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RB Chase Brown, CIN (9 Viewers)

Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
 
I don't think anyone is saying that Chase is going to get 80% of the snaps. I think they are speculating that he might in fact do more with his 40-50% than Moss does and at some point that tips the scales to where he gets the 60% at a higher rate of production.

What is that speculation founded on though?

Zack Moss has averaged a higher YPC in every season he's played in than Chase Brown (4.1 YPC) had last year except once: 4.3, 3.6, 4.9, 4.3


I know that Chase Brown is faster than Zack Moss but it takes more than just running fast to play RB. I would have just expected a home run RB to average a higher YPC than a guy who is being treated like a slug in Zack Moss. James Cook for instance averaged 5.7 YPC as a rookie, that to me is an example of what a RB with juice looks like.


That's just me though. I know Brown has a smaller sample size, but usually YPC trends down not up when given more carries.
14 TDs in 5 years, no help in the receiving game,and 4.3 doesn’t mean what it used to in 1976. If that isn’t mediocre I don’t know what is.

Okay, so Zack Moss is mediocre, I can concede that viewpoint. What does that make his backup who averaged less YPC last season?
Moss had a better ypc than Henry, Mixon, Walker, Etienne, White, etc last year. Do you think he is the better running back because of that?
Him comparing yard per carry between a guy who’s going into his 6th year with a guy coming off his rookie year is laughable. Especially considering Moss has done nothing in the receiving game his entire career and hasn’t exactly filled the stat sheet during the last five years. Sounds like false hope to me.

Zack Moss' career YPC is 4.3. You act like that's bad. He's the lead back on a team with a likely Top 5 offense.

If you give a guy who averages 4.3 YPC 250 carries, he's giving you 1,075 yards. Say hello to Rachaad White for me.
Keep hanging on to the water wagon.

The only difference from our mindsets as far as I can tell is that I am not rooting against Chase Brown the way you seem to be rooting against Zack Moss for his production from 2-3 years ago in Buffalo.


I started Moss when he was averaging over 20 points a game last year. Those points counted and I'm sure the #1 RB on the Bengals offense will find himself in a goalline situation of a Joe Burrow lead often more often than not in 2023. Good luck!
A few game stretch replacing a RB behind a good run blocking OL doesn’t erase everything he’s done in his entire career. Did I also say Moss hasn’t done anything in the receiving game in 5 years? It matters.

How many carries do you think Zack Moss will get next year? Starting RBs have value and right now he's the guy keeping Joe Burrow upright.


Also in PPR, 1TD = 6 catches.
Chase Brown is a good pass blocker, so don’t try to slip in pass blocking from Moss.
 
I don't think anyone is saying that Chase is going to get 80% of the snaps. I think they are speculating that he might in fact do more with his 40-50% than Moss does and at some point that tips the scales to where he gets the 60% at a higher rate of production.

What is that speculation founded on though?

Zack Moss has averaged a higher YPC in every season he's played in than Chase Brown (4.1 YPC) had last year except once: 4.3, 3.6, 4.9, 4.3


I know that Chase Brown is faster than Zack Moss but it takes more than just running fast to play RB. I would have just expected a home run RB to average a higher YPC than a guy who is being treated like a slug in Zack Moss. James Cook for instance averaged 5.7 YPC as a rookie, that to me is an example of what a RB with juice looks like.


That's just me though. I know Brown has a smaller sample size, but usually YPC trends down not up when given more carries.
14 TDs in 5 years, no help in the receiving game,and 4.3 doesn’t mean what it used to in 1976. If that isn’t mediocre I don’t know what is.

Okay, so Zack Moss is mediocre, I can concede that viewpoint. What does that make his backup who averaged less YPC last season?
Moss had a better ypc than Henry, Mixon, Walker, Etienne, White, etc last year. Do you think he is the better running back because of that?
Him comparing yard per carry between a guy who’s going into his 6th year with a guy coming off his rookie year is laughable. Especially considering Moss has done nothing in the receiving game his entire career and hasn’t exactly filled the stat sheet during the last five years. Sounds like false hope to me.

Zack Moss' career YPC is 4.3. You act like that's bad. He's the lead back on a team with a likely Top 5 offense.

If you give a guy who averages 4.3 YPC 250 carries, he's giving you 1,075 yards. Say hello to Rachaad White for me.
Keep hanging on to the water wagon.

The only difference from our mindsets as far as I can tell is that I am not rooting against Chase Brown the way you seem to be rooting against Zack Moss for his production from 2-3 years ago in Buffalo.


I started Moss when he was averaging over 20 points a game last year. Those points counted and I'm sure the #1 RB on the Bengals offense will find himself in a goalline situation of a Joe Burrow lead often more often than not in 2023. Good luck!
A few game stretch replacing a RB behind a good run blocking OL doesn’t erase everything he’s done in his entire career. Did I also say Moss hasn’t done anything in the receiving game in 5 years? It matters.

How many carries do you think Zack Moss will get next year? Starting RBs have value and right now he's the guy keeping Joe Burrow upright.


Also in PPR, 1TD = 6 catches.
Chase Brown is a good pass blocker, so don’t try to slip in pass blocking from Moss.

Which guy averaged more catches / target per game last year? Also, Zack Moss was one of the highest pass blockers last year.

I don't have the stats in front of me, but it's true.
 
I don't think anyone is saying that Chase is going to get 80% of the snaps. I think they are speculating that he might in fact do more with his 40-50% than Moss does and at some point that tips the scales to where he gets the 60% at a higher rate of production.

What is that speculation founded on though?

Zack Moss has averaged a higher YPC in every season he's played in than Chase Brown (4.1 YPC) had last year except once: 4.3, 3.6, 4.9, 4.3


I know that Chase Brown is faster than Zack Moss but it takes more than just running fast to play RB. I would have just expected a home run RB to average a higher YPC than a guy who is being treated like a slug in Zack Moss. James Cook for instance averaged 5.7 YPC as a rookie, that to me is an example of what a RB with juice looks like.


That's just me though. I know Brown has a smaller sample size, but usually YPC trends down not up when given more carries.
14 TDs in 5 years, no help in the receiving game,and 4.3 doesn’t mean what it used to in 1976. If that isn’t mediocre I don’t know what is.

Okay, so Zack Moss is mediocre, I can concede that viewpoint. What does that make his backup who averaged less YPC last season?
Moss had a better ypc than Henry, Mixon, Walker, Etienne, White, etc last year. Do you think he is the better running back because of that?
Him comparing yard per carry between a guy who’s going into his 6th year with a guy coming off his rookie year is laughable. Especially considering Moss has done nothing in the receiving game his entire career and hasn’t exactly filled the stat sheet during the last five years. Sounds like false hope to me.
Odd comparing YPC between players from two different teams as well. From that standpoint Chase was a better running back than Mixon last year.
 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown was a rookie. Moss has been average for 4 years and has performed poorly in the receiving game over the course of those 4 years.

Edit to say 4 years instead of 5.
 
Last edited:
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown was a rookie. Moss has been average for 5 years and has performed poorly in the receiving game over the course of those 5 years.

Okay, so you don't care that the guy you peg as the RB with receiving upside was used less in the passing game than the guy they brought in to be the starter ahead of him.

I mean, that's fine. You can believe whatever you want. I know I'm in the minority here, the ADP says it all.
 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
RAS:
Moss 2.8/10
Brown 9.8/10

I can sight read that math, too.

We can all play this game.

Look, I said before - Moss is probably a reasonable pick in most formats. These two players are like 1/2 a round apart, and I suspect when one is drafted the other will be taken a pick or two later.

It’s a committee. Pick your poison. You asked why people are high on Brown. People have given you answers.

You seem to want to “win” a battle that most of us aren’t really fighting. There is no win. There’s 2 players. One’s younger and more athletic. The other is older and more injury prone.

That’s your answer.
 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
RAS:
Moss 2.8/10
Brown 9.8/10

I can sight read that math, too.

We can all play this game.

Look, I said before - Moss is probably a reasonable pick in most formats. These two players are like 1/2 a round apart, and I suspect when one is drafted the other will be taken a pick or two later.

It’s a committee. Pick your poison. You asked why people are high on Brown. People have given you answers.

You seem to want to “win” a battle that most of us aren’t really fighting. There is no win. There’s 2 players. One’s younger and more athletic. The other is older and more injury prone.

That’s your answer.

I like both and I never have a chance to get both in mocks.

Whichever one is left I'll buy.
 
I like both and I never have a chance to get both in mocks.

Whichever one is left I'll buy.
Exactly. I think that’s a reasonable approach, especially if going WR-heavy early.

I *prefer* Brown. At their ADP I’d be fine with either as my RB3-4-5-whatever.

They should both outperform their ADP, and if one goes down, the other goes boom.
 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown was a rookie. Moss has been average for 5 years and has performed poorly in the receiving game over the course of those 5 years.

Zack Moss' YPR is 7.0. Jonathan Taylor's is 7.8. nobody is going to accuse Zack Moss of being a burner but you're acting like he's subpar.

7.0 is fine for the player Zack Moss is. Kenneth Walker only averages 7.6 YPR. He's not getting paid to catch the ball, but he can definitely do it at the level of a starting level NFL RB.
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
RAS:
Moss 2.8/10
Brown 9.8/10

I can sight read that math, too.

We can all play this game.

Look, I said before - Moss is probably a reasonable pick in most formats. These two players are like 1/2 a round apart, and I suspect when one is drafted the other will be taken a pick or two later.

It’s a committee. Pick your poison. You asked why people are high on Brown. People have given you answers.

You seem to want to “win” a battle that most of us aren’t really fighting. There is no win. There’s 2 players. One’s younger and more athletic. The other is older and more injury prone.

That’s your answer.

That's the spirit! We all have the same stats to work with. Zack Moss is a non-sexy veteran with domain over the starting job and Chase Brown is the young gun who caught a 56 yard touchdowns pass which was over 12 points on a single play and that's what gets some guy's dicks hard.


If we all agreed there would be no competition. Great discussion.
 
with domain over the starting job
Whoa whoa whoa nelly… ya kinda slipped that in there on the sly.

August 15 depth chart & RBBC. I’m just not ready to concede he “has domain” over anything, but I respect your enthusiasm. lol

Hopefully he's doing better in practice than the 2.0 YPC he had his last preseason game.


It's a joke, I don't need the lecture how preseason doesn't matter. :p I would note that they didn't even make the starter suit up, he had the game off.
 
14 TDs in 5 years, no help in the receiving game,and 4.3 doesn’t mean what it used to in 1976. If that isn’t mediocre I don’t know what is.
It's actually 4 years, not 5. He was drafted in 2020. You may be counting 2022 as 2 seasons, because he played on 2 different teams that year. And as far as the 14 TD's are concerned, he did that in 484 carries. That's a TD every 34.6 carries, which is very average. In fact, it was a higher TD% than 5 of last year's top 12 RB's (Breece, Rachaad, Bijan, Cook, and Kamara). Using his overall TD totals without saying how many carries he had is very misleading. And saying he has does nothing in the receiving game his entire career is flat out wrong. A tad over 20% of his total yards have come as a receiver, along with 4 TD's, so he does just fine in the receiving game.

Now, I am not claiming Moss is anything great, but he has performed pretty well when called upon. That's why he's still in the league, and that's why Chase Brown's ADP is currently about 8 spots below Moss. I'm pretty sure Brown's ADP will be even with Moss quite soon though.
 
14 TDs in 5 years, no help in the receiving game,and 4.3 doesn’t mean what it used to in 1976. If that isn’t mediocre I don’t know what is.
It's actually 4 years, not 5. He was drafted in 2020. You may be counting 2022 as 2 seasons, because he played on 2 different teams that year. And as far as the 14 TD's are concerned, he did that in 484 carries. That's a TD every 34.6 carries, which is very average. In fact, it was a higher TD% than 5 of last year's top 12 RB's (Breece, Rachaad, Bijan, Cook, and Kamara). Using his overall TD totals without saying how many carries he had is very misleading. And saying he has does nothing in the receiving game his entire career is flat out wrong. A tad over 20% of his total yards have come as a receiver, along with 4 TD's, so he does just fine in the receiving game.

Now, I am not claiming Moss is anything great, but he has performed pretty well when called upon. That's why he's still in the league, and that's why Chase Brown's ADP is currently about 8 spots below Moss. I'm pretty sure Brown's ADP will be even with Moss quite soon though.
You’re right. This is his 5 th year.
 
Still not getting the love for Chase Brown. If he was the #1 RB on the depth chart people would be doing backflips, Zack Moss is the #1 RB on the depth chart and it's largely ignored.

People downplay Zack Moss' stretch last year where he was scoring as much as CMC, but will happily ignore that Chase Brown has never produced at that level.


The last three seasons, Joe Mixon scored 9,7,13 rushing touchdowns and I assume that Zack Moss will be the primarily goalline RB. So I would expect him to score more TDs than Chase Brown.


I get that Brown is more explosive, but where did that get him last year? 4.1 YPC? Moss had 4.3 YPC on 140 more carries. I see it as a 60/40 split in Moss' favor.

Their ADPs are flipped, for what I believe is bias from when Zack Moss was in Buffalo. The guy had 793 yards (27th most in the league) as a backup RB to Jonathan Taylor. He only played in 14 games. It's not a stretch to get him to 1,000.


We've seen him essentially do it last season. Chase Brown we are working off a 44 carry sample size. Brown is definitely the more talented pass catcher and home run hitter, but that fits more of the mold of a 3rd down RB.



Better yet, are there any other RBs who are #2 on the depth chart that are currently being drafted higher than the #1? Besides when teams draft a stud like Adrian Peterson, I can't really remember the last time the fantasy community has valued a team's backup RB more than the actual starter predraft and have it turn out to be a stroke of genius.



With that said, if their ADPs were flipped I would be making this same write-up in the Zack Moss thread about how Chase Brown is underrated. Food for thought. I'm more of a stats vs eyeball guys. Give me the guy who produced like CMC when given the chance last season over the guy with the perceived juice.
Sorry, but I can’t get Moss’ body of work outside that few game stretch last year replacing Taylor, out of my memory.
It wasn't just a "few game stretch last year" though, he had a very nice few game stretch to end 2022 as well.
 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown was a rookie. Moss has been average for 5 years and has performed poorly in the receiving game over the course of those 5 years.

Okay, so you don't care that the guy you peg as the RB with receiving upside was used less in the passing game than the guy they brought in to be the starter ahead of him.

I mean, that's fine. You can believe whatever you want. I know I'm in the minority here, the ADP says it all.
Please don't upset the consensus narrative going here
 
That's why he's still in the league, and that's why Chase Brown's ADP is currently about 8 spots below Moss. I'm pretty sure Brown's ADP will be even with Moss quite soon though.
Chase's ADP has been a full round ahead of Moss for about a week now. At least in FFPC, all formats.
Why do you think that is? I have a pretty good idea.
I believe it to be true due to hype on multiple fronts ranging from the puff piece if you will about the work he put in as a receiver, the comments from his coach, comments from his teammate, getting hyped by some fantasy and real life media "experts". What do you attribute to?
 
Chase's ADP has been a full round ahead of Moss for about a week now. At least in FFPC, all formats.

Looking at NFFC and Moss’ ADP is 95, while Brown’s is 107.

7th round vs 8th.

Again, I suspect they go closer to each other most drafts. Someone will pull the trigger on one & the other won’t be far behind.
 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown had 14 catches on 93 snaps. Moss had 27 catches on 531 snaps. Sight math says Brown's catch rate was almost 3 times higher than Moss per snap.
 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown had 14 catches on 93 snaps. Moss had 27 catches on 531 snaps. Sight math says Brown's catch rate was almost 3 times higher than Moss per snap.

Huge news for leagues that give points based on average catches per snaps played.
 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown had 14 catches on 93 snaps. Moss had 27 catches on 531 snaps. Sight math says Brown's catch rate was almost 3 times higher than Moss per snap.

Huge news for leagues that give points based on average catches per snaps played.
I mean, the thing to do here is admit you were wrong. Your logic was indeed fallacious - a false conclusion, if you will,

It’s just a suggestion in the name of good-natured discussion.
 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown had 14 catches on 93 snaps. Moss had 27 catches on 531 snaps. Sight math says Brown's catch rate was almost 3 times higher than Moss per snap.

Huge news for leagues that give points based on average catches per snaps played.
I mean, the thing to do here is admit you were wrong. Your logic was indeed fallacious - a false conclusion, if you will,

It’s just a suggestion in the name of good-natured discussion.

How am I wrong? I've been playing fantasy football for 20 years and have never seen anyone ever mention catches per snap, lol.

You can't catch passes when you're on the sidelines.

All my leagues score on total points per game. If you're resulting to calculating % of catches to snaps, then you're trying really hard to make an argument. You're the same person who was willing to throw away YPC but apparently you think average receptions per snaps played is a relevant statistic? Come on man, nobody here is claiming that Zack Moss is a better pass catcher.


My response was to when JohnnyU said that Zack Moss was a bad pass catcher. I used receptions per game for my analysis, because well, that doesn't require me to do a forensic analysis and create ratios that nobody has ever heard of before to make my point. Moss averaged about 2 catches per game and Chase averaged about 1 catch per game. That was their production last year. If you want to argue that's due to snap % while ignoring other stats like YPC, you can knock yourself out with that. If Chase Brown were to see more snaps, would he catch more passes? Yes, of course, the same way that if Zack Moss sees more snaps he will also see more passes. I'm not even going to get into the fact that a lot of Chase Brown's snaps were likely on 3rd and long where of course you're going to catch more dumpoffs because you need more than 4 YPC to get the first down, whereas Zack Moss was in on early downs and getting more totes of the rock.


My take away from his statistic was that Zack Moss severely outsnapped Chase Brown by over 438 snaps. Chase Brown could have caught a pass on 100% of his snaps last year and he still would have scored less points than Zack Moss last season. I repeat, you can't catch passes when you're on the sideline. If Zack Moss ends up with several hundred more snaps than Chase Brown this year, then it won't matter that Zack Moss only catches a pass on 5% of his snaps vs Chase Brown who caught passes on 15% of his snaps. Especially if Zack Moss continues to be more efficient (higher YPC) and score more TDs.


Bijan Robinson had 58 catches on 778 snaps last year, that's only 7.5% catch per snap percentage last season. Should you care? No, because he still averaged 3.4 catches per game which along with his other production makes him fantasy viable. Samaje Perine caught 55 passes on 360 snaps last season, that's a 15% pass catch rate last season. Should you care? Still no, because you don't need a statistic like that to tell you that a guy was a team's 3rd down RB last season and that 3rd down RB are going to catch passes at a higher rate than players who are primarily 1st, 2nd down thumpers.
 
Last edited:
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown had 14 catches on 93 snaps. Moss had 27 catches on 531 snaps. Sight math says Brown's catch rate was almost 3 times higher than Moss per snap.

Huge news for leagues that give points based on average catches per snaps played.
I mean, the thing to do here is admit you were wrong. Your logic was indeed fallacious - a false conclusion, if you will,

It’s just a suggestion in the name of good-natured discussion.

How am I wrong? I've been playing fantasy football for 20 years and have never seen anyone ever mention catches per snap, lol.

You can't catch passes when you're on the sidelines.

All my leagues score on total points per game. If you're resulting to calculating % of catches to snaps, then you're trying really hard to make an argument. You're the same person who was willing to throw away YPC but apparently you think average receptions per snaps played is a relevant statistic? Come on man, nobody here is claiming that Zack Moss is a better pass catcher.


My response was to when JohnnyU said that Zack Moss was a bad pass catcher. I used receptions per game for my analysis, because well, that doesn't require me to do a forensic analysis and create ratios that nobody has ever heard of before to make my point. Moss averaged about 2 catches per game and David averaged about 1 catch per game. That was their production last year. If you want to argue that's due to snap % while ignoring other stats like YPC, you can knock yourself out with that. If Chase Brown were to see more snaps, would he catch more passes? Yes, of course, the same way that if Zack Moss sees more snaps he will also see more passes. I'm not even going to get into the fact that a lot of Chase Brown's snaps were likely on 3rd and long where of course you're going to catch more dumpoffs because you need more than 4 YPC to get the first down, whereas Zack Moss was in on early downs and getting more totes of the rock.


My take away from his statistic was that Zack Moss severely outsnapped Chase Brown by over 438 snaps. Chase Brown could have caught a pass on 100% of his snaps last year and he still would have scored less points than Zack Moss last season. I repeat, you can't catch passes when you're on the sideline. If Zack Moss ends up with several hundred more snaps than Chase Brown this year, then it won't matter that Zack Moss only catches a pass on 5% of his snaps vs Chase Brown who caught passes on 15% of his snaps. Especially if Zack Moss continues to be more efficient (higher YPC) and score more TDs.


Bijan Robinson had 58 catches on 778 snaps last year, that's only 7.5% catch per snap percentage last season. Should you care? No, because he still averaged 3.4 catches per game which along with his other production makes him fantasy viable. Samaje Perine caught 55 passes on 360 snaps last season, that's a 15% pass catch rate last season. Should you care? Still no, because you don't need a statistic like that to tell me that a guy was a team's 3rd down RB last season and that 3rd down RB are going to catch more passes.
So, you are saying that you expect Zack Moss to significantly outsnap Chase Brown? That's the crux of your argument. If you believe that, that's fine.

I am not so convinced that will be the case. They were on different teams last year. Zack Moss got so many snaps, because Jonathon Taylor got hurt. If Jonathon Taylor never got hurt, his snaps would have been significantly less.

I think the most likely scenario (and maybe I'm wrong here) is that they will start with a relatively even snap share and whoever is better in those snaps will get more playing time throughout the year. So, with this scenario looking at how productive they are per snap, is actually very relevant.
Though, I will admit that something that the stats don't take into account is who is good at pass protection. which will have a major effect on who sees the field as protecting Burrow is extremely important. I believe that Zack Moss is a better pass protector, though I believe heard that Chase Brown has improved that this offseason. If Zack Moss is significantly better at pass protection, this will help his snap share.

If you think that it is set in stone that Zack Moss will get the majority of snaps, lets say a 70/30 split. You are correct. The efficiency metrics don't matter and Zack Moss will severely outperform Chase Brown, even if Brown is more efficient.

(Overall, I am just interested to see how this plays out. I can see either one of them taking over this backfield and being productive. I am in a league where we keep 10 players and I have both of them, so I am really just hoping that one of them takes over the backfield and this isn't an even split where they take turns having good/decent weeks or cannibalize each other, which is my fear)
 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown had 14 catches on 93 snaps. Moss had 27 catches on 531 snaps. Sight math says Brown's catch rate was almost 3 times higher than Moss per snap.

Huge news for leagues that give points based on average catches per snaps played.
I mean, the thing to do here is admit you were wrong. Your logic was indeed fallacious - a false conclusion, if you will,

It’s just a suggestion in the name of good-natured discussion.

How am I wrong? I've been playing fantasy football for 20 years and have never seen anyone ever mention catches per snap, lol.

You can't catch passes when you're on the sidelines.

All my leagues score on total points per game. If you're resulting to calculating % of catches to snaps, then you're trying really hard to make an argument. You're the same person who was willing to throw away YPC but apparently you think average receptions per snaps played is a relevant statistic? Come on man, nobody here is claiming that Zack Moss is a better pass catcher.


My response was to when JohnnyU said that Zack Moss was a bad pass catcher. I used receptions per game for my analysis, because well, that doesn't require me to do a forensic analysis and create ratios that nobody has ever heard of before to make my point. Moss averaged about 2 catches per game and David averaged about 1 catch per game. That was their production last year. If you want to argue that's due to snap % while ignoring other stats like YPC, you can knock yourself out with that. If Chase Brown were to see more snaps, would he catch more passes? Yes, of course, the same way that if Zack Moss sees more snaps he will also see more passes. I'm not even going to get into the fact that a lot of Chase Brown's snaps were likely on 3rd and long where of course you're going to catch more dumpoffs because you need more than 4 YPC to get the first down, whereas Zack Moss was in on early downs and getting more totes of the rock.


My take away from his statistic was that Zack Moss severely outsnapped Chase Brown by over 438 snaps. Chase Brown could have caught a pass on 100% of his snaps last year and he still would have scored less points than Zack Moss last season. I repeat, you can't catch passes when you're on the sideline. If Zack Moss ends up with several hundred more snaps than Chase Brown this year, then it won't matter that Zack Moss only catches a pass on 5% of his snaps vs Chase Brown who caught passes on 15% of his snaps. Especially if Zack Moss continues to be more efficient (higher YPC) and score more TDs.


Bijan Robinson had 58 catches on 778 snaps last year, that's only 7.5% catch per snap percentage last season. Should you care? No, because he still averaged 3.4 catches per game which along with his other production makes him fantasy viable. Samaje Perine caught 55 passes on 360 snaps last season, that's a 15% pass catch rate last season. Should you care? Still no, because you don't need a statistic like that to tell me that a guy was a team's 3rd down RB last season and that 3rd down RB are going to catch more passes.
So, you are saying that you expect Zack Moss to significantly outsnap Chase Brown? That's the crux of your argument. If you believe that, that's fine.

I am not so convinced that will be the case. They were on different teams last year. Zack Moss got so many snaps, because Jonathon Taylor got hurt. If Jonathon Taylor never got hurt, his snaps would have been significantly less.

I think the most likely scenario (and maybe I'm wrong here) is that they will start with a relatively even snap share and whoever is better in those snaps will get more playing time throughout the year. So, with this scenario looking at how productive they are per snap, is actually very relevant.

If you think that it is set in stone that Zack Moss will get the majority of snaps, lets say a 70/30 split. You are correct. The efficiency metrics don't matter and Zack Moss will severely outperform Chase Brown, even if Brown is more efficient.

(Overall, I am just interested to see how this plays out. I can see either one of them taking over this backfield and being productive. I am in a league where we keep 10 players and I have both of them, so I am really just hoping that one of them takes over the backfield and this isn't an even split where they take turns having good/decent weeks or cannibalize each other, which is my fear)

I think so. He's the RB1 on the depth chart and in most situations, people accept that means he's going to be the guy. This is the only RB room in the league where people are willing to look at the depth chart and just ignore it. I don't know of another RB room in the league where people are advocating for the backup more than the guy actually listed as the starter.

Coaches have nuance. For instance, some teams literally have depth charts that say 1A and 1B, that's how they're referring to the competition in Tennessee. If that kind of coach speak was coming out of Cincinnati, then I would put credence in Chase Brown having a comparable workload. But this coach (Zac Taylor) in particular since taking over in 2019 has had no problem giving Joe Mixon the majority of the carries and snaps, he seems to like having a bell cow.



For me, I think the split will be similar to how Joe Mixon split carries with Samaje Perine the past couple of seasons. Perine had his role as a pass catcher, but the bulk of the snaps and carries went to Joe Mixon. Is Chase Brown better than Samaje Perine? I don't know, maybe, but I do know Samaje Perine had a higher YPC than Chase Brown the last four seasons played (4.5, 4.1, 4.5, 4.8). Maybe Zac Taylor decides to go full blown RBBC and maybe Chase Brown is a better RB than Zack Moss, but I don't see how anyone can logically conclude that would be the case based on the past history of usage and efficiency that we have to work with.


ZAC ON MOSS: Taylor has another different kind of weapon with the Joe Mixon trade yielding free-agent pickup running back Zack Moss and Taylor can't wait to use him.
"He's a great fit for what we're doing on offense," said Taylor, who noticed him on tape as they prepared to play the Colts last season. "He's spent most of his career in the (shot gun) in Buffalo and Indy. That's helpful. That's a big part of our offense as well."

After spending time with Moss, Taylor can see the comparisons to former Bengals running back Samaje Perine when it comes to professionalism and reliability.
"His demeanor. Just the way he carries himself. A lot of things that remind you about Samaje," Taylor said. "He's got a high football IQ, which translates well to pass protection. Good hands coming out of the backfield. I think he's a really patient runner. He does a good job of setting the backers at the second level, exploding through the hole. Really good fit for what we're doing. That's a guy we had targeted and it worked out for us."


 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown had 14 catches on 93 snaps. Moss had 27 catches on 531 snaps. Sight math says Brown's catch rate was almost 3 times higher than Moss per snap.

Huge news for leagues that give points based on average catches per snaps played.
I mean, the thing to do here is admit you were wrong. Your logic was indeed fallacious - a false conclusion, if you will,

It’s just a suggestion in the name of good-natured discussion.

How am I wrong? I've been playing fantasy football for 20 years and have never seen anyone ever mention catches per snap, lol.

You can't catch passes when you're on the sidelines.

All my leagues score on total points per game. If you're resulting to calculating % of catches to snaps, then you're trying really hard to make an argument. You're the same person who was willing to throw away YPC but apparently you think average receptions per snaps played is a relevant statistic? Come on man, nobody here is claiming that Zack Moss is a better pass catcher.


My response was to when JohnnyU said that Zack Moss was a bad pass catcher. I used receptions per game for my analysis, because well, that doesn't require me to do a forensic analysis and create ratios that nobody has ever heard of before to make my point. Moss averaged about 2 catches per game and David averaged about 1 catch per game. That was their production last year. If you want to argue that's due to snap % while ignoring other stats like YPC, you can knock yourself out with that. If Chase Brown were to see more snaps, would he catch more passes? Yes, of course, the same way that if Zack Moss sees more snaps he will also see more passes. I'm not even going to get into the fact that a lot of Chase Brown's snaps were likely on 3rd and long where of course you're going to catch more dumpoffs because you need more than 4 YPC to get the first down, whereas Zack Moss was in on early downs and getting more totes of the rock.


My take away from his statistic was that Zack Moss severely outsnapped Chase Brown by over 438 snaps. Chase Brown could have caught a pass on 100% of his snaps last year and he still would have scored less points than Zack Moss last season. I repeat, you can't catch passes when you're on the sideline. If Zack Moss ends up with several hundred more snaps than Chase Brown this year, then it won't matter that Zack Moss only catches a pass on 5% of his snaps vs Chase Brown who caught passes on 15% of his snaps. Especially if Zack Moss continues to be more efficient (higher YPC) and score more TDs.


Bijan Robinson had 58 catches on 778 snaps last year, that's only 7.5% catch per snap percentage last season. Should you care? No, because he still averaged 3.4 catches per game which along with his other production makes him fantasy viable. Samaje Perine caught 55 passes on 360 snaps last season, that's a 15% pass catch rate last season. Should you care? Still no, because you don't need a statistic like that to tell me that a guy was a team's 3rd down RB last season and that 3rd down RB are going to catch more passes.
So, you are saying that you expect Zack Moss to significantly outsnap Chase Brown? That's the crux of your argument. If you believe that, that's fine.

I am not so convinced that will be the case. They were on different teams last year. Zack Moss got so many snaps, because Jonathon Taylor got hurt. If Jonathon Taylor never got hurt, his snaps would have been significantly less.

I think the most likely scenario (and maybe I'm wrong here) is that they will start with a relatively even snap share and whoever is better in those snaps will get more playing time throughout the year. So, with this scenario looking at how productive they are per snap, is actually very relevant.

If you think that it is set in stone that Zack Moss will get the majority of snaps, lets say a 70/30 split. You are correct. The efficiency metrics don't matter and Zack Moss will severely outperform Chase Brown, even if Brown is more efficient.

(Overall, I am just interested to see how this plays out. I can see either one of them taking over this backfield and being productive. I am in a league where we keep 10 players and I have both of them, so I am really just hoping that one of them takes over the backfield and this isn't an even split where they take turns having good/decent weeks or cannibalize each other, which is my fear)

I think so. He's the RB1 on the depth chart and in most situations, people accept that means he's going to be the guy. This is the only RB room in the league where people are willing to look at the depth chart and just ignore it. I don't know of another RB room in the league where people are advocating for the backup more than the guy actually listed as the starter.

Coaches have nuance. For instance, some teams literally have depth charts that say 1A and 1B, that's how they're referring to the competition in Tennessee. If that kind of coach speak was coming out of Cincinnati, then I would put credence in Chase Brown having a comparable workload. But this coach (Zac Taylor) in particular since taking over in 2019 has had no problem giving Joe Mixon the majority of the carries and snaps, he seems to like having a bell cow.



For me, I think the split will be similar to how Joe Mixon split carries with Samaje Perine the past couple of seasons. Perine had his role as a pass catcher, but the bulk of the snaps and carries went to Joe Mixon. Is Chase Brown better than Samaje Perine? I don't know, maybe, but I do know Samaje Perine had a higher YPC than Chase Brown the last four seasons played (4.5, 4.1, 4.5, 4.8). Maybe Zac Taylor decides to go full blown RBBC and maybe Chase Brown is a better RB than Zack Moss, but I don't see how anyone can logically conclude that would be the case based on the past history of usage and efficiency that we have to work with.


ZAC ON MOSS: Taylor has another different kind of weapon with the Joe Mixon trade yielding free-agent pickup running back Zack Moss and Taylor can't wait to use him.
"He's a great fit for what we're doing on offense," said Taylor, who noticed him on tape as they prepared to play the Colts last season. "He's spent most of his career in the (shot gun) in Buffalo and Indy. That's helpful. That's a big part of our offense as well."

After spending time with Moss, Taylor can see the comparisons to former Bengals running back Samaje Perine when it comes to professionalism and reliability.
"His demeanor. Just the way he carries himself. A lot of things that remind you about Samaje," Taylor said. "He's got a high football IQ, which translates well to pass protection. Good hands coming out of the backfield. I think he's a really patient runner. He does a good job of setting the backers at the second level, exploding through the hole. Really good fit for what we're doing. That's a guy we had targeted and it worked out for us."




Bengals Coaches Praise New Spark Zack Moss Will Provide​

Both Brown and Moss have the ability to rip off big runs. With Brown, it’s mostly about pure speed. With Moss, it’s more subtle and crafty.

“He’s a guy that really does a great job of churning out more than what’s initially there,” Pitcher said. “He has exceptional contact balance. He is decisive. He will hit small creases with decisiveness and carry acceleration through that. And that’s what allows him to rip through some of these tackles.

“He’s very natural spinning off the first defender, keeping his balance, staying north-south,” Pitcher said. “When you really dive into the tape, you see that over and over again. It’s like, ‘Man, these runs do not look like they should be 12-, 13-, 16-yard runs.’ And at the end of it, you’re like ‘Man, he squeezed out an extra eight there.'”

“I love his patience. I love his eye discipline. I love all the things he brings as a runner, as a guy in the backfield that the quarterback can trust,” Taylor said. “And so I think he’s a tremendous addition not only to our football team but to our offense and to our community.”


 
Drops are a sure way to lose trust with quarterback Joe Burrow, but Pitcher said he not only doesn’t have concerns about Moss in the passing game, either as a receiver or blocker, but he thinks he’s going to be a significant asset.


“I think he’ll be really good in the screen game because he’s the kind of guy you get in space and he’s got lateral quickness to make the first miss,” Pitcher said. “He’s got great block setup. Part of getting pass-catching production at the running back position is having the trust of the coaching staff to put you in there in those spots that you’re going to execute the protection element of it.

“With Zack, you have that guy, that No. 1, you trust to protect, and that is smart and can see when he can get out and get out quickly so that he becomes available,” Pitcher continued. “And when we do free-release him from the backfield, obviously he can do it. He has a really well-rounded skillset in a number of areas.”


 
Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?

Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.


I can sight read that math.
Brown had 14 catches on 93 snaps. Moss had 27 catches on 531 snaps. Sight math says Brown's catch rate was almost 3 times higher than Moss per snap.

Huge news for leagues that give points based on average catches per snaps played.
I mean, the thing to do here is admit you were wrong. Your logic was indeed fallacious - a false conclusion, if you will,

It’s just a suggestion in the name of good-natured discussion.

How am I wrong? I've been playing fantasy football for 20 years and have never seen anyone ever mention catches per snap, lol.

You can't catch passes when you're on the sidelines.

All my leagues score on total points per game. If you're resulting to calculating % of catches to snaps, then you're trying really hard to make an argument. You're the same person who was willing to throw away YPC but apparently you think average receptions per snaps played is a relevant statistic? Come on man, nobody here is claiming that Zack Moss is a better pass catcher.


My response was to when JohnnyU said that Zack Moss was a bad pass catcher. I used receptions per game for my analysis, because well, that doesn't require me to do a forensic analysis and create ratios that nobody has ever heard of before to make my point. Moss averaged about 2 catches per game and Chase averaged about 1 catch per game. That was their production last year. If you want to argue that's due to snap % while ignoring other stats like YPC, you can knock yourself out with that. If Chase Brown were to see more snaps, would he catch more passes? Yes, of course, the same way that if Zack Moss sees more snaps he will also see more passes. I'm not even going to get into the fact that a lot of Chase Brown's snaps were likely on 3rd and long where of course you're going to catch more dumpoffs because you need more than 4 YPC to get the first down, whereas Zack Moss was in on early downs and getting more totes of the rock.


My take away from his statistic was that Zack Moss severely outsnapped Chase Brown by over 438 snaps. Chase Brown could have caught a pass on 100% of his snaps last year and he still would have scored less points than Zack Moss last season. I repeat, you can't catch passes when you're on the sideline. If Zack Moss ends up with several hundred more snaps than Chase Brown this year, then it won't matter that Zack Moss only catches a pass on 5% of his snaps vs Chase Brown who caught passes on 15% of his snaps. Especially if Zack Moss continues to be more efficient (higher YPC) and score more TDs.


Bijan Robinson had 58 catches on 778 snaps last year, that's only 7.5% catch per snap percentage last season. Should you care? No, because he still averaged 3.4 catches per game which along with his other production makes him fantasy viable. Samaje Perine caught 55 passes on 360 snaps last season, that's a 15% pass catch rate last season. Should you care? Still no, because you don't need a statistic like that to tell you that a guy was a team's 3rd down RB last season and that 3rd down RB are going to catch passes at a higher rate than players who are primarily 1st, 2nd down thumpers.
That’s a lot of words to avoid saying you used a false conclusion fallacy.

Cmon.
 
Bengals Coaches Praise New Spark Zack Moss Will Provide
So a coach said good things about a FA they signed?

I’m not sure that’s ever happened before in the history of the NFL. Stop the presses!

I get it. You don't care that the OC and HC gushed about him all off season and have him listed as the #1 RB on the depth chart, have referred to him as a number 1 running back and stated that they plan to use him in the passing game. We should ignore all that and stats like YPC so we can focus on the fact that Chase Brown was targeted on 15% of his 91 snaps last season.


Got it! Have a great Friday. Zac Taylor could come into this thread and say Zack Moss is going to get 80% of the snaps and you would tell him you don't believe him, lol. Zack Moss had a stretch last season where he was putting up over 20 PPG and was scoring on par with what Christian McCaffery normally scores and guess what? You don't care about that either. It's not an actual conversation at this point. There is nothing that is going to change your mind if you're just going to throw away depth charts, stats, coach speak, and production as recent as last year.
 
Zack Moss is going to get 80% of the snaps and you would tell him you don't believe him, lol.
This is a strawman.

You have a habit of this. Did the coach at any point say either RB would get 80% of the snaps?

If not, I don’t understand the point of saying this.

Again, just trying to keep the discussion friendly and logical.
 
From FBG Jason Wood:
Busts
Drafting Moss as your RB2 is a recipe for mediocrity. He's a journeyman who strung together a solid four-game stretch for the Colts last year, but every other segment of his career, including a latter stretch for those same Colts late in the season, has been far less compelling. Chase Brown stands as good a chance, if not better, to be the Bengals' top running back.

Just offering up a counterpoint.
 
Whoever you choose in the CIN backfield, you should only really draft them if you are optimistic about Joe Burrow's health.

Over Zac Taylor's tenure, CIN RBs have ranked 29th, 20th, and 22nd in PPR points in the years where Burrow was not healthy. In his two healthy years, they ranked 6th and 13th.
 
From FBG Jason Wood:
Busts
Drafting Moss as your RB2 is a recipe for mediocrity. He's a journeyman who strung together a solid four-game stretch for the Colts last year, but every other segment of his career, including a latter stretch for those same Colts late in the season, has been far less compelling. Chase Brown stands as good a chance, if not better, to be the Bengals' top running back.

Just offering up a counterpoint.

Bro, are you kidding me right now? I can't bring up YPC, the depth chart, what the head coaches are saying... but you think bringing up what somebody who is non-affiliated with the Bengals organization says is a more credible argument? The heck with this, I'm going to enjoy my Friday.


This is almost as bad as talking to a Justin Fields truther.
 
From FBG Jason Wood:
Busts
Drafting Moss as your RB2 is a recipe for mediocrity. He's a journeyman who strung together a solid four-game stretch for the Colts last year, but every other segment of his career, including a latter stretch for those same Colts late in the season, has been far less compelling. Chase Brown stands as good a chance, if not better, to be the Bengals' top running back.

Just offering up a counterpoint.

Bro, are you kidding me right now? I can't bring up YPC, the depth chart, what the head coaches are saying... but you think bringing up what somebody who is non-affiliated with the Bengals organization says is a more credible argument? The heck with this, I'm going to enjoy my Friday.


This is almost as bad as talking to a Justin Fields truther.

I just posted a blurb from today’s newsletter.

Your YPC comment lacked context & was being used to make a point you failed to make.

Again, cmon.
 
From FBG Jason Wood:
Busts
Drafting Moss as your RB2 is a recipe for mediocrity. He's a journeyman who strung together a solid four-game stretch for the Colts last year, but every other segment of his career, including a latter stretch for those same Colts late in the season, has been far less compelling. Chase Brown stands as good a chance, if not better, to be the Bengals' top running back.

Just offering up a counterpoint.

Bro, are you kidding me right now? I can't bring up YPC, the depth chart, what the head coaches are saying... but you think bringing up what somebody who is non-affiliated with the Bengals organization says is a more credible argument? The heck with this, I'm going to enjoy my Friday.


This is almost as bad as talking to a Justin Fields truther.

I just posted a blurb from today’s newsletter.

Your YPC comment lacked context & was being used to make a point you failed to make.

Again, cmon.

No, you're right. You've convinced me. Jason Wood says Zack Moss is going to bust, I can't argue against that.

There's nothing left to discuss. You're right. Chase Brown is the starter and Zack Moss is terrible. Have a nice day.
 
No, you're right. You've convinced me. Jason Wood says Zack Moss is going to bust, I can't argue against that.

There's nothing left to discuss. You're right. Chase Brown is the starter and Zack Moss is terrible. Have a nice day.
Again, you seem to want to “win” this topic, often by bludgeoning us to death with BS.

Most of us are here seeking truth, not an argument.

The logical fallacies are where I draw the line though. If you can’t defend your arguments without them, or acknowledge when you’ve made them, then we can never agree on what the truth is.

Enjoy your day.
 
Was Moss ever considered the primary ball carrier (by design) in either BUF or IND? I know he did a good job filling in for Taylor in IND . . . but the Bills had Singletary and Cook and Taylor was the main RB cog for the Colts.

% of RB workload:
2020 BUF - 36.4%
2021 BUF - 30.8%
2022 BUF - 22.4% (Of the RB touches when he was on the team)
2022 IND - 34.7% (Of the RB touches when he was on the team)
2023 IND - 43.9%
 

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