FBG Shark Ranking - Excellent Ranking by the FBG Staff
1) Matt Hasselbeck Ranked #2
ESPN Ranking: #5
CBS Sportsline Ranking: #3
So you may think I’m nitpicking here given the relatively small differences in the site rankings, but it’s the little things that differentiate the champion in your fantasy football league from the second place finisher. Last year I had Culpepper ranked lower than most at #5…that ranking was just low enough to ensure that he would not be on any of my fantasy teams and I in turn didn’t end up with a bust of a pick in the early rounds. The same principle can be applied to this situation.
Let’s take a look at the three players the other websites ranked ahead of Hasselbeck not named Peyton.
McNabb(ranked higher by ESPN)- Has missed on average 3.5 games over the last four years
- Reid has made it very clear he wants a more balanced offense with less passing and more rushing
- Suspect WR Crew
Brady(Ranked higher by both CBS and ESPN)
- Coming off a career year where he had roughly 400 more yards passing than in each of the previous two years, historical precedent seems to favor a more conservative offense
- Suspect WR depth with the loss of Givens
- A healthy Dillon with the addition of Maroney should make for an improved rushing game enabling a more conservative offense
- Defense should be improved, which should enable BB to call more of his type of game, which means less passing based on previous years.
Culpepper(ranked higher by ESPN)
– With injury concerns I’m not going to address this ranking
Now let’s look at Hasselbeck’s last three years:
+---------------------------------------+-----------------+ | Passing | Rushing |+----------+-----+---------------------------------------+-----------------+| Year TM | G | Comp Att PCT YD Y/A TD INT | Att Yards TD |+----------+-----+---------------------------------------+-----------------+| 2003 sea | 16 | 313 513 61.0 3844 7.5 26 15 | 36 125 2 || 2004 sea | 14 | 279 474 58.9 3382 7.1 22 15 | 27 90 1 || 2005 sea | 16 | 294 449 65.5 3455 7.7 24 9 | 36 124 1 |+----------+-----+---------------------------------------+-----------------+As you can see his yards per game took a hit compared to previous years as he had significantly fewer pass attempts. There are three reasons for this as I see it. 1) The Seattle Defense was much improved
2) Seattle had one of the softest rushing schedules in the entire NFL last year, not to mention relatively weak opponents which allowed them to get up early and run, run, run in the second half.
3) Darrel Jackson was injured and nearly all of the other WRs battled injury throughout the season.
In general I believe we can expect the Seahawks to revert back to their more pass-oriented offense for several reasons:
- With Jackson healthy and with an added weapon in Burleson, Holmgren will be more inclined to pass the ball.
-With a tougher schedule IMHO, I expect closer games and as a result more passing which is what we’ve seen from Holmgren's Hawks in the past.
- The loss of Hutchinson will not enable the Hawks to be quite as effective on the ground.
In conclusion I see FBG’s #2 ranking of Hasselbeck as a “Shark” type ranking as a lot of people will look at last year’s stats and conclude that he’s not worthy of the ranking. I’ve provided the main reasons why I believe otherwise.
Hasselbeck may not finish #2 next year, but his risk is so low that when you couple it with all of the positive factors I’ve hilighted above I believe he has the best chance of finishing #2.