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RB Jaylen Wright, MIA (1 Viewer)

I have mini man crush on Wright. Not have my baby man crush, but a crush nonetheless.
I'm with you there. It is very hard as a MIA fan to stay grounded though... Wright could be that guy getting 15+ carries a game with Achane mixing in with his 8-10 carries (and 5 targets). It may not happen for 2024 though but that is fine in dynasty. Re-draft/this year I need more info and see how training camp and pre-season play out.

Every rookie is over-hyped right now.
 
Great post by @menobrown

I like to look through the game logs https://www.footballguys.com/stats/game-logs/teams?team=MIA&year=2023

Achane week 13-18- averaged about 10.6 carries and 2.8 catches for 77 yards and 4 TDs = This would be RB2ish 14.5 points per game

Miami Total RB rushes and catches from week 11 on- avg 26.25 rushes, 5.125 catches.

One would suppose that it's Achane in the 9-12 rush/ 3 tgts per game range with other 14-18 rushes and 3 tgts going mostly to Mostert.
If one of Mostert or Achane goes down, Wright would see 10 rushes per game or so with whoever else is healthy getting an uptick. I don't see anyone taking over this backfield and Wright won't be a league winning guy this year. Maybe next year he'll have contingent upside but still go into redraft season assumed to be the less ppr friendly half of the backfield split with Achane.

I need to look into Achane's ADP- I've done almost zero in-season prep work so curious to see where he's going.
 
Great post by @menobrown

I like to look through the game logs https://www.footballguys.com/stats/game-logs/teams?team=MIA&year=2023

Achane week 13-18- averaged about 10.6 carries and 2.8 catches for 77 yards and 4 TDs = This would be RB2ish 14.5 points per game

Miami Total RB rushes and catches from week 11 on- avg 26.25 rushes, 5.125 catches.

One would suppose that it's Achane in the 9-12 rush/ 3 tgts per game range with other 14-18 rushes and 3 tgts going mostly to Mostert.
If one of Mostert or Achane goes down, Wright would see 10 rushes per game or so with whoever else is healthy getting an uptick. I don't see anyone taking over this backfield and Wright won't be a league winning guy this year. Maybe next year he'll have contingent upside but still go into redraft season assumed to be the less ppr friendly half of the backfield split with Achane.

I need to look into Achane's ADP- I've done almost zero in-season prep work so curious to see where he's going.
If Wright ends up winning the 3rd RB spot this year (I hope he does) then wheels up. If they trust the vets more for 2024 (Wilson, Brooks and they still have Ahmed on the team) then it is a long road for Wright in 2024.

This is the same for every rookie coming into the league with established vets in front of them. The vets HAVE done it before and until the rookies prove they are better it isn't a slam dunk. I think it would be great long term for Wright and Achane to be the guys but for now the coaches love Mostert and have Wilson there for a reason. He's a solid RB that knows the playbook and is trusted by the coaches.

I hope Wright can outplay Wilson, Ahmed and eventually Mostert but right now I can't do that in redraft leagues. WIlson and Ahmed could be cut this year and if so that means Wright is making progess but until then he's just a hopeful.
 
Waldman likens him to Mostert, seems like a perfect fit. Good value in dynasty for a patience play. Has an incredible top gear and runs with much more power than Achane. Not sure on vision as he ran against light boxes due to TEN spread offense, but if he can find space he gets there quickly.
 
Waldman likens him to Mostert, seems like a perfect fit. Good value in dynasty for a patience play. Has an incredible top gear and runs with much more power than Achane. Not sure on vision as he ran against light boxes due to TEN spread offense, but if he can find space he gets there quickly.

-I don't know about Dynasty but...Redraft '24

Achane - RB8 (20th overall) Mid to late 2nd Rd
Mostert - RB25 (82nd overall) Late 7th/early 8th
J. Wright - RB49 (148th overall) 12-14th round section

You know that Achane cannot handle the entire NFL load, at most he would take 50% if Mostert were to miss time which could include a simple week off in the middle of the season or before the Playoff run starts in about November when they travel to GB on Turkey Day, that's when the schedule really heats up for Miami with the Jets twice and a road game in Cleveland.

The Mostert/Wright combo is cheap or you could just take a flyer on Wright and wait for one of the 2 Miami RBs to miss time, hate to frame it that way.
 
He looks like he fits the Miami offense like a glove
Had a spectacular debut last night, now put him on ice until September, we don't need to see him again
Bingo. I am not sure I would be as high on him if he were drafted by any other team, he is perfect in Miami. However, if he catches on quick he is going to make a mess of this backfield for FFers for this year. Love him in dynasty as a patience play who I think will pay off handsomely.
 
I'm not touching the Miami backfield, unless Mostert falls big time. Achane is a better receiver and was elite as a runner last year, especially in outside zone runs. They trust Mostert and he was also great by pff and other metrics. There's only 1 ball.
 
I'm not touching the Miami backfield, unless Mostert falls big time. Achane is a better receiver and was elite as a runner last year, especially in outside zone runs. They trust Mostert and he was also great by pff and other metrics. There's only 1 ball.
Mostert is old, and he’s been hurt a fair amount over the years. I’m willing to gamble with the odds on my side that he either a) gets hurt or b) simply is cooked sooner than later. But then again, I don’t play in redraft leagues, so my comments are dynasty focused.
 
Happens every single preseason...

Eric Gray & Jaylen Wright so far.

Shipley & Irving will probably have a big game too.

And when the season starts...?

FWIW I can't speak to any of their talent levels but, of the six 4th round RBs, it seems like Gray has the least talent in front of him. Possibly Bucky Irving too but the Bucs seem to like Rachaad a quite a bit more than the fantasy community.
 
Sure, temper expectations, it was a few carries.

I would say that watching his carries, I was impressed by his vision in traffic. Instincts looked good. And when he was drafted, a question mark was playing TEN offense, he never saw stacked boxes, and it was tough to evaluate him. So if he didn't look entirely comfortable right off the bat in the NFL, I would understand. He didn't look tentative to me.

AND he's a physical marvel. Lots to like for a guy who didn't/won't cost his owners much.
 
Happens every single preseason...

Eric Gray & Jaylen Wright so far.

Shipley & Irving will probably have a big game too.

And when the season starts...?

FWIW I can't speak to any of their talent levels but, of the six 4th round RBs, it seems like Gray has the least talent in front of him. Possibly Bucky Irving too but the Bucs seem to like Rachaad a quite a bit more than the fantasy community.
Gray has upside of a competent backup imo. Wright is Taylor made for the Miami offense and was one of my biggest targets in dynasty based on where he was going. He is one of the better pass protectors and has above average hands. Blazing speed and has much more power than Achane which lend to the possibility of future goal line carries in a dynamic offense. All aboard…
 
I’m in a 5 keeper league, so I’m down with drafting Wright and letting him rot on my bench all season to see where his value is next summer.
 
Full blown man crush, but it probably won’t happen fully this year without injury.
He’s behind two guys who get hurt. He’ll have meaningful chances to put up stats by week 8.
I never bet / count on injuries. It’s a foolhardy endeavor.
I’m betting on two injury prone guys, and the reality that one of them is already 32 years old. Ancient for a RB.
It’s OK to pretend not to wish for it, but not something to automatically expect to happen. No one is a bigger Wright fan than me. I drafted him in 4 of 6 dynasty leagues.
 
Jaylen is the best RB on the roster right now on arguable the best offensive team. Easy smash.
It's still early. I doubt if Wright is better than Achane as a receiver (they wanna throw more to the backs in 2024) or in the open field where moves matter. Achane also has great vision. Wright will be better at breaking tackles, inside runs.

Best offensive team? The run game suffered after Connor Williams went down, and now Robert Hunt is with the Panthers. Also, some of the run TDs will be pass TDs if they use the TEs near the GL; 0 TDs to TEs in 2023. Temper expectations for all Miami RBs.
 
I like Wright, but I think Achane is being greatly undersold as an elite talent. Great situation for Miami to be in though, they certainly know how to evaluate skill position talent.
Undersold?

He has second round ADP
I'm talking about the idea of the people who don't like him seemingly writing him off as just a COP RB, or that Wright is somehow a better prospect. He's well deserving of that 2nd round ADP in my eyes.
 
I like Wright, but I think Achane is being greatly undersold as an elite talent. Great situation for Miami to be in though, they certainly know how to evaluate skill position talent.
I like Wright, but I think Achane is being greatly undersold as an elite talent. Great situation for Miami to be in though, they certainly know how to evaluate skill position talent.
Undersold?

He has second round ADP
I'm talking about the idea of the people who don't like him seemingly writing him off as just a COP RB, or that Wright is somehow a better prospect. He's well deserving of that 2nd round ADP in my eyes.
Is Wright being drafted ahead of Achane? I’m not seeing that.
 
I like Wright, but I think Achane is being greatly undersold as an elite talent. Great situation for Miami to be in though, they certainly know how to evaluate skill position talent.
Undersold?

He has second round ADP
I'm talking about the idea of the people who don't like him seemingly writing him off as just a COP RB, or that Wright is somehow a better prospect. He's well deserving of that 2nd round ADP in my eyes.
It will be interesting to see how this balances out. I really do not think Wright will see the field too often unless they really limit Mostert. If Mostert goes down I think Wright may see goal line area touches. This has a chance to turn into a real mess however. I do agree with you on Achane’s talent, just not sure how aggressively Miami will protect his durability. The great part about Achane is he does not need a lot of touches to make a difference.
 
Sure, temper expectations, it was a few carries.

I would say that watching his carries, I was impressed by his vision in traffic. Instincts looked good. And when he was drafted, a question mark was playing TEN offense, he never saw stacked boxes, and it was tough to evaluate him. So if he didn't look entirely comfortable right off the bat in the NFL, I would understand. He didn't look tentative to me.

AND he's a physical marvel. Lots to like for a guy who didn't/won't cost his owners much.
:goodposting:

:popcorn:
 
I have it as Benson, Wright, Brooks in that order for talent. However, if all the cards fall into place, Wright has the highest upside from a fantasy standpoint and I don't think it is even close. He looks like Mostert out there but younger and without all the injuries/mileage.
 
If I'm drafting Achane in round 2, I'm probably also going after Mostert in round 8 AND I'll grab this guy as well as a lotto ticket.
Doing a slow draft right now where I achieved the first two of those accomplishments and will be adding the third soon. It already feels better than last year when I just had Achane.
 
I have it as Benson, Wright, Brooks in that order for talent. However, if all the cards fall into place, Wright has the highest upside from a fantasy standpoint and I don't think it is even close. He looks like Mostert out there but younger and without all the injuries/mileage.
I feel like you are vastly underrating Jonathan Brooks talent. He doesn't have the knee injury, he's probably a 1st round pick. I'd also very much argue Brooks has the most fantasy upside as well, as once he's up to full speed, the Panthers offense is likely built around him. That's not going to be the case for Benson or especially Wright.
 
He looks like he fits the Miami offense like a glove
Had a spectacular debut last night, now put him on ice until September, we don't need to see him again

Yeah he looked good.

Is it a concern at all that Wilson played the entire 1st quarter even with Achane and Mostert sitting? Do you think they'll keep 4 rbs?
 
I'm not touching the Miami backfield, unless Mostert falls big time. Achane is a better receiver and was elite as a runner last year, especially in outside zone runs. They trust Mostert and he was also great by pff and other metrics. There's only 1 ball.
There is the reason for Dolphins trading away their 2025 3rd round to draft Wright in 4th round, which is to hedge l bets with their current RBs (Mostert, Achane, and Jeff Wilson). I believe McDaniel want to score fast with their speedy and explosive WRs to get multiple TDs lead by early 3rd quarter and then pound their opponent to oblivion. McDaniel was Kyle Shanahan's run offensive coordinator.
 
He looks like he fits the Miami offense like a glove
Had a spectacular debut last night, now put him on ice until September, we don't need to see him again

Yeah he looked good.

Is it a concern at all that Wilson played the entire 1st quarter even with Achane and Mostert sitting? Do you think they'll keep 4 rbs?
Wright is still an unknown at the NFL level vs good defenses, but he looks the part thus far.

They should keep 4 RBs. They trusted Wilson in key carries to win the Dallas game, but Chris Brooks is younger and bigger and cheaper, maybe faster, than Wilson. I'd keep Brooks as RB 4, he won't clear waivers.
 
If I'm drafting Achane in round 2, I'm probably also going after Mostert in round 8 AND I'll grab this guy as well as a lotto ticket.
Depends on your league and roster size, but to me that’s too much roster concentration and limiting roster upside. Maybe it’s just me, but I’m not a big handcuff guy unless it’s really late and other options are really poor.
 

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