You said it yourself. Three years ago, he had an opportunity but got injured. Two years ago, Stephen Davis, despite his mediocre play, still took 47% of the carries. If Foster was the kind of back that people here think he is, don't you think Fox would have given him more than 53% of the carries?
Fox relies on his vets, this is proof positive of what I've been trying to tell everyone. Foster was the far more effective RB, but Davis still shared the load that year. 2007 is 2005 all over again. Foster has turned into Davis and Williams is the new Foster.
Last year, say what you want about the OL, but Foster barely had more carries in 2006 (227) than he did in 2005.
Um, yeah...but 227 carries is the third most in franchise history, and Foster missed two games last year.
Frankly, the die was cast when they drafted Williams, but Foster didn't do much to convince anyone that they were wrong to draft a RB so early.
I agree with this, but that doesn't mean Williams is the de facto 300 carry, every down back people are trying to pretend he is, either.
1) Tell me exactly why you think Fox likes his vets so much. I've heard it before, but please enlighten me. Are you going to only ONE situation where Stephen Davis had the primary carries over Foster for two years? Couldn't it be just as likely that Fox felt Davis gave them the best chance to win at all times? Dwayne Jarrett is supposedly going to start, don't you think he would rather start a vet if this were true? Why wasn't Shelton higher on the depth chart than Williams last year, being that Williams was a rookie? What about a semi-proven-vet Goings?
You, I or anyone else don't know what else was going through Fox's mind. Does Reid only start the season with black quarterbacks because they're black? Did Reid not play Moats because he doesn't like young RBs?
We have no earthly idea. Well, unless you can provide me quotes from Fox.
2) Honestly, look at the injury history of the team. How could a RB get a 227 carry season, or a 1200 yard season as you like to point out. It's funny that you keep pointing that out, and even more funny when the main reason no one has is because of injuries, mostly from Foster.
2003 Stephen Davis rushed for 1448 in 14 games.
2004 Stephen Davis injured first game. Foster injured 4th game. Davis injury so bad many reports he would be out for 2005.
2005 Davis limps in, has among his worst year. Plays 13 games, career low 3.0 YPA. He splits time with Foster.
2006 Injuries again, Foster out 2 games, Williams out 3 games. Oline injuries, QB problems, split time.
3) Not saying he's guaranteed for 300 carries, I just think he's
much more likely that Foster. I think it's a misnomer that there will be an even-split amongst the two and also a misnomer that Fox won't give the 2nd year guy the ball. So, this tells us that Williams has every chance to have a lot of carries. But, talent aside, so does Foster.However, have you read the newspaper, ESPN, FBGnews? Williams is everywhere. Foster is nowhere to be found. Williams in his rookie year, behind a decimated line and in a terrible offense has beat career highs for Foster. He also beat him in almost every statistical category for just last year, including almost 0.2 yards/carry and 4.5 yards/reception. He has an entire TC/off-season to work with now and things should only get better. I think this is a severely underrated part of this argument.
I can't see many reasons why Williams will not be given a shot as the primary ball-carrier. And, IMO if given the chance he will excel. Barring injury, CAR history shows that he will get a large percentage of the carries. And, I think this could very well be as high as 300+.