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Only if the coach doesn’t like his job, but how many RBs actually get 70% of the touches these days?
70% seems high for almost any RB. Although Barkley and Henry both hit 74% (ish) last year. Not sure if anyone else did.
I guess I was interpreting the original quote as a pretty extreme statement that would mean something in the 70+% ballpark.
But that was just my interpretation. "Primary back on all downs" could also mean nothing more than having plurality of touches on each of first, second, and third downs.
Great post. Don't know where you got it but awesome.
Agreed. I think he will eclipse 70%, but his floor should be around Mixon. As for the stats, I just opened Pro Football Reference website and started crunching numbers. Gimme a few beers and I will sit and crunch numbers all night.
All those Hours in the Sun surfing sure do take a toll on a fella
That's true. Mostert is already a weird case, for whatever that's worth. But teams just don't usually give a massive share to one back, even if the backups are scrubs.
Mostert does have somewhat low mileage from all the times he’s been injured, so he has that going for him, which is… nice?
One of the stranger rankings I have come across.
Seems like a wild over reaction to a meaningless comment from a coach by MJD. But yeah I think trading Jeanty is fine. A mid 1st, late 1st and ascending player seems fair because that would equate to something like Judkins, Golden and Ricky Pearsall or RJ Harvey, Egbuka and Keon Coleman.
While I guess it depends on who that ascending player is, but I'll assume the adjective "excellent" means the bar is high and ascending means young. That means that player alone is likely already worth 2 1sts. I feel like it would be very hard to sell Jeanty for the equivalent of 4 first round picks; and this is coming from someone who considers him one of the best college profiles since Barkley. Not saying there isn't someone out there to do it, but I wouldn't, and I wouldn't ever recommend the move to anyone who was considering it and asked my opinion.
I know someone might love Jeanty or feel like he's the one last piece to winning the title this year but I tend to find it hard to get teams to part way with a young top 25 type player. I mean some people love to wheel and deal but I find most teams are smitten with their own "homegrown" young studs.
I feel ya. And all good, I love the value discussion because it's one of the hardest things to really get a finger on IMO. There also never really is a right answer IMO.
. But it's pretty much the only consensus community resource we have, and they have Ladd and a single mid round future 1st round pick as an overpay for Jeanty by a small amount. About the equivalent of the Jeanty side needing to add a mid third round.
I tried pretty hard to get the 1.01 in my dynasty league. I had 1.04, 1.09, 1.10. I am pretty sure I offered all 3 and was told that wasn't even close.
Probably my RB bias coming through bc of their shorter shelf life and injury proneness. But I think I would have jumped out of my seat accepting that offer. Especially in this class. Again, LOVE Jeanty. But think I would gladly roll the dice with some 3 of Hampton/Judkins/Henderson/Johnson/Egbuka/Burden over just Jeanty. I'm well documented as being high on this RB class as a group though.
I feel ya. And all good, I love the value discussion because it's one of the hardest things to really get a finger on IMO. There also never really is a right answer IMO.
And totally subjective, but I think Puka is 100% worth two firsts if not more. I think BTJ is, and if not, it's so close it would be semantics parsing it out. Regardless, just looked at 3 dynasty startup rankings and all three had Jeanty/Puka/BTJ within 1-3 picks of one another in a range no greater than 5. I don't think the difference between any of them is a future 1st round pick. More of a lateral move with potentially a late round throw in.
And a month ago when I was trying to be fair/reasonable on my personal love of McConkey, I said he was worth 2 2nds at least in value and got berated by half the page who were so upset by that they missed the entire point of my post lol. (They thought I was WAY under with 2 2nd haha) Now that was in the McConkey thread, so probably mostly filled with his owners who are a bit biased.
I know half of fantasy players hate KTC. And the other half hate it when it goes against what they personally think
I think the low mileage logic has diminishing returns as the player gets longer in the tooth. At this poin Mostert is probably better suited building bridges than being a significant factor in the NFL.
I agree. We are still talking about a 33 year old man who has played 9 years of professional football. He was playing special teams, at practice, minicamps, training, etc. He has logged almost 3,000 NFL snaps. He has suffered a pec injury, knee sprain, ankle sprain, broken thumb, knee strain, knee ligament tear, patella injury, high ankle sprain, another high ankle sprain, mcl sprain, calf strain, concussion, broken arm and unspecified shoulder injury resulting in 47 games missed. Dude has put his body through a lot.
