Wyld Stallyns said:
What's going on with Kaepernick? I haven't been following it... Why would SF trade him?
I mentioned that the 49ers and Browns had some talks regarding moving Kaepernick for the 4th overall pick a while back. Was immediately and personally attacked by some here in the Shark Pool, as per course. Many claimed it was impossible or didn't make sense, several weeks later when Kaepernick and a few other players were in the media with a brewing scandal in a hotel, a lot of those attacks got real quiet.
Young dual threat QB1s with playoff experience don't typically get traded. Then again, most dual threat QB1s with playoff experience don't have half of NFL Security sectioned off to investigate his activities with social media, women and curbing potential scandal. As an organization, the 49ers do a pretty good job of damage control and PR control, but recently they've just had things happen that no franchise can really prevent ( Sometimes you just have knuckleheads on your roster and no matter what you try to do in terms of preventative measures, you can't stop a knucklehead from sitting on the TV and watching the couch)
A lot of football fans don't really have a base understanding of the relationship between pro and college football and law enforcement. For NFL games, it's a massive source of overtime and revenue for local law enforcement agencies. Usually to the point where there are department specific sections just for dealing with pro sports franchises. For the university and college level, most schools have their own internal police department, where games are also sources of overtime and massive revenue. Often during travel, the internal police department will send veteran officers with the team to maintain order but also to smooth over smaller issues that might arise. Most teams hire former federal and local law enforcement for their own investigators and private security. Many NFL owners are at the wealth status where they have their own private full time bodyguard details. And of course, in all pro sports, there is the official enforcement wing, such as NFL Security, NBA Security, etc.
What I'm saying is there's a lot of stuff that hits the public eye and the press and there is a lot of stuff that just handled privately and squashed as a matter of course. There's a financial incentive in place, a large one, for law enforcement, and also considering the pressure on them from local politics factoring on how much revenue a pro sports team or college team brings into the local area, to help wash a lot of blood off of a lot of hands in private.
Kaepernick is no choir boy. There's a reason why, despite the potential, I said a team would be more than happy to trade him. There's a lot of stuff not hitting the press that would make any GM take a pause. Even now. In the new modern NFL era, esp with Sheriff Roger Goodell with the hair trigger on player and team discipline, it's more critical than ever before to have players on your roster that aren't going to constantly get into scandal potential situations that need to get buried. Burying those issues take time, effort and risk league sanction. They can go as deep as causing salary cap violations, causing government eyes peering in and even bringing the IRS into some conflicts.
One of the reasons that some NFL insiders can't get into on a high level QB1 trade is that some trades, esp trades like this, have to be hard vetted and approve at the ownership level. If you want to dump your third string RB for a potential bust cornerback on a slow Thursday, your owner doesn't care all that much. When you are talking shifting a QB1, you are talking shifting the marketing face and image of your entire franchise. In some cases, these kind of deals move past the GM to GM stage and move to the owner to owner stage.
Something else I mentioned, despite the sea of personal attacks ( thank you ConnSkins, MSUDaisy, Donnybrook and Abraham/Colin Dowling for all taking phantom swings like Poppa Doc did in 8 Mile), the trifecta of Harbaugh, Roman and Chryst is seen as the core strength of the SF QB situation, not Kaepernick on his own behind one of the best O lines in football ( Chryst in particular is someone I've noted in the past as being seen as a rising star, not only for Alex Smith and Kapernick, but also for his own son, Keller Chryst, one of the top young prospects that pro teams are even noticing now at this stage. As I've always said, QB1 development is your ticket to a rising coaching star in the league)
On Bradford, he's repped by Tom Condon of CAA and Jason La Canfora has long been a CAA mouthpiece. Many teams are the top are trying to get teams to trade up or be seen as the draft spot that will "swing" the draft. While his cap hold is huge, one of the deals made for Fisher was he would get to pick his QB1 ( something he did not get with the Titans) and he's a Bradford guy and that's what matters there.
I've been saying for months that there is real tension between Big Ben and the Steelers front office. The sticking point was DTFGate and the Steelers feeling Big Ben owes them a team/hometown discount for the resources and pull they pushed forward to protect him then, on the flip side, Big Ben feels he got them two rings with little to no line support and that his numbers have been depressed by the style of play, not his ability.
Locker might move, Whiz either likes his QB1 or he doesn't, there isn't much of an inbetween and he's not a Locker fan. The problem with any team taking Locker is that they are only delaying the question of their own QB1 issues ( the only reason they'd go for Locker) for a year when they might as well face it now.
There's a lot of inner turmoil not seen publicly with the Giants, and Coughlin has taken much more power and the old man loves his WRs. Don't look for the Giants to seek to replace Eli this year. With inner chaos abound, the Maras are looking for stability, even if it's a pick throwing machine that gets chewed out by his father after every game.
As far as move ups and downs, the only players generally seen as "trade up" worthy right now are Clowney and Watkins, the rest is mostly smoke.
Despite the hot press for Garrapolo and Savage, I've said months back and still hold now that the best QB1 prospect in this entire class is David Fales. Measured against traditional metrics, I can see his limitations and why he'd fall in the draft. However, measuring him against what one might be perceive to be a shift in QB1 play in the NFL, I think he's a diamond in the rough.
Dynasty, I'd call Kaepernick a sell high. Sometimes you have to take a red flag for what it's worth and flush. And not everything spinning around a player actually hits the press.
And in rookie drafts, I'd call David Fales a strong sleeper pick for dynasty owners. I like this kid a lot, a lot of things on film ring true for me with him, there are just some things that don't translate to stats that give the whole story on a prospect.