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Is Now the Time to Sell Calvin Johnson? (3 Viewers)

I can't believe he was traded for Karlos Williams in two HyperActive Dynasty Leagues. Is he really on the decline already?

 
I can't believe he was traded for Karlos Williams in two HyperActive Dynasty Leagues. Is he really on the decline already?
It appears that the decline has begun, yes.

That said, I'd take a chance that I'm wrong and try to buy low, but his owner is ultra-conservative.

 
Calvin is two years younger than Larry Fitzgerald. And better.
That is true, but Palmer is better than Stafford. Arians is better than Caldwell, and no one is asking for wr1 prices for Fitzgerald.
Well, I think you're right that you're unlikely to get reasonable value for him in trade. Marx would say that his use-value is higher than his exchange value.
Leave it to a guy in Berkeley to quote Marx . . .

 
Milkman said:
Value is plummeting. If you didn't sell last year you can't sell now. He's still a solid WR2 with good upside.
Not necessarily. I traded him for Dez last week.

 
Someone offered me a 2016, 2017, and 2018 1st for him. Thought about pulling the trigger but it would put me out of contention if I moved him. Probably could turn the 2018 pick into another 2016 1st but still, I want to win now.

 
Someone offered me a 2016, 2017, and 2018 1st for him. Thought about pulling the trigger but it would put me out of contention if I moved him. Probably could turn the 2018 pick into another 2016 1st but still, I want to win now.
Better to sell too early than too late.

 
Jack White said:
CalBear said:
msudaisy26 said:
CalBear said:
Calvin is two years younger than Larry Fitzgerald. And better.
That is true, but Palmer is better than Stafford. Arians is better than Caldwell, and no one is asking for wr1 prices for Fitzgerald.
Well, I think you're right that you're unlikely to get reasonable value for him in trade. Marx would say that his use-value is higher than his exchange value.
Leave it to a guy in Berkeley to quote Marx . . .
If you prefer, Adam Smith talked about value in use vs. value in exchange as well, though not quite in the same terms.

 
Someone offered me a 2016, 2017, and 2018 1st for him. Thought about pulling the trigger but it would put me out of contention if I moved him. Probably could turn the 2018 pick into another 2016 1st but still, I want to win now.
You have to take that. You could easily turn one of those 1st's back into a piece that will keep you in contention.

 
msudaisy26 said:
Someone offered me a 2016, 2017, and 2018 1st for him. Thought about pulling the trigger but it would put me out of contention if I moved him. Probably could turn the 2018 pick into another 2016 1st but still, I want to win now.
You have to take that. You could easily turn one of those 1st's back into a piece that will keep you in contention.
Final offer was 2016 1st, 2018 1st, Larry Fitzgerald. I rejected. If it was a 2016 1st, 2017 1st, Larry Fitzgerald, maybe I accept.

 
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msudaisy26 said:
Someone offered me a 2016, 2017, and 2018 1st for him. Thought about pulling the trigger but it would put me out of contention if I moved him. Probably could turn the 2018 pick into another 2016 1st but still, I want to win now.
You have to take that. You could easily turn one of those 1st's back into a piece that will keep you in contention.
Final offer was 2016 1st, 2018 1st, Larry Fitzgerald. I rejected. If it was a 2016 1st, 2017 1st, Larry Fitzgerald, maybe I accept.
I would take it and try to make some other moves. That is as good as it gets.

 
Redraft .5 ppr league I was offered Lacey & Forsett for Calvin & Ivory. I accepted. My first year owning Calvin and man its been frustrating. The whole offense is bad to watch. I'm sure adjustments will be made and Calvin might get back to his usual bad #### self but I needed RBs in this league. fwiw

 
In redraft ppr I just sent Calvin and Joseph Randle for L Bell
Wow, that guy is gonna hate himself in about 4 days...
Why?
Probably because Bell is typically outscoring both of those guys combined while taking up only one spot in his starting lineup.

And that was without the potential of Randle losing work to Christine Michael, which has at least become a possibility going forward.

 
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In redraft ppr I just sent Calvin and Joseph Randle for L Bell
Wow, that guy is gonna hate himself in about 4 days...
Why?
Probably because Bell is typically outscoring both of those guys combined while taking up only one spot in his starting lineup.

And that was without the potential of Randle losing work to Christine Michael, which has at least become a possibility going forward.
Don't get me wrong I like the trade, just wasn't sure if he was speculating that Randle may lose his job.
 
I did a similar deal last week, traded Calvin and Randle for Antonio Brown.

The A. Brown owner accepted immediately too.

Re-draft

 
I'm not so sure. Stafford missed him twice when he was wide open after beating his man for big gains (one could have been a TD) and came within a foot of scoring in the last game.

I think people are throwing dirt on this guy way too early. He's 30. Stafford is the one that looks like a shell of himself.

 
I'm not so sure. Stafford missed him twice when he was wide open after beating his man for big gains (one could have been a TD) and came within a foot of scoring in the last game.

I think people are throwing dirt on this guy way too early. He's 30. Stafford is the one that looks like a shell of himself.
Even if this is the case and Johnson is playing like he's 22, the end result is the same.

 
I'm not so sure. Stafford missed him twice when he was wide open after beating his man for big gains (one could have been a TD) and came within a foot of scoring in the last game.

I think people are throwing dirt on this guy way too early. He's 30. Stafford is the one that looks like a shell of himself.
Even if this is the case and Johnson is playing like he's 22, the end result is the same.
End result won't be the same once they get through this brutal first-half schedule. Bears, Vikings, Chiefs, Packers, Raiders coming up after this Arizona game. Big games are coming.

 
I'm not so sure. Stafford missed him twice when he was wide open after beating his man for big gains (one could have been a TD) and came within a foot of scoring in the last game.

I think people are throwing dirt on this guy way too early. He's 30. Stafford is the one that looks like a shell of himself.
Even if this is the case and Johnson is playing like he's 22, the end result is the same.
Situations change, and sometimes for the better. A player that is in decline (if true) usually doesn't change for the better.

 
I'm not so sure. Stafford missed him twice when he was wide open after beating his man for big gains (one could have been a TD) and came within a foot of scoring in the last game.

I think people are throwing dirt on this guy way too early. He's 30. Stafford is the one that looks like a shell of himself.
Even if this is the case and Johnson is playing like he's 22, the end result is the same.
Situations change, and sometimes for the better. A player that is in decline (if true) usually doesn't change for the better.
I'm saying that both Stafford and Johnson are in decline. And will stay beaten down in this ####e offense.

 
I'm struggling with this one a bit. I have had Calvin on the team for quite some time. He's been good to me.

But I do think he'll improve as the season goes on. Those writing him off are just wrong, IMO. Same folks who wrote off Brady last year. The talent is still there. The OL is lacking, and that makes it hard for him to get the same kind of numbers consistently. I don't think he'll be a top-5 WR going forward, but I do think he has some really good years left in him. And I bet he would pup up top-5 numbers in, say, the Pats offense.

But I have been flirting with trying to trade him (and 2d tier WR) for Brown or Dez for the upside.

 
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I'm not so sure. Stafford missed him twice when he was wide open after beating his man for big gains (one could have been a TD) and came within a foot of scoring in the last game.

I think people are throwing dirt on this guy way too early. He's 30. Stafford is the one that looks like a shell of himself.
Even if this is the case and Johnson is playing like he's 22, the end result is the same.
Situations change, and sometimes for the better. A player that is in decline (if true) usually doesn't change for the better.
I'm saying that both Stafford and Johnson are in decline. And will stay beaten down in this ####e offense.
Actually you weren't saying that - and I certainly wasn't either.

 
Someone offered me a 2016, 2017, and 2018 1st for him. Thought about pulling the trigger but it would put me out of contention if I moved him. Probably could turn the 2018 pick into another 2016 1st but still, I want to win now.
You have to take that. You could easily turn one of those 1st's back into a piece that will keep you in contention.
Final offer was 2016 1st, 2018 1st, Larry Fitzgerald. I rejected. If it was a 2016 1st, 2017 1st, Larry Fitzgerald, maybe I accept.
I think you will regret this. That is pretty decent value and Fitz probably gives you about the same numbers IMO.

 
I'm trying to move Calvin and his 1 year left for 2 contract years of Edelman (our league is a contract league, not NFL contracts) but the other owner is really high on Edelman. I hope the numbers get better for Calvin after these first four tough weeks but I'm not really optimistic about it.

 
I started the year with a great WR corps of Calvin, Cobb, Julio. I moved Calvin first and over the weeks have turned that corps into ABrown, Cobb, OBJ. Feel that it's a better group now.
Redraft for sure. For Dynasty, I'd still rather have Calvin/Julio.
Wow, I see it opposite. Julio is always dinged up and Calvin is dinged up and old. Every year I have him his value would only go down. I sold him before the first game that he started but was just a decoy. That trade was $$$ for this year and honestly I think it will prove out that I sold him at his career high value.
I ended up winning my league last year after those moves, and am currently 4-0 and 20 points ahead of 2nd place despite having Lamar and CJA as my rbs going in and having a clunker week 4....scored 211 points week 3 and 89 week 4. Anyway, I've won 13 games in a row since selling Calvin last Novemeber.

 
On pace for worst season since rookie season when Mike Martz destroyed his value with his incompetence.

 
Starting to lose patience the Lions are ever going to pull their head out of their #### and use Calvin like they should. Thinking of taking an offer of Lacy straight across for Calvin. Just can't take the frustration any longer. I also wouldn't have to watch that train wreck of team play any longer.

 
Starting to lose patience the Lions are ever going to pull their head out of their #### and use Calvin like they should. Thinking of taking an offer of Lacy straight across for Calvin. Just can't take the frustration any longer. I also wouldn't have to watch that train wreck of team play any longer.
Uh, I would take that offer even if Calvin was doing well.

 
Starting to lose patience the Lions are ever going to pull their head out of their #### and use Calvin like they should. Thinking of taking an offer of Lacy straight across for Calvin. Just can't take the frustration any longer. I also wouldn't have to watch that train wreck of team play any longer.
Uh, I would take that offer even if Calvin was doing well.
I know I should but I just keep holding out hope that the old Calvin will come back. You know, the one who could win you weeks by himself. Where did that Calvin go? Is he too old to produce like that any longer?
 
Starting to lose patience the Lions are ever going to pull their head out of their #### and use Calvin like they should. Thinking of taking an offer of Lacy straight across for Calvin. Just can't take the frustration any longer. I also wouldn't have to watch that train wreck of team play any longer.
Uh, I would take that offer even if Calvin was doing well.
If you're hoping to avoid week after week of a highly talented player being underutilized and not given TD opportunities, trading for Lacy is not your best move.

That said, take that trade!

 
Ended up getting exactly what I was asking for:

Traded Calvin Johnson

got

Larry Fitzgerald

2016 1st

2017 1st

Was planning on moving Calvin at the end of the season anyhow, figured there was no harm in doing it now so long as I was appropriately compensated. Fitz satisifes current team needs, the picks allow me to try to replace his production. Not down on Calvin but definitely down on the short term condition of that offense with Stafford and Caldwell.

 
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Starting to lose patience the Lions are ever going to pull their head out of their #### and use Calvin like they should. Thinking of taking an offer of Lacy straight across for Calvin. Just can't take the frustration any longer. I also wouldn't have to watch that train wreck of team play any longer.
Uh, I would take that offer even if Calvin was doing well.
If you're hoping to avoid week after week of a highly talented player being underutilized and not given TD opportunities, trading for Lacy is not your best move.That said, take that trade!
Just took Lacy for Calvin in a ppr redraft league. Traded one underutilized player for another.
 
Sell high (dynasty) has past IMO but he's still got plenty left.

His home/road splits are becoming more and more pronounced

 
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Starting to lose patience the Lions are ever going to pull their head out of their #### and use Calvin like they should. Thinking of taking an offer of Lacy straight across for Calvin. Just can't take the frustration any longer. I also wouldn't have to watch that train wreck of team play any longer.
Uh, I would take that offer even if Calvin was doing well.
If you're hoping to avoid week after week of a highly talented player being underutilized and not given TD opportunities, trading for Lacy is not your best move.That said, take that trade!
Just took Lacy for Calvin in a ppr redraft league. Traded one underutilized player for another.
Regret that trade now.
 
Now is the time to sell Calvin in dynasty. In redraft this could be the start of something nice for the rest of the year.

 
Now is the time to sell Calvin in dynasty. In redraft this could be the start of something nice for the rest of the year.
If what you say in your last sentence is correct, I think you're probably better off waiting until he strings a few weeks together before selling in dynasty if you're trying to capture the short term high.

 

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