This is going to be a difficult series for the Cards to pull out. It's almost a situation where homefield might play against them combined with having to use Wainwright for a game 5. Greinke and Kershaw can absolutely win both games here in St. Louis. The advantage of playing at home is negated by those 2. Falling behind 0-2 is a very real possibility. Then, while the pitching matchups for games 3 and 4 will favor St. Louis, it will be on the road, once again, negating that advantage. Throw in Kershaw at home in Game 5 and Greinke back in StL in game 6 if it gets there, there's a very good chance Wainwright pitches only one game this entire series.
Keys to Cards making it through:
1) Quite obvious, but they must win at least one of the first 2 games at home. If they fall behind 0-2, I think it's over. Game 5 is a lock for LA, IMO, much like Game 3 vs. Liriano at home was.
2) If they can make it out of StL at 1-1 and Wainwright can get the win in Game 3, then Game 4 becomes the key game of the series for so many reasons. In this scenario, winning this game would give them a 3-1 edge. Of course, this is also the game that we'll have to see who takes the mound: Shelby or Lynn (assuming it's Kelly and Wacha at home for the first 2). If LA can take that game and make it 2-2, then once again, the series may be decided before Wainwright can pitch again.
3) Again, pretty obvious, Wainwright must win game 3 no matter what happens. A loss in Game 3 spells disaster in pretty much any scenario save the Cards actually winning the first 2. Even then, it's dicey.
My prediction:
1) Game 1 to LA
2) Game 2 to StL
3) Game 3 to StL
4) Game 4 to LA in a close one
5) Game 5 to LA
6) ..........
I have a feeling this is going to be an absolutely classic, epic, never to be forgotten series.