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Kevin Barlow Prediction (1 Viewer)

jaredsmarks

Footballguy
I must confess, I have been enamored with Barlow from day one. It always appeared to me that this guy was a star in the making. Remember when Shany said he was the best back in the draft, I believed him. With Hearst ruled out, Barlow has a chance to really break out against the pourous cardinals D. I think all of the stars have alligned for his breakout party. If Forsey can get 130 and a td, Barlow just might have 150 and 2 td's. Curious to hear what others think!!!

 
I must confess, I have been enamored with Barlow from day one. It always appeared to me that this guy was a star in the making. Remember when Shany said he was the best back in the draft, I believed him. With Hearst ruled out, Barlow has a chance to really break out against the pourous cardinals D. I think all of the stars have alligned for his breakout party. If Forsey can get 130 and a td, Barlow just might have 150 and 2 td's. Curious to hear what others think!!!
I think Barlow is extremely overrated.
 
I have been lead to believe that Hearst got more playing time because he was a better blocker, and that Barlow didn't have a firm grasp of the playbook...thus limiting the number of plays he could be involved in.With Hearst out does Barlow get the entire workoad, or does the #3 back (???) get some time to compensate for Barlow's blocking troubles?

 
Not sure, the line's beat up and garcia'a been playing like ###... but then again the game's at home...22 carries 95 yds3 rec 28 yds 1 rec TD.

 
If Barlow's pattern holds to form, he'll get dinged while the door appears open for him. I'll guess knee or ankle.

 
If Barlow's pattern holds to form, he'll get dinged while the door appears open for him. I'll guess knee or ankle.
I'm starting Barlow this week. Please don't say this. Just once, let Barlow seize the opportunity fortune has handed him on a silver platter. Please. :(
 
This will be a strong defense for SF and a decent day for Bar but he has to be one of the most overrated FF RB in the past two seasons. He can still fight for a buck twenty and a TD w another 34 in rec yds...

 
I also think Barlow is way overhyped. Plus SF cannot run the ball this year (boy do they miss Mariucci).My prediction: 70 yards on 23 carries, 0 tdsMaybe the Barlow hype will end once and for all.

 
I also think Barlow is way overhyped. Plus SF cannot run the ball this year (boy do they miss Mariucci).My prediction: 70 yards on 23 carries, 0 tdsMaybe the Barlow hype will end once and for all.
Brock Forsey rushed for 130 and a TD against the Cards, but Barlow won't?A realistic projection for Barlow this week is 100 and a TD.
 
Barlow will boost his offseason value by running for 145 yds with 1 TD, while catching 3 for 30 yds and a TD.

 
Plus SF cannot run the ball this year (boy do they miss Mariucci).
:confused: They're 6th in the league in rushing yardage and that's without the benefit of Garcia rushing for a lot of yards this year.
 
200 all purpose yards and 3 TD's. OK, im being optomistic, i need to win and score 19 more points than the guy im tied with for my division. I drafted Barlow in the 6th round and havnt used him once, if he goes off and gets me my division title it was a 6th pick well spent.

 
I'm really excited about Barlow getting the start. Here are someinteresting stats (H means home/A means away).Combined Carries/Receptions for Hearst and Barlow on a weekly basis:1. 26/4-H2. 22/4-A3. 16/4-H4. 24/6-A5. 30/3-H6. 25/1-A7. 35/3-H8. 23/5-A9. 31/4-H10. 28/2-H11. 20/2-A12. 23/4-ACombined Yards (Rushing/Receiving) for Hearst and Barlow on a weekly basis:1. 118/44-H2. 134/50-A3. 32/13-H4. 128/31-A5. 109/43-H6. 102/1-A7. 192/38-H8. 62/51-A9. 156/43-H10. 166/12-H11. 77/10-A12. 97/19-ACombined Td's for Barlow and Hearst:1. 2-H2. 1-A3. 0-H4. 0-A5. 0-H6. 1-A7. 1-H8. 0-A9. 0-H10. 1-H11. 0-A12. 0-ARushing Yards/receiving yards and Rushing/receiving Td's allowed bycardinals (To primary back or known 2 person RBBC)1. 44/41/0 tds-A2. 118/11/1 td-H3. 53/43/0 tds-H4. 128/26/1td-A5. 81/38/1td-A6. 131/0/0td-H7. 62/51/0tds-H8. 34/0/1td-H9. 54/8/0tds-A10. 45/8/2tds-A11. 100/33/1td-H12. 134/27/1td-A The niners combo totaled over 100 yards in 8 of their 12 games. Intheir 6 home games, 5 of them were for over 100. In those same 6 homegames, the niners Rb's scored 4 touchdowns. The niners combo combined for30 or more receiving yards 6 of their 12 games, 4 of those at home. Lastly,the niners consistently gave the combo of Hearst and Barlow over 20 carries.The duo went over 20 carries 11 of their 12 games, the only game being athome where the combo had 16 carries. At home, the combos' best performancewas 198/38/1td. Their worst performance was 32/13/0tds, which is terrible.In summary, I would give Barlow an 85% chance of getting 100 yards. Also, Iwould give Barlow a 95% of getting over 20 carries and a 66% of scoring atd. Obviously, these preliminary numbers will change by looking at thecardinals defense and what they allow opposing runningbacks to score. Overall, the cardinals have allowed 100 yards to a rusher/rbbc 5 oftheir 12 games. 2 of those came on the road and three of them came at home.In 12 games, the cardinals have allowed 8 tds to the main rb/rbbc. Of their6 away games, they have allowed 5 tds. They have allowed over 30 yardsreceiving 4 of their 12 games, with two of those on the road. Overall, thecardinals are suprisingly tough on opposing runningbacks. However, thelast three games they have allowed approximately 280 yards on the ground tothe main running back/rbbc, 67 in receiving yards and 4 tds. OF the lastthree games, two of them a running back has gone over 100 and scored a td.In those same two games, the running backs average 30 a game in receivingyards.I think Barlow is primed for success. He most likely will get over 20carries and has about an 80-85% shot of getting 100 yards rushing and a goodshot at getting 30 yards receiving. Also, he has a better than likely shotof getting a td, which I approximate around 75%. If I had to guess hisnumbers, I would conservatively say 110/30 and a TD. Curious to hear whatothers think after seeing the analysis.

 
Just like O Smith is underrated, right Switz? How'd that one work out?Now my money's on 100/2 for Barlow this week. ;) ;)
Yeah - focus on my one bad call - ignore the numerous good ones :thumbup: I've been right on Barlow so far, since his rookie season in fact. This week I expect about 86 yards, barring a long (40+) yard run and 1 TD, and in 20-30 yards receivingOSmith lacks discipline, it's hard to guage that before the season starts, or even in brief appearances. I wasn't wrong on Smith's talent, just like Barlow has talent. But Barlow lacks discipline too.
 
I also think Barlow is way overhyped. Plus SF cannot run the ball this year (boy do they miss Mariucci).My prediction: 70 yards on 23 carries, 0 tdsMaybe the Barlow hype will end once and for all.
Brock Forsey rushed for 130 and a TD against the Cards, but Barlow won't?A realistic projection for Barlow this week is 100 and a TD.
Football is highly variable. Do you think Brock Forsey could rush for 130 yards and a TD if Chicago played Arizona again? Probably not. Could Barlow go off? Sure, but I think probably not.
 
I think well see rattay, throw alot in the first half and run the clock in the 2nd
Unfortunately think Garcia is getting the start, would much rather see Rattay get in there.Been hanging onto Barlow since he came into the league in my keeper league, just waiting for a day like this, Ill be watching and hoping very closely sunday
 
Plus SF cannot run the ball this year (boy do they miss Mariucci).
:confused: They're 6th in the league in rushing yardage and that's without the benefit of Garcia rushing for a lot of yards this year.
Look at jaredsmark's post below. It is the 77 and 97 yards rushing by Hearst and Barlow combined (and 0 TDs) over the last two games that concerns me.SF does not look like an offensive machine like they were last year. They are not very good in either fantasy football or NFL football.

 
Just like O Smith is underrated, right Switz? How'd that one work out?Now my money's on 100/2 for Barlow this week. ;) ;)
Yeah - focus on my one bad call - ignore the numerous good ones :thumbup: I've been right on Barlow so far, since his rookie season in fact. This week I expect about 86 yards, barring a long (40+) yard run and 1 TD, and in 20-30 yards receivingOSmith lacks discipline, it's hard to guage that before the season starts, or even in brief appearances. I wasn't wrong on Smith's talent, just like Barlow has talent. But Barlow lacks discipline too.
Oh, sorry. Didn't notice any other guys you pimped. Must have been overloaded with the 8 gazillion posts you started about the supposed "SOD".
 
It is the 77 and 97 yards rushing by Hearst and Barlow combined (and 0 TDs) over the last two games that concerns me.SF does not look like an offensive machine like they were last year. They are not very good in either fantasy football or NFL football.
Both were away games...vs. GB & BaltimoreI'll take Barlow at home vs. the Cards every week.125 rush48 rec2 td's
 
last year vs. arizona, hearst was a little dinged and barlow received the majority of touches:18 carries for 52 yards and a TD, 4 rec for 35 yards and a TDgiven the dropsies and garcia's neck/future with the 49ers on the line, i see SF pouring it on and scoring at whim vs. the cardinals...barlow should be good for 130-140 combined APY and 1-2 TDs...

 
Yeah - focus on my one bad call
Could be wrong, but I think you touted Duce Staley quite a bit during the offseason.
More anti-CBuck than pro-Staley. In that I was right. Westbrook has surprised me quite a bit though. Didn't think he'd be this durable on one ACL. Pretty impressive.Staley is still the best overall RB on the team, better runner than CBuck and better receiver than Westbrook. The numbers play it out.Staley 72/4.7 YPC - 27/11.2YPRCBuck 94/3.9YPC - 5/17.6YPRWesty 93/5.2YPC - 24/8.0YPR
 
Look at jaredsmark's post below. It is the 77 and 97 yards rushing by Hearst and Barlow combined (and 0 TDs) over the last two games that concerns me.SF does not look like an offensive machine like they were last year. They are not very good in either fantasy football or NFL football.
How about we breakdown those pitiful yards in the past 2 games?Barlow 15/66yds 4.5 YPCHearst 28/106yds 3.8 YPCI like Hearst, but he tends to wear down as the season progresses. Since week 4, Hearst has had only 2 games in which he averaged 4 YPC or better. In that same span, Barlow has only dipped below 4 YPC in 2 games. Barlow hasn't necessarily struggled in the past 2 games, he just hasn't had the touches, which he'll get this weekend.As the other poster pointed out, SF's offense (and the team as a whole) thrives at home and snoozes on the road, not to mention AZ plays like crap on the road as well.
 
More good news for Barlow owners. I cant wait to root for Barlow at the game on Sunday! :thumbup: :football:

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news?slug=ap-c...ov=ap&type=lgns

Linebacker suspended for final four games

December 2, 2003

TEMPE, Ariz. (AP) -- Arizona Cardinals linebacker Raynoch Thompson has been suspended by the NFL for the final four games of the season for violating the league's substance abuse policy.

Coach Dave McGinnis announced the suspension at his Tuesday meeting with the media. The suspension could cost Thompson between $300,000 and $400,000 in lost salary.

``I just want the best for Raynoch,'' McGinnis said. ``I'm sad to have to inform you of this. I was very sad when I was informed.''

ADVERTISEMENT

Thompson's agent, James Williams, said the violation involved alcohol. The suspension was announced after Thompson's appeal was rejected by the NFL.

Thompson entered the league's substance abuse policy after a drunken driving arrest in the Phoenix suburb of Gilbert in October of 2001. He has been subject to random tests since then.

Thompson tested positive on Sept. 29, the day after the Cardinals played the Rams in St. Louis, Williams said. Thompson doesn't remember drinking alcohol, the agent said, but had injured his knee during the game and was on medication and may have consumed some on the flight back to Arizona.

Thompson maintains that's the only time he could have taken a drink.

``It was totally isolated,'' Williams said. ``Everybody was surprised, including himself.''

A second substance abuse violation usually results in a four-game suspension. A third violation could mean a year's suspension.

Thompson, a second-round draft pick out of Tennessee in 2000, has emerged as one of the Cardinals' best defensive players. He is second on the team in tackles with 90 and tied for the lead in sacks with three. Two of those sacks came in Arizona's loss to the Bears in Chicago on Sunday.

``The best season of his career,'' Williams said, ``but he's a grown man and it's one of those things where he'll get the four games out of the way and get prepared for next season.''

Earlier this season, Thompson signed a four-year contract extension worth about $11.3 million, including a $2.65 million signing bonus.

Williams said Thompson would have no comment on the suspension.

 
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YES!YES!YES!I don't for the life of me understand why Erickson has been SOOOOO loyal to Hearst. A couple of weeks ago Barlow had three straight runs of 8+ yards, and then they put Hearst in and he fumbled.Next series, Hearst marched out there again.... WTF!NOW is the time to see Barlow put an end to Hearst's SF career.YES!YES!YES!C'mon a white guy named Brock friegin' Forsey rushed for 140+ yards on Arizona with a healthy Raynoch Thomas and Dexter Jackson.... Jackson is hurtin now and RayThom is out.YES!YES!YES!

 
When and where was it announced that Hearst would not play on Sunday? Last I heard, it was reported that Barlow would start. If Hearst still plays, all that means is that Barlow gets the rock first in the alternating series.

 
Anyone know if Hearst is going to be out more then one week? After suffering the whole season without a legit number 2 runningback I finally have one worth starting........and it doesn't matter because I won the my divison and have a bye! Uh... :rant:

 
Here comes the cold water, Grid, ready for it?First, everyone should know by now how much of a Barlow-hater I am. I think he is barely talented enough to maintain his status on the team, but that he is both extremely injury prone and he is a poor FOOTBALL player.That said, I foresee 23 carries, at a grand 3.3 YPC, and no TDs. He'll also catch 4 or 5 passes, at 6.5 YPC. Again, no TDs. The 9ers will miss Hearst's run blocking and ability to run within the offense. Final prediction: Barlow gets caught behind the line of scrimmage at least 5 times, and 3 of those times will be because he can't find the hole fast enough or because he ignores the obvious 3 yard hole while trying to gain more yardage.

 
When and where was it announced that Hearst would not play on Sunday? Last I heard, it was reported that Barlow would start. If Hearst still plays, all that means is that Barlow gets the rock first in the alternating series.
Hearst will have surgery on his knee and will be missing this week, and will try to return in two weeks.
 
Anyone know if Hearst is going to be out more then one week? After suffering the whole season without a legit number 2 runningback I finally have one worth starting........and it doesn't matter because I won the my divison and have a bye! Uh... :rant:
See above - both of you, free resource, called the Blogger, with links and easy searcjh function. Check into it.
 
I foresee 23 carries, at a grand 3.3 YPC, and no TDs.
Might want to use that mush between your ears next time you post your opinion!This is what Barlow has done against some of the best defenses in the NFL already this year:

Week 7: Tampa Bay ----- 15 carries/75 yards/5.0 ypc

Week 11: Pittsburgh ----- 8 carries/98 yards/12.3 ypc/1 TD

Week 13: Baltimore ----- 11 carries/48 yards/4.4 ypc

And you want us to believe that the weak Arizona defense will hold Barlow to 3.3 ypc!!!? Not even the best defenses in the league were able to do that. Get f'n real!

 
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Barlow could be good if he cared. He is not a motivated player. He is crap blocking, specially picking up blitzes.

Here is the article about Hearsts injury.

http://www.sf49ers.com/newsroom/DisplayNew...asp?newsid=1588

Hearst To Have Knee Scope Back to Newsroom

Monday, December 01, 2003

Hearst injured his knee in the second quarter against the Ravens.

Garrison Hearst will undergo arthroscopic surgery and will miss Sunday’s game against the Arizona Cardinals. Hearst tore the meniscus in his right knee during the second quarter of the 49ers loss to the Baltimore Ravens.

“We expect him to miss this week and we think he’ll probably play the last three games,” Dennis Erickson said.

Hearst is the 49ers leading rusher with 768 yards and three touchdowns this season. He was on his way to another solid game against the Ravens, rushing 12 times for 47 yards before leaving with the knee injury before halftime.

Kevan Barlow will take Hearst’ spot in the starting lineup against the Cardinals. The third-year back has rushed 121 times for 591 yards and two touchdowns on the season, including an 11-carry, 48-yard effort against the Ravens.

“Kevan’s going to be the guy this week. Jamal (Robertson) and Terry Jackson will spell him, but he’ll probably carry it 20+ times or so,” Erickson said. “He’s wanted this chance and he’s got it.”

 
Might want to use that mush between your ears next time you post your opinion!

This is what Barlow has done against some of the best defenses in the NFL already this year:

Week 7: Tampa Bay ----- 15 carries/75 yards/5.0 ypc

Week 11: Pittsburgh ----- 8 carries/98 yards/12.3 ypc/1 TD

Week 13: Baltimore ----- 11 carries/48 yards/4.4 ypc

And you want us to believe that the weak Arizona defense will hold Barlow to 3.3 ypc!!!? Not even the best defenses in the league were able to do that. Get f'n real!
You forgot Week 8: ArizonaHearst 14/43 3.07 ypc

Barlow 9/19 2.11 ypc

 
See above - both of you, free resource, called the Blogger, with links and easy searcjh function. Check into it.
Lighten up, Francis. :thumbdown:
 
Might want to use that mush between your ears next time you post your opinion!

This is what Barlow has done against some of the best defenses in the NFL already this year:

Week 7: Tampa Bay ----- 15 carries/75 yards/5.0 ypc

Week 11: Pittsburgh ----- 8 carries/98 yards/12.3 ypc/1 TD

Week 13: Baltimore ----- 11 carries/48 yards/4.4 ypc

And you want us to believe that the weak Arizona defense will hold Barlow to 3.3 ypc!!!? Not even the best defenses in the league were able to do that. Get f'n real!
You forgot Week 8: ArizonaHearst 14/43 3.07 ypc

Barlow 9/19 2.11 ypc
The niners are like Jekyll and Hyde when it comes to road and home games. Barlow should easily get 100+ combined yards and a good chance at a score.
 
Lighten up, Francis. :thumbdown:
Take it easy on Blogger boy it's his job. There is no doubt the blogger is an excellent tool but I don't need to be reminded about it in every single post. :sleep: :thumbdown:

While we are talking about Hines Ward, I just posted a link on the Blogger to an article where Hines Ward says:I'll draft him top-10 next year just for comments like that. THAT is a football player. If you want to read the rest, go read the Blogger.
I posted that article to the Blogger, and gave it the title, so I feel the need to defend it.FINALLY: Use the Blogger. It's free. If you want to find a LINK to a story, that's the place to start - KFFL doesn't give you links, neither does CBSSportsline, or Fanball, but every single post to the Blogger is verifiable to a respectable news source.
I am the one who posted the Blogger story on Harrison - note the link to today's Indie Star, and today's quote from Harrison - that is the most current NEWS on the situation.
Injury, from the Blogger, you can look anything else up you want on your own (I am not your research assistant)
Davis will be fine - go read the Blogger.
I posted on the blogger:If you disagree with that analysis of the sitch, go to the Blogger and read the article.

Re-read the article I posted to the Blogger.
almost every single one of my posts is either about football, about FF analysis, or I post NEWS to this forum as I work for the Blogger.
Check the Blogger religiously tonight - I am a Henry owner and a Blogger reporter and if there is ANY FF news from practice today on Henry, it'll be there.
Good Get, Hinezer, I JUST posted this story on the Blogger.
Lazy. Go to the Blogger and do a search on "Moe" under "Vikings" and you will find where he states that MOe is still exclusively the GL and short yardage back.
Blogger!!!!Use it - it has a great search function.
Anything newsworth not on the Blogger means it does not have any direct fantasy football relevance.
Another Nugget (from the Blogger - use it!):
Please guys, if posting news, try to use the BLOGGER as much as possible
Her's another shameless plug for y'all to USE THE BLOGGER for your quotes over KFFL. The Blogger usually gets the link to the entire story online before KFFL does.
Guys - use your Blogger.
p.s. - yeah, using KFFL when the Blogger had it hours earlier! For shame - if you haven't checked out the Blogger, do so)
 
Final prediction: Barlow gets caught behind the line of scrimmage at least 5 times, and 3 of those times will be because he can't find the hole fast enough or because he ignores the obvious 3 yard hole while trying to gain more yardage.
He's got a higher YPC than Hearst, does it really matter how he got there?
 
He's got a higher YPC than Hearst, does it really matter how he got there?
Yes it does.Do you know why he has a higher YPC than Hearst? Because of one game where he had a 78 yard carry and ended up with a 12.3 YPC average. Know what his average would be without that one carry? 4.3

Pretty sad when 1/120th of your carries boosts your average .6 for the season.

In other words, it's not likely that Barlow will get 120 carries this game, nor that he will break another 78 yard run.

Fuamatu-Ma'afala has a higher YPC than Taylor - think he should start? :rolleyes:

 
Yes it does.

Do you know why he has a higher YPC than Hearst? Because of one game where he had a 78 yard carry and ended up with a 12.3 YPC average. Know what his average would be without that one carry? 4.3

Pretty sad when 1/120th of your carries boosts your average .6 for the season.

In other words, it's not likely that Barlow will get 120 carries this game, nor that he will break another 78 yard run.
Do you know why he has a higher YPC than Hearst? Because of one game where he had a 78 yard carry and ended up with a 12.3 YPC average. Know what his average would be without that one carry? 4.3
So in other words, take away that carry and his YPC is the same as Hearst and on par with other RBs such as Alexander, Henry, Barber, D. Davis and Taylor and better than Ricky Williams and Curtis Martin.
 
Do you know why he has a higher YPC than Hearst? Because of one game where he had a 78 yard carry and ended up with a 12.3 YPC average. Know what his average would be without that one carry? 4.3
Switz, I saw the run. Hearst could never have blown that open for big yardage. If anything Barlow proved he can blow open big plays (a "play maker" ability). Hearst is not capable of putting together a big run like that up the middle. He dances too much and doesn't have the speed or cutting ability or power. So are we going to take away all the long LT2 runs this year and say he is only a 4.3 YPC back as well? You argument holds no merit. If Barlow had ALL the carries this year he might have sever +50 yard runs like some of the other top backs in the league, and I don't think you can take those away from him because he earned them on a good run.
 

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