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***Official*** 2012 FBG Subscriber Contest Thread (1 Viewer)

I really don't want to spend 11 on a backup QB...hmmm, wonder if I should roll the dice on the bye week?

 
I'm starting to re-think and second guess my WR strategy. Right now I only have 5 on my roster. Three high priced studs and two guys who I feel good about this year.

Why I should go with this:

On any given week, each player is capable of putting up 30+ points for the week. And in my opinion, you need players like this (doesn't have to be the WR position) to win the whole thing.

Why I shouldn't go with this:

On any given week, all WRs are capable of throwing up less than 5 points. If it so happens that 2 of them lay eggs on the same day, it will make it difficult to advance....especially during the five weeks that one of them are on a bye.

Right now I'm fighting an inner battle of what to go with....stand pat with what I've got and swing for the fences or pick 5 guys between $13 and $20 with a couple guys lower priced guys I feel good about. I feel like the second option will help me advance through this competition, but doesn't give me an advantage if I make the finals. To win this, you will have to average over 200 points a week during the finals.

What to do, what to do?

 
So I think I am as done as I can be at this point....I'll pay attention for any nuggets of news, but don't think I'll make any big changes. 28 players locked and loaded...team Soupnazi FTW!

QB - 2 @ $41 (16.4%)

RB - 9 @ $77 (30.8%)

WR - 9 @ $75 (30.0%)

TE - 2 @ $35 (14.0%)

PK - 3 @ $10 (4.0%)

TD - 3 @ $12 (4.8%)

by bye week:

4 - 1 @ $11 (4.4%)

5 - 4 @ $27 (10.8%)

6 - 3 @ $32 (12.8%)

7 - 7 @ $62 (24.8%)

8 - 2 @ $26 (10.4%)

9 - 3 @ $41 (16.4%)

10 - 3 @ $9 (3.6%)

11 - 5 @ $42 (16.8%)

Spent > $20 on 3 players (1 each of QB, RB & WR), 5 players between $11-$20 and 19 players at < $10.

I have 8 players from the AFC west and none from the AFC north.

:moneybag:

 
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I'm starting to re-think and second guess my WR strategy. Right now I only have 5 on my roster. Three high priced studs and two guys who I feel good about this year.Why I should go with this:On any given week, each player is capable of putting up 30+ points for the week. And in my opinion, you need players like this (doesn't have to be the WR position) to win the whole thing.Why I shouldn't go with this:On any given week, all WRs are capable of throwing up less than 5 points. If it so happens that 2 of them lay eggs on the same day, it will make it difficult to advance....especially during the five weeks that one of them are on a bye.Right now I'm fighting an inner battle of what to go with....stand pat with what I've got and swing for the fences or pick 5 guys between $13 and $20 with a couple guys lower priced guys I feel good about. I feel like the second option will help me advance through this competition, but doesn't give me an advantage if I make the finals. To win this, you will have to average over 200 points a week during the finals. What to do, what to do?
You will need more than 5. 7 is about the baseline. With this year's prices I have 9 WR's, with one priced top 10 and one priced top 20.
 
I'm starting to re-think and second guess my WR strategy. Right now I only have 5 on my roster...
You will need more than 5. 7 is about the baseline. With this year's prices I have 9 WR's, with one priced top 10 and one priced top 20.
Here are the number of WRs owned by the top 5 entries in last year's final standings:
Code:
1. BLUE THUNDER               6  2. JRiehl                     73. Entry 110241               54. TimRucci XXXXXXX           55. jbird                      5
:shrug:
 
QB 2 (Mid & Cheap)

RB 5 (2 top ten, 1 mid, 2 Cheap)

WR 9 (2 studs, 2 mid, 5 cheap)

TE 3 (1 stud, 2 cheap)

PK 4

DEF 3

Increased WR spending from past years, gamble at QB, bye weeks pretty well balanced.

 
QB 2 (Mid & Cheap)

RB 6 (2 Mid & 4 Cheap)

WR 9 (4 Mid & 5 Cheap)

TE 3 (2 Stud & 1 Mid)

PK 2

Def 2

Everyone always has 1 bye week they will sweat, I'm no different & hopefully my studs carry me plus avoid injury

 
Re-re-re-revised my roster. Here's what I have now, and I'm probably done with revisions.

QB -- 2 (2 mid)

RB -- 7 (stud, 3 mid, 3 cheap)

WR -- 9 (5 mid, 4 cheap)

TE -- 3 (mid, 2 cheap)

PK -- 2

Def -- 2

 
Did a little more tweaking. I'm hopefully done, especially because I have a project to finish up at work tomorrow. Then first thing Wednesday morning I'll be all set to put together the 2012 DB.

I haven't been really pleased with any of my iterations so far this season, but I think I'm comfortable enough with this one to let it fly:

QB: 2 for $30. I think I already mentioned that I've been really tempted to just take Stafford and risk taking a zero at QB in week 5. I'll never forget that this guy took a zero at QB in week 9 (albeit unintentionally) and ended up winning the $20,000. But in the end I couldn't do it, so I added Tannehill for $4. Tannehill sucks, but so does everyone else in that price range, and I didn't want to spend more than a few bucks for a backup to Stafford.

RB: 8 for $81. Two guys over $20, and six guys under $10. As I write this it occurs to me that 8 is most likely overkill at a position where I'll probably only be starting 2 guys each week, so I may swap out one of these for another WR or something.

WR: 9 for $77. Three guys in the $15-20 range, and six guys under $10. I am obviously a believer in this kind of scattershot approach at WR, though I do wish I had a little more firepower at the top. But you have to make sacrifices somewhere.

TE: 3 for $48. I have historically spent less than this at TE. I'm trying something a little new (for me) this year. Normally the extra money I'm spending at TE this season would probably be filtered to WR, which is probably why I feel a little shorthanded at WR this season. But I figured if I have to take some chances, might as well take chances on a guy who gets 1.5 PPR as opposed to one who gets 1.0 PPR, amirite?

K: 2 for $6. I obviously messed this up. I will have to revamp the roster to squeeze at least eight or nine more kickers onto my entry, or I'm toast.

D: 2 for $8. Whatever.

Total is 26 players for $250. I may trade a RB for a WR, and swap out Stafford for 8 more kickers, but other than that I don't anticipate any major changes. I also don't anticipate winning the $20k this year, but you never know.

 
Feeling good about my team this year...

QB - I went with Brady as my weekly stud, and went with the upside of Locker as my QB2. I expect Brady to be my guy most weeks, but there is always a chance for Locker to blow up if things hit right.

RB - I went rather light here, grabbing three guys in the $14-20 range, and then getting three more in the 3-6 range. I think I can survive here.

WR - This was the meat of my team, with seven guys and taking up $105 of my budget.

TE - I went with the same combo I'm grabbing in a lot of leagues, picking up Celek and Olsen, both guys who I think can perform at a high level this year, with a relatively affordable price.

PK - I only grabbed three this year, when I usually load up. I'm willing to take the risk.

TD - Likewise, I only grabbed two this year, but I spent on quality week in/week out units that should give me solid scores.

 
Dear Someone Important at FBG's,

I have changed my roster 300-500 times, and an itervention is needed. I have had everything from 20 to 29 man rosters. I have definately had 75% of the WR's on my team at 1 time or another.

Soooo.....today I finally have something I am happy with. :excited: However, having the entry at my fingertips makes me want to check and tinker. Really, I don't want to. Can someone lock this bad boy up??? Or perhaps there is a 12 step program or perhaps a mentor I could be referred to in order to help with my addiction.

Can anyone help?

One day at a time.

 
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Another visit to the thread, another switch to my roster. I was really loving my value at RB, where I like to stock up a bit, seeing it as the most injury prone position. But doing this forced me to go with some mid to upper mid range guys at WR. As much as I liked the value I found in them, I couldn't kick the feeling that WR was a real boom or bust area of my team. So I just went out and got some bust insurance in the form of Calvin Johnson. I had to drop one of my top RBs and a few bottom rung cheap guys to make the numbers work, but I think I like the new overall makeup better. Just gotta pray a bit harder for the injury bug to stay away now. Down from a 27/$250 roster to a 24/$250. Already starting to feel like 24 is a low total though. I'm a quantity believer stuck on the quality side of the fence. :wall:

 
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'Tennessee_ATO said:
Re-re-re-revised my roster. Here's what I have now, and I'm probably done with revisions.QB -- 2 (2 mid)RB -- 7 (stud, 3 mid, 3 cheap)WR -- 9 (5 mid, 4 cheap)TE -- 3 (mid, 2 cheap)PK -- 2Def -- 2
Tweaked it again. Dropped down a RB to roster a back-up to one of my "starters". That gives me 3 legit "starters", 2 of their back-ups, and a cheapy gamble.
 
i really like my roster right now but i have $28 dedicated to k's and d's :bag:

my reasoning is each one of my defenses will start more often and help my scores more than a $3-$6 7th WR will so i cant talk myself into dropping one even though i am not crazy about spending that much on the position. same with kickers

 
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aaaah, it won't be long until we start seeing posts with all the winning rosters. fall is almost in the air.

very happy with the team i put together this year, but one thing appears certain...the scores are going to be much higher this year.

 
As I read through the posts, I am a bit worried on the number of WR and RB that I have on the team.

I also thought of taking a stud in each position, then getting low end after that. (Brady + Tannehill)??

I am at the point that I am tired of picking players and am not sure if this second guessing is improving my odds or just making things worse.

Since no one will copy the team that went out in the 4th round last year, here are my picks for this contest:

Feel free to laugh, critique, suggest new players, etc.....

QB - Matt Ryan - ATL/7 - $19

QB - Joe Flacco - BAL/8 - $11

RB - Ahmad Bradshaw - NYG/11 - $21

RB - Marshawn Lynch - SEA/11 - $19

RB - Chris Wells - ARI/10 - $13

RB - Jacquizz Rodgers - ATL/7 - $10

RB - Mikel Leshoure - DET/5 - $9

RB - Jonathan Dwyer - PIT/4 - $4

RB - Cedric Benson - GB/10 - $3

WR - Wes Welker - NE/9 - $23

WR - Jordy Nelson - GB/10 - $20

WR - Torrey Smith - BAL/8 - $16

WR - Brandon LaFell - CAR/6 - $10

WR - Titus Young - DET/5 - $10

WR - Davone Bess - MIA/7 - $6

TE - Jermichael Finley - GB/10 - $16

TE - Tony Gonzalez - ATL/7 - $13

PK - Nate Kaeding - SD/7 - $4

PK - Matt Bryant - ATL/7 - $4

PK - Robbie Gould - CHI/6 - $3

TD - Detroit Lions - DET/5 - $6

TD - Buffalo Bills - BUF/8 - $5

TD - Seattle Seahawks - SEA/11 - $4

 
ok....I'm pretty sure I'm done tinkering with my team. Famous last words I know. I'm not going to post my team until this is locked Wednesday morning, but my team will be a great test subject on the studs vs. shotgun method. My roster has 19 guys total...and they all told me that they were going to stay healthy all season and have career years.

 
That's why three $10 WRs can outproduce one $30 WR
it's possible, but the odds are overwhelmingly against that. i showed you this.
No you didn't. That's my point.Edited to further clarify your error:
ignoratio, i've said time and time again to use your own projections. price doesn't have anything to with your projections.
OK, so I'm going to project that every $10 WR is going to average 20 PPG, and every $20+ WR is going to average 8 PPG. Plug those into your Excel worksheet and voilà! I've "proven" that a combination of cheaper WRs is better than stud WRs. Does that seem like a pretty crappy analysis? Of course - but it's plagued by the same exact flaw as your own conclusions. You haven't actually demonstrated anything with your analysis, other than the relatively obvious, "Players who score more points are better than players who score fewer points."
:goodposting: Exactly. I mean he does show that you're probably better off taking a qb whom you think will be a stud over playing sort of a qbbc, but it opens a far more important question IMO. How much better is it? Say you even knew the end of year scoring for QBs, how much better is the #1 and #27 combo compared to say the #2 and #27 combo? What about the number3 and 27 combo? Is it worth the extra buck or two?
 
As I read through the posts, I am a bit worried on the number of WR and RB that I have on the team. I also thought of taking a stud in each position, then getting low end after that. (Brady + Tannehill)??I am at the point that I am tired of picking players and am not sure if this second guessing is improving my odds or just making things worse. Since no one will copy the team that went out in the 4th round last year, here are my picks for this contest: Feel free to laugh, critique, suggest new players, etc.....QB - Matt Ryan - ATL/7 - $19QB - Joe Flacco - BAL/8 - $11RB - Ahmad Bradshaw - NYG/11 - $21RB - Marshawn Lynch - SEA/11 - $19RB - Chris Wells - ARI/10 - $13RB - Jacquizz Rodgers - ATL/7 - $10RB - Mikel Leshoure - DET/5 - $9RB - Jonathan Dwyer - PIT/4 - $4RB - Cedric Benson - GB/10 - $3WR - Wes Welker - NE/9 - $23WR - Jordy Nelson - GB/10 - $20WR - Torrey Smith - BAL/8 - $16WR - Brandon LaFell - CAR/6 - $10WR - Titus Young - DET/5 - $10WR - Davone Bess - MIA/7 - $6TE - Jermichael Finley - GB/10 - $16TE - Tony Gonzalez - ATL/7 - $13PK - Nate Kaeding - SD/7 - $4PK - Matt Bryant - ATL/7 - $4PK - Robbie Gould - CHI/6 - $3TD - Detroit Lions - DET/5 - $6TD - Buffalo Bills - BUF/8 - $5TD - Seattle Seahawks - SEA/11 - $4
Drop Wells and LaFell and add several more cheap RBs, WRs and TEs.
 
QB - 2 / $37

RB - 5 / $68

WR - 7 / $82

TE - 3 / $42

PK - 3 / $9

TD - 3 / $12

Went with a strong starting lineup and adequate / cheap backups. One week has 6 on bye, 3 of which are my optimal starters ($84 on bye)... could be a brutal week.

Some modification...

QB - 2 / $37

RB - 6 / $67

WR - 6 / $93

TE - 3 / $35

PK - 3 / $9

TD - 2 / $9

Set now. :whistle:

 
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'HairySasquatch said:
I'm starting to re-think and second guess my WR strategy. Right now I only have 5 on my roster. Three high priced studs and two guys who I feel good about this year.Why I should go with this:On any given week, each player is capable of putting up 30+ points for the week. And in my opinion, you need players like this (doesn't have to be the WR position) to win the whole thing.Why I shouldn't go with this:On any given week, all WRs are capable of throwing up less than 5 points. If it so happens that 2 of them lay eggs on the same day, it will make it difficult to advance....especially during the five weeks that one of them are on a bye.Right now I'm fighting an inner battle of what to go with....stand pat with what I've got and swing for the fences or pick 5 guys between $13 and $20 with a couple guys lower priced guys I feel good about. I feel like the second option will help me advance through this competition, but doesn't give me an advantage if I make the finals. To win this, you will have to average over 200 points a week during the finals. What to do, what to do?
I've had this internal debate (who hasn't?) swinging for fences here, can't see winning it without taking measured risks.
 
Ok, I think I'm done. I have changed my stud QB about a million times. WIll probably change again.

QB - 2 - $39

RB - 6 - $53

WR - 7 - $84

TE - 3 - $57

K - 3 - $9

DEF - 2 - $8

I can see this changing a ton by day's end, because that is a lot on TE and Newton at QB seems super risky to me.

 
I never put much thought into this thing. On first glance it seems going 2QB may not be that safe. Seems it is the consensus strategy though.

 
'Ignoratio Elenchi said:
I don't anticipate any major changes
Who was I kidding? Down to 23 players now after a slight change in perspective on some of my cheaper guys. Not sure if I like this version better than the previous one. I will likely go back and forth until the deadline.
 
I never put much thought into this thing. On first glance it seems going 2QB may not be that safe. Seems it is the consensus strategy though.
Surely 3 QBs is safer than 2 QBs, but safe isn't what wins the contest.
:goodposting: I believe there are generally 2 schools of thought in regards to this contest. One, is make a team that you think has the best shot at getting to the top 250, and hope that you have enough fire power to be in contention over the final three weeks. The other is build a team that has an increased chance of dominating over a 3 week stretch, but may be slightly less likely to make the top 250. Your hoping to make the top 250 with the assumption that if you do, you'll have an advantage. 3QB's, I think falls in the first category, 2 probably in the second. Of course there's some overlap.
 
I never put much thought into this thing. On first glance it seems going 2QB may not be that safe. Seems it is the consensus strategy though.
Surely 3 QBs is safer than 2 QBs, but safe isn't what wins the contest.
What's the harm in taking a stab with a tannyhill or something for cheap as 3rd QB? Odds are that gives you more points than that one off TE that gets a cheap TD somewhere.
 
I never put much thought into this thing. On first glance it seems going 2QB may not be that safe. Seems it is the consensus strategy though.
Surely 3 QBs is safer than 2 QBs, but safe isn't what wins the contest.
:goodposting: I believe there are generally 2 schools of thought in regards to this contest. One, is make a team that you think has the best shot at getting to the top 250, and hope that you have enough fire power to be in contention over the final three weeks. The other is build a team that has an increased chance of dominating over a 3 week stretch, but may be slightly less likely to make the top 250. Your hoping to make the top 250 with the assumption that if you do, you'll have an advantage. 3QB's, I think falls in the first category, 2 probably in the second. Of course there's some overlap.
It also depends on what exactly you mean by going from 2 QBs to 3 QBs. For example, are you replacing a $28 QB with two $14 QBs? Or are you keeping the $28 QB and adding a $14 QB? The latter strategy is obviously safer at the QB position (this is what I meant in my original reply), though overall there's a good chance that you're weakening your roster by pulling that extra $14 away from another position where it would be more useful. Who's more likely to bail you out during the season, that extra $14 QB or an extra $14 TE? Or two extra $7 WRs? The former strategy, though "safer" in the sense that you have two guys instead of one (and therefore are less susceptible to losing all that money at once to injury, etc.) introduces significant production risk - QB is the one position where you usually do get what you pay for, and two $14 guys likely won't replicate the stats of a single $28 guy, even in best-ball. I definitely belong to the school that believes in building the team with the best shot of surviving to the final 250, and then hoping for the best in the final three weeks. However, I'm also definitely a believer in 2 QBs instead of 3 - not simply because it's better for the final 250, but also because I actually think it's better for the regular season, too, once you consider the risks you assume by adding that third QB.
 
Is there any way to see the results from last year, or at least see my team from last year?
Here are the final 250 standings from last year. If you know your six-digit team ID from last year, you can find your team at http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2011/######.php (replace the # signs with your team ID).

If you had a team nickname last year and remember what it was, you can go to this page and do a CTRL-F to find it.

ETA: You should be able to find your team nickname here.

 
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I never put much thought into this thing. On first glance it seems going 2QB may not be that safe. Seems it is the consensus strategy though.
Surely 3 QBs is safer than 2 QBs, but safe isn't what wins the contest.
What's the harm in taking a stab with a tannyhill or something for cheap as 3rd QB? Odds are that gives you more points than that one off TE that gets a cheap TD somewhere.
I tend to disagree with the bolded, which is why I believe in 2 QBs. It's not simply about "more points," it's about "more likely to contribute to your starting lineup." For the season, Tannehill will probably score more points than some $4 TE, but (a) you can't flex a QB, and (b) I believe the more expensive QBs ahead of Tannehill on your roster are less likely to have a bad week than the more expensive TEs on your roster.
 
Is there any way to see the results from last year, or at least see my team from last year?
Here are the final 250 standings from last year. If you know your six-digit team ID from last year, you can find your team at http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2011/######.php (replace the # signs with your team ID).

If you had a team nickname last year and remember what it was, you can go to this page and do a CTRL-F to find it.
Awesome, thanks.
 
Is there any way to see the results from last year, or at least see my team from last year?
Here are the final 250 standings from last year. If you know your six-digit team ID from last year, you can find your team at http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2011/######.php (replace the # signs with your team ID).

If you had a team nickname last year and remember what it was, you can go to this page and do a CTRL-F to find it.
Awesome, thanks.
I edited my post above to indicate that you can probably find your team nickname here.
 
I never put much thought into this thing. On first glance it seems going 2QB may not be that safe. Seems it is the consensus strategy though.
Surely 3 QBs is safer than 2 QBs, but safe isn't what wins the contest.
:goodposting: I believe there are generally 2 schools of thought in regards to this contest. One, is make a team that you think has the best shot at getting to the top 250, and hope that you have enough fire power to be in contention over the final three weeks. The other is build a team that has an increased chance of dominating over a 3 week stretch, but may be slightly less likely to make the top 250. Your hoping to make the top 250 with the assumption that if you do, you'll have an advantage. 3QB's, I think falls in the first category, 2 probably in the second. Of course there's some overlap.
Here is a good example of a team built on the 2nd mindset you mention above. Barely makes the top 250, then explodes to finish 2nd overall. The strategy was obvious. Stayed healthy and it paid off. http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2011/103801.php
 
I never put much thought into this thing. On first glance it seems going 2QB may not be that safe. Seems it is the consensus strategy though.
Surely 3 QBs is safer than 2 QBs, but safe isn't what wins the contest.
:goodposting: I believe there are generally 2 schools of thought in regards to this contest. One, is make a team that you think has the best shot at getting to the top 250, and hope that you have enough fire power to be in contention over the final three weeks.

The other is build a team that has an increased chance of dominating over a 3 week stretch, but may be slightly less likely to make the top 250. Your hoping to make the top 250 with the assumption that if you do, you'll have an advantage.

3QB's, I think falls in the first category, 2 probably in the second. Of course there's some overlap.
Here is a good example of a team built on the 2nd mindset you mention above. Barely makes the top 250, then explodes to finish 2nd 1st overall. The strategy was obvious. Stayed healthy and it paid off. http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2011/103801.php
 
I never put much thought into this thing. On first glance it seems going 2QB may not be that safe. Seems it is the consensus strategy though.
Surely 3 QBs is safer than 2 QBs, but safe isn't what wins the contest.
:goodposting: I believe there are generally 2 schools of thought in regards to this contest. One, is make a team that you think has the best shot at getting to the top 250, and hope that you have enough fire power to be in contention over the final three weeks. The other is build a team that has an increased chance of dominating over a 3 week stretch, but may be slightly less likely to make the top 250. Your hoping to make the top 250 with the assumption that if you do, you'll have an advantage. 3QB's, I think falls in the first category, 2 probably in the second. Of course there's some overlap.
It also depends on what exactly you mean by going from 2 QBs to 3 QBs. For example, are you replacing a $28 QB with two $14 QBs? Or are you keeping the $28 QB and adding a $14 QB? The latter strategy is obviously safer at the QB position (this is what I meant in my original reply), though overall there's a good chance that you're weakening your roster by pulling that extra $14 away from another position where it would be more useful. Who's more likely to bail you out during the season, that extra $14 QB or an extra $14 TE? Or two extra $7 WRs? The former strategy, though "safer" in the sense that you have two guys instead of one (and therefore are less susceptible to losing all that money at once to injury, etc.) introduces significant production risk - QB is the one position where you usually do get what you pay for, and two $14 guys likely won't replicate the stats of a single $28 guy, even in best-ball. I definitely belong to the school that believes in building the team with the best shot of surviving to the final 250, and then hoping for the best in the final three weeks. However, I'm also definitely a believer in 2 QBs instead of 3 - not simply because it's better for the final 250, but also because I actually think it's better for the regular season, too, once you consider the risks you assume by adding that third QB.
I agree. QB is an odd position because as you say, you usually get what you pay for. For a team that has one of Rodgers/Brees/Brady, adding even a $4 Tannehill as a 3rd qb, is probably going to be a waste of $4. He'll probably never count for you, and if he does count more than a handful of times, your team is probably in some hot water. On the other hand, a team with Bradford and Sanchez as their 2 QB's, probably will see some benefit from taking a $4 Tannehill. I'm probably in the camp of hope to make it to the top 250 with a "stud" lineup. What I really meant to say was that most (if not all) of the people in this camp will have 2 QB's (some only 1). While those in the get to the top 250 then hope for the best camp, will also probably tend to have 2 QB's (bc I think most agree it's the ideal strategy) but most (if not all) of the people with 3 QB's will be in this camp.
 
I never put much thought into this thing. On first glance it seems going 2QB may not be that safe. Seems it is the consensus strategy though.
Surely 3 QBs is safer than 2 QBs, but safe isn't what wins the contest.
:goodposting: I believe there are generally 2 schools of thought in regards to this contest. One, is make a team that you think has the best shot at getting to the top 250, and hope that you have enough fire power to be in contention over the final three weeks. The other is build a team that has an increased chance of dominating over a 3 week stretch, but may be slightly less likely to make the top 250. Your hoping to make the top 250 with the assumption that if you do, you'll have an advantage. 3QB's, I think falls in the first category, 2 probably in the second. Of course there's some overlap.
Here is a good example of a team built on the 2nd mindset you mention above. Barely makes the top 250, then explodes to finish 2nd overall. The strategy was obvious. Stayed healthy and it paid off. http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2011/103801.php
Yup. I'm probably in this mindset, but really in the end I don't think either strategy makes much difference in your chances of winning the whole thing. What you gain by having a larger roster I think you lose most of it by having a relatively "weaker" lineup compared to the "stud" teams that make it to the top 250. And what you gain by having a relatively "stronger" lineup for the top 250, you lose because you're less likely to get there. As a caveat, when I talk about strength I'm really referring to this moment, when you're selecting your team. Over the course of the season, a large "weaker" roster could certainly turn into a large "star-studded" roster, and vice versa.
 
Is it just me or do you have to take one of Graham and Gronk if you think they will come close to last year's numbers. I'm trying to convince myself not to take one of them but no luck yet. Doesn't look like the production can be made up anywhere else.

 
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I never put much thought into this thing. On first glance it seems going 2QB may not be that safe. Seems it is the consensus strategy though.
Surely 3 QBs is safer than 2 QBs, but safe isn't what wins the contest.
:goodposting: I believe there are generally 2 schools of thought in regards to this contest. One, is make a team that you think has the best shot at getting to the top 250, and hope that you have enough fire power to be in contention over the final three weeks. The other is build a team that has an increased chance of dominating over a 3 week stretch, but may be slightly less likely to make the top 250. Your hoping to make the top 250 with the assumption that if you do, you'll have an advantage. 3QB's, I think falls in the first category, 2 probably in the second. Of course there's some overlap.
Here is a good example of a team built on the 2nd mindset you mention above. Barely makes the top 250, then explodes to finish 2nd overall. The strategy was obvious. Stayed healthy and it paid off. http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2011/103801.php
Yup. I'm probably in this mindset, but really in the end I don't think either strategy makes much difference in your chances of winning the whole thing. What you gain by having a larger roster I think you lose most of it by having a relatively "weaker" lineup compared to the "stud" teams that make it to the top 250. And what you gain by having a relatively "stronger" lineup for the top 250, you lose because you're less likely to get there. As a caveat, when I talk about strength I'm really referring to this moment, when you're selecting your team. Over the course of the season, a large "weaker" roster could certainly turn into a large "star-studded" roster, and vice versa.
My personal theory that just like in normal FF leagues, getting to the playoffs is more skill oriented and winning in the playoffs is more luck oriented. So I lean toward the bigger rosters to try to make it to the final 250. Then I pray.
 

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