How many rookie RBs will you be buying in redraft this year? (1 Viewer)

[Gatorman]

The Deep RB class of 2025 has guys all over the map in terms of possible productivity with landing spots that scream possible workhorse roles for guys taken on day 2 and Day 3 of the draft, so, who are you targeting and why?

I'll go first. Denver's O line is solid as is their QB, so if RJ harvey shows anything in training camp he is likely locked in as a major player this year.

Jarquez Hunter on LA Rams is a nice dark horse guy. I see his skill set overtaking Corum and Williams always seems to get dinged up. He is a 14th rounder for me that could hit like a lottery ticket (If I don't draft him, he will be on waiver wire speed dial in case I hear anything about him overtaking Corum)

Who you got?

(I am also willing to discuss Jeanty and his round one ADP in here, but we know he should be in the first round conversation)

 

[IHEARTFF]

Approximate draft value
Jeanty rb 1
Hampton rb 2
Judkins rb 3
Harvey rb 3
Henderson rb 3
Johnson rb 3
Skattabo rb 4
Others later as you see fit

 

[Mr. Irrelevant]

Granted, only a single data point, but here's how FBG's own MBSL (16-team best-ball survivor) draft is shaking out:

RB 5     1.08      8    Jeanty, Ashton LVR RB (R)
RB18     3.09     41    Hampton, Omarion LAC RB (R)
RB20     3.13     45    Harvey, RJ DEN RB (R)
RB21     4.04     52    Johnson, Kaleb PIT RB (R)
RB23     4.14     62    Henderson, TreVeyon NEP RB (R)
RB27     5.15     79    Judkins, Quinshon CLE RB (R)
RB43    10.11    155    Skattebo, Cam NYG RB (R)
RB46    11.06    166    Blue, Jaydon DAL RB (R)
RB50    12.05    181    Tuten, Bhayshul JAC RB (R)
RB61    14.08    216    Neal, Devin NOS RB (R)
RB62    15.02    226    Etienne, Trevor CAR RB (R)
RB65    15.13    237    Marks, Woody HOU RB (R)
RB66    16.02    242    Hunter, Jarquez LAR RB (R)
RB70    16.15    255    James, Jordan SFO RB (R)
RB71    17.01    257    Sampson, Dylan CLE RB (R)
RB73    18.01    273    Gordon, Ollie MIA RB (R)

We've still got 3+ rounds left to go - so for any real sickos, stay tuned and I'll update the rest when it wraps.

 

[Max Power]

I'm debating if this is the year to cut some younger underperforming WRs and use a shotgun blast approach on these late rd RBs. Trade down and get more picks. Its not easy to find RBs who will get meaningful touches during the year and often feels like more luck than skill.

Finding a WR to score points throughout the season seems a lot easier these days.

ETA: Missed the "redraft" aspect, but the strategy is still similar.

 

[Gatorade]

Granted, only a single data point, but here's how FBG's own MBSL (16-team best-ball survivor) draft is shaking out:

RB 5     1.08      8    Jeanty, Ashton LVR RB (R)
RB18     3.09     41    Hampton, Omarion LAC RB (R)
RB20     3.13     45    Harvey, RJ DEN RB (R)
RB21     4.04     52    Johnson, Kaleb PIT RB (R)
RB23     4.14     62    Henderson, TreVeyon NEP RB (R)
RB27     5.15     79    Judkins, Quinshon CLE RB (R)
RB43    10.11    155    Skattebo, Cam NYG RB (R)
RB46    11.06    166    Blue, Jaydon DAL RB (R)
RB50    12.05    181    Tuten, Bhayshul JAC RB (R)
RB61    14.08    216    Neal, Devin NOS RB (R)
RB62    15.02    226    Etienne, Trevor CAR RB (R)
RB65    15.13    237    Marks, Woody HOU RB (R)
RB66    16.02    242    Hunter, Jarquez LAR RB (R)
RB70    16.15    255    James, Jordan SFO RB (R)
RB71    17.01    257    Sampson, Dylan CLE RB (R)
RB73    18.01    273    Gordon, Ollie MIA RB (R)

We've still got 3+ rounds left to go - so for any real sickos, stay tuned and I'll update the rest when it wraps.

Interesting to see Judkins go two rounds later than Harvey.

 

[-OZ-]

Granted, only a single data point, but here's how FBG's own MBSL (16-team best-ball survivor) draft is shaking out:

RB 5     1.08      8    Jeanty, Ashton LVR RB (R)
RB18     3.09     41    Hampton, Omarion LAC RB (R)
RB20     3.13     45    Harvey, RJ DEN RB (R)
RB21     4.04     52    Johnson, Kaleb PIT RB (R)
RB23     4.14     62    Henderson, TreVeyon NEP RB (R)
RB27     5.15     79    Judkins, Quinshon CLE RB (R)
RB43    10.11    155    Skattebo, Cam NYG RB (R)
RB46    11.06    166    Blue, Jaydon DAL RB (R)
RB50    12.05    181    Tuten, Bhayshul JAC RB (R)
RB61    14.08    216    Neal, Devin NOS RB (R)
RB62    15.02    226    Etienne, Trevor CAR RB (R)
RB65    15.13    237    Marks, Woody HOU RB (R)
RB66    16.02    242    Hunter, Jarquez LAR RB (R)
RB70    16.15    255    James, Jordan SFO RB (R)
RB71    17.01    257    Sampson, Dylan CLE RB (R)
RB73    18.01    273    Gordon, Ollie MIA RB (R)

We've still got 3+ rounds left to go - so for any real sickos, stay tuned and I'll update the rest when it wraps.

Interesting to see Judkins go two rounds later than Harvey.

I hope that works in my favor, with Judkins and J Hunter on board.
Fwiw, Hunter is a guy I’ll be targeting everywhere as a late round lottery pick.

 

[pinkstapler]

In short: a ton at their current cost. But only the cheap ones.

I've trended away from zero RB and toward hero RB strategy in redraft and had pretty good success with it in recent years. But I still like both over taking multiple RBs early in redraft. It will still be dependent on how each draft plays out, and I'll still shy away from taking a RB if I have an early round 1 pick. But if it's late round 1, or early round 2 I will try to lock up a top RB. Then, I will basically ignore the position until the second half of the draft and take a scattershot approach at my favorite guys who are part of committees or upside guys who are one injury away from a lead role.

This year that means I'll likely pass on guys like Hampton, Harvey, Johnson, Henderson, and Judkins given their ADP and instead try to maximize value in those rounds taking guys with safer floors, less snap count volatility, and a reduced risk of injury. Instead, I'll wait until 3-4 rounds later and take Blue/Skattebo/Tuten, realistically some combo of them. I feel like once you combine commodities like that you increase the liklihood of a hit, and also backstop yourself against some of the injury concerns (eg. if my RB2 is Hampton and he gets injured, I have nothing. If my RB2 is Blue/Skattebo/Tuten it would take 3 injuries to derail that spot). And obviously this pertains to non-rookie RBs. I crushed last year filling out my RB room with guys like Chase Brown, Joe Mixon, James Conner, etc.

Sure, you give up some ceiling at RB, but in my experience, depth is king over ceiling at the RB position in fantasy. And again, IMO the value over replacement of players I can take in the range most other league owners are taking their RB1/2 is much better value when taking WR/TE/QB there instead.

 

[steelcityman]

Jeanty, Henderson, Harvey, Johnson, Skattebo, and maybe a flyer late on a 3rd down type back. Thats about it for me to target in redraft. If someone like Hampton or Judkins falls, then of course they are worth a pick.

 

[FarFromHome]

Just noticed Harvey is 24. Damn. All the other others are 21 or 22. He was a true freshman in 2019. Just thought that seemed odd. I get it. COVID. Injury. Ya. Still, the guy is already 24.

 

[JohnnyU]

Just noticed Harvey is 24. Damn. All the other others are 21 or 22. He was a true freshman in 2019. Just thought that seemed odd. I get it. COVID. Injury. Ya. Still, the guy is already 24.

Welcome to the party

 

[FarFromHome]

Just noticed Harvey is 24. Damn. All the other others are 21 or 22. He was a true freshman in 2019. Just thought that seemed odd. I get it. COVID. Injury. Ya. Still, the guy is already 24.

Welcome to the party

Right. I take a few months off then play catch up. Ha ha

 

[menobrown]

Can't really put a number on it. Just depends how the draft unfolds.

My last redraft was the Wednesday night before round one. In 20 rounds I drafted 4 rookie RB's and Mason Taylor(TEP). So 25% of my roster, 31% of my RB/WR/TE/flex spots. My previous drafts I did earlier this off-season was similar, and Taylor was my most drafted player overall.

 

[Ministry of Pain]

From the 16-Team Survivor Draft

Picks #45 and #52

3.13 RB21 - RJ Harvey - Denver
I haven't seen a rookie RB class this strong since 2008, even guys that appear to be 3rd on certain depth charts have upside late
Harvey is one of the few RB drafted to already be penciled in as RB1 on depth charts throughout the internet
I'm not going to oversell his skill set, he's battled injuries but he looked great in college last year.
B2B he racks 1,650/17TD and then 1.850/25 TD and roughly the same number of touches both seasons
Denver traded back but then invested a 2nd round selection for Harvey, they could have had many different RB and they targeted him for a reason
I like the Devner offense and how they have evovled under Coach Sean


4.04 RB22 - Kaleb Johnson - Pittsburgh
Why take one of the top RB prospects when you can flex several so I started to build a 3-Man rotation at the top I felt good about.
Johnson was the primary weapon in Iowa on a team that has a hard time scoring so he's used to the style of offense that awaits him Pittsburgh
I'm sure he will see some competition at times for touches, especially on 3rd down but as an RB3 and the lead RB taking off for the Chargers, lot of touches to go around

-Update in here, I really do not expect them to last this long in Redraft leagues.
Pick45 is a Mid 5th 10 team Redraft formats so you likely won't need to burn a 3rd but...
I also expect the price to rise as the avg fan starts to learn these names and figure out they likely are starting and getting the larger share of the load.

-As far as a couple bigger names go, Jeanty went Pick #8 and the RB6 off the board, Hampton RB18, Judkins RB27 right before Pollard went RB28
Those a re just some reference points
Good thread idea @Gatorman

 

[(HULK)]

Granted, only a single data point, but here's how FBG's own MBSL (16-team best-ball survivor) draft is shaking out:

RB 5     1.08      8    Jeanty, Ashton LVR RB (R)
RB18     3.09     41    Hampton, Omarion LAC RB (R)
RB20     3.13     45    Harvey, RJ DEN RB (R)
RB21     4.04     52    Johnson, Kaleb PIT RB (R)
RB23     4.14     62    Henderson, TreVeyon NEP RB (R)
RB27     5.15     79    Judkins, Quinshon CLE RB (R)
RB43    10.11    155    Skattebo, Cam NYG RB (R)
RB46    11.06    166    Blue, Jaydon DAL RB (R)
RB50    12.05    181    Tuten, Bhayshul JAC RB (R)
RB61    14.08    216    Neal, Devin NOS RB (R)
RB62    15.02    226    Etienne, Trevor CAR RB (R)
RB65    15.13    237    Marks, Woody HOU RB (R)
RB66    16.02    242    Hunter, Jarquez LAR RB (R)
RB70    16.15    255    James, Jordan SFO RB (R)
RB71    17.01    257    Sampson, Dylan CLE RB (R)
RB73    18.01    273    Gordon, Ollie MIA RB (R)

We've still got 3+ rounds left to go - so for any real sickos, stay tuned and I'll update the rest when it wraps.

Interesting to see Judkins go two rounds later than Harvey.

It isn't shocking given the current dumpster fire in Cleveland. I've been mostly looking at rookies from a dynasty perspective thus far, where I like Judkins more than Harvey. But for 2025, I think it makes sense to go with Harvey as I expect Denver will have more long drives resulting in more team yards and also more team TDs. Harvey might not get as large a piece of the pie as Judkins, but the pie in Denver looks so much bigger than the pie in Cleveland.

 

[menobrown]

Granted, only a single data point, but here's how FBG's own MBSL (16-team best-ball survivor) draft is shaking out:

RB 5     1.08      8    Jeanty, Ashton LVR RB (R)
RB18     3.09     41    Hampton, Omarion LAC RB (R)
RB20     3.13     45    Harvey, RJ DEN RB (R)
RB21     4.04     52    Johnson, Kaleb PIT RB (R)
RB23     4.14     62    Henderson, TreVeyon NEP RB (R)
RB27     5.15     79    Judkins, Quinshon CLE RB (R)
RB43    10.11    155    Skattebo, Cam NYG RB (R)
RB46    11.06    166    Blue, Jaydon DAL RB (R)
RB50    12.05    181    Tuten, Bhayshul JAC RB (R)
RB61    14.08    216    Neal, Devin NOS RB (R)
RB62    15.02    226    Etienne, Trevor CAR RB (R)
RB65    15.13    237    Marks, Woody HOU RB (R)
RB66    16.02    242    Hunter, Jarquez LAR RB (R)
RB70    16.15    255    James, Jordan SFO RB (R)
RB71    17.01    257    Sampson, Dylan CLE RB (R)
RB73    18.01    273    Gordon, Ollie MIA RB (R)

We've still got 3+ rounds left to go - so for any real sickos, stay tuned and I'll update the rest when it wraps.

Interesting to see Judkins go two rounds later than Harvey.

If you'd like just a little more data points:

In 10 FFPC standard redrafts over the last week Harvey is 5.5(RB19), Henderson is 5.7(RB20) and Judkins is 5.10(RB22).

 

[Ministry of Pain]

"Woody" Marks will turn 25 in December so his shelf life in the NFL is not for long
One of his main attributes are his hands and that is going to play into a much larger split in snaps than some folks might expect on the surface
Houston struggled on offense last season despite Joe Mixon looking pretty good out there and battling injuries and approaching 30 years old.

Over 260 career catches in college including 47 at USC last season after transferring from Miss State
245 touches, 1,454 yds, 9 TD
1,133 was on the ground, the kid can run and catch but ideally he works best in a split back field.
Hard to envision him as the RB in the 4th Q or inside the 5 but he's going to see a lot of snaps this year as a rookie IMHO

-Mixon turns 29 in July, he has a lot of wear and tear, meanwhile several websites already have Marks listed as the RB2 in Houston
Took him as RB65 off the board, lot of upside for him as a Rookie, in PPR leagues I think he will be more valuable
Likely to go un drafted in 10-12 team redrafts, look for him to be a WW gem at some point in Jamie Eisenberg's weekly waiver wire column

 

[joey]

Just noticed Harvey is 24. Damn. All the other others are 21 or 22. He was a true freshman in 2019. Just thought that seemed odd. I get it. COVID. Injury. Ya. Still, the guy is already 24.

Welcome to the party

Right. I take a few months off then play catch up. Ha ha

Welcome back from hibernation.

And congrats in advance on winning season 2 of the FBG Home League Uno!