***Official 2020 Election General*** (3 Viewers)

[beef]

The Maine results always are hard for me to figure.  The Senate race has so many fewer votes than the President.  

Was just looking at those.  % reporting not close.  HTF can you report Prez at 40+ but senate only 29?  

 

[Studs & Duds]

is anybody watching teh elections

 

[lazyike]

Curious why not all news reporting the same % vote tallied I see some in the low 60% range in Mn but AP has 71%?

https://www.google.com/search?q=minnesota+election+2020&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-us&client=safari

 

[BobbyLayne]

Texas (38) called for Trump 

another Battleground

210-204

 

[shader]

All coming down to Detroit and Philly

 

[Shula-holic]

So that means Biden with the house holding right?

I think R's held more state delegations coming into tonight.  Each state just gets 1 vote.  Two states had equal splits, PA was one, I forget the other.

 

[Biff84]

AP says Biden with an 8% lead with 74% of precincts reporting in AZ. I guess it depends on where the outstanding votes are. Anyone know if Maricopa County (Phoenix metro) is finished counting yet?

They dropped all the mail in votes and a good chunk of the rest 2 hours ago and nothing since. I believe Maricopa is 75% in.

 

[dickey moe]

is anybody watching teh elections

OH HELL YES

 

[Zow]

I wouldn't.

Because you don't think they've received an education? I'm super confused. 

 

[Shula-holic]

They dropped all the mail in votes and a good chunk of the rest 2 hours ago and nothing since. I believe Maricopa is 75% in.

Supposedly some of the rural precincts still had lines so they may be holding for that.

 

[jm192]

So that means Biden with the house holding right?

Each state gets 1 vote.  I assume Trump has a slight state edge.

 

[fatguyinalittlecoat]

The Maine results always are hard for me to figure.  The Senate race has so many fewer votes than the President.  

Does this have to do with ranked choice voting?

 

[[scooter]]

269-269 tie goes into the House of Representatives if there are no faithless electors.

Donovan McNabb, is that you? JK, Jux. I only know because I was once a dork.

So that means Biden with the house holding right?

If it goes to the House, then each state gets just 1 vote, which would be determined by whichever party has the most reps in that state.

Right now, Republicans have the majority of Reps in 26 states, with Democrats having 23 states. And Pennsylvania, of course, is tied.

If the Dems can "flip" 2 states in today's elections, then they would control a House vote for President. But if they can only flip 1.5 states, or if multiple states end up with an equal number of R/D Representatives, then the House vote could end up in a stalemate.

 

[Redwes25]

According ABC no mail in votes have been counted in Wisconsin. It is going to be very tight. 

 

[Doug B]

Uneducated voters broke heavily for Trump. That is not a debatable point, really. A faithless elector casting a vote for Biden would be the exact check on popular democracy the Founders foresaw.

Such a different world that the Founders envisioned. I mean, for them only landowners could vote.

 

[Don't Toews Me]

AP says Biden with an 8% lead with 74% of precincts reporting in AZ. I guess it depends on where the outstanding votes are. Anyone know if Maricopa County (Phoenix metro) is finished counting yet?

Saw this on twitter: 

54,000 Election Day votes reporting in AZ. Trump winning 61% of them. Remember, if there are as many outstanding as I think there are, that's the level he needs to have a shot.

Just did some math. If 77% of AZ RV voted, there are roughly 850,000 votes outstanding. If Trump wins then 61-38, he gains 195,500 votes on Biden. Biden's lead right now: 196,600.

https://twitter.com/henryolsenEPPC/status/1323853711504863233

https://twitter.com/henryolsenEPPC/status/1323852770831560704

 

[Pitchfork]

Georgia now leaning Biden

 

[rockaction]

I like you, Rock, but this is gross. 

I mean it when I say that having a college degree doesn't necessarily make one educated. Conversely, not having a degree doesn't make one ignorant to the point that their vote shouldn't count.

Thanks, Andy. There's nothing gross about facts. It's been almost historic, the education gap between Clinton/Biden and Trump voters.

I never said their vote shouldn't count.

Are you debating the check on popular democracy that the electoral college is?

Because that's exactly what it was intended for.

 

[Mr Anonymous]

All coming down to Detroit and Philly

Curious whose bracket you're putting WI in. I haven't seen anything contrary to the notion that it's still a winner takes 2 of 3 out of WI, MI, PA

 

[Shula-holic]

Georgia just flipped to Biden on the NYT needles.

 

[Don't Toews Me]

is anybody watching teh elections

Wait, what election?

 

[Andy Dufresne]

Because you don't think they've received an education? I'm super confused. 

Not a discussion to clog this thread with.

 

[NutterButter]

Holy cow.   Georgia just went tilting Biden on the NYTimes forecasting.   Watch it. 

 

[dkp993]

Michigan seems like a dream to me now. 

Tim I love ya bro but please don’t ever make a prediction again.  The moment you suggested Biden in a walk I knew we were in serious trouble.  

 

[BobbyLayne]

update for the 9 states called  

so far, just safe and likely states called + Florida + Ohio + NE district 2 + Texas

all 3 Battleground states have gone for Trump

no state has flipped from pre-election polling

AFTER MIDNIGHT RECAP

BIDEN - 210

CA (55) - CALLED
CO (9)
CT (7) 
DC (3)
DE (3)
IL (20)
MA (11)
MD (10)
ME (1) - DISTRICT 1 CALLED (expected - district 2 is toss up)
NH (4)
NJ (14) 
NM (5) - CALLED 
NY (29)
OR (7) - CALLED
RI (4) - CALLED
VA (13)
VT (3)
WA (12) - CALLED

TRUMP - 204 *(not 145, sorry for missing the total on the update)

AL -  9
AR - 6
FL - 29
ID - 4 - CALLED
IN - 11
KS - 6 
KY - 8
LA - 8 
MO - 10
MS - 6 
ND - 3
NE - 5 
OH - 18 - CALLED
OK - 7
SC - 9 
SD - 3
TN - 11
TX - 38 - CALLED
UT - 6 
WV - 5
WY - 3

THREE BATTLEGROUND STATE CALLED SO FAR:

FL (29)
OH (18)
TX (38)
+ NE District 2 (1)

all for President Trump

NO STATE HAS FLIPPED FROM PRE-ELECTION POLLING

 

[Dr_Zaius]

Michigan seems like a dream to me now. 

It took me four days to hitchhike from Saginaw!

 

[sho nuff]

According ABC no mail in votes have been counted in Wisconsin. It is going to be very tight. 

Did they say even no early vote...not just mail in?  Do they have early outside of mail in?

 

[shader]

Georgia now leaning Biden

That would pretty  much end the race.  I don't believe it though.

 

[timschochet]

Did Trump’s message of open up the economy/law and order work after all? 

 

[rockaction]

Tim I love ya bro but please don’t ever make a prediction again.  The moment you suggested Biden in a walk I knew we were in serious trouble.  

It's a Simon and Garfunkel quote.

 

[skol asylum]

Idaho called for Trump. Game over.

 

[bagger]

Holy cow.   Georgia just went tilting Biden on the NYTimes forecasting.   Watch it. 

James Carville was seemingly extremely confident about Georgia according to his discussion with quants.

 

[Biff84]

Whoa Georgia still in play.

 

[Zow]

Not a discussion to clog this thread with.

Plus I think we're arguing semantics. 

 

[FreeBaGeL]

What happened in GA?  NYT needles just flipped from 85% Trump to 63% Biden lean.

 

[Zow]

Idaho called for Trump. Game over.

?

 

[HellToupee]

Tim I love ya bro but please don’t ever make a prediction again.  The moment you suggested Biden in a walk I knew we were in serious trouble.  

Eddie Mush

 

[Lehigh98]

Georgia now leaning Biden

GTFOH

 

[Andy Dufresne]

?

Sarcasm

 

[beef]

A tie should go to the runner.  Put these old dudes on a track. 

 

[wazoo11]

BREAKING: The NYT gives "Biden" a 63% Chance of winning Georgia

 

[skol asylum]

Georgia just flipped to Biden on the NYT needles.

What? I gotta find these NYT numbers. Been weird all night.

 

[Zow]

What happened in GA?  NYT needles just flipped from 85% Trump to 63% Biden lean.

I'm assuming a number of the votes from the Atlanta area came in. 

 

[PennStater77]

NYT just leaned Georgia to Biden 

 

[BobbyLayne]

Come on guys, it’s 2020, there’s only one way this ends:

269-269

 

[HellToupee]

https://twitter.com/thechrisbuskirk/status/1323849523156799488?s=21
 

Further update on AZ: Fox decision desk folks said earlier they are combining their exit polls with actual results to make their calls. 

This is patently absurd. The only thing that counts is the ballots not their polls. This a means of manipulating the outcome of this election.

 

[timschochet]

If Trump pulls this off he may be the first President in American history to be impeached twice. 

 

[rickroll]

What just happened in the Peach State?

 

[bagger]

What just happened in the Peach State?

Lots of votes coming in slow from A Town.

 

[Shula-holic]

Does this have to do with ranked choice voting?

I suspect so.  I don't know enough of how they tabulate votes to get a good handle on that.