The Chargers beat the Ravens 23-17 in the playoffs. As the fourth quarter played out, I sat in a room with a bunch of football writers projecting tragedy for rookie
Lamar Jackson's career.
One of them seated next to me -- a two-time millionaire prize winner in the high-stakes fantasy world -- declared that Jackson would never be a good quarterback. It was the consensus of the room.
I quietly asked him what he saw from this game that led him to this conclusion.
He gave an articulate answer that lacked an ounce of football substance. I realized this man was great at using data to play a game based on football, but at least in this instance, he had little depth of knowledge and perspective about quarterback development in the game that his game was based on.
This information wasn't necessary for him to know. It wasn't for most of the successful individuals in that room who had declared Jackson's career dead before it was truly getting started.
There was one other individual in that room who knew better. He was angry about what he saw. He vented to me privately. He was a good dynasty player, but he didn't have the perspective to think about what he saw, laugh at the mass panic, and enjoy the buying opportunity for what it was.
He was buying, but he was angry about the slights.
Most of the herd in that room weren't serious dynasty players. They have the luxury of waiting until the data tells them a player is on the upswing before declaring that the player is good.
In that respect, pure re-draft and DFS managers can behave like the economists of fantasy football. They can't tell you who is good or bad until there's enough data to confirm what those on the ground floor have already figured out it's too late to act on the information.
This perspective is why you should be enjoying the panic and the buying opportunity for
Anthony Richardson.
By the way, the irony is not wasted on me that I'm sharing this story about Jackson a little more than 24 hours after he was 17-for-22 with 5 passing touchdowns and 333 yards from scrimmage on Monday Night Football. Jackson is the top passer in football this year, projected to earn 4,000 yards as a thrower and 1,000 as a runner.
Former Commanders' tight end Logan Paulson, who watched the Ravens-Commanders game from the sideline, told his followers on X and his podcast that Jackson's pre-snap command of defenses is now on par with
Tom Brady and Peyton Manning. Joe Whitt, the Washington defensive coordinator, confirmed the same to Paulson after the game.
There was inherent bias clouding the public perspective on Jackson's potential, despite copious film evidence to the contrary. Despite playing in Bobby Petrino's offense at Louisville--widely considered an excellent pro-style offense that worked in the NFL.