching playoffs & homefield & being rested, i think)... another good point from the pessimistic side was that PIT may have given blue print to other defenses with their harrassing blitzes that kept manning constantly guessing & off his game, out of rhythm (than again, not every NFL team has defenders the caliber of troy polamalu & farrior to make it work)... a plus is two intra-divisional foes (TEN & HOU) have sketchy secondaries...

to be cont...

 
For those of us who live outside the US, what is the best way to purchase a copy? An online purchase possible somewhere?

 
I like the fact that they printed some of the letters from angry people that drafted Tatum Bell way too early last year.

I'm just shocked that they say Ricky Williams is the 10th best RB this year. They're so 'controversial'.... ;)

 
This is probably the most realistic looking rankings I've seen from the Index in the last 3 years. Of course that doesn't mean squat until the season unfolds. But nothing jumps out as way off like Bell in '05 or Rod Smith in '04.

 
For those of us who live outside the US, what is the best way to purchase a copy?  An online purchase possible somewhere?
if you simply google fantasy index, they have a site & can be e-mailed... not a full service site & one stop shop like FBG, but lead writer ian allen does have an interesting weekly Q & A in-season, & even has a few things archived from this off-season in last week or so...* brady fun facts (not greg)...

has completed 24 of 35 passes inside the 5 yd line for TDs past two seasons... #1 in the NFL

nice second half split (not counting finale he nearly sat out)... 16 TDs & 257 YPG... they acknowledge givens departure but don't seem too worked up about it... :)

one of just five QBs to play every game last four seasons (doesn't cite other four... manning & favre two others?)

 
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For those of us who live outside the US, what is the best way to purchase a copy?  An online purchase possible somewhere?
if you simply google fantasy index, they have a site & can be e-mailed... not a full service site & one stop shop like FBG, but lead writer ian allen does have an interesting weekly Q & A in-season, & even has a few things archived from this off-season in last week or so...* brady fun facts (not greg)...

has completed 24 of 35 passes inside the 5 yd line for TDs past two seasons... #1 in the NFL

nice second half split (not counting finale he nearly sat out)... 16 TDs & 257 YPG... they acknowledge givens departure but don't seem too worked up about it... :)

one of just five QBs to play every game last four seasons (doesn't cite other four... manning & favre two others?)
Just picked it up over the weekend. Couldn't find it at local bookstores, but managed to stumble across it at the local grocery store. (Still haven't found the FBG magazine yet.)Expect to post comments after I've finished it.

Really enjoyed the 20th aniversey section. Fun stuff. Their 20st greatest plays was fun stuff. For most of them, I remember where I was, what I thought when I saw them and how it impacted my fantasy teams. I am a geek like that.

 
ne of just five QBs to play every game last four seasons (doesn't cite other four... manning & favre two others?)
Trent Green and Drew Bledsoe are the other 2. (I had to look it up to find Bledsoe).
 
here is a case where i disagree with their rationale...

making their case against jerry porter, they state that in theory it sounds like he will enjoy single coverage opposite randy moss... than they ask... how often has a WR excelled playing opposite WR like moss, rice, owens or sharpe?

this seems like an odd statement... when moss began his career cris carter was probably his equal (not saying porter is in his class... just citing examples where a WR can put up big production opposite another elite WR)... holt & bruce had some good years together (most recently 2004)... wayne opposite harrison... what about boldin & fitzgerald... houshmanzadeh has done well opposite chad johnson...

i'm not a huge porter advocate, but i think if he doesn't do well, it probably won't be because he is playing opposite moss... it would be because the QB didn't get him ball, OL problems, maybe he isn't as talented as we thought, because he is in shell's doghouse for sulking & pouting, etc...

the better question to ask, imo, is about porter's talent & his expected role in OAK offense, not whether moss will hurt him...

 
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here is a case where i disagree with their rationale...

making their case against jerry porter, they state that in theory it sounds like he will enjoy single coverage opposite randy moss... than they ask... how often has a WR excelled playing opposite WR like moss, rice, owens or sharpe?

this seems like an odd statement... when moss began his career cris carter was probably his equal (not saying porter is in his class... just citing examples where a WR can put up big production opposite another elite WR)... holt & bruce had some good years together (most recently 2004)... wayne opposite harrison... what about boldin & fitzgerald... houshmanzadeh has done well opposite chad johnson...

i'm not a huge porter advocate, but i think if he doesn't do well, it probably won't be because he is playing opposite moss... it would be because the QB didn't get him ball, OL problems, maybe he isn't as talented as we thought, because he is in shell's doghouse for sulking & pouting, etc...

the better question to ask, imo, is about porter's talent & his expected role in OAK offense, not whether moss will hurt him...
Solid analysis Bob.
 
i'm going to break this up by team, instead...

ARI fun facts...

warner only threw 11 TDs in 10 starts...

BUT... 7 of those TDs came in his last four complete games

some have dire predictions for edge based on how bad ARI OL was in 2005... while they were last in short yardage runs, IND was not a lot better at 28th... they only converted 34 of 62 run plays into a first down (or TD) when only 1-2 yards was needed.

james did carry league high 43 times inside 10, which will probably see a downtick

fitzgerald has 7 TDs inside the 10 in his two years... in that same time, boldin has none.

in the last three years, only holt has averaged more receptions & yards then boldin (i took this to mean per GAME, not season, but left unsaid)... in his last seven games, he had a monstrous 63 catches (with 4 TDs)... if you are counting, that prorates to an astounding 144 over a full season (forget what record is, but i think harrison has it & in 130-140 range?)...

rackers... of last TWENTY kickers to score 130 pts (in NFL scoring, not fantasy), only one scored as many as 120 following season... however, in last two seasons, he is league best 11-16 from 50+ & 51-55 from inside 50...

* harrison set the record with 143 receptions in 2002 season

 
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For those of us who live outside the US, what is the best way to purchase a copy? An online purchase possible somewhere?
They shipped me a copy to Finland last year no problem. Send Ian Allen an e-mail and he will take care of it, guaranteed.I have also been reading FFI for years. I like that they go heavy in providing the logic behind their rankings over typical mags that give tons of projected stats and only short 'blurbs' explaining the rationale for their projections.

 
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For those of us who live outside the US, what is the best way to purchase a copy?  An online purchase possible somewhere?
They shipped me a copy to Finland last year no problem. Send Ian Allen an e-mail and he will take care of it, guaranteed.I have also been reading FFI for years. I like that they go heavy in providing the logic behind their rankings over typical mags that give tons of projected stats and only short 'blurbs' explaining the rationale for their projections.
Cheers Chaka. Thanks for the heads up.
 

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