Was watching lumbering Najee and average at best Pickett last night and got to thinking of Colbert as that was his last two first round picks.
I hate to bash Colbert, I'll always be grateful for the SB wins he helped me experience. I also understand there is more to the draft then round one but just the same I think you'd be hard pressed to find a team that did so poorly with their first round draft picks over his last 10 years as Colbert/Steelers.
By my count in Colbert's last 10 years he had 2 hits in round one, and one of them was Shazier. If you want to say the jury is still out on Pickett that's fine. I contend the best thing about Pickett is he might give you mediocre starting QB play on a fairly cheap contract.
I bring this up in the Tomlin thread to say the poor use of those first round picks takes it's toll and when you remove Shazier as a good draft pick you are just left with one hit in the last 10 years. By and large it's been a tremendous waste of young cheap labor and again at some point that makes the job of the head coach more difficult.
Now maybe Tomlin was the driver behind a lot of those picks? I don't know. I know I loved what I saw from Khan this off-season, it felt very different, and I think the team is on the path to restoring the quality and depth of the roster which will make Tomlin's job easier.
This just feels like an oversimplified poor take. And I'd pretty much guarantee with about 20 minutes of research we could find a dozen teams who've drafted miss after miss in the first round over the past ten years.
Yeah you called it out in your post, but its just dumb to ignore the rest of the draft successes that happened outside the first round. Especially with a team and GM who are universally praised as being one of the best drafters over time.
Overlooking nearly all of the picks were in the 2nd half of the first round, most near the bottom of the first.
And cutting it off at 10 years, when you look at the three years prior to that arbitrary cut off and see Decastro, Heyward, and Pouncy. At 24, 31, and 18. I mean they only accounted for 21 pro bowls between them though so... I'd say most organizations would trade nearly a decade of 1sts to land those 3 in 3 consecutive years with late firsts.
Shazier was undoubtedly a huge hit, so not sure why you are "removing him". That's the same thing as people who say "well when you take away that one rush of 60 yards the RB actually didn't have a good week". And if my grandma had wheels she'd be a bicycle. It's such a bad argument.
And finally, while you refrained from using his name, one can only assume you're considering the other hit TJ Watt. Drafted at pick 30. Not only a perennial probowl player, but winner of DPoY and in the running every season. How many first round picks is he worth? Should we look at it like that and say that counts as like 3 years of hits because his trade value would net multiple future firsts?
Seen you make some great arguments on these boards, but man... this one I don't understand in the slightest.