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RB Joe Mixon, HOU (1 Viewer)

With the profanity laced tirade on the parking attendant, does it show Mixon hasn't changed?  Some GMs think so.  Dalvin Cook and Joe Mixon are both high risk / high reward players.  Both will test dynasty owners gambling nature.

 
Gotta wonder if it wouldn't be a shark move, if Mixon went to GB or PHI, to take him with the 1.01 and then shop him for a massive king's ransom thinking that he might sabotage himself in the future.

 
Gotta wonder if it wouldn't be a shark move, if Mixon went to GB or PHI, to take him with the 1.01 and then shop him for a massive king's ransom thinking that he might sabotage himself in the future.
why not just trade the 1.01 if you are going to do that?

 
Drafted to a team that knows how to use his skills and deal with the PR issues. A little crowded for the short term but I like Cinci a lot for him.  The off field issues cost him at least a full round draft position in the eyes of the NFL. If he's a clean prospect, he's a top 10 pick if not the first RB off the board. Top 6 rookie draft picks are solidified and I know exactly who I am taking #1 in the only league I have that pick.

 
Bengals selected Oklahoma RB Joe Mixon with the No. 48 overall pick in the 2017 NFL draft.

Mixon (6’1/228) was the Lightning to Samaje Perine’s Thunder as a Sooner, compiling a career 300/2,027/17 (6.8 YPC) rushing line with 65/894/9 (13.8 YPR) receiving. Also a standout pass-protection back, PFF College charged Mixon with just one QB hurry allowed on 48 blocking snaps. Mixon’s career 8.00 yards-per-touch average dwarfs Leonard Fournette (6.63), Christian McCaffrey (7.02), and Dalvin Cook (7.05), and Mixon’s workout metrics are eerily similar to Ezekiel Elliott’s with 4.43-4.50 speed, a 35-inch vertical, and 21 reps on the bench. Mixon’s off-field woes have been well documented, but his on-field talent isn’t in any doubt. Long term, he has Ricky Watters-level upside as a combination runner-receiver. Mixon's addition could make Jeremy Hill available for trade in Cincy. Hill has shown nothing since his rookie year, and Mixon should have no trouble passing him on the depth chart.
 
2017 NFL Draft Live Analysis: Fantasy Football Values

Excerpt:

Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Mixon, RB – As a pure player, Mixon is the most talented running back in the draft, and he will lead the Bengals backfield right away. Obviously, Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hillare still in the mix, so would could see a committee with Mixon leading the way. As for Mixon, he has a NFL build, some of the best acceleration and quickness with a class-leading lateral ability. With the depth of this backfield, Mixon is behind Fournette in the rankings. However, there was talk about the Bengals souring on Hill completely, and Bernard has injury concerns. I would bet on Mixon being the lead and commanding the majority of work before long. He’s a RB2 with RB1 upside in this offense.
 
I see my future. A week from tonight I'll be  glued to my TV/twitter when the draft starts hoping like mad that Eagles, Raiders or Saints jump the Bengals pick at 2.9.  This is a team that won't even cut Adam Jones. Some say he could go undrafted or they would not be surprised if he falls to middle rounds. I'm saying right now I'm surprised if he lasts past pick 41.
Well they got him at pick 48 instead but I saw it coming all night like a slow moving horror scene.

 
Drafted to a team that knows how to use his skills and deal with the PR issues. A little crowded for the short term but I like Cinci a lot for him.  The off field issues cost him at least a full round draft position in the eyes of the NFL. If he's a clean prospect, he's a top 10 pick if not the first RB off the board. Top 6 rookie draft picks are solidified and I know exactly who I am taking #1 in the only league I have that pick.
You're taking Mixon ahead of Fournette?

 
??? The have experience with it -- because they keep drafting troubled players. But they also continuously have trouble with those players.
Any answers to why they dont win playoff games? If I could only take a few guesses why, one would be a complete and total mismanagement of your roster. Teams loading up with 3 RBs is dumb. How many 2nds they use on their RBs and cant figure it out? What good is Mixon if your line is trash? Nevermind, whats the point... owners like Mike Brown are not trying to win a SB, if they were Lewis would have been gone long ago.

 
??? The have experience with it -- because they keep drafting troubled players. But they also continuously have trouble with those players.
I'd suggest watching the post draft interview if you believe in Mixon. Wow, the coaches really like him. But hey, if you are inclined to pass on him I would certainly never talk you out of that COA. In fact, I hope everyone in every single one of my leagues passes on him. I have a 1.04 pick also in a league and would really like to land him there as well.  Seriously, everyone needs to focus on what happened three years ago and not on his football skills or the what the coaches think about him. Then have rotoworld write up something saying that he might be an H-back or something (like they were doing for David Johnson after the draft) and everyone can repeat that ad nauseam. I'm counting on everyone here to mobilize and really drive down his draft stock. Don't let me down!

 
I'm counting on everyone here to mobilize and really drive down his draft stock. Don't let me down!
ESPN certainly did their part. The first thing they showed after he was picked was show the video as if we never saw it, and gave us their solemn "this is graphic" warning as if our virgin eyes would be unable to handle it. 

 
I'd suggest watching the post draft interview if you believe in Mixon. Wow, the coaches really like him. But hey, if you are inclined to pass on him I would certainly never talk you out of that COA. In fact, I hope everyone in every single one of my leagues passes on him. I have a 1.04 pick also in a league and would really like to land him there as well.  Seriously, everyone needs to focus on what happened three years ago and not on his football skills or the what the coaches think about him. Then have rotoworld write up something saying that he might be an H-back or something (like they were doing for David Johnson after the draft) and everyone can repeat that ad nauseam. I'm counting on everyone here to mobilize and really drive down his draft stock. Don't let me down!
I wasn't saying to take or to pass on him.

I was saying that Cincys track record with troubled players isnt a good thing. You can admit that and still want to draft him.

 
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??? The have experience with it -- because they keep drafting troubled players. But they also continuously have trouble with those players.
Seems to be a pretty common misconception in here.  It was definitely a fair argument 5 years ago, but in recent years, the past 5 to be precise, 6 arrests by Bengals, half of those were Adam Jones, and the other three are no longer with the team.

The teams with the least number of arrests over the last 5 years:

BUF 5, CAR 3, DAL 5, HOU 2, MIA 4, NE 5, NO 4, NYG 5, OAK 4, SD 1, WAS 3.  

The Most:

IND 12, SF 13.

I'm not justifying anything, but simply pointing out that saying the Bengals "continuously have trouble" with those players is more perception than reality from a legal standpoint, at least in comparison to most other NFL teams.  

 
You're taking Mixon ahead of Fournette?
I did. Might have been stupid, but I've never been a huge Fournette believer and I think Mixon's skill set is better suited to PPR leagues because he's a much more dynamic weapon in the passing game. Also, while it's generally a terrible practice to pass on a top 10 NFL draft pick for a 2nd rounder, Mixon's situation is a little bit different and renders his draft slot somewhat illegitimate.

I think Fournette will be a multiple 1000+ yard rusher in the NFL, but I've never felt he's quite the player they've built him up to be. You hear the name Peterson mentioned and I just don't see that. Fournette has power and speed to be sure, but I don't see consistently great feet/cuts/agility. Mixon is the only back in the draft who combines size, elusiveness, speed, and receiving skills. Others might have 2-3 of those things, but nobody else is the total package.

If he pans out, you've got a top 3-4 dynasty RB in the mold of Bell/Forte/DJ/etc.

 
I'd suggest watching the post draft interview if you believe in Mixon. Wow, the coaches really like him. But hey, if you are inclined to pass on him I would certainly never talk you out of that COA. In fact, I hope everyone in every single one of my leagues passes on him. I have a 1.04 pick also in a league and would really like to land him there as well.  Seriously, everyone needs to focus on what happened three years ago and not on his football skills or the what the coaches think about him. Then have rotoworld write up something saying that he might be an H-back or something (like they were doing for David Johnson after the draft) and everyone can repeat that ad nauseam. I'm counting on everyone here to mobilize and really drive down his draft stock. Don't let me down!
Hey that's great. Didn't really address the post you quoted, but that's great.

 
Hey that's great. Didn't really address the post you quoted, but that's great.
My apologies for not addressing every silly thought, but I'll make an exception for you and your silly thought.

Cinci has the organizational backbone and coaching staff to absorb the PR heatround for taking a chance on a player with Mixon's history.  I could care less if they have had troubles in the past with other players or what their winning percentage and playoff records are.  Drafting Mixon is not for everyone and I'm not looking for elite character out of my fantasy RBs, I'm looking for elite skill sets on teams that know how to maximize those skills for the next 3 to 5 years. Nothing else.

 
Watching ESPN Insiders today with Dan Graziano and Louis Riddick and they had a segment called "Offensive Rookies to Watch".  They had a list of 10 offensive rookies and they ranked the top 5 for potential success their rookie season.  On the list were the obvious ones and oddly included Mitch Trubisky yet missing on the entire list of options was Joe Mixon.  

I think everyone agrees that what Mixon did was reprehensible but ESPN making a moral statement by not even including him on the list is frustrating.  I would like to hear peoples opinions on Mixon on the field and to include a list that had Trubisky but not Mixon is too much for me.  

 
Watching ESPN Insiders today with Dan Graziano and Louis Riddick and they had a segment called "Offensive Rookies to Watch".  They had a list of 10 offensive rookies and they ranked the top 5 for potential success their rookie season.  On the list were the obvious ones and oddly included Mitch Trubisky yet missing on the entire list of options was Joe Mixon.  

I think everyone agrees that what Mixon did was reprehensible but ESPN making a moral statement by not even including him on the list is frustrating.  I would like to hear peoples opinions on Mixon on the field and to include a list that had Trubisky but not Mixon is too much for me.  
Isn't that 'Insiders' stuff you gotta pay for? if so, no wonder they are laying people off.

 
Isn't that 'Insiders' stuff you gotta pay for? if so, no wonder they are laying people off.
ESPN is failing because they are focusing on politics and letting their real analysis of sports go the route of the dinosaur. It's sad. But, maybe something else will rise in the shadows of ESPN as it burns to the ground, something else that will actually just focus on sports. 

 
Isn't that 'Insiders' stuff you gotta pay for? if so, no wonder they are laying people off.
No, it's a show called NFL Insiders. 

As Dan said, they are failing because they are unwatchable with their social and moral editorials.  I ignore CNN for that stuff, don't put it in my sports programming.

 
No, it's a show called NFL Insiders. 

As Dan said, they are failing because they are unwatchable with their social and moral editorials.  I ignore CNN for that stuff, don't put it in my sports programming.
That and people want more content over theatrics. Stuart Scott was the beginning and the end for ESPN

 
ESPN is failing because they are focusing on politics and letting their real analysis of sports go the route of the dinosaur. It's sad. But, maybe something else will rise in the shadows of ESPN as it burns to the ground, something else that will actually just focus on sports. 
It's got nothing to do with politics and has everything to do with people not having to buy cable because of other options.

 
It's got nothing to do with politics and has everything to do with people not having to buy cable because of other options.
I can only speak for myself but I've never not had cable and I've not watched Sportscenter in over 10 years and that used to be one of the highlights of my day.

Now a lot of that does in fact have to do with other options, but those options just became a lot more attractive then watching ESPN non game content, save for a few 30 for 30's.

 
I can only speak for myself but I've never not had cable and I've not watched Sportscenter in over 10 years and that used to be one of the highlights of my day.

Now a lot of that does in fact have to do with other options, but those options just became a lot more attractive then watching ESPN non game content, save for a few 30 for 30's.
If you have a cable package with ESPN, then they are still getting paid for your "subscription". 

The growing number of cordcutters is more directly affecting their bottom line.

 
If you have a cable package with ESPN, then they are still getting paid for your "subscription". 

The growing number of cordcutters is more directly affecting their bottom line.


Solid point  and I'm sure people cutting subscriptions is the is the #1 financial issue but they are not HBO either, meaning they make money selling advertising space.  I don't work in that industry to know impact on lower eyeballs watching your programming but I would think it impacts how much advertising dollars you bring in, which for all I know is a small piece of their financial puzzle but got to think it matters some. ETA- I actually looked this up but only found data from 2014 and that year advertising dollars accounted for $3.9B and $6.3B came  from cable affiliates and these two revenue sources accounted for all but $1B of ESPN's $11.2M revenue.  So advertising for sure is big part of revenue but I can't possibly know how much that declines when less people watch.

But my point and I think the one some others were making is if the product was good enough the issue of cutting subscriptions would not so bad. It would still exist if ESPN was as good as they have ever been because of the changing demographics of people who watch sports but the product still matters.

Sorry Joe Mixon truther's probably not what you came here to read up on.

 
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Watching ESPN Insiders today with Dan Graziano and Louis Riddick and they had a segment called "Offensive Rookies to Watch".  They had a list of 10 offensive rookies and they ranked the top 5 for potential success their rookie season.  On the list were the obvious ones and oddly included Mitch Trubisky yet missing on the entire list of options was Joe Mixon.  

I think everyone agrees that what Mixon did was reprehensible but ESPN making a moral statement by not even including him on the list is frustrating.  I would like to hear peoples opinions on Mixon on the field and to include a list that had Trubisky but not Mixon is too much for me.  
Yep.  The same company that takes a stance against Mixon has employed people like Ray Lewis before.  As I've learned most people that make these public political stances are the biggest hypocrites in the world.

 
It's got nothing to do with politics and has everything to do with people not having to buy cable because of other options.
Then why aren't other networks drastically cutting staff? Can we just cut ESPN from our DirecTV and cable packages? Because if so let me know how and I will call DirecTV today. You pay for a TV service you are paying for ESPN. That simple. 

It has everything to do with politics. People don't want to be lectured. They don't watch ESPN for CNN talking points. They want to watch it for sports. And it's become far less about sports. I don't understand how other networks are doing very well but ESPN is the only one cutting staff if it's all about cutting the cord... 

Anyways, back to Mixon! 

 
Then why aren't other networks drastically cutting staff? Can we just cut ESPN from our DirecTV and cable packages? Because if so let me know how and I will call DirecTV today. You pay for a TV service you are paying for ESPN. That simple. 

It has everything to do with politics. People don't want to be lectured. They don't watch ESPN for CNN talking points. They want to watch it for sports. And it's become far less about sports. I don't understand how other networks are doing very well but ESPN is the only one cutting staff if it's all about cutting the cord... 

Anyways, back to Mixon! 
ESPN gets a ginormous amount of  money for each cable subscription. They're significantly more impacted by the cord cutting.  This isn't an opinion. There are tons of articles out there that provide the stats that back his up.

 
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Bengals offense transforms overnight

Excerpt:

"I think I bring the piece they were missing. I feel like I'm going to be very dynamic in that offense," Mixon said. "I really feel like John Ross and I are going to bring something to the table that they've never seen before. We're basically looking forward to coming up there. Of course the ultimate goal is us getting to the Super Bowl."

"With the guys on the other side of the ball like A.J. Green, Tyler BoydTyler Eifert and an amazing quarterback in Andy (Dalton), and just to be contributing with the speed component, I feel really good about the opportunity to play on this offense," Ross said. "A.J. is going to get attention, so it's a great opportunity."

The Bengals have declared war on the AFC North defenses with kind of offensive players that have given them fits in the past. Ross is the answer to the Ravens' speed receivers and Mixon is the answer to the Steelers' big backs that can also catch. Think Le'Veon Bell, a good receiver out of the backfield who devastates with the vision and power Mixon displays.

"When he caught the ball you'd see a lot of catches and highlights coming out of the backfield. He had a couple one-handed catches and different things like that that show off his ball skills," Caskey said. " "The (ball skills) are top notch. They're the kind that you can trust. He can catch the ball. He brings it in with his hands, he doesn't let it get into his body when he's running the ball, he can make people miss in space, he can run people over, he's 228 pounds, ran a mid-4.4, and has the agility and space of a smaller back."

With running back Giovani Bernard's quicksilver rehab from a torn ACL putting him on the  path to training camp, Mixon may get some work early in the season.

"I'm so excited, I can hardly stand myself," said offensive coordinator Ken Zampese.  "This guy can flat go - very, very good football player - strong, explosive, change of direction, feel and instincts, catches the ball, can move him around on different places of the field, interviewed football very well, protections, explained his offense well ... I think he has a very, very bright future."

That includes special teams, where Mixon returned five punts and two kickoffs last season for a total of 504 yards and a TD. Take Ross' 23 touchdowns on his last 112 touches and Mixon's 26 touchdowns in 25 games that include nine touchdowns and, well, how else is a team that barely averaged 20 points per game supposed to respond?

The Bengals got their men. Ross was their top-rated receiver. Mixon was their third-rated back. They never got out of the best-player mode. Even though they risked losing Mixon by sliding to No. 48 from No. 41, they figured that extra fourth-round pick would yield another solid player. If Mixon wasn't there, there were edge rushers there in the mix like Kansas State defensive end Jordan Willis. They ended up with both.

"We felt good about some players that were there on the board at that point, so we felt good about that. That's why we took the opportunity to add the other pick - maybe we can do something positive with the other pick as far as moving around," Lewis said. "That's what (Bengals director of player personnel) Duke (Tobin) felt good about - that we people there we felt good about if Joe had gone, that we'd still be in good shape with others."

But reminders of draft day risks that never panned out are always there. Mixon was taken with the 48th pick. The last time they took a player there Georgia middle linebacker Odell Thurman had a Rookie of the Year season before never playing another snap because of addictions. Yet the Bengals have done enough due diligence on Mixon that they are now wondering how to use him best on the field.

"He's dynamic - we can put him anywhere on the field," Caskey said. "There's a lot of things he can do that can help us, not only in the run game, but in the pass game. He brings explosiveness to our offense that's good to have with a guy like that. He's a very, very high talented guy. Getting him in the building and getting him in our offense is exciting for us, because there's a lot of things we can do."

 
If I am leaning to drafting RB, I am having a difficult time shaking the notion to draft Mixon 1.1 in 12 team ppr rookie draft.  Patience with him establishing himself as a true 3 down back may reap better rewards over the long haul.  Bengals offense seems more poised than Jags at this point.  Not convinced that McCaffrey is that much better over time.  

All 3 of Fournette, Mixon, and McCaffrey look to be promising prospects.  I just have hunch that Mixon's future sustained production seems more likely.

 
Saw it for Adrian Peterson, Ezekial Elliott, and Ladainian Tomlinson too.  Not sure what any of that means.
What it means is once you get past the talent, it comes down to desire, which is hard to figure out before you draft the guy. The first 3 didn't have it, 2 of the next 3 do, Elliott is too early to tell but looks quite promising.

 
What it means is once you get past the talent, it comes down to desire, which is hard to figure out before you draft the guy. The first 3 didn't have it, 2 of the next 3 do, Elliott is too early to tell but looks quite promising.
Yep, it's all projection at this point.  But Mixon damn sure looks the part.  

 
Mixon love is incredible 

I saw the same love for Ronnie Hillman, Trent Richardson, Monty Ball etc
What the heck is even the parallel here?  That they're all football players?  I don't understand how any of these guys are more relevant to Mixon than to any other RB to ever come in to the league.

 
Saw it for Adrian Peterson, Ezekial Elliott, and Ladainian Tomlinson too.  Not sure what any of that means.
And you'll find love for this year's crop of rookies. Time will tell which are the real deal and which are not.  FWIW, I drafted Trent Richardson & RGIII at #2 & #3 their rookie years. Pretty much EVERYONE in pros & fantasy at the time viewed them as can't miss prospects.   The point being that we all are prone to wrongly evaulating these blue chip rookies.

 
And you'll find love for this year's crop of rookies. Time will tell which are the real deal and which are not.  FWIW, I drafted Trent Richardson & RGIII at #2 & #3 their rookie years. Pretty much EVERYONE in pros & fantasy at the time viewed them as can't miss prospects.   The point being that we all are prone to wrongly evaulating these blue chip rookies.
I still don't get your point.  So you're saying there is a risk with a player?  No kidding, that's why there is an 18 page discussing him instead of a 1-page plaque with his hall of fame induction speech.

And why this thread to bring this point up, as opposed to literally any other thread about a player on this forum?  I mean, at least if you had said "people were high on Maurice Clarrett too" there would have been a connection there.  

 
I still don't get your point.  So you're saying there is a risk with a player?  No kidding, that's why there is an 18 page discussing him instead of a 1-page plaque with his hall of fame induction speech.

And why this thread to bring this point up, as opposed to literally any other thread about a player on this forum?  I mean, at least if you had said "people were high on Maurice Clarrett too" there would have been a connection there.  
I didn't originally raise the point. I was replying to and agreeing with the counterpoint. And yes that was my point, simply that all untested rookies do have risk.  You're right. One of the  purposes of the entire process of posting here on this message board website is for us to work through &  discuss the players and their impact on the game to try and work through the perceived risks to see if we could draft the right players to make our fantasy teams into winners. Maurice Clarrett is another great example. You get it. That is my point. 

 
And you'll find love for this year's crop of rookies. Time will tell which are the real deal and which are not.  FWIW, I drafted Trent Richardson & RGIII at #2 & #3 their rookie years. Pretty much EVERYONE in pros & fantasy at the time viewed them as can't miss prospects.   The point being that we all are prone to wrongly evaulating these blue chip rookies.
No such thing as a can't miss prospect. In fact, rg3 had a lot of questions about whether his game would translate. It did, until his game changed due to injury. Can't predict that. Trich was hyped for a solid year before he was drafted- I think this happens a lot, you hear how great this guy will be over and over and over and expect top 10 numbers out of the gate. Kind of like fournette this year, or Chubb, who was hyped last year for this draft, and will continue to be until next year. I'm not saying those guys are busts, but the longer you've heard a name the more comfortable you may be with that player, maybe helping you to overlook shortcomings in talent or opportunity. 

That draft in particular was terrible for skill guys, showing that the professionals are just as bad. Blackmon, wright, aj jenkins, weeden, all 1st rounders that haven't really done much. 2nd round is bad too. 

 
The problem is when a player that receives a lot of hype, such as Mixon, falls flat on his face those that descent from the popular opinion puff their feathers out and strut around saying "I told you so." Unfortunately that's what a lot of the "predictions" have become; who is right and who is wrong and who can brag and who has to sulk away and never come back to that thread unless the situation turns back toward their favor. We can't just have a conversation about a player and let whatever happens happen. 

Mixon may be an awesome RB. He may just absolutely suck. He could hit a woman and be banished from the NFL. He could be average. Who cares. He has potential to be really good; his talent is exceptional. Many of us are excited over it and rightfully so. No one here knows for sure what will happen, and none of us pretend to. 

What is most helpful with the forums and these threads is for all of us to gather as much opinion, facts, and predictions as we can and make our own opinions based on that. It's great that people disagree with me and think Mixon is going to either repeat his violent incident or he will just not do well in the NFL. I enjoy reading peoples' reasoning for this. It challenges my own thoughts and opinions and will either solidfy my opinion or will potentially change it. Debating for the next 6 months whether or not Mixon will win rookie of the year honors is ridiculous. Debating if he should go 1.01 in rookie drafts is very legitimate. 

Mixon is a polarizing NFL figure because his most major incident was captured on video. That causes people to form opinions and take sides. It's natural a thread on him would generate a lot of pages and a lot of differing opinions. I just hope we can all respect each other's opinions and offer legitimate counter points to help us all either reaffirm our beliefs or take other factors into consideration coming into his rookie season regarding expectations and long term value. 

 
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Yep.  The same company that takes a stance against Mixon has employed people like Ray Lewis before.  As I've learned most people that make these public political stances are the biggest hypocrites in the world.
OT, but what's wrong with Ray Lewis?  I know there's the running joke that he's a murderer, but he's clearly not.  And the guys who did it were found in court to have acted in self defense, even.  

 

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