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Isiah Pead>Darryl Richardson. (2 Viewers)

ShaHBucks said:
Richardson is way too small. He got nailed on every carry in the Browns game.

I'm convinced Pead doesn't like the NFL grind anymore. He's just there. It happens. He can't even field a kick.

Benny Cunningham and Zac Stacy look jacked up since I've seen them last.
You have no idea what you're talking about. At all. From NFL.com - Richardson 5'10" 196, CJ Spiller 5'11" 200, Chris Johnson 5'11" 191, Jamaal Charles 5'11" 199. No significant differences there. Are they too small? Don't come back and start talking skills this and not the same player blah, blah, blah. Your statement is Richardson is way too small. Haters gonna hate I guess.
Ummm yeah, the other guys you mentioned are fast, elusive and can outrun everyone else on the field. Richardson is small, not shifty, not fast, not powerful, etc. Good luck if you are putting your eggs in that basket because you are going to need it.
 
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ShaHBucks said:
Richardson is way too small. He got nailed on every carry in the Browns game.

I'm convinced Pead doesn't like the NFL grind anymore. He's just there. It happens. He can't even field a kick.

Benny Cunningham and Zac Stacy look jacked up since I've seen them last.
You have no idea what you're talking about. At all. From NFL.com - Richardson 5'10" 196, CJ Spiller 5'11" 200, Chris Johnson 5'11" 191, Jamaal Charles 5'11" 199. No significant differences there. Are they too small? Don't come back and start talking skills this and not the same player blah, blah, blah. Your statement is Richardson is way too small. Haters gonna hate I guess.
grown men shouldn't talk like this
 
In the pre-season last year it was Jeff Fisher who said "He's explosive and you just kind of wait for that one that goes to the house."( Aug.28/2012 on Rotoworld) Maybe more importantly another quote from Jeff Fisher this off-season on Jun 14/2013, "We have to get the ball to him in the passing game more," said Fisher. "We were spreading it out, but we weren’t necessarily going to the backs as much as we would’ve liked. Any time we can get Daryl the ball in space, it’s going to put added pressure on the other team."

When he is on the field I see a guy who is plenty fast enough to beat defenders to the edge. His coach thinks he is "explosive" actually. Maybe he lacks the "shake" or "wiggle" in the open field those other elite level backs have but he is not slow. In FF I want players with opportunity and it's easy to see it for Richardson. Top of the depth chart, the Rams have upgraded their O-line with the addition of Jake Long and has a HC with a history of run first mentality. Keep ignoring the signs and you will miss out on a RB who can help your FF squad this year. If you want to talk Dynasty, he is a great candidate to hold or even buy right now, worst case scenario wait until he has a few nice games before selling high. Regardless of format it seems simple to me that he is an asset to own right now.

 
Too many backs get under-drafted because they don't have elite speed. Speed is overrated. Vision is underrated.

I'm not saying Richardson has or doesn't have any of these. I'm just saying don't dismiss a RB because he lacks elite "straight line" speed. Vision is most important. A few Hall of Famers can vouch for that.

I read somewhere that Richardson had gained a few pounds of muscle this offseason. I think that 196lbs was last years weight. I thought I saw he's 200 or so now. I'll try to find a link.

I don't know if he's got the elite vision to make up for percieved lack of speed, but I hope he gets the ball a lot and then we'll see.

*Edited* to add that I can't find the link on Richardson gaining a few pounds. I felt sure that I read he'd put on 3-5 pounds, but I've read so much lately that I could have him mixed up with someone else.

 
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I thought I'd help everyone here understand the difference in 40 times since some are dogging a guy for having a 4.35 40 versus another player at 4.25 or whatever...

Yards per second:

4.0 = 10

4.1 = 9.8

4.2 = 9.5

4.3 = 9.3

4.4 = 9.1

4.5 = 8.9

4.6 = 8.7

4.7 = 8.5

4.8 = 8.3

4.9 = 8.2

5 = 8

A guy that runs a 4.4 will add roughly .9 yards (2.7 feet) over a guy that runs a 4.9 every second. A guy that runs a 4.5 will add a yard every five seconds over a guy running a 4.6

So, for example, a Chris Johnson will run about 3 feet further than Darryl Richardson every 5 seconds at top speed. That's not a lot folks.

Relax on the 40 times. There are much more important factors in play here.

 
I thought I'd help everyone here understand the difference in 40 times since some are dogging a guy for having a 4.35 40 versus another player at 4.25 or whatever...

Yards per second:

4.0 = 10

4.1 = 9.8

4.2 = 9.5

4.3 = 9.3

4.4 = 9.1

4.5 = 8.9

4.6 = 8.7

4.7 = 8.5

4.8 = 8.3

4.9 = 8.2

5 = 8

A guy that runs a 4.4 will add roughly .9 yards (2.7 feet) over a guy that runs a 4.9 every second. A guy that runs a 4.5 will add a yard every five seconds over a guy running a 4.6

So, for example, a Chris Johnson will run about 3 feet further than Darryl Richardson every 5 seconds at top speed. That's not a lot folks.

Relax on the 40 times. There are much more important factors in play here.
Seems to me that is a lot. At the extremes, it's the difference between getting caught and taking it to the house. In between, it can mean a 20 yard play instead of a 4 yard play. A couple times a game, it adds up.

 
I thought I'd help everyone here understand the difference in 40 times since some are dogging a guy for having a 4.35 40 versus another player at 4.25 or whatever...

Yards per second:

4.0 = 10

4.1 = 9.8

4.2 = 9.5

4.3 = 9.3

4.4 = 9.1

4.5 = 8.9

4.6 = 8.7

4.7 = 8.5

4.8 = 8.3

4.9 = 8.2

5 = 8

A guy that runs a 4.4 will add roughly .9 yards (2.7 feet) over a guy that runs a 4.9 every second. A guy that runs a 4.5 will add a yard every five seconds over a guy running a 4.6

So, for example, a Chris Johnson will run about 3 feet further than Darryl Richardson every 5 seconds at top speed. That's not a lot folks.

Relax on the 40 times. There are much more important factors in play here.
Seems to me that is a lot. At the extremes, it's the difference between getting caught and taking it to the house. In between, it can mean a 20 yard play instead of a 4 yard play. A couple times a game, it adds up.
I don't think speed is something that matters for distance either.

It's about being faster than the LBs/DBs trying to tackle you, so that you can use your vision to actually make plays. If I see a hole, that's great. If I see a hole but I can't get through it before a LB beats me there or catches me...oh well.

 
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I thought I'd help everyone here understand the difference in 40 times since some are dogging a guy for having a 4.35 40 versus another player at 4.25 or whatever...

Yards per second:

4.0 = 10

4.1 = 9.8

4.2 = 9.5

4.3 = 9.3

4.4 = 9.1

4.5 = 8.9

4.6 = 8.7

4.7 = 8.5

4.8 = 8.3

4.9 = 8.2

5 = 8

A guy that runs a 4.4 will add roughly .9 yards (2.7 feet) over a guy that runs a 4.9 every second. A guy that runs a 4.5 will add a yard every five seconds over a guy running a 4.6

So, for example, a Chris Johnson will run about 3 feet further than Darryl Richardson every 5 seconds at top speed. That's not a lot folks.

Relax on the 40 times. There are much more important factors in play here.
Seems to me that is a lot. At the extremes, it's the difference between getting caught and taking it to the house. In between, it can mean a 20 yard play instead of a 4 yard play. A couple times a game, it adds up.
I'm a Richardson supporter, but to me it seems like something that can't be pooh-poohed. It's that old quote from Any Given Sunday about life, football and inches. Three feet over 5 seconds is 7 inches over 1 second or almost the size of a D-Lineman's hand. If that seven inches helps a player break 1 hand tackle a game, seems like it makes a difference.

 
Velocity = Distance/time. It most certainly matters. Just like having an extra 10lbs can help a player gain and extra yard after contact due to forward lean.

Not sure what the formula for that is. Being shorter is likely helpful for leverage as well.

 
7" over 1 second is approximately 7" over 10 yards, or 3.5" over 5 yards. How many RBs are going to take advantage of a 3.5" in the space of 5 yards?

It really isn't that big of a deal folks.

 
How did the advantage work for CJ?K the last 2 years?
I agree and disagree with you at the same time. Like I said earlier - straight line speed is overrated, so I agree with you there. Sure, it's nice to have, but to use your example of CJ - I've seen almost every run he's made since I picked him up his rookie year. I'd say he has "elite" straight line speed but only "average" vision. If everything is perfect his elite speed gets him a 2,000 yard season. If stuff isn't so great his average vision comes into play and he has a lot of bad runs that are helped by a long run every once in a while - but he doesn't get those as much when vision is his main tool.

On the other hand I tend to agree with the other posters when they say that a few more inches every second makes a noticable difference. I remember in high school there was this RB who said he ran a 4.4 40. We didn't believe him, but even IF he did we knew we'd still get his a##. Then we took and field and found out what real speed was. I can't count how many times we got a fingertip on him when we thought we'd get a hand. And that fingertip instead of a hand allowed him to hit the sideline and gain 20 yards instead of 4. Granted - most of us were slow as molassas in comparison, but a few inches in the NFL can still be the difference between a fingertip and a hand. And that's money when you run a 4.2 or 4.3.

I know Richardson's not CJ when it comes to speed, but I'd like to see if his field vision is above average and he can find the holes, use his quickness and be an every down back. Can't wait to see how it shakes out with the Rams.

 
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You can be explosive without having incredible track speed. Richardson did a 40.5" vertical leap and 11'3" broad jump at his pro day. That vert is at the very top of the range for a typical elite RB prospect. Right up there with guys like LT and Reggie Bush. The broad jump is downright insane for a 5'10" man. Like the equivalent of running a 4.2 in the 40. He might not have great long speed, but his fast twitch explosiveness is tremendous. I still think there are going to be some natural long term workload limitations at just 5'10" 192, but he can maybe carve out a big role as a career committee back. I've compared him to Warrick Dunn before and I think that's a reasonable comp in terms of playing style and best-case-scenario upside.

 
You can be explosive without having incredible track speed. Richardson did a 40.5" vertical leap and 11'3" broad jump at his pro day. That vert is at the very top of the range for a typical elite RB prospect. Right up there with guys like LT and Reggie Bush. The broad jump is downright insane for a 5'10" man. Like the equivalent of running a 4.2 in the 40. He might not have great long speed, but his fast twitch explosiveness is tremendous. I still think there are going to be some natural long term workload limitations at just 5'10" 192, but he can maybe carve out a big role as a career committee back. I've compared him to Warrick Dunn before and I think that's a reasonable comp in terms of playing style and best-case-scenario upside.
Warrick Dunn is a nice comparison except for the fact that Dunn also had elite speed (ran a 4.3 the last I checked on him when discussing Richardson in the past). If that vert and broad jump is correct, those are definitely insane numbers, but it's still disconcerting that a guy with those kind of measureables could only manage a 4.47 at his size. It's not to say he has zero chance of being the main ball carrier and logging 200+ carries, but his chances based on history of guys his size and speed are incredibly slim. I certainly won't argue that he doesn't look the part at times.

 
With Stacy, Richardson will never be an every down back. Also, don't write off Pead just yet. I still think he has a lot of upside. I like what all 3 bring. Could be a very underrated 3-some

 
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Are we really talking about 40 times? Really?
In the case of sub 200 lb RBs being projected by some to be a starter and carry a heavy workload, yes, we are.
4.47 = fast enough. I have no idea why his ability to handle a heavy workload matters with respect to hsi 40 time.
It's fast enough for most RBs that are normal size, no doubt. But when you're lacking in size, you have to make up for it elsewhere (i.e. elite speed). It's one thing for a 215 lb RB to have 4.47 speed. It's a different thing when a much smaller 195 lb RB has the same speed.

As I said above, I brought this up elsewhere, but if you look back, we identified ONE RB that was under 200lbs that ran slower than a 4.4 that was able to log 200+ carries in a season. Steve Slaton. And he did it once.

There are guys that came into the league under 200 lbs that ran slower than a 4.4 but they all ended up adding weight and getting over 200 lbs. There's a very good reason for that. So far, as far as I can tell, Richardson has not done so and is still ~195-197lbs.

Yes, there are RBs that are under 200 lbs that have had sustained production and logged 200+ carries (CJ3, Charles, Spiller) but they all have elite speed (4.3 type speed).

If you want to ignore the fact that there has only been one RB in the last 15 yrs that has run at his size with his speed and think it doesn't matter, have at it. I think it's VERY relevant. It's not saying he can't be a successful RB. He certainly looks good when you watch him. But the likelihood of him getting 200+ carries at that size given his speed is virtually nil given the history of RBs over a very long period of time. And unless he's getting 200+ carries, his FF potential is limited (i.e., no upside whatsoever). Those aren't the guys that help you win.

"But 4.47 is plenty fast enough". At his size, no, it's really not. I love a good exception as much as the next guy but there have been LOTS of RBs in the NFL over the last 15 years and he would have to defy some pretty exceptional odds to be the guy some are thinking he's going to be. Again, there is just ONE guy, and he lasted all of one year.

It's a pretty simple rule: Over 200 lbs or under 4.4 speed. Only one guy didn't have either and had any type of fantasy relevance as a RB with a significant workload. One. And unless he's somehow getting faster, then he's got to put the weight on before I'd consider investing in him.

 
Barry Sanders- 5'8", 203 and 4.37 40 yard dash

Emmitt Smith- 5'10", 216, 4.60 40 yard dash

It's not always about measurables. Some times it takes putting on the pads to find the talent. -Tom Brady

 
Is pizzatyme serious or fishing. Please god tell me its fishing.
Not fishing at all. Some would say a 5'8" 203 lb RB is too small. Some would say a RB with a 4.60 40 is too slow.

IT'S NOT ALL ABOUT THE MEASURABLES. No, I'm not trying to compare Richardson to either of these two. Just trying to make a point.

 
?Barry Sanders- 5'8", 203 and 4.37 40 yard dash

Emmitt Smith- 5'10", 216, 4.60 40 yard dash

It's not always about measurables. Some times it takes putting on the pads to find the talent. -Tom Brady
Not sure what that has to do with what I posted above. Of course it's not always about measurables. There are always exceptions.

That said, do you not find it INCREDIBLY curious that there is only one instance of a RB logging 200+ carries fitting the simple criteria of < 200 lbs and < 4.4 speed pretty much since these measurements have been taken? Is Richardson that amazing that you think HE is the one that's going to buck an INCREDIBLY STRONG trend? I mean, we're not talking about some 1st round pick here that we're looking to defy the odds (looking at you, Tavon). We're talking about an UDFA here. Yes, yes, I know, look at guys like Foster and Morris and Brady and Colston, etc.

But we're not talking about a somewhat general finding here. Out of hundreds of RBs over the last 15+ years, only ONE has ever fit these 2 simple criteria. So I have no idea why listing Barry Sanders and Emmitt (both of whom are either > 200 lbs or faster than 4.4, I might add) has to do with Richardson and his prospects.

I'll also repeat that I am NOT saying that Richardson can't be successful or have some decent games. But I am saying that the likelihood of him doing that with 200+ carries over the course of a season is essentially zero. And, even if he were to become the 2nd running back EVER to do so, the likelihood of him sustaining that > 1 season is even that much smaller.

Sorry, those kinds of odds are not the kind of odds I invest in at all. He could be a great flex play at times and might even put up a couple big weeks here and there. And sure, there's value in that. But that's about it. And there are people expecting more and they are going to be disappointed.

If you'd like, go ahead and find me another guy that has done it. I'll wait and listen. We actually found a list of guys who were under 200 lbs and ran slower than 4.4. They either 1) sucked or 2) added weight and got over 200 lbs. Kind of odd, huh?

The information is there. Do with it what you will. If your eyes tell you something different, go for it. Just understand that you're going against some MAJOR odds stacked against you and your evaluation. I have nothing personal against the guy. I'd actually love it if he succeeded and bucked the trend. And I actually enjoy watching him run. But in terms of buying as a fantasy stock...no thank you.

 
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The vast majority of a back's carries will be less than 20 yards. Initial burst and acceleration are more important than pure track speed. I don't think Richardson has a great second gear when he breaks into the open field, but he has the instant explosiveness. The 40"+ vert and 11'3" broad jump suggest as much.

40 time is the only combine number that gets ink from the mainstream media, so it's the main thing that people latch onto. There's a reason why they do all the other drills every year though. They also tell you a lot about what a player can do. The vertical will tell you something about leg strength and explosiveness. The broad jump will tell you something about straight-line explosiveness and hip flexibility. 11'3" in that drill is a crazy mark. You rarely see players go over 11' in this drill and when you do it's usually a tall player (tall players have a natural edge in this drill because of their longer legs). To jump 11'3" at 5'10" is one of the best marks I've seen in recent years.

Here are some other top performers in that drill, along with their height (rounded up to the nearest inch).

Calvin Johnson - 11'7" (6'5")

Justin Fargas - 11'5" (6'1")

Justin Hunter - 11'4" (6'4")

Dez Bryant - 11'1" (6'2")

Da'Rick Rogers - 11'0" (6'2")

David Wilson - 11'0" (5'10")

Marquise Goodwin - 11'0" (5'9")

Chris Johnson - 10'10" (5'11")

Darren McFadden - 10'8" (6'1")

CJ Spiller - 10'6" (5'11")

Nobody shorter than Richardson jumped farther than him. You should also notice that most of the guys on this list are explosive track types. People who excel in this drill also tend to run fast because it draws on a lot of the same mechanics. The fact that Richardson "only" runs a high 4.4 in the 40 would be a slight concern when you look at his height/weight ratio, but his numbers in the jumps offset that to some extent. He clearly isn't lacking in fast twitch explosiveness.

As far as there being no similar success stories, I think part of that is because it's so rare to find a player who has elite broad jump numbers without elite speed. Goodwin, Chris Johnson, Justin Fargas, Calvin Johnson...they were 4.3 guys. The only established commodity on this list who didn't run sub 4.4 is Dez Bryant. He turned out more than fine, albeit at a different position and with a much different height/weight ratio.

I wouldn't say that Richardson is a lock for success, but I don't think speed will be a huge limiting factor for him. I'd be more worried about his lack of bulk, as I don't think it's ideal to run a sub 200 pound sub 27.5 BMI back 15-20 times per game over a full season. I think he will probably be more of a committee guy long term.

 
Barry Sanders- 5'8", 203 and 4.37 40 yard dash

Emmitt Smith- 5'10", 216, 4.60 40 yard dash

It's not always about measurables. Some times it takes putting on the pads to find the talent. -Tom Brady
Not sure what that has to do with what I posted above. Of course it's not always about measurables. There are always exceptions.

That said, do you not find it INCREDIBLY curious that there is only one instance of a RB logging 200+ carries fitting the simple criteria of < 200 lbs and < 4.4 speed pretty much since these measurements have been taken? Is Richardson that amazing that you think HE is the one that's going to buck an INCREDIBLY STRONG trend. I mean, we're not talking about some 1st round pick here that we're looking to defy the odds (looking at you, Tavon). We're talking about an UDFA here. Yes, yes, I know, look at guys like Foster and Morris and Brady and Colston, etc.

But we're not talking about a somewhat general finding here. Out of hundreds of RBs over the last 15+ years, only ONE has ever fit these 2 simple criteria. So I have no idea why listing Barry Sanders and Emmitt (both of whom are either > 200 lbs or faster than 4.4, I might add) has to do with Richardson and his prospects.

I'll also repeat that I am NOT saying that Richardson can't be successful or have some decent games. But I am saying that the likelihood of him doing that with 200+ carries over the course of a season is essentially zero. And, even if he were to become the 2nd running back EVER to do so, the likelihood of him sustaining that > 1 season is even that much smaller.

Sorry, those kinds of odds are not the kind of odds I invest in at all. He could be a great flex play at times and might even put up a couple big weeks here and there. And sure, there's value in that. But that's about it. And there are people expecting more and they are going to be disappointed.

If you'd like, go ahead and find me another guy that has done it. I'll wait and listen. We actually found a list of guys who were under 200 lbs and ran slower than 4.4. They either 1) sucked or 2) added weight and got over 200 lbs. Kind of odd, huh?

The information is there. Do with it what you will. If your eyes tell you something different, go for it. Just understand that you're going against some MAJOR odds stacked against you and your evaluation. I have nothing personal against the guy. I'd actually love it if he succeeded and bucked the trend. And I actually enjoy watching him run. But in terms of buying as a fantasy stock...no thank you.
You make a great argument. Much stronger than anything I can put forth for sure. Sometimes I feel like coaches are their own worst enemy and keep talented players from being productive. I know that doesn't change the results, but I do think coaches have a shorter life span these days and will become more willing to put playmakers in the game plan than years gone by. Of course that is my speculation only.

 
The vast majority of a back's carries will be less than 20 yards. Initial burst and acceleration are more important than pure track speed. I don't think Richardson has a great second gear when he breaks into the open field, but he has the instant explosiveness. The 40"+ vert and 11'3" broad jump suggest as much.

40 time is the only combine number that gets ink from the mainstream media, so it's the main thing that people latch onto. There's a reason why they do all the other drills every year though. They also tell you a lot about what a player can do. The vertical will tell you something about leg strength and explosiveness. The broad jump will tell you something about straight-line explosiveness and hip flexibility. 11'3" in that drill is a crazy mark. You rarely see players go over 11' in this drill and when you do it's usually a tall player (tall players have a natural edge in this drill because of their longer legs). To jump 11'3" at 5'10" is one of the best marks I've seen in recent years.

Here are some other top performers in that drill, along with their height (rounded up to the nearest inch).

Calvin Johnson - 11'7" (6'5")

Justin Fargas - 11'5" (6'1")

Justin Hunter - 11'4" (6'4")

Dez Bryant - 11'1" (6'2")

Da'Rick Rogers - 11'0" (6'2")

David Wilson - 11'0" (5'10")

Marquise Goodwin - 11'0" (5'9")

Chris Johnson - 10'10" (5'11")

Darren McFadden - 10'8" (6'1")

CJ Spiller - 10'6" (5'11")

Nobody shorter than Richardson jumped farther than him. You should also notice that most of the guys on this list are explosive track types. People who excel in this drill also tend to run fast because it draws on a lot of the same mechanics. The fact that Richardson "only" runs a high 4.4 in the 40 would be a slight concern when you look at his height/weight ratio, but his numbers in the jumps offset that to some extent. He clearly isn't lacking in fast twitch explosiveness.

As far as there being no similar success stories, I think part of that is because it's so rare to find a player who has elite broad jump numbers without elite speed. Goodwin, Chris Johnson, Justin Fargas, Calvin Johnson...they were 4.3 guys. The only established commodity on this list who didn't run sub 4.4 is Dez Bryant. He turned out more than fine, albeit at a different position and with a much different height/weight ratio.

I wouldn't say that Richardson is a lock for success, but I don't think speed will be a huge limiting factor for him. I'd be more worried about his lack of bulk, as I don't think it's ideal to run a sub 200 pound sub 27.5 BMI back 15-20 times per game over a full season. I think he will probably be more of a committee guy long term.
Uhh, that last part is the whole point. It isn't ideal and just doesn't happen for sub 200 lb RBs to run 15-20 times/game UNLESS (wait for it)......you have elite speed. Warrick Dunn. CJ Spiller. Jamaal Charles. Chris Johnson. These guys have done it and it's their ridiculous speed that has allowed them to get away with it.

I'm not even going to try and give a reason why it matters because I don't know why. I don't know what's special about that extra 1/10th of a second or those 5 lbs. And it could be that you find some cutoff for verts/broad jumps and his size that might say he should be able to succeed.

But the correlation with his weight and 40 time is clear. These aren't crazy cutoffs either. Is it possible it's somehow flawed and if we got enough guys at 199 lbs that ran a 4.42 and started giving them 200 carries that they could do it? Sure, I think it's not only possible but likely. But as of right now, those are the numbers. And we're not talking about only like 5% of RBs that have defied it. We're not talking about a few exceptions. We're talking about one exception....ever. I mean, it's not often we see something so clear cut. And when you see so many guys that came in at his size/speed and most of them ended up adding weight (Ray Rice, Bradshaw, etc.) and the ones that didn't failed miserably, then there's probably a very good reason for it. The fact that Richardson hasn't added the weight is telling that he probably can't add much more to his frame. Plus, the guy is 5'10 so it's not as if he's short and stocky.

A lot of people here are looking for the starting RB in St. Louis for fantasy purposes. If that's what you're hoping for in Richardson and trying to land the clear lead ball carrier, then I think you really need to look elsewhere.

 
I'll ignore the debate over the value of these shirt and short drill measurables, but comparing numbers acquired at the combine to numbers acquired at a pro day is simply an unfair comparison. There are exceptions, but historically numbers acquired at the Combine are considerably worse than numbers acquired at pro days.

 
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The vast majority of a back's carries will be less than 20 yards. Initial burst and acceleration are more important than pure track speed. I don't think Richardson has a great second gear when he breaks into the open field, but he has the instant explosiveness. The 40"+ vert and 11'3" broad jump suggest as much.

40 time is the only combine number that gets ink from the mainstream media, so it's the main thing that people latch onto. There's a reason why they do all the other drills every year though. They also tell you a lot about what a player can do. The vertical will tell you something about leg strength and explosiveness. The broad jump will tell you something about straight-line explosiveness and hip flexibility. 11'3" in that drill is a crazy mark. You rarely see players go over 11' in this drill and when you do it's usually a tall player (tall players have a natural edge in this drill because of their longer legs). To jump 11'3" at 5'10" is one of the best marks I've seen in recent years.

Here are some other top performers in that drill, along with their height (rounded up to the nearest inch).

Calvin Johnson - 11'7" (6'5")

Justin Fargas - 11'5" (6'1")

Justin Hunter - 11'4" (6'4")

Dez Bryant - 11'1" (6'2")

Da'Rick Rogers - 11'0" (6'2")

David Wilson - 11'0" (5'10")

Marquise Goodwin - 11'0" (5'9")

Chris Johnson - 10'10" (5'11")

Darren McFadden - 10'8" (6'1")

CJ Spiller - 10'6" (5'11")

Nobody shorter than Richardson jumped farther than him. You should also notice that most of the guys on this list are explosive track types. People who excel in this drill also tend to run fast because it draws on a lot of the same mechanics. The fact that Richardson "only" runs a high 4.4 in the 40 would be a slight concern when you look at his height/weight ratio, but his numbers in the jumps offset that to some extent. He clearly isn't lacking in fast twitch explosiveness.

As far as there being no similar success stories, I think part of that is because it's so rare to find a player who has elite broad jump numbers without elite speed. Goodwin, Chris Johnson, Justin Fargas, Calvin Johnson...they were 4.3 guys. The only established commodity on this list who didn't run sub 4.4 is Dez Bryant. He turned out more than fine, albeit at a different position and with a much different height/weight ratio.

I wouldn't say that Richardson is a lock for success, but I don't think speed will be a huge limiting factor for him. I'd be more worried about his lack of bulk, as I don't think it's ideal to run a sub 200 pound sub 27.5 BMI back 15-20 times per game over a full season. I think he will probably be more of a committee guy long term.
Uhh, that last part is the whole point. It isn't ideal and just doesn't happen for sub 200 lb RBs to run 15-20 times/game UNLESS (wait for it)......you have elite speed. Warrick Dunn. CJ Spiller. Jamaal Charles. Chris Johnson. These guys have done it and it's their ridiculous speed that has allowed them to get away with it.

I'm not even going to try and give a reason why it matters because I don't know why. I don't know what's special about that extra 1/10th of a second or those 5 lbs. And it could be that you find some cutoff for verts/broad jumps and his size that might say he should be able to succeed.

But the correlation with his weight and 40 time is clear. These aren't crazy cutoffs either. Is it possible it's somehow flawed and if we got enough guys at 199 lbs that ran a 4.42 and started giving them 200 carries that they could do it? Sure, I think it's not only possible but likely. But as of right now, those are the numbers. And we're not talking about only like 5% of RBs that have defied it. We're not talking about a few exceptions. We're talking about one exception....ever. I mean, it's not often we see something so clear cut. And when you see so many guys that came in at his size/speed and most of them ended up adding weight (Ray Rice, Bradshaw, etc.) and the ones that didn't failed miserably, then there's probably a very good reason for it. The fact that Richardson hasn't added the weight is telling that he probably can't add much more to his frame. Plus, the guy is 5'10 so it's not as if he's short and stocky.

A lot of people here are looking for the starting RB in St. Louis for fantasy purposes. If that's what you're hoping for in Richardson and trying to land the clear lead ball carrier, then I think you really need to look elsewhere.
Not sure where they're getting it, as most sites (including NFL.com) list him in the mid 190s, but Google claims he weighs 205.

 
I see where you're coming from. It's a lot like the arguments I've made in the past to suggest that 215+ pound RBs are much more likely to become workhorse backs than small guys.

What people often point out as a counter-argument is that part of the reason why there are fewer small backs ranking among the league leaders in touches is because there are fewer small backs period. When they represent a smaller portion of the overall RB sample, you would also expect them to represent a smaller portion of the successful RB sample. I don't completely buy that argument for reasons that I won't get into here, but it's a valid point worth mentioning.

You are saying that very few RBs with Richardson's profile have been successful and that this suggests that Richardson's chances of being successful are very slim. The problem is that your method to identify similar past examples is biased and not comprehensive. You are lumping him in with other backs on the basis of his weight and concluding that he does not fit the successful mold by checking only one single variable (40 time). The problem here is that the picture is more complicated than just weight/40 time, so categorizing players based only on these two factors risks missing other significant pieces of the equation.

Consider the case of Dez Bryant. If you looked at his height/weight/40 time combination, you would not say that he's an amazing athlete. You would say that he has adequate or even "good" speed for a player his size, but you would not see anything else that pops off the page and screams elite physical talent. It's only when you expand your scope and look at the vertical leap and broad jump that you start to get some objective indicators that he's a freak athlete. His 38" vertical leap and 11'1" broad jump are near the very top of the range for a WR prospect. When you factor them into the equation, he goes from being a "meh" athlete to a very impressive one on paper.

You're not giving Richardson that same chance. You're only looking at the weight/40 time while completely glossing over all the other stuff. I would generally agree that an undersized back without great speed will have low odds of being an impact player in the NFL. However, how many undersized backs with average speed also have freakish measured explosiveness in the jumps? Very few. And this is the big problem with your argument against Richardson. You are using historical comparisons to diminish his odds of success when, in reality, there might not be any historical comparisons. Has there ever been a sub 200 pound back drafted in the NFL who had 4.4+ speed, but also an 11'+ broad jump and 40"+ vert? Off the top of my head, I can't remember anyone who fits that description. If you go back and look at the last 10 draft classes you might not find a single other instance. So I'd suggest that what we're looking at isn't necessarily a player who doesn't fit the successful mold, but rather an unprecedented player whose lack of recent historical equivalents makes it very difficult to gauge his outlook.

 
The vast majority of a back's carries will be less than 20 yards. Initial burst and acceleration are more important than pure track speed. I don't think Richardson has a great second gear when he breaks into the open field, but he has the instant explosiveness. The 40"+ vert and 11'3" broad jump suggest as much.

40 time is the only combine number that gets ink from the mainstream media, so it's the main thing that people latch onto. There's a reason why they do all the other drills every year though. They also tell you a lot about what a player can do. The vertical will tell you something about leg strength and explosiveness. The broad jump will tell you something about straight-line explosiveness and hip flexibility. 11'3" in that drill is a crazy mark. You rarely see players go over 11' in this drill and when you do it's usually a tall player (tall players have a natural edge in this drill because of their longer legs). To jump 11'3" at 5'10" is one of the best marks I've seen in recent years.

Here are some other top performers in that drill, along with their height (rounded up to the nearest inch).

Calvin Johnson - 11'7" (6'5")

Justin Fargas - 11'5" (6'1")

Justin Hunter - 11'4" (6'4")

Dez Bryant - 11'1" (6'2")

Da'Rick Rogers - 11'0" (6'2")

David Wilson - 11'0" (5'10")

Marquise Goodwin - 11'0" (5'9")

Chris Johnson - 10'10" (5'11")

Darren McFadden - 10'8" (6'1")

CJ Spiller - 10'6" (5'11")

Nobody shorter than Richardson jumped farther than him. You should also notice that most of the guys on this list are explosive track types. People who excel in this drill also tend to run fast because it draws on a lot of the same mechanics. The fact that Richardson "only" runs a high 4.4 in the 40 would be a slight concern when you look at his height/weight ratio, but his numbers in the jumps offset that to some extent. He clearly isn't lacking in fast twitch explosiveness.

As far as there being no similar success stories, I think part of that is because it's so rare to find a player who has elite broad jump numbers without elite speed. Goodwin, Chris Johnson, Justin Fargas, Calvin Johnson...they were 4.3 guys. The only established commodity on this list who didn't run sub 4.4 is Dez Bryant. He turned out more than fine, albeit at a different position and with a much different height/weight ratio.

I wouldn't say that Richardson is a lock for success, but I don't think speed will be a huge limiting factor for him. I'd be more worried about his lack of bulk, as I don't think it's ideal to run a sub 200 pound sub 27.5 BMI back 15-20 times per game over a full season. I think he will probably be more of a committee guy long term.
Uhh, that last part is the whole point. It isn't ideal and just doesn't happen for sub 200 lb RBs to run 15-20 times/game UNLESS (wait for it)......you have elite speed. Warrick Dunn. CJ Spiller. Jamaal Charles. Chris Johnson. These guys have done it and it's their ridiculous speed that has allowed them to get away with it.

I'm not even going to try and give a reason why it matters because I don't know why. I don't know what's special about that extra 1/10th of a second or those 5 lbs. And it could be that you find some cutoff for verts/broad jumps and his size that might say he should be able to succeed.

But the correlation with his weight and 40 time is clear. These aren't crazy cutoffs either. Is it possible it's somehow flawed and if we got enough guys at 199 lbs that ran a 4.42 and started giving them 200 carries that they could do it? Sure, I think it's not only possible but likely. But as of right now, those are the numbers. And we're not talking about only like 5% of RBs that have defied it. We're not talking about a few exceptions. We're talking about one exception....ever. I mean, it's not often we see something so clear cut. And when you see so many guys that came in at his size/speed and most of them ended up adding weight (Ray Rice, Bradshaw, etc.) and the ones that didn't failed miserably, then there's probably a very good reason for it. The fact that Richardson hasn't added the weight is telling that he probably can't add much more to his frame. Plus, the guy is 5'10 so it's not as if he's short and stocky.

A lot of people here are looking for the starting RB in St. Louis for fantasy purposes. If that's what you're hoping for in Richardson and trying to land the clear lead ball carrier, then I think you really need to look elsewhere.
Not sure where they're getting it, as most sites (including NFL.com) list him in the mid 190s, but Google claims he weighs 205.
That's interesting. I can't find that anywhere else or any reports about him gaining weight (we usually see those).

It's no exaggeration that if his weight was actually up that my interest in him would change DRAMATICALLY. If he were to bulk up to 205 or 210 somehow, his outlook changes significantly and I think we'd have to look at him in a completely different light. Might be something to keep an eye out for so thanks for posting that.

 
It's fast enough for most RBs that are normal size, no doubt. But when you're lacking in size, you have to make up for it elsewhere (i.e. elite speed).
I disagree with this premise.
That's nice.

Whenever you feel like offering up any type of evidence that shows why you disagree or examples as to why you disagree with this, have at it. Otherwise, I'll just disagree with your disagreement.

 
It's fast enough for most RBs that are normal size, no doubt. But when you're lacking in size, you have to make up for it elsewhere (i.e. elite speed).
I disagree with this premise.
That's nice.

Whenever you feel like offering up any type of evidence that shows why you disagree or examples as to why you disagree with this, have at it.
The "evidence" is that it doesn't make any sense. It's face value a pointless, empty statement. You're making up one of those Madden ratings ink blots that they had in the 2012 version where the point went out very far if he was good at a particular attribute, but was short if he wasn't. You could get an idea as to whether a player was good or not by eyeing how big of an overall area the figure took up. It was a sucky rating system in that game, and it's even worse trying to apply that kind of thinking (which, you are) to the real NFL.

196lbs is big enough to play RB in the NFL. 4.47 is fast enough to play RB in the NFL. Weight and speed, unless they're extremely outside of the norm, like a 165lb RB who runs a 5.2, are way down the list of what makes a RB good or not.

If you didn't play Madden 2012, just focus on the first two sentences.

 
It's fast enough for most RBs that are normal size, no doubt. But when you're lacking in size, you have to make up for it elsewhere (i.e. elite speed).
I disagree with this premise.
That's nice.

Whenever you feel like offering up any type of evidence that shows why you disagree or examples as to why you disagree with this, have at it.
The "evidence" is that it doesn't make any sense. It's face value a pointless, empty statement. You're making up one of those Madden ratings ink blots that they had in the 2012 version where the point went out very far if he was good at a particular attribute, but was short if he wasn't. You could get an idea as to whether a player was good or not by eyeing how big of an overall area the figure took up. It was a sucky rating system in that game, and it's even worse trying to apply that kind of thinking (which, you are) to the real NFL.

196lbs is big enough to play RB in the NFL. 4.47 is fast enough to play RB in the NFL. Weight and speed, unless they're extremely outside of the norm, like a 165lb RB who runs a 5.2, are way down the list of what makes a RB good or not.

If you didn't play Madden 2012, just focus on the first two sentences.
I disagree with this premise (man, that was easy).

 
It's fast enough for most RBs that are normal size, no doubt. But when you're lacking in size, you have to make up for it elsewhere (i.e. elite speed).
I disagree with this premise.
Wait, are you saying you disagree with the premise that if you are lacking in size you have to make up for it elsewhere? I, like gianmarco, would like you to explain that (if you can).

It seems pretty simple to me that you make up for your weaknesses as a RB with strengths in other areas. It's not as simple as a Madden Ratings System, but to use the example above, if you lack size you make up for it in other areas if you are to be an effective RB in the NFL. I'm not saying it has to be speed - but it's gotta be something. Either that or you're just an average joe like us sitting on the couch watching.

 
I strenuously object! -A Few Good Men
:)

Btw, here is a link of all RBs listed under 200lbs that have had 200+ carries in a season since 1990: Running back list

Of note, on that list, Ray Rice and Ahmad Bradshaw are both easily over 200 lbs now so those weights are actually off. Tatum Bell was also over 200 lbs (213 at nfl.com).

There's simply not that many guys on the list to begin with. Those that are: those guys were speed demons. We know about CJ3, Spiller, Charles. Charlie Garner ran a 4.33. Kaufman reportedly ran a 4.31. I looked, but I can't find times on Pegram or Higgs or Abdul-Jabbar.

This is just information to be aware of, of course.

 
It's fast enough for most RBs that are normal size, no doubt. But when you're lacking in size, you have to make up for it elsewhere (i.e. elite speed).
I disagree with this premise.
Wait, are you saying you disagree with the premise that if you are lacking in size you have to make up for it elsewhere? I, like gianmarco, would like you to explain that (if you can).

It seems pretty simple to me that you make up for your weaknesses as a RB with strengths in other areas. It's not as simple as a Madden Ratings System, but to use the example above, if you lack size you make up for it in other areas if you are to be an effective RB in the NFL. I'm not saying it has to be speed - but it's gotta be something. Either that or you're just an average joe like us sitting on the couch watching.
I disagree with the premise that if you are below X weight, you must be above Y speed or you will not be a successful player in the NFL. Aside from putting arbitrary values in place of those variables, it's focusing on some of the more over-rated attributes that make up a running back.

I do not disagree with the concept that in order to be a player in the NFL, you have to be good at many things, and if you're not good at some things, it'd be better if you were better at some other things.

 
It's fast enough for most RBs that are normal size, no doubt. But when you're lacking in size, you have to make up for it elsewhere (i.e. elite speed).
I disagree with this premise.
Wait, are you saying you disagree with the premise that if you are lacking in size you have to make up for it elsewhere? I, like gianmarco, would like you to explain that (if you can).

It seems pretty simple to me that you make up for your weaknesses as a RB with strengths in other areas. It's not as simple as a Madden Ratings System, but to use the example above, if you lack size you make up for it in other areas if you are to be an effective RB in the NFL. I'm not saying it has to be speed - but it's gotta be something. Either that or you're just an average joe like us sitting on the couch watching.
I disagree with the premise that if you are below X weight, you must be above Y speed or you will not be a successful player in the NFL. Aside from putting arbitrary values in place of those variables, it's focusing on some of the more over-rated attributes that make up a running back.

I do not disagree with the concept that in order to be a player in the NFL, you have to be good at many things, and if you're not good at some things, it'd be better if you were better at some other things.
Fair enough.

Although Gianmarco did have a pretty nice set of stats to back up his size to speed comparison.

 
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I have no clue if the actual stats would back me up, but I wonder if going to a small school and signing with a small agency (Team Sports Agency) limited Richardson's exposure on how to properly run a 40 for time.

We see a lot of higher round picks focus a lot on their 40 time because a tenth of a second can be shaved off with proper technique. Richardson may not have had the resources to train for the 40 in the proper manner and may have run a "football" 40 instead of a "track" 40.

Total spitballing on my part. It is really tough though to determine how good small-school players (Abilene Christian is a D2 school) from their play against inferior opponents and Pro-Day numbers (as opposed to combine numbers) have to be taken with a grain of salt.

 
Gawain said:
I have no clue if the actual stats would back me up, but I wonder if going to a small school and signing with a small agency (Team Sports Agency) limited Richardson's exposure on how to properly run a 40 for time.

We see a lot of higher round picks focus a lot on their 40 time because a tenth of a second can be shaved off with proper technique. Richardson may not have had the resources to train for the 40 in the proper manner and may have run a "football" 40 instead of a "track" 40.

Total spitballing on my part. It is really tough though to determine how good small-school players (Abilene Christian is a D2 school) from their play against inferior opponents and Pro-Day numbers (as opposed to combine numbers) have to be taken with a grain of salt.
That's a thought that would blow this height weight theory out of the water. Can they take a guy from 4.47 to 4.3? I have no idea.

 
Gawain said:
I have no clue if the actual stats would back me up, but I wonder if going to a small school and signing with a small agency (Team Sports Agency) limited Richardson's exposure on how to properly run a 40 for time.

We see a lot of higher round picks focus a lot on their 40 time because a tenth of a second can be shaved off with proper technique. Richardson may not have had the resources to train for the 40 in the proper manner and may have run a "football" 40 instead of a "track" 40.

Total spitballing on my part. It is really tough though to determine how good small-school players (Abilene Christian is a D2 school) from their play against inferior opponents and Pro-Day numbers (as opposed to combine numbers) have to be taken with a grain of salt.
That's a thought that would blow this height weight theory out of the water. Can they take a guy from 4.47 to 4.3? I have no idea.
I always heard that proper form could take you down a tenth of a second (properly getting off the line and what not.) No idea how much, if any, work Richardson did in focusing on sprints. He may have been lettered in the 60 meter sprint all four years in high school for all I know. But, small school guy, with a pretty minor agency...it does make me wonder.

Hypothetically, had he ran a 4.37, we'd be thinking about him a lot differently. Curious to see him run more against NFL defenses. It'll be pretty apparent if he can't separate from linebackers, is getting chased down by DBs. I just tend to give small school guys and small agency guys (Richardson was the only NFL player from his agency drafted) a little more leeway because they may not have had the benefit of proper coaching for the combine-type drills.

 
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Quote

Rams OC Brian Schottenheimer says Isaiah Pead has "done some amazing things in training camp."
"He’s made play after play, so again, try to get him some more reps," said Schottenheimer. "Obviously he’s still a young player. You’ve got to teach him. But build on the great things he’s doing out here on the practice field and carry that over to the field." Pead will get some first-team reps in Saturday's preseason game against the Packers, but appears well behind Daryl Richardson in the battle for No. 1 duties. Pead needs to put together some (really) good film over the next two weeks.


Source: ESPN.com
Quote

ESPN's Nick Wagoner believes Daryl Richardson has done "nothing to endanger" his starting status in camp, and has "probably put a bit of distance" between himself and Isaiah Pead.
We already knew Richardson ran circles around Pead in last week's preseason opener, but it sounds like he's winning the battle on the practice field, as well. Richardson is clearly the leader in the clubhouse, but nothing will be official until the Rams make it through their third preseason game. Richardson drafters would do well to snag Pead in the later rounds.

Related: Isaiah Pead

Source: ESPN.com
 
The title of this thread is wrong, do you even watch the tape?

I do hope they utilize Pead, because I have D Rich as a target sleeper bound for the top 20.

The Rams RBs remind me of Ten RBs, in that Pead/Greene can be the battering rams to wear down the D.

Then when D Rich/CJ2K get the hole, it's lights out. And they only need 10-15 carries per game, and can make your fantasy day in 1-2 plays.

Edit: I think top 20 is D Rich's floor. Pead will be mid-low RB3

 
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