***Official*** 2012 FBG Subscriber Contest Thread (3 Viewers)

[Regis]

I'm surprised (and disappointed) the cutoff is so high. I finally got huge scores from S. Jackson, Greg Olsen and Rob Bironas, but taking a 3.5 for WR2 and 0 for WR3 will be my downfall. Thanks Decker and D Henderson. Lost McFadden, Goodson and Antonio Brown the week James Jones is on bye or I think I would've been ok.

Still have Dwyer but he won't count until he hits 7.8 and I'm about 5 under cut line now... I don't see him saving me.

Until next year...

 

[QuizGuy66]

*sigh* my ghost entry is having its best week of the year: 213.65 + (Baldwin - 12.00)

What might have been

-QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

A little late with this, sorry. All rostered players so far as I can tell. 2309 total entries (incl. staff). 3650 mangames (not counting injuries/deactivations) for an average of 1.58 per entry:

Dexter McCluster 206

Dwayne Bowe 122

Jamaal Charles 83

Jon Baldwin 222

Kevin Boss 41

Matt Cassel 40

Peyton Hillis 283

Ryan Succop 47

Steve Breaston 13

Tony Moeaki 43

KC DEF 305

Antonio Brown 494

Ben Roethlisberger 49

Emmanuel Sanders 30

Heath Miller 158

Isaac Redman 17

Jerricho Cotchery 7

Jonathan Dwyer 342

Leonard Pope 2

Mike Wallace 385

Rashard Mendenhall 498

Shaun Suisham 153

Pitt Def 110

So there you go. Good luck Turk sweaters!

-QG

 

[kardplayer]

At the end of the first quarter, cutoff was 161.05 (unofficially)

 

[kardplayer]

At the end of the second quarter, the unofficial cutline is 162.05

 

[kardplayer]

I don't think the cutline moved in the third quarter. Really sad I'm not watching this game - must be really exciting

 

[(HULK)]

Oof, think I'm at 160.05 and out. Good luck to those remaining.

 

[kardplayer]

My unofficial cutline is 163.35. As always, don't celebrate too hard or feel too bad until the official #'s are released tomorrow morning.

 

[menobrown]

My unofficial cutline is 163.35. As always, don't celebrate too hard or feel too bad until the official #'s are released tomorrow morning.

I hope you got your numbers right because I'm sitting on a 164.05.

 

[HellToupee]

survived a horrible week with 167

kardplayer pretty much nailed the cutline

 

[5-ish Finkle]

survived a horrible week

Same here. 166 and change with a handful of regular contributors either on bye/hurt. First week I've really had to sweat the Turk. Think the closest I've been to the line to this point was 20-21 points. Was not a comfy Monday evening for me. Thankfully Wallace made the circus TD catch.

kardplayer pretty much nailed the cutline

+1Good stuff, kard. Really appreciate that you do that BTW.

 

[kardplayer]

survived a horrible week

Same here. 166 and change with a handful of regular contributors either on bye/hurt. First week I've really had to sweat the Turk. Think the closest I've been to the line to this point was 20-21 points. Was not a comfy Monday evening for me. Thankfully Wallace made the circus TD catch.

kardplayer pretty much nailed the cutline

+1Good stuff, kard. Really appreciate that you do that BTW.

Happy to do it. Started when I was dancing around the bubble last year. Figured if I wasn't the only one who would appreciate it!

 

[Mr. Soup Nazi]

looks like I could be done this week. No Vick, no Fred Jackson and I will be taking a couple of zeros.

 

[FUBAR]

Miami Dolphins RB Reggie Bush issued an apology via Twitter to fans after he was benched following a first-quarter fumble in Week 10. 'I have to apologize to Dolphin Nation,' Bush said. 'My performance these past few weeks has been poor and I'm embarrassed right now! You guys deserve better.

Darn tootin' I do 5 points below the line.

 

[menobrown]

Made it through by .85 points, I think Dwyers catch near the end of the game put me over. Team has 29 players. 23 which are not K's or D's. Out of those 23 I had 8 players out due to injury or bye and another one exit the game early due to injury. Also had one of my D's on bye. I used Leshoure and Dwyer as my two RB's this week, did not have a double digit producing defense, my third WR barely broke double digits and this was my lowest QB output for the week. Greg Olsen put up 21% of my teams points. Can't believe this team is alive.

I only made it by 2.5 points in week 4, 6.95 points in week 8. A few other weeks since week 4 where I made it by less than 20 points with the biggest margin of advancement being 24. Never had a team ride the cutline this long.

 

[aburt19]

There are a lot of teams with two running backs at fairly high prices that both players are either out or on bye.

Peterson/Murray 35

Lynch/Murray 33

Lynch/McFadden 78

Peterson/McFadden 55

Lynch/Peterson 69

Peterson/F. Jackson 33

Lynch/F. Jackson 77

McFadden/Jackson 34

Murray/Jackson 12

Total 426

Given that a lot of teams also had Mendenhall or Benson as a cheap option, there are likely to be a lot of those

teams that won't score much at running back this week.

 

[Go Pack]

Lynch/Peterson for me with Benson, Mendenhall & Tate possibly out. Need Ridley to score a couple times and Ronnie Brown to catch a handful of passes. I thought 7 RB's was plenty but I will be sweating it this week

 

[shader]

Lynch/Peterson for me with Benson, Mendenhall & Tate possibly out. Need Ridley to score a couple times and Ronnie Brown to catch a handful of passes. I thought 7 RB's was plenty but I will be sweating it this week

I've been riding Ridley all year. He was my most expensive rb and I'm still alive. It would be nice to get a bunch of Peterson and lynch out of this contest though.

 

[QuizGuy66]

For the curious, here is LHUCKS' last three 3 weeks:

Wk 8 185.50

Wk 9 158.35

Wk 10 161.55

So he can sleep tight knowing at least that one back week didn't do him in.

Unlike some of us (so far)

-QG

 

[BassNBrew]

For the curious, here is LHUCKS' last three 3 weeks:Wk 8 185.50Wk 9 158.35Wk 10 161.55So he can sleep tight knowing at least that one back week didn't do him in.Unlike some of us (so far) -QG

yup...my ghost team still alive. They need a redemption island.

 

[ConstruxBoy]

For the curious, here is LHUCKS' last three 3 weeks:Wk 8 185.50Wk 9 158.35Wk 10 161.55So he can sleep tight knowing at least that one back week didn't do him in.Unlike some of us (so far) -QG

yup...my ghost team still alive. They need a redemption island.

Went out last week by 6 points, 175.15 this week. Sigh.

 

[RandyDB]

This will be a hold my breath week for me.

I'm one of the Peterson/Jackson group, and have 7 of my 22 man squad on bye this week.

will be riding MaGahee, Martin, and Royster at RB; Jones, Brown, and Young at REC

My link

 

[atcdav]

survived another week 183.05 but lost FJax. Got Amendola back,Jordy past his bye so hopeful but not confident. The AP/Lynch/CJ2K bye will help some.

 

[Coolerheads]

One week after elimination, I scored 210.45 points. I knew I shouldn't have checked that; it's like rubbing salt into the wound.

 

[aburt19]

There are a lot of teams with two running backs at fairly high prices that both players are either out or on bye.Peterson/Murray 35Lynch/Murray 33Lynch/McFadden 78Peterson/McFadden 55Lynch/Peterson 69Peterson/F. Jackson 33Lynch/F. Jackson 77McFadden/Jackson 34Murray/Jackson 12Total 426Given that a lot of teams also had Mendenhall or Benson as a cheap option, there are likely to be a lot of thoseteams that won't score much at running back this week.

I missed that Chris Johnson was also off. Here are the numbers with Chris Johnson.Johnson/Lynch 32Johnson/McFadden 29Johnson/Jackson 16Johnson/Peterson 27Johnson/Murray 19Total 123Total including both sets of numbers 549. That's a lot of teams that may be short on points at running back.

 

[chocula]

There are a lot of teams with two running backs at fairly high prices that both players are either out or on bye.Peterson/Murray 35Lynch/Murray 33Lynch/McFadden 78Peterson/McFadden 55Lynch/Peterson 69Peterson/F. Jackson 33Lynch/F. Jackson 77McFadden/Jackson 34Murray/Jackson 12Total 426Given that a lot of teams also had Mendenhall or Benson as a cheap option, there are likely to be a lot of thoseteams that won't score much at running back this week.

I so need some big time luck and ALL of the above players to go out this week. Good luck everyone.

 

[Qtip Callahan]

Missing Peterson but have Foster. That gives me hope with some many others missing multiple backs.

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

SIZE	ALL	ALIVE	SURV%18	4633	420	9.1%19	1813	184	10.1%20	1376	156	11.3%21	1142	134	11.7%22	966	128	13.3%23	812	132	16.3%24	626	103	16.5%25	482	84	17.4%26	380	59	15.5%27	308	54	17.5%28	229	47	20.5%29	191	41	21.5%30	335	58	17.3%TOT	13293	1600	12.0%

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

Iggy, Here's a database query request for ya. Top 10, or 50, or 250 teams based on cumulative points scored weeks 1-3? Since no teams are on bye, and the prize money is awarded over a cumulative 3 week stretch where there are no byes, we may be able to grab an early glimpse of some of the favorite teams out there.Thanks!

Here are the top ten:

ENTRY	TOTAL	SIZE106007	659.20	22 <--- Eliminated in Week 6103146	650.30	21 <--- Eliminated in Week 8101100	649.25	18 <--- Eliminated in Week 8104337	648.90	22 <--- Eliminated in Week 5101714	639.40	21 <--- Eliminated in Week 10106211	638.45	28100286	638.30	20 <--- Eliminated in Week 9108078	637.90	19 <--- Eliminated in Week 6100103	636.95	18 <--- Eliminated in Week 6106846	635.85	20 <--- Eliminated in Week 4

Update

 

[Defending Champs]

I have the Chris Johnson/DeMarco Murray combo along with Percy Harvin, I will be holding my breath this week for sure.

 

[Mr. Soup Nazi]

Yup, no QB this week with Vick ruled out and Locker on bye. Only RB's who even have a chance to score points this week are McFadden and Taiwan Jones.

Need an epic week from every other position to survive.

 

[Modog814]

For the curious, here is LHUCKS' last three 3 weeks:Wk 8 185.50Wk 9 158.35Wk 10 161.55So he can sleep tight knowing at least that one back week didn't do him in.Unlike some of us (so far) -QG

yup...my ghost team still alive. They need a redemption island.

It makes it very painful to come back into this thread when the difference between being out and alive was Locker not playing on Brees bye. At the least, I think it's reinforcing that my strategy was good, just some bad luck.

 

[HellToupee]

For the curious, here is LHUCKS' last three 3 weeks:Wk 8 185.50Wk 9 158.35Wk 10 161.55So he can sleep tight knowing at least that one back week didn't do him in.Unlike some of us (so far) -QG

yup...my ghost team still alive. They need a redemption island.

It makes it very painful to come back into this thread when the difference between being out and alive was Locker not playing on Brees bye. At the least, I think it's reinforcing that my strategy was good, just some bad luck.

I have Locker as well to go with RG3 & Luck. Last 2 years I was eliminated by QB injuries. I know it goes against the grain but starting this season I vowed to always carry three.

 

[Hybrid]

First time checking back on this since I was eliminated week 4. I was pretty upset, thinking I had a great team, I've been staying far away.

Turns out I was right. I've been cruising since I was eliminated that week by 4 points, with Rodgers, AP, and Doug Martin carrying my team. Also, that was one of the games Dez dropped a wide-open touchdown.

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

For the curious, here is LHUCKS' last three 3 weeks:Wk 8 185.50Wk 9 158.35Wk 10 161.55So he can sleep tight knowing at least that one back week didn't do him in.Unlike some of us (so far) -QG

yup...my ghost team still alive. They need a redemption island.

It makes it very painful to come back into this thread when the difference between being out and alive was Locker not playing on Brees bye. At the least, I think it's reinforcing that my strategy was good, just some bad luck.

Maybe next year, since I'm creating a DB of all the teams and calculating scores for all of them every week anyway, I should set up some kind of "second chance" side contest for all of us, so our entries still have something to play for if we just miss the cut in the main contest one week.

 

[Mario Kart]

SIZE	ALL	ALIVE	SURV%18	4633	420	9.1%19	1813	184	10.1%20	1376	156	11.3%21	1142	134	11.7%22	966	128	13.3%23	812	132	16.3%24	626	103	16.5%25	482	84	17.4%26	380	59	15.5%27	308	54	17.5%28	229	47	20.5%29	191	41	21.5%30	335	58	17.3%TOT	13293	1600	12.0%

Curious to see what people think about this. Do you take the 9.1% chance knowing more teams from that group are still alive. Or, do you take the 21.5% chance even though that group has the fewest teams alive.

 

[CalBear]

SIZE	ALL	ALIVE	SURV%18	4633	420	9.1%19	1813	184	10.1%20	1376	156	11.3%21	1142	134	11.7%22	966	128	13.3%23	812	132	16.3%24	626	103	16.5%25	482	84	17.4%26	380	59	15.5%27	308	54	17.5%28	229	47	20.5%29	191	41	21.5%30	335	58	17.3%TOT	13293	1600	12.0%

Curious to see what people think about this. Do you take the 9.1% chance knowing more teams from that group are still alive. Or, do you take the 21.5% chance even though that group has the fewest teams alive.

It is pretty clear that if you're betting on who's going to win the whole thing, you're going to do better at this point with the 18-player field than the 29-player field. But that's only because there were way too many of them to begin with. If you had to choose one single team, you should probably be choosing a large roster.

 

[HALtheCOW]

SIZE	ALL	ALIVE	SURV%18	4633	420	9.1%19	1813	184	10.1%20	1376	156	11.3%21	1142	134	11.7%22	966	128	13.3%23	812	132	16.3%24	626	103	16.5%25	482	84	17.4%26	380	59	15.5%27	308	54	17.5%28	229	47	20.5%29	191	41	21.5%30	335	58	17.3%TOT	13293	1600	12.0%

Curious to see what people think about this. Do you take the 9.1% chance knowing more teams from that group are still alive. Or, do you take the 21.5% chance even though that group has the fewest teams alive.

It is pretty clear that if you're betting on who's going to win the whole thing, you're going to do better at this point with the 18-player field than the 29-player field. But that's only because there were way too many of them to begin with. If you had to choose one single team, you should probably be choosing a large roster.

Exactly!

 

[HALtheCOW]

survived a horrible week

Same here. 166 and change with a handful of regular contributors either on bye/hurt. First week I've really had to sweat the Turk. Think the closest I've been to the line to this point was 20-21 points. Was not a comfy Monday evening for me. Thankfully Wallace made the circus TD catch.

kardplayer pretty much nailed the cutline

+1Good stuff, kard. Really appreciate that you do that BTW.

Happy to do it. Started when I was dancing around the bubble last year. Figured if I wasn't the only one who would appreciate it!

Thank You from me as we'll. and big Props for the Live Scoring App.I have as much fun with this as I do my other leagues. But I just do not see how I survive this week with only McCluster/LeShoure at RB. But it was a great run.

 

[kardplayer]

survived a horrible week

Same here. 166 and change with a handful of regular contributors either on bye/hurt. First week I've really had to sweat the Turk. Think the closest I've been to the line to this point was 20-21 points. Was not a comfy Monday evening for me. Thankfully Wallace made the circus TD catch.

kardplayer pretty much nailed the cutline

+1Good stuff, kard. Really appreciate that you do that BTW.

Happy to do it. Started when I was dancing around the bubble last year. Figured if I wasn't the only one who would appreciate it!

Thank You from me as we'll. and big Props for the Live Scoring App.I have as much fun with this as I do my other leagues. But I just do not see how I survive this week with only McCluster/LeShoure at RB. But it was a great run.

Live scoring app is all Organized Chaos - he built it and makes it all work. I download info from his system to run the live cutlines.

 

[Mr. Soup Nazi]

Yup, no QB this week with Vick ruled out and Locker on bye. Only RB's who even have a chance to score points this week are McFadden and Taiwan Jones.Need an epic week from every other position to survive.

Buffalo's Defense giving me a ray of hope to start the week.

 

[stlrams]

Happy with the unexpected good start from Bess and Miami Def. Only player last night for me was Tannenhill but have Flacco and Ryan waiting....

Entry 104762

Based on the number of teams missing RB's this week I like my chances to move on...

 

[dickey moe]

Happy with the unexpected good start from Bess

+1 - really needed this with Harvin on bye this week.

 

[stubby]

Yup, no QB this week with Vick ruled out and Locker on bye. Only RB's who even have a chance to score points this week are McFadden and Taiwan Jones.Need an epic week from every other position to survive.

Buffalo's Defense giving me a ray of hope to start the week.

Buffalo Def/ST and R. Lindell were both welome hits for me.

 

[QuizGuy66]

Sorry for the break. Here's this years UPDATED roster of Heroes through week 10.

Long live, um 7 QB Guy Still Alive!!

There are 17 5 QB guys still alive

There are now 3 12-RB guys left. All 3 are still alive!!!

There are now 2 12-RB guys still alive 12-RB Guy #1 12-RB Guy #2

There's now only 2 1 15 WR guys left #1 and #2

There is just 1 6-TE guy left: #1 STILL ALIVE

There is now 1 7-defense guys left #2

There are now 8 5-TD guys left

Long live the 2 10-kicker guys!!! #1 and #2 BOTH STILL ALIVE

Sigh there are now 7 guys left with a measly 5-kickers on their rooster :(

So there ya go.

-QG

 

[aburt19]

Happy with the unexpected good start from Bess and Miami Def. Only player last night for me was Tannenhill but have Flacco and Ryan waiting.... Entry 104762Based on the number of teams missing RB's this week I like my chances to move on...

Mendenhall is playing this week. That gives teams another RB to score even a few points for them. I now have three RB(McGahee, Jennings and Mendenhall)that can contribute instead of two.Getting 17 points from Bess is a pleasant surprise.

 

[chocula]

37.5 points after Thursday's game.... Bess 17, Bills 15, and R Bush 5.5..

Happy with Bess and the Bills, but needed a good game out of Bush.

 

[Ahmad Rashad]

Yup, no QB this week with Vick ruled out and Locker on bye. Only RB's who even have a chance to score points this week are McFadden and Taiwan Jones.Need an epic week from every other position to survive.

Buffalo's Defense giving me a ray of hope to start the week.

Very happy with their 15 points considering Seattle's on a bye. Didn't realize I had anyone going until I saw your post. Thanks.With all the RB injuries and byes, I'm feeling pretty good about Foster, Martin, Mendenhall, and Royster being healthy. Hopefully they can make up for Julio possibly being out.

 

[ctriopelle]

Sorry for the break. Here's this years UPDATED roster of Heroes through week 10.

Long live, um 7 QB Guy Still Alive!!

There are 17 5 QB guys still alive

There are now 3 12-RB guys left. All 3 are still alive!!!

There are now 2 12-RB guys still alive 12-RB Guy #1 12-RB Guy #2

There's now only 2 1 15 WR guys left #1 and #2

There is just 1 6-TE guy left: #1 STILL ALIVE

There is now 1 7-defense guys left #2

There are now 8 5-TD guys left

Long live the 2 10-kicker guys!!! #1 and #2 BOTH STILL ALIVE

Sigh there are now 7 guys left with a measly 5-kickers on their rooster :(

So there ya go.

-QG

with that said, i gotta be one of a very few 4TD/4K guys left....30 man rooster

 

[kardplayer]

Sorry for the break. Here's this years UPDATED roster of Heroes through week 10.

Long live, um 7 QB Guy Still Alive!!

There are 17 5 QB guys still alive

There are now 3 12-RB guys left. All 3 are still alive!!!

There are now 2 12-RB guys still alive 12-RB Guy #1 12-RB Guy #2

There's now only 2 1 15 WR guys left #1 and #2

There is just 1 6-TE guy left: #1 STILL ALIVE

There is now 1 7-defense guys left #2

There are now 8 5-TD guys left

Long live the 2 10-kicker guys!!! #1 and #2 BOTH STILL ALIVE

Sigh there are now 7 guys left with a measly 5-kickers on their rooster :(

So there ya go.

-QG

with that said, i gotta be one of a very few 4TD/4K guys left....30 man rooster

25 teams have 4 or 5 PK and 4 or 5 Def.One of those teams has 22 players (1 QB, 1 TE, 6 RB, 6 WR)

Everyone else has 25+