Hull came pretty close to relegation to the Conference in the late 90s. It's been a pretty remarkable turnaround for a club that historically played second fiddle to the local rugby league team.
But Stoke, Newcastle and Swansea have all struggled in the Premiership while mounting Europa League campaigns in the past three seasons. The financial penalty of relegation is much greater than the glory of magical Thursday nights hosting FC Thun.
I get that but it's a little hard to get excited about a collection of "We Are Staying Up Banners" - I'd rather they swing for the fences and I'm glad they did. Of course it's all academic now.
I realize there's the wolf of relegation to deal with but in an given year what's the best odds they'll have of staying up? 80% maybe. So for a year to play in Europe and have some fun we'll probably never have again I'd deal with those odds dropping down to say 60%. 5 years from now I'd be amazed (and thrilled) if they're still up.
Basically there's two leagues. The 7 teams that are essentially permanent. (Man City now being part of their number and Villa has dropped out of this group). Any of Man City, Arsensal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Tottenham, Everton, and even Man U dropping out in the next 20 years is pretty much unfathomable. Circumstances can change (such as Man City getting a zillionaire) but that sort of change is glacial at this rareified air.
The tenure of the other 13 will almost be in varying degrees of doubt - a stroke of lightning (or more realistically a comically rich dude) is the only path to the secure group above.
The tenure of the other 13:
Villa: 27th year (but teetering now)
Sunderland: 8th year
Stoke: 7th year
Newcastle and West Brom: 5th year
Swansea: 4th year
Southampton and West Ham: 3rd year
Hull City and Crystal Palace: 2nd year
Burnley, Leicester City, QPR: 1st year
So again I'm glad tried to get while the getting's good
-QG