DeMarco Murray - can't seem to stay healthy and hurt already during OTAs
This one for me as well. Had multiple offers come where I would receive him this offseason, and I want no part of him.
Who is honestly taking him before the double-digit rounds?
Ryan Mathews
Darren McFadden
Greg Jennings
Wes Welker
Agree on Welker - he is still going way too high for all the competition he will have for targets now. For the RBs, I feel that their injury risks have been factored fairly well into their prices already, and I like both to outperform their ADPs this year.
Jennings I don't know what to think about. If you can get him around WR25 or later, then I think it is a great move. Much before that, and I don't know if I can take the risk.
Montee Ball - given fox's history with rookie rbs, id rather let someone else take the risk in the 4th/5th. Not saying its impossible he gets the full time gig, just that the data would suggest otherwise.
He is currently going around the late 5th in dynasty startups, as the 23/34 RB off the board. At that price, I feel he is well worth the risk. Pairing him with Moreno and McGahee is not expensive at all, either, so even if he doesn't get much time this year, you should have whomever is the main bellcow. Hillman is way too small to get the majority of carries, so it will be 1 of those 3, most likely Ball.