Angels the right side AGAIN tonight versus the Yanks. These lines are so off because the big money Yanks are so overvalued. Lackey and Pettite are about even to me - gun to my head I take Lackey. Angels at home are unreal, Yanks on the road aren't above .500. Bullpens aren't all that close, Angels in a landslide. Hitting I side with NYY obviously, but the Angels aren't too far behind.
To sum it up - best home team vs mediocre road team and I'm getting the home dog? Kidding right?
Even if I lose on the Angels, I'll be so far ahead thanks to this series. Reminds me of the Yanks/Detroit playoff series last year. Bonderman +130 at home in game 4 vs Jaret Wright. You nuts?
Well of course, value-wise, that's not really news -- all of it practically a given with the Yankees every night. But they do win some games (more than any other team since the break). And since I've got them at even money, I don't pay the price on a loss. Not sure I'd call the pitching matchup even, not right now anyway. Pettitte is a monster late season pitcher who's proving it again, giving up 7 earned runs for the entire month, in 28 innings. Meanwhile, and I watch him a lot, Lackey has just not been sharp, giving up 30 hits in his last 18.2 innings (3 starts) with an ERA of 5.3. Those aren't Lackey numbers. As you said, the bats of course are with NY (hit Righties even better, if it matters). And it doesn't hurt that they got embarrassed last night to boot. Look, I love to fade the Yankees as much as anyone. HATE that team, and love value. But this is one of those rare instances where I'm not giving up a penny to back them in a good situation.
Good luck.