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Official Subscriber Contest (1 Viewer)

Guys I Have Used Every Week

Ryan Grant

Nate Burleson

Guys I Have Yet to Use

Ahmad Bradshaw

Sammy Morris

James Davis

Bobby Engram

Kenny Britt

Both Britt and Bradshaw are putting up decent enough numbers to help during bye weeks, so I'm not disappointed to have them, but Morris, Davis, and Engram are wasted money at this point. I am however loving the fact that I only have relied on 2 players each week. Speaks to the depth of the team. I could find far more useful ways to reallocate the wasted $9 between the three duds.

 
killface said:
through again this week and just came to the conclusion that no one has the exact same team as me...
Used every week....Chad Ochocinco $27 14.70 19.10 10.40 Vincent Jackson $21 16.60 26.10 17.00 19% of capNever used:Isaac Bruce $5 10.60 7.50 5.80 Andre Davis $2 4.40 0.00 0.00 Jay Feely $1 6.00 12.00 7.00St. Louis Rams $1 6.00 3.00 2.00 3.6% of cap
 
Doug Drinen said:
Code:
+-------------+--------+-------+-----------+ | roster_size | number | alive | pct_alive | +-------------+--------+-------+-----------+ |		  20 |   5181 |  2896 |	0.5590 | |		  21 |   2032 |  1234 |	0.6073 | |		  22 |   1445 |   984 |	0.6810 | |		  23 |   1291 |   899 |	0.6964 | |		  24 |   3328 |  2507 |	0.7533 | |	   TOTAL |  13277 |  8520 |	0.6417 | +-------------+--------+-------+-----------+
:lmao:
 
wdcrob said:
Doug Drinen said:
Simulator accuracy report for week 3 (I'm pretty proud of the simulator):

Code:
surv	 #	 #prob   teams  surv	 pct--------------------------90--99  3880  3657	94.380--89  3739  3202	85.670--79  1522  1142	75.060--69   562   356	63.3
That's pretty impressive.
I would be impressed, too, I'm sure, if I knew what any of this meant. But it sure looks good!
 
Still alive.

Guys I have used every week: Ryan Grant, Owen Daniels.

Guys I have yet to use: Kevin Faulk, Deon Butler, Jermichael Finley, Robbie Gould, Oakland Raiders

 
LHUCKS said:
Team LHUCKS is only getting stronger...don't hate me because you didn't draft the sick RB depth that I have. :lmao:
Fortunately for me and Tashard Choice ... The Dallas Morning News reports that Cowboys RB Felix Jones will have an MRI on his knee Monday after straining it in the third quarter Week 3 vs. Carolina, but ESPN reports that Jones is expected to miss three weeks (two games) with the injury. Jones rushed for 94 yards on eight carries and caught one pass for 20 yards in the game. (sorry ... couldn't resist!)
 
wdcrob said:
Doug Drinen said:
Simulator accuracy report for week 3 (I'm pretty proud of the simulator):

Code:
surv	 #	 #prob   teams  surv	 pct--------------------------90--99  3880  3657	94.380--89  3739  3202	85.670--79  1522  1142	75.060--69   562   356	63.3
That's pretty impressive.
I would be impressed, too, I'm sure, if I knew what any of this meant. But it sure looks good!
It means that his projections matched the actual results pretty well. For teams he projected had a 90% or more chance of survival, 94.3% survived....For teams he projected had an 80-89% chance of survival, 85.6% survived...etc.....so if his projections say you have a 95% chance of survival this week, you should feel pretty good.
 
LHUCKS said:
Team LHUCKS is only getting stronger...don't hate me because you didn't draft the sick RB depth that I have. :confused:
Fortunately for me and Tashard Choice ... The Dallas Morning News reports that Cowboys RB Felix Jones will have an MRI on his knee Monday after straining it in the third quarter Week 3 vs. Carolina, but ESPN reports that Jones is expected to miss three weeks (two games) with the injury. Jones rushed for 94 yards on eight carries and caught one pass for 20 yards in the game. (sorry ... couldn't resist!)
Music to my ears...I've got depth to spare at the position...hopefully a large percentage of the Felix owners get booted so my unique score increases.
 
Music to my ears...I've got depth to spare at the position...hopefully a large percentage of the Felix owners get booted so my unique score increases.
I may be one of them. LT down, Felix down, Grant on bye next week and only Wells and Charles left in the stable...
 
101588 wk1 168.25 wk2 180.45 wk3 178.40

every wk

r. grant

burleson

2 wks used

schaub

ray rice

felix jones

boldin

desean jackson

owen daniels

prater

GB def

not used

mcnabb

leon washington

chris brown

chris henry

chaz schilens

shaun suisham

concerned about this week ,

losing boldin and desean jax to bye

leaving me only

chris henry, burleson, crayton, schilens, meachem

chris henry is playing CLE and

schilens should return (hopefully jamarcus can find some accuracy)

 
LHUCKS said:
Team LHUCKS is only getting stronger...don't hate me because you didn't draft the sick RB depth that I have. :unsure:
Fortunately for me and Tashard Choice ... The Dallas Morning News reports that Cowboys RB Felix Jones will have an MRI on his knee Monday after straining it in the third quarter Week 3 vs. Carolina, but ESPN reports that Jones is expected to miss three weeks (two games) with the injury. Jones rushed for 94 yards on eight carries and caught one pass for 20 yards in the game. (sorry ... couldn't resist!)
Music to my ears...I've got depth to spare at the position...hopefully a large percentage of the Felix owners get booted so my unique score increases.
I hear ya. Definitely an interesting strategy ... will be fun watching it play out. Really needed one of my obscure backs to step up for Week 4, and it looks like Choice will be the one. I like RB depth too:DeAngelo WilliamsRyan GrantLeon Washington (coulda been Felix)Jamaal CharlesLadell BettsTashard ChoiceJames DavisEdgerrin James
 
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LHUCKS said:
Team LHUCKS is only getting stronger...don't hate me because you didn't draft the sick RB depth that I have. :unsure:
LOL, good luck with your lack of depth at QB. One healthy starter.
Most overrated and overpaid for position in this contest...and it's not close.
You won't be saying that if Hassleback is not healthy in week 8, Palmer's bye week. Your flyers at RB are looking good, but QB's have a tenancy to miss a few games, and trying to ride with 2 is pretty risky IMHO.
 
killface said:
through again this week and just came to the conclusion that no one has the exact same team as me...
Used every week....Chad Ochocinco $27 14.70 19.10 10.40

Vincent Jackson $21 16.60 26.10 17.00

19% of cap

Never used:

Isaac Bruce $5 10.60 7.50 5.80

Andre Davis $2 4.40 0.00 0.00

Jay Feely $1 6.00 12.00 7.00

St. Louis Rams $1 6.00 3.00 2.00

3.6% of cap
You took the Rams Defense. REALLY :confused: The cost for that pick should be add $1 back to the pool.
 
killface said:
through again this week and just came to the conclusion that no one has the exact same team as me...
Used every week....Chad Ochocinco $27 14.70 19.10 10.40

Vincent Jackson $21 16.60 26.10 17.00

19% of cap

Never used:

Isaac Bruce $5 10.60 7.50 5.80

Andre Davis $2 4.40 0.00 0.00

Jay Feely $1 6.00 12.00 7.00

St. Louis Rams $1 6.00 3.00 2.00

3.6% of cap
You took the Rams Defense. REALLY :rolleyes: The cost for that pick should be add $1 back to the pool.
They're going to have a ton of chances plays and should get kicked off to a ton this year... :P
 
killface said:
through again this week and just came to the conclusion that no one has the exact same team as me...
Used every week....Chad Ochocinco $27 14.70 19.10 10.40

Vincent Jackson $21 16.60 26.10 17.00

19% of cap

Never used:

Isaac Bruce $5 10.60 7.50 5.80

Andre Davis $2 4.40 0.00 0.00

Jay Feely $1 6.00 12.00 7.00

St. Louis Rams $1 6.00 3.00 2.00

3.6% of cap
You took the Rams Defense. REALLY :lmao: The cost for that pick should be add $1 back to the pool.
They're going to have a ton of chances plays and should get kicked off to a ton this year... :lmao:
I used the same thought process in choosing the Browns defense and in Week 1 they had a special teams TD.
 
Here are the survival rates for the optimal number of players at each position:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12QB 43.56% 62.42% 69.60% 65.54% 44.26%RB 59.18% 64.32% 67.08% 66.67% 65.80% 58.67%WR 50.51% 58.15% 66.04% 68.47% 67.99% 69.65% 61.94% 35.67%TE 63.54% 71.60% 65.00% 56.25%K 49.14% 65.84% 67.92% 59.44%D 47.15% 65.51% 67.97% 60.71%It looks like, so far, it's,3 QB

6 RB

7-9 WR

3 TE

3 PK

3 DF

 
Here are the survival rates for the optimal number of players at each position:

Code:
1	   2	   3	   4	   5	   6	   7	   8	   9	   10	  11	  12QB		43.56%  62.42%  69.60%  65.54%  44.26%RB								59.18%  64.32%  67.08%  66.67%  65.80%  58.67%WR								50.51%  58.15%  66.04%  68.47%  67.99%  69.65%  61.94%  35.67%TE				63.54%  71.60%  65.00%  56.25%K		 49.14%  65.84%  67.92%  59.44%D		 47.15%  65.51%  67.97%  60.71%
It looks like, so far, it's,3 QB6 RB7-9 WR3 TE3 PK3 DF
Starting to wish I had that 6th running back...
 
Here are the survival rates for the optimal number of players at each position:

Code:
1	   2	   3	   4	   5	   6	   7	   8	   9	   10	  11	  12QB		43.56%  62.42%  69.60%  65.54%  44.26%RB								59.18%  64.32%  67.08%  66.67%  65.80%  58.67%WR								50.51%  58.15%  66.04%  68.47%  67.99%  69.65%  61.94%  35.67%TE				63.54%  71.60%  65.00%  56.25%K		 49.14%  65.84%  67.92%  59.44%D		 47.15%  65.51%  67.97%  60.71%
It looks like, so far, it's,3 QB6 RB7-9 WR3 TE3 PK3 DF
Starting to wish I had that 6th running back...
I just wish I had a different 6.
 
Players that have been used every week for team 100786

Colston, Harvin, Celek, Prater, Green Bay, total $45 or 18% of budget

Players not used yet any week

S Hill, B Scott, J Davis, E Royal, C Henry, C Scheilens, J Finely, Gould, New England, Houston, Total $68 or 27% of budget

Really wanted D Jackson instead of Royal, but I didn't choose him because he didn't fit into my bye week avoidance plan. But it wouldn't have mattered since Royal has avoided my starting line up every week instead, what a wasted pick so far. But my teams score is been good each week at 150, 198, and 163. I will just need a couple of my no show picks to at least show up during my bye week run. But I constructed the team so I don't have multiple key players off at the same time and not too many picks overall in any given week. So I got that going for me!

 
Cost Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 QB Matt Schaub 20 7.9 42.25 32.5 QB David Garrard 18 7.5 27.8 19.6 QB Byron Leftwich 4 20.1 30.8 0.4 RB Kevin Smith 30 16.7 10.3 13.4 RB Ryan Grant 24 13.2 14.3 10.9 RB Leon Washington 12 10.4 8.6 5.7 RB LeSean McCoy 7 5.2 7.5 15.8 RB James Davis 2 2.4 0 1.6 WR Marques Colston 28 12 29.8 10.7 WR Chad Ochocinco 27 14.7 19.1 10.4 WR Derrick Mason 9 8.7 6.1 22.8 WR Nate Burleson 5 20.4 8.6 20.1 WR Joey Galloway 5 0 10.3 3.4 WR Percy Harvin 5 14.8 16.5 8.3 WR Hakeem Nicks 4 3.8 0 0 TE Jason Witten 27 14.6 16.8 21.2 TE Brent Celek 7 18.7 22.4 28.4 TE Martellus Bennett 4 2.8 2.6 1.8 PK Robbie Gould 2 9 7 6 PK Jeff Reed 2 9 2 8 PK Jay Feely 1 6 12 7 TD Arizona Cardinals 3 6 16 2 TD Green Bay Packers 3 10 12 7 TD Oakland Raiders 1 7 6 2 TOTAL 250 152.2 199.45 179.9 CUTOFF 120.88 130.04 126.34Used every week RB Kevin Smith

TE Jason Witten

TE Brent Celek

Never used (so far)

QB David Garrard

RB Leon Washington

RB James Davis

WR Joey Galloway

WR Hakeem Nicks

TE Martellus Bennett (to be fair, this was a handcuff in case high priced Witten went down and because no other TE would fit in with this roster)

TD Oakland Raiders

Flex has come from the TE each week.

So far, knock on wood, only hurt by one minor injury and one benching. I am hoping the benching does for Leftwich what the benching did for McNabb last season.

Only team with these 5 key players combined: Smith, Grant, Colston, Ochocinco, & Witten.

 
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Used every week:

McFadden

Ochocinco

Cotchery

Celek (once as my flex)

Janikowski

Not used:

Leinart

Beanie Wells

Chris Henry

Clowney

Phil Dawson

My team has been extremely consistent the first 3 weeks.

My one regret is not adding a 3rd kicker as I just threw Clowney in to get to my 20th player.

 
Here are the survival rates for the optimal number of players at each position:

Code:
1	   2	   3	   4	   5	   6	   7	   8	   9	   10	  11	  12QB		43.56%  62.42%  69.60%  65.54%  44.26%RB								59.18%  64.32%  67.08%  66.67%  65.80%  58.67%WR								50.51%  58.15%  66.04%  68.47%  67.99%  69.65%  61.94%  35.67%TE				63.54%  71.60%  65.00%  56.25%K		 49.14%  65.84%  67.92%  59.44%D		 47.15%  65.51%  67.97%  60.71%
It looks like, so far, it's,3 QB6 RB7-9 WR3 TE3 PK3 DF
Good info, but that means the optimal roster would have 25-27 players. With the 24 limit, it looks like you'd have to sacrifice 2-2.5% to go with 2 PK's, 2 D's, or 6 WR's.Given the rules, the best roster makeup for survival so far would have 24 players as follows:3 QB6 RB6-7 WR3 TE2-3 PK2-3 DFOf course, the players you choose at each position will prove to be much more important, but this looks like a good framework for optimal survival rate thus far.
 
Here are the survival rates for the optimal number of players at each position:

Code:
1	   2	   3	   4	   5	   6	   7	   8	   9	   10	  11	  12QB		43.56%  62.42%  69.60%  65.54%  44.26%RB								59.18%  64.32%  67.08%  66.67%  65.80%  58.67%WR								50.51%  58.15%  66.04%  68.47%  67.99%  69.65%  61.94%  35.67%TE				63.54%  71.60%  65.00%  56.25%K		 49.14%  65.84%  67.92%  59.44%D		 47.15%  65.51%  67.97%  60.71%
It looks like, so far, it's,3 QB6 RB7-9 WR3 TE3 PK3 DF
Interesting - add that up (counting 8 for WR) and you have 26 roster slots filled. And you could easily argue that for RBs it's 6-7 since those %'s are basically equal. There's really no position so far that it's paid to go for fewer slots. I am surprised that 4 QBs is paying off better than 2 so far. At some point - it seems like going with fewer at a particular position will have to start winning (since it allows for more at other positions). I hate to sound like a broken record - but so far it seems that just having more guys is more important than exactly where you put them (and I actually find this slightly surprising). Obviously there's an upper limit at each position - but it's pretty high - e.g. 5 QBs, 10 WRs, 4 D's before you have a real drop-off.
 
Here are the survival rates for the optimal number of players at each position:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 QB 43.56% 62.42% 69.60% 65.54% 44.26% RB 59.18% 64.32% 67.08% 66.67% 65.80% 58.67% WR 50.51% 58.15% 66.04% 68.47% 67.99% 69.65% 61.94% 35.67% TE 63.54% 71.60% 65.00% 56.25% K 49.14% 65.84% 67.92% 59.44% D 47.15% 65.51% 67.97% 60.71%It looks like, so far, it's,3 QB

6 RB

7-9 WR

3 TE

3 PK

3 DF
Good info, but that means the optimal roster would have 25-27 players. With the 24 limit, it looks like you'd have to sacrifice 2-2.5% to go with 2 PK's, 2 D's, or 6 WR's.Given the rules, the best roster makeup for survival so far would have 24 players as follows:

3 QB

6 RB

6-7 WR

3 TE

2-3 PK

2-3 DF

Of course, the players you choose at each position will prove to be much more important, but this looks like a good framework for optimal survival rate thus far.
Yeah, I saw that. I'm guessing as we enter the BYE weeks, we'll see the K and D move more towards 2. I think the extra spots will be more valuable for RB and WR rather than K and D. Last year, the optimal was 3 QB, 6 RB, 7 WR, 2 TE, 2 K, 2 D, but we didn't run it until the overall survival rate was 39% (after week 6 or 7, well into the bye weeks).Here was the first run last year.

 
Looking at the top team of the week...how come the points for Vernon Davis and Brent Celek count towards the total?

I thought only 1 TE was eligible per week.

Is there a flex?

 
Interesting - add that up (counting 8 for WR) and you have 26 roster slots filled. And you could easily argue that for RBs it's 6-7 since those %'s are basically equal. There's really no position so far that it's paid to go for fewer slots. I am surprised that 4 QBs is paying off better than 2 so far. At some point - it seems like going with fewer at a particular position will have to start winning (since it allows for more at other positions). I hate to sound like a broken record - but so far it seems that just having more guys is more important than exactly where you put them (and I actually find this slightly surprising). Obviously there's an upper limit at each position - but it's pretty high - e.g. 5 QBs, 10 WRs, 4 D's before you have a real drop-off.
It appears the optimal number of spots is above 24. But it does not go as high as you stat, because of the $$ tradeoff you have to make. If you just spent $20 for Schaub, money spent on 4 other QB's would have been wasted.
 
I've made it to week 4, but with my RB core, losing Felix is gonna hurt...

Leon, Felix, Edge, Scott, J.Davis, M.Bush, C.Brown, Maroney :X

 
LHUCKS said:
Team LHUCKS is only getting stronger...don't hate me because you didn't draft the sick RB depth that I have. :popcorn:
LOL, good luck with your lack of depth at QB. One healthy starter.
Most overrated and overpaid for position in this contest...and it's not close.
What convinces you that QB is overrated / overpaid when marginal starters like Brady Quinn and Jamarcus Russell still cost $9 and $12 respectively instead of $2 or $4? Just because a person thinks they are hitting on a huge bargain with some QBs before week 1 (in the $9-$19 range), it doesn't mean that they are.
 
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Looking at the top team of the week...how come the points for Vernon Davis and Brent Celek count towards the total?I thought only 1 TE was eligible per week.Is there a flex?
Sorry SouthJersey, I'm not trying to pick on you, but it was the most recent example in the thread.I am flat out amazed at how many people do not understand the scoring system/rosters/etc. From the TE-flex question to the return TD being scored, to the roster flexibility... it seems like there are just more people than I could have imagined not having a full grasp on the rules. I wonder how many people don't know there is a difference in scoring for receptions by position.
 
I'm pretty sure my entry will make it far in this contest, however my team isn't that unique. I'm gambling that roster composition trumps uniqueness, even in the finals.

Here's my Entry, with number of weeks used in parenthesis and color coded forEvery Week and No Week

(1) Aaron Rodgers $27

(2) Matt Ryan $19

So far taking two decent QBs has paid off. Bet the farm on missing an injury bug. Went back and forth on Sanchez as third QB, but instead decided on taking James Davis and some extra $ to upgrade to Boldin.

(1) Brandon Jacobs $32

(3) Ray Rice $21

(0) Chris Wells $15

(2) Leon Washington $12

(0) James Davis $2

(0) Edgerrin James $1

Jacobs has been a pretty big bust so far. But, hopefully his lack of production has nocked a few people out that had him. Hopefully Chris Wells and James Davis start having a bigger role in their offense

(2) Anquan Boldin $31

(3) Marques Colston $28

(0) Chris Henry $12

(2) Earl Bennett $11

(3) Nate Burleson $5

(2) Percy Harvin $5

(0) Jeremy Maclin $4

(0) Hakeem Nicks $4

(0) Chaz Schilens $3

I expect my flex starter to be WR every week. Burleson and C Henry have been a suprises, one good one bad. I'm hopeful my bottom 3 WRs can contribue soon with Nicks and Schilens coming back from injury.

(1) Martellus Bennett $4

(1) Jermichael Finley $3

(1) Chris Baker $1

So far my strategy for spending only $8 on 3 TEs appear to be paying off.

(3) Ryan Longwell $3

(0) Steve Hauschka $1

My Kickers have been strong so far. Hauschka has put up pretty good numbers, but hasn't outscored Longwell

(2) Green Bay Packers $3

(1) Dallas Cowboys $3

Dallas has me scared. Their only good game came against Delhomme. Wish I spent the money on Jets D.

 
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Looking at the top team of the week...how come the points for Vernon Davis and Brent Celek count towards the total?I thought only 1 TE was eligible per week.Is there a flex?
Sorry SouthJersey, I'm not trying to pick on you, but it was the most recent example in the thread.I am flat out amazed at how many people do not understand the scoring system/rosters/etc. From the TE-flex question to the return TD being scored, to the roster flexibility... it seems like there are just more people than I could have imagined not having a full grasp on the rules. I wonder how many people don't know there is a difference in scoring for receptions by position.
I'm not amazed. There were over 13000 entrants, and it was a free contest. I think a lot of guys tossed together entries without getting too worked up over the details. When things are for free there's a tendency for it to be that way.
 
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I'm surprised I'm one of only 2 Brady / FWP / A Johnson / Ochocinco owners. Now I get Lynch and Schilens back into the mix, have no injured players, and 24 total. I've been in the 150s each of the 3 weeks.

My only real regret was going with JaMarcus ($12) as my QB2 over S Hill ($11). I reasoned JR would have a longer leash than SH should things go badly. I never imagined he'd be THIS horrible. My strategy was to go all in with Brady and hope he had a huge year, carry just 2 QBs, and spend elsewhere. If Brady goes down I'm not winning anything anyway, so the 3rd QB wasn't as important. He'd better pick it up.

Lots and lots of guys who thought they had 3 QBs are down to 2 anyway, having mistakenly thought Leftwich was a "value." I didn't think he'd be benched quite this early, but I was pretty sure he'd be replaced by Brady's week 8 bye so I didn't see the point in burning $4 for him. I spent that on 3rd TE, PK, and DT instead.

Like anyone cares what I did. LOL. But this thread seems to be all about these kids of posts, so that's fine.

Entry number 106912.

QB - Tom Brady - 37

QB - JaMarcus Russell - 12

RB - Ryan Grant - 24

RB - Marshawn Lynch - 22

RB - Willie Parker - 16

RB - Leon Washington - 12

RB - James Davis - 2

RB - Edgerrin James - 1

WR - Andre Johnson - 43

WR - Chad Ochocinco - 27

WR - Derrick Mason - 9

WR - Justin Gage - 8

WR - Nate Burleson - 5

WR - Percy Harvin - 5

WR - Chaz Schilens - 3

TE - Zach Miller - 12

TE - Jermichael Finley - 3

TE - Chris Baker - 1

PK - Jeff Reed - 2

PK - Olindo Mare - 1

PK - Jay Feely - 1

TD - San Francisco 49ers - 2

TD - Cincinnati Bengals - 1

TD - New Orleans Saints - 1

Total value: 250

 
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