Is now a good time to bring up that Zack Moss averaged more catches per game than Chase Brown did last year?
Chase Brown 14 catches in 12 games.
Zack Moss 27 catches in 14 games.
I can sight read that math.
Brown had 14 catches on 93 snaps. Moss had 27 catches on 531 snaps. Sight math says Brown's catch rate was almost 3 times higher than Moss per snap.
Huge news for leagues that give points based on average catches per snaps played.
I mean, the thing to do here is admit you were wrong. Your logic was indeed fallacious - a false conclusion, if you will,
It’s just a suggestion in the name of good-natured discussion.
How am I wrong? I've been playing fantasy football for 20 years and have never seen anyone ever mention catches per snap, lol.
You can't catch passes when you're on the sidelines.
All my leagues score on total points per game. If you're resulting to calculating % of catches to snaps, then you're trying really hard to make an argument. You're the same person who was willing to throw away YPC but apparently you think average receptions per snaps played is a relevant statistic?
Come on man, nobody here is claiming that Zack Moss is a better pass catcher.
My response was to when JohnnyU said that Zack Moss was a bad pass catcher. I used receptions per game for my analysis, because well, that doesn't require me to do a forensic analysis and create ratios that nobody has ever heard of before to make my point. Moss averaged about 2 catches per game and David averaged about 1 catch per game. That was their production last year. If you want to argue that's due to snap % while ignoring other stats like YPC, you can knock yourself out with that. If Chase Brown were to see more snaps, would he catch more passes? Yes, of course, the same way that if Zack Moss sees more snaps he will also see more passes. I'm not even going to get into the fact that a lot of Chase Brown's snaps were likely on 3rd and long where of course you're going to catch more dumpoffs because you need more than 4 YPC to get the first down, whereas Zack Moss was in on early downs and getting more totes of the rock.
My take away from his statistic was that Zack Moss severely outsnapped Chase Brown by over 438 snaps. Chase Brown could have caught a pass on 100% of his snaps last year and he still would have scored less points than Zack Moss last season. I repeat, you can't catch passes when you're on the sideline. If Zack Moss ends up with several hundred more snaps than Chase Brown this year, then it won't matter that Zack Moss only catches a pass on 5% of his snaps vs Chase Brown who caught passes on 15% of his snaps. Especially if Zack Moss continues to be more efficient (higher YPC) and score more TDs.
Bijan Robinson had 58 catches on 778 snaps last year, that's only 7.5% catch per snap percentage last season. Should you care? No, because he still averaged 3.4 catches per game which along with his other production makes him fantasy viable. Samaje Perine caught 55 passes on 360 snaps last season, that's a 15% pass catch rate last season. Should you care? Still no, because you don't need a statistic like that to tell me that a guy was a team's 3rd down RB last season and that 3rd down RB are going to catch more passes.
So, you are saying that you expect Zack Moss to significantly outsnap Chase Brown? That's the crux of your argument. If you believe that, that's fine.
I am not so convinced that will be the case. They were on different teams last year. Zack Moss got so many snaps, because Jonathon Taylor got hurt. If Jonathon Taylor never got hurt, his snaps would have been significantly less.
I think the most likely scenario (and maybe I'm wrong here) is that they will start with a relatively even snap share and whoever is better in those snaps will get more playing time throughout the year. So, with this scenario looking at how productive they are per snap, is actually very relevant.
If you think that it is set in stone that Zack Moss will get the majority of snaps, lets say a 70/30 split. You are correct. The efficiency metrics don't matter and Zack Moss will severely outperform Chase Brown, even if Brown is more efficient.
(Overall, I am just interested to see how this plays out. I can see either one of them taking over this backfield and being productive. I am in a league where we keep 10 players and I have both of them, so I am really just hoping that one of them takes over the backfield and this isn't an even split where they take turns having good/decent weeks or cannibalize each other, which is my fear)
I think so. He's the RB1 on the depth chart and in most situations, people accept that means he's going to be the guy. This is the only RB room in the league where people are willing to look at the depth chart and just ignore it. I don't know of another RB room in the league where people are advocating for the backup more than the guy actually listed as the starter.
Coaches have nuance. For instance, some teams literally have depth charts that say 1A and 1B, that's how they're referring to the competition in Tennessee. If that kind of coach speak was coming out of Cincinnati, then I would put credence in Chase Brown having a comparable workload. But this coach (Zac Taylor) in particular since taking over in 2019 has had no problem giving Joe Mixon the majority of the carries and snaps, he seems to like having a bell cow.
Read the recent NFL news and rumors about Tony Pollard for fantasy football. Tennessee Titans offensive coordinator Nick Holz sees running backs Tyjae Spears and…
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For me, I think the split will be similar to how Joe Mixon split carries with Samaje Perine the past couple of seasons. Perine had his role as a pass catcher, but the bulk of the snaps and carries went to Joe Mixon. Is Chase Brown better than Samaje Perine? I don't know,
maybe, but I do know Samaje Perine had a higher YPC than Chase Brown the last four seasons played (4.5, 4.1, 4.5, 4.8).
Maybe Zac Taylor decides to go full blown RBBC and
maybe Chase Brown is a better RB than Zack Moss, but I don't see how anyone can logically conclude that would be the case based on the past history of usage and efficiency that we have to work with.
ZAC ON MOSS: Taylor has another different kind of weapon with the Joe Mixon trade yielding free-agent pickup running back
Zack Moss and Taylor can't wait to use him.
"He's a great fit for what we're doing on offense," said Taylor, who noticed him on tape as they prepared to play the Colts last season. "He's spent most of his career in the (shot gun) in Buffalo and Indy. That's helpful. That's a big part of our offense as well."
After spending time with Moss, Taylor can see the comparisons to former Bengals running back Samaje Perine when it comes to professionalism and reliability.
"His demeanor. Just the way he carries himself. A lot of things that remind you about Samaje," Taylor said. "He's got a high football IQ, which translates well to pass protection. Good hands coming out of the backfield. I think he's a really patient runner. He does a good job of setting the backers at the second level, exploding through the hole. Really good fit for what we're doing. That's a guy we had targeted and it worked out for us."