As for the Football Outsiders article... everyone always brings that up. Check the date on it- it's from before the 2005 season. I've said multiple times in this thread that prior to 2005, Bailey was inconsistent and potentially overrated... but since then, he's been all-world. So providing an article from before the 2005 season that says that Bailey was inconsistent and potentially overrated isn't exactly proving me wrong, here. If you want, I could provide several links from Football Outsiders this season talking about how mind-blowingly amazing Bailey was this year. Yes, even the guys who wrote the most famous critique of Bailey are now 100% on board with the idea that Bailey is all-world.
Please do.
Here's their 2006 All-Pro Team, with Bailey listed as the #1 CB.
Here's an article where they rated Bailey as the 10th best player in the NFL (and the 3rd best defensive player)... a mere three months before they wrote the infamous article about how Bailey was overrated. They also called him overrated in
2004, then again ranked him as the 10th best player in the NFL. I don't think they did a top-50 players in 2005 or 2006, unfortunately, but as you'll see from the rest of the links, they're definitely much higher on him now than they were back then.
A post on their blog that casually mentions some CB stats. Notice the only two starting CBs to appear in the top 10 on both lists.
A blog post discussing Bailey's first three weeks of the season. 11 targets, 40 yards allowed (not the correction of the St. Louis totals in the comments), and the longest completion against a whopping 8 yards long. This also puts the lie to the whole "teams don't shy away from Bailey" myth, since Tom Brady/Bill Belichick, widely considered the smartest QB/Coach in the league, threw 2 passes in Bailey's direction and 16 at the other two CBs (that's certainly what I'd call "avoiding Champ Bailey").
A "Random Shots"-style blog post. To quote: "I swear, they should just put it right on the ball: THIS IS AN OFFICIAL NFL FOOTBALL. DO NOT THROW THIS ANYWHERE NEAR CHAMP BAILEY."
In their
preview of the second Den/SD game last year, they said the following: "Denver still has some advantages that make an upset conceivable. Champ Bailey is still the best cornerback in football, John Lynch is still a hard-hitting safety, and the linebackers are still strong, especially if Wilson can play."
It's not just the writers, either- according to the
2006 Football Outsiders Awards, which are voted on by the readers, it seems like everyone on the site has changed his mind. Bailey finished 2nd in FO "Defensive Player of the Year" voting, and after finishing as the 2nd-most-overrated player in the league for two straight seasons, he completely dropped off of the Overrated list (meaning people don't really think he's that overrated anymore).
Meanwhile, you'd be hard-pressed to find a negative word printed about Bailey at any point in the past year and a half.
SSOG you seem to really like Champ. Are you a Denver fan or just a Champ fan in general? I like him too but he's not close to the GOAT, although maybe the best currently playing. As for the game against CJ, he got owned for 7-149-1. Offensive Pass Interference? More like he got physically dominated. And he got owned again later that year by Jerry Porter for 6-135-2. Ok so let's assume he's a lot better now than he was then. And he was pretty good then too. Fast forward to the 2006 season. He had a great year. But he still had some games where the opposing offense did quite well against him including both Chargers games and the Seahawks game. Even in the season opener, the Rams were running him all over the field. He had 9 tackles, but Denver lost and the Rams showed they were not afraid to target him. And I guess that's my point with Bailey. He gets a lot of accolades but at the end of the day teams are not afraid to go after him, especially deep. Deion got more respect than Champ from opposing coordinators because he was a better cover corner. Champ is a better tackler than Deion, but so is most of the league.
I'm a Broncos homer, although I also become fans of certain players. I have to admit that I never paid much attention to Bailey before he came to Denver, but now that he's on my radar, I'm a Champ Bailey fan. He could go to the Oakland Raiders and I'd still be a Champ Bailey fan. He's got everything going for him. He's more talented than anyone else, but he still works harder than everyone else, too. He's proud and competitive, but he's still gracious and generous with praise. He's got a killer instinct that I've never seen before (of Bailey's 10 INTs, iirc, 7 of them came inside the 5-yard line and were complete drive-killers, while an 8th was returned for a TD). Plus, he's not a prima donna- he'll roll up his sleeves and do whatever it takes to get a W, including tackling. Oh, and he's got one of the most absurd recovery rates ever. Plus, he played pretty much the entire 2005 season with nagging hamstring injuries and his arm in a sling (he was literally unable to raise his arm above his head), and yet he still tackled without hesitation and was second in the league in INTs (again- he couldn't raise his arm above his head!)Anyway, the play against Chad Johnson was definitely offensive pass interference. It wasn't that Bailey was physically dominated, it's that defensive players aren't allowed to lay a hand on offensive players while the ball is in the air, so there was absolutely no way that Bailey could have prevented Chad Johnson from using him as a highly-paid pommel horse while he went up for the ball. There was no way that Bailey could have defended that play (short of, ironically, falling down again, maybe). Dwight Freeney would be given a pass if he was getting held on every single play, but for some reason people won't give Champ Bailey a pass for a play where he was positively mauled and no penalty was called.
As for the Chargers, Seahawks, and Rams games... I'd suggest you refresh your memory of those games. In the Rams game, Bailey didn't allow a completion of more than 8 yards (he only allowed one completion that resulted in a 1st down), and took down Steven Jackson in the open field time and time again (something that most linebackers struggle with). In the first San Diego game, he was involved in the following plays:
3-8-DEN40 (8:48) (Shotgun) P.Rivers pass incomplete short middle to V.Jackson (C.Bailey) [i.Gold].
3-3-SD43 (6:49) P.Rivers pass incomplete deep right to V.Jackson (C.Cox, C.Bailey).
1-10-SD41 (5:34) P.Rivers pass incomplete deep middle to K.McCardell (C.Bailey).
1-10-SD20 (10:48) P.Rivers pass short right to A.Gates to SD 19 for -1 yards (C.Bailey).
1-10-DEN35 (6:23) P.Rivers pass short left to E.Parker to DEN 20 for 15 yards (C.Bailey).
1-10-SD42 (4:41) (Shotgun) P.Rivers pass incomplete short right to M.Floyd (C.Bailey).
2-10-SD42 (4:38) (Shotgun) P.Rivers pass short right to M.Floyd to SD 49 for 7 yards (C.Bailey).
That's 7 passes for 21 yards (3 per attempt)- hardly an example of the offense doing well against him. In the second SD game, the play-by-play lists Bailey as the defender in coverage on two passes- again, hardly an example of an offense showing Bailey who was boss.
Against Seattle, he was involved in the following plays
1-15-SEA47 (1:27) M.Hasselbeck pass short right to J.Stevens to DEN 47 for 6 yards (C.Bailey).
1-10-DEN27 (11:41) S.Alexander right end to DEN 25 for 2 yards (C.Bailey).
2-8-DEN25 (11:04) S.Alexander right end to DEN 22 for 3 yards (C.Bailey).
1-10-SEA46 (10:46) M.Hasselbeck pass short right to N.Burleson to DEN 47 for 7 yards (C.Bailey; J.Lynch).
1-10-DEN40 (3:20) M.Hasselbeck pass deep right intended for D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by C.Bailey at DEN 0. Touchback.
1-10-SEA39 (9:42) M.Hasselbeck pass deep middle to D.Jackson to DEN 34 for 27 yards (C.Bailey).
1-10-SEA14 (2:31) M.Hasselbeck pass short right to J.Stevens to SEA 20 for 6 yards (C.Bailey, DJ.Williams).
3-4-SEA20 (1:56) M.Hasselbeck pass deep right to N.Burleson to SEA 36 for 16 yards (C.Bailey).
That's a bunch of dink-and-dunk, mixed in with two long pass completions and an interception in the end zone. That's 62 yards allowed through the air and a drive-killing INT. Bailey's "bad days" are better than most CBs "good days".
As for teams not being afraid to test Champ Bailey deep... that may well be true, but if it is, it only proves how stupid some teams are. Champ Bailey allowed the lowest YPA against in the entire NFL, so teams were testing him deep, but they weren't beating him deep. In fact, based on his 10 INTs, I'd venture that Champ Bailey was more likely to beat an offense deep than he was to get beaten deep. Most of the yardage against Bailey last year was simple dink-and-dunk stuff, plays where Champ Bailey played off a little bit and allowed the underneath stuff (things like a 4-yard completion on 1st and 10). I also read somewhere (I believe it was either Football Outsiders or KC Joyner, since they're the only ones I know of that chart every play a CB is involved in) that Bailey did not allow a TD all season. Think about it- Champ Bailey was targeted inside the 5-yard line multiple times all season. In all of those times, he came down with the ball 7 or 8 times, and the opposing WR didn't come down with it once. Unreal. He also has 18 INTs in the last two seasons. There isn't a single CB in the HoF with 18 INTs over a 2-season span. There hasn't been a single CB in the past 25 years with 18 INTs over a 2-year span.
As for teams not being afraid to test Champ Bailey... against New England, Bailey was targeted twice, and Williams/Foxworth combined for 16 targets. Against Arizona, Leinart threw 35 passes, but only two went within 5 yards of Champ Bailey (incidentally, both were intercepted). Seriously, last year was a season for the ages for Champ Bailey. Jason Taylor had the kind of season that an LB/DE might put up once in a decade, while Champ Bailey put up the type of season that a CB might have once every generation, if that.
Plus, think of it this way. Name one other position in the entire NFL where 99.99% of the people agree on who is the best player at that position, and that there's really no argument. Really, the only such position is RB, where everyone knows that LT is the best in the business. Everyone recognizes just how far ahead of his peers Tomlinson is, yet people seem to get a little offended if we talk about just how far ahead of his peers Champ Bailey really is.
As I said, Champ Bailey hasn't been this dominant for a long enough period of time to really be considered the GOAT yet, but he's definitely in the discussion, and with another 2 years like the last 2 years, I think the title's his.