Would anyone start Ronnie Brown over Mathews this week? I'm having trouble with this decision and don't want to start another thread since we have a mathews one already.
Mathews is facing a terrible run d, but Brown has historically done well against NE, and I bet MIA runs it more this week. Not sure where to go here. Any thoughts?
Ronnie's always been solid against NE
, even when they stack the box to stop the wildcat runs. Personally, I'd start him over matthews until you can be sure Matthews isn't going to reaggravate his injury.
The game logs don't really support this assertion. Brown had the one HUGE game in 2008, but his other six games have been mediocre at best.Here are the seven game logs: (rushing, receiving)
2005 Week 10: 14-64, 4-28
2005 Week 17: 8-21, 2-13
2006 Week 5: 17-39-1, 1-(-3)
2007 Week 7: 17-76, 5-33
2008 Week 3: 17-113-4, 1-9
2008 Week 12: 10-37, 1-10
2009 Week 9: 15-48, 2-16
The 2008 Week 3 game clearly stands as the exception, and it's the only game Brown both scored a TD and exceeded 100 combined yards.
In the other six games, Brown scored a TD once and exceeded 100 combined yards once.
Averages: 14-57 rushing, 2-15 receiving, 5 total TDs in 7 games.
These averages are solid, but the special circumstances of the full unveiling of the wildcat make it hard to discount.
Without the 2008 Week 3 game, the averages would be roughly 13.5-47.5, 2.5-16 with 1 TD in six games.
If I'm deciding between Brown and Mathews, the potential coddling/ankle reinjury of Mathews would be the main reason I might start Brown. I also believe more total points will be scored in the NE-MIA game, although the oddsmakers barely agree, so that's probably best left out. But Brown's history against NE is not as strong as most people believe.