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First one is impossible to judge without knowing who is available in your redraft. Looks pretty even though.
It's close and depends upon the roster. I think a few of the rookies have a higher ceiling than Wright (specifically more TD potential), so there is a risk/reward.
Giving this a bump since it didn't get any responses..
And there's risk of Wright not breaking 80/900 and being basically what Cecil Shorts is. Valuewise, it's much safer to invest in someone like Adams whose upside isn't questioned. Most of Wright's points came with QBs no longer in Tenn. He's the perfect guy for Fitzpatrick, not Locker. There's a ton of WRs I'd happily downgrade Wright to. Wright is far from a safe investment, and if you're blindly looking at ADP he's way overvalued.
The seven guys you'd clearly prefer were the first seven players selected. (ODB was the 8th.)
Or Evans could be. I'm not a huge Evans fan, and do like Cooks a lot, but I think Evans is the clear 1.02 in rookie drafts.
While I somewhat disagree with saying the Wright is far from a safe investment, I do think his value is pretty capped. Two years ago he was going anywhere near 1.08-2.02 if I had to guess in rookie drafts. I still think his value is roughly the same. He's got a way higher floor than the rookies at that spot, but I'd rather gamble on the upside of the Kelvin Benjamin, Latimer, Davante Adams, Marqise Lee, and Allen Robinson. Especially if I have some a solid WR core at 1-3.
By a ton too. I tried trading Fleener for whatever I could. Needless to say, he's still on my roster.
Nice post. I know it's not popular on this site and I do take their rankings into consideration when I'm ranking rookies but I have Cooks>Evans in PPR. Evans certainly has more upside but keep in mind his biggest advantage should be in the red zone and Tampa also added a red zone monster in ASJ. That's certainly going to cut into Evans targets in that area of the field. Evans is the riskier pick of the two because there is a lot of mouths to feed and they could run a good amount of scores in with Martin as well. Cooks is walking into the perfect situation. Elite QB + Elite offense + aging WR1 on the roster + Can't double him because of Jimmy. I'm a big Andre Williams fan as well. What tips the scales in favor of team B for me is Le'Veon Bell. He's going to be the Steelers bell cow for 5 years.
I could see this if you desperately needed a starter, maybe, but I'd much rather roster swing for the fences upside in my backup TE spots. Considering you already have Graham, I'm not a fan of this move at all.
KW is only capped by his QB right now. The new offense they are putting in is going to increase his deep targets a little. I got him at 100 receptions, 1150 yards, and 5-6 TD's this year. Which will put him at WR15ish I traded for KW last week so I'm could be biased and I recognize that. I have had mixed reviews on the trade but a couple of things to note. I feel KW is only going to get better moving forward. That league I'm in has short benches so you can only hold/wait for one or two rookies to develop. I already have Cooks and ASJ on that team so holding another rookie WR that could take literally 3 years to develop would have been extremely difficult.
I can agree with your point of view. One thing I forgot to mention though is this league is not a complete dynasty, we keep 10 players, and I could not keep Green. TE's are rarely kept in our league so it is likely I can draft a Ertz, Eifert, Ebron type TE as a backup.............
In that case an early 2nd is probably worth as much or more than almost any backup TE -- much better move given that format IMO.
Agreed. I don't necessarily dislike Kendall Wright but there's a lot of potential for him to go the way of Eddie Royal - bursting on the scene as a volume WR in ppr leagues but lacking real substances behind those receptions.
I actually like Wright - but for some reason he's maintained a real low ypr for his two years in the league and has not been a scoring threat. Odd since he was a good deep ball WR at Baylor. I'm not saying he can't develop into more than he's been, but the threat that he doesn't is real, which was really the main take away from the post I replied to.
Yeah there is an article on that on the net somewhere. It basically said that his slow 40 at the combine had the old coaching staff thinking he couldn't be a deep threat but that on a very limited sample he's been quite successful doing it in the NFL. Basically it implied they weren't using him correctly and the new staff will have him running more deep routes. I'll just add I'm not sure what's going to happen but he is not slow. That's completely evident when you watch his tape. He's as electric/explosive as they come.
Jackson finished #10 in total points in my PPR league. Granted, if the rest of his roster is only average, it's not likely to matter who his RB is.
Hate these kind of trades with a middling roster. Either go all in to make a run or go all in to rebuild. Adding mediocre aging depth is a great way to stay within a game or two of .500 forever.
It could happen again but most people are expecting Jackson to fade a little this year and Spiller to get more of the load.
RB13 in PPG last year with HAS Spiller, RB25 in PPG in 2012 with healthy Spiller. And he's 33. I love Freddy as an NFL player, but I definitely wouldn't feel super comfortable trying to make a playoff run with Jackson / DeAngelo / Miller at RB even if my roster were beastly everywhere else. Given that OP specified "middle of the road" at other positions, that backfield is poison. Even taking Ingram completely out of the equation, if Freddy manages to put out another RB13 season, it's hugely likely to just hurt the team's draft position next year -- the chances of Jackson / Williams being the difference in winning a title vs. not are laughably small IMO.Jackson finished #10 in total points in my PPR league. Granted, if the rest of his roster is only average, it's not likely to matter who his RB is.
I do think some combination of Spiller/Brown will chip into Jackson's touches. But I also think he's a valid starter, in a re-draft sense. He scored more PPG than Fitz, Cruz, Gio, K. Allen, T. Hilton, M. Floyd, J. Cameron, T. Smith, Witten, Gonzo, VD, R. Mathews, etc.
Jackson played through injuries in 2012 and left a couple games early, IIRC. He's a been a top 15 PPG guy for 5 years now.RB13 in PPG last year with HAS Spiller, RB25 in PPG in 2012 with healthy Spiller. And he's 33. I love Freddy as an NFL player, but I definitely wouldn't feel super comfortable trying to make a playoff run with Jackson / DeAngelo / Miller at RB even if my roster were beastly everywhere else. Given that OP specified "middle of the road" at other positions, that backfield is poison. Even taking Ingram completely out of the equation, if Freddy manages to put out another RB13 season, it's hugely likely to just hurt the team's draft position next year -- the chances of Jackson / Williams being the difference in winning a title vs. not are laughably small IMO.Jackson finished #10 in total points in my PPR league. Granted, if the rest of his roster is only average, it's not likely to matter who his RB is.
Austin for me. Think JBell should come cheaper than that
Vereen for now
I think I'd prefer Ingram and the third, but not a huge difference from Ridley and in either case it's a surprising return for Bailey.
I agree with this.Jackson played through injuries in 2012 and left a couple games early, IIRC. He's a been a top 15 PPG guy for 5 years now.RB13 in PPG last year with HAS Spiller, RB25 in PPG in 2012 with healthy Spiller. And he's 33. I love Freddy as an NFL player, but I definitely wouldn't feel super comfortable trying to make a playoff run with Jackson / DeAngelo / Miller at RB even if my roster were beastly everywhere else. Given that OP specified "middle of the road" at other positions, that backfield is poison. Even taking Ingram completely out of the equation, if Freddy manages to put out another RB13 season, it's hugely likely to just hurt the team's draft position next year -- the chances of Jackson / Williams being the difference in winning a title vs. not are laughably small IMO.Jackson finished #10 in total points in my PPR league. Granted, if the rest of his roster is only average, it's not likely to matter who his RB is.
I don't know what the guy's roster looks like, so I don't feel comfortable suggesting what he should or shouldn't do, in terms of making a push or packing it in. I just don't think Jackson is getting the respect he deserves, even as simply a fantasy asset. I value him at least as much as Frank Gore, for example.
It's not exactly a long wait until Ingram hits free agency. He's in the last year of his contract. I would say Ingram is roughly as useful of a dynasty asset as Ben Tate and Toby Gerhart were at this time last year. Owners who had the foresight to grab those guys last year for pennies on the dollar were rewarded with a very nice return.
Tate has never been cheap in any of my leagues but you are right about Gerhart he could have been had for a song early last year.
I'd agree here. I thought it was a small price to pay for Ingram given his age and potential opportunity this year (and going forward). Sure, you MIGHT sacrifice some short term value if F-Jax has a similar year to last year.
Tate was never pennies. He produced when he got touches and was one of the most important cuffs in the hobby. We'll see what happens with Gerhart, but I'm not convinced he has more career VBD left in him that Fred does moving forward, today. Rashard Mendenhall didn't, this time last year.
The new Graham owner should be very happy, IMO. I offered Dez, Hunter, Pitta for Graham in a 1.5 league and was shot down without a counter.
Not to beat a deadhorse, but this is my first time seeing the roster in question. In a start 1RB, PPR league, I'd make that deal for Freddy, assuming I did my homework and kicked the tires on other options. That's a playoff team with a few studs capable of getting hot and upsetting a league favorite. And the roster is far too good to rebuild, so it's not as though an extra couple wins hurts the owner.
In a 12 team PPR thats a better than middling team especially starting 4WR's. Romo/Miller/FJax/Julio/Allen/Fitz/(CP/TWill/ESanders) then Witten at TE I think is better than solid.
Cheap is relative, I suppose. I got Ben Tate at pick 115 in a startup last year, four picks after Ingram and behind other names like Ahmad Bradshaw, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, and Rashard Mendenhall. I consider that extremely cheap based on a short-sighted reaction to the fact that he was currently a backup. I could sell him today if I were so inclined for more value than that, for sure. In established leagues, I agree that it would have been harder to pry him away from his current owner, likely because his current owner either also owns Foster (giving Tate extra synergy value) or because the current owner had been holding him for years (and thus was "invested").
