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RB Michael Carter, ARZ (15 Viewers)

Michael Carter rushed 13 times for 38 yards and a touchdown, adding one reception on three targets for -4 yards in the Jets' Week 4 win over the Titans.

The fourth-round rookie has emerged as New York's RB1, but that might not be a super valuable role given the state of the Jets' offense. He should be rostered in every league as a flex option in a pinch, but until he either wrestles a larger share of pass-catching work or improves his efficiency, he's better left on the bench.
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Scooby1974 said:
Like, Zoiks!? Did somebody say Scooby?

Picked me up a Michael Carter.........this week is the week he arrives.
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Looks like a solid flex play. His projections are creeping up but I'm still not sure why. Looks like the rushing / receiving workload is being projected correctly. I feel it can only go up from here...albeit he got stuffed at the goal line and was pushed in by his o-line lol

 
TampaMike19 said:
Looks like a solid flex play. His projections are creeping up but I'm still not sure why. Looks like the rushing / receiving workload is being projected correctly. I feel it can only go up from here...albeit he got stuffed at the goal line and was pushed in by his o-line lol
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I'm certainly not in love with him, but he at least looks startable against ATLANTA.

 
pretty much the RB1 now - 51% snap count last week and out touching both vets in the 1st half today

since it's the Jets none of that may mean much

 
Michael Carter rushed 10 times for 38 yards in Week 5 against the Falcons.

Carter was the Jets' lead back, getting 10-of-17 designed runs. He was removed at the goal-line for Ty Johnson, who vultured a one-yard score, but was more involved in the pass game this week, catching all three of his targets for 20 yards. Tevin Coleman was a distant third behind Carter and Johnson, seeing just three touches in a matchup with his former team. Carter should continue to see the most carries going forward, but the Jets' backfield is a situation to avoid.

Oct 10, 2021, 1:45 PM ET
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Pretty quiet around here about a guy that is putting up some points in PPR leagues and is now the unquestioned top guy on his (albeit really bad) team.

His snap count %'s were 45-50% from weeks 2-5. Week 7 it shot up to 72%. It's possible that's due to Ty Johnson's head injury in game 7 (he is now back at practice and not in concussion protocol), but Johnson's snap counts have been pretty steady for the past 3 games at: 20,22,21.

The bigger story is his usage in the receiving game, with a whopping 9 targets last weekend, catching 8 for 67 yards. Not saying he'll get 9 targets every week, but he has had 3 targets every week except the first, and I could easily see him starting to average 5 with more snaps and the raw QB play sure to be upcoming. 

Low RB2/high RB3 moving forward with some upside. That's probably worth getting a little optimistic about whether it's redraft or dynasty.

 
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(fantasypros) Michael Carter racked up 104 scrimmage yards en route to a solid outing in any PPR format.

Analysis: The former Tar Heel looked to have fully taken over the Jets backfield coming out of the bye. He played on 72% of the snaps and handled 11 of the 17 total carries. He was only able to muster 37 scoreless yards, but he was the preferred runner. He also received nine targets, which paced the team. He caught eight of them for 67 yards. While he did not find the end zone, the rookie put himself on the backend RB2 radar in full-PPR leagues. Fantasy managers shouldn't be afraid to fire him up as a solid flex play moving forward. He does, however, receive a solid downgrade in standard-scoring leagues.

(Article Link)
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Adso said:
Low RB2/high RB3 moving forward with some upside. That's probably worth getting a little optimistic about whether it's redraft or dynasty.
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He was a life saver as an RB2 last week for me.  Usage increasing every week  and he appears to be the main guy now.  Had he scored last week, he would be the talk of the town.  I’m optimistic.  I’d imagine they need to continue to lean on the run game with Wilson going down.  

 
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Lion to myself said:
He was a life saver as an RB2 last week for me.  Usage increasing every week  and he appears to be the main guy now.  Had he scored last week, he would be the talk of the town.  I’m optimistic.  I’d imagine they need to continue to lean on the run game with Wilson going down.  
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I am cautiously optimistic here. He could pull a sort of C. Patterson Jr. role down the stretch here. I like that they are getting him the ball in space.

 
Seems his role is increasing even on a bad team.  Grabbed a share of him in one league to be behind Swift and Najee.  And in front of Miles Sanders.  Allowing me to play Patterson at WR over the middling Cooks these days with Mills at QB.

 
Trying to figure out what to think about him as a runner, I found a couple more semi-interesting tidbits.

For all RB's with at least 50 carries this season so far, he is:

  • 38th in yards before contact per attempt
  • 24th in yards after contact per attempt
  • 19th in broken tackles per attempt
Matt Bitoni has the Jets OL ranked 29th. The numbers above seem to bear that out and suggest MC is getting more than the line is giving him; not at an elite rate by any means, but pretty well above average.

If he were to get the same 2.3 yards before carry that the RB's in the middle of the pack on this list are getting (2.3 ybc/att) his total yards to date would be 243 with a ypc of 4.18 on the year. That's not too of a terrible performance given the bad team, bad OL play and a rookie QB. He is outplaying his situation to some extent already; should the team improve around him, he could end up being a legitimate gem.

Data came from here.

 
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I own two shares of Michael Carter and cautiously optimistic with his increasing role. I'm watching him trending up the board. I have played him a couple times and he's done well. What to do moving forward. He's definitely a hold and possible play in a league where RB's always seem to be slim pickins through injury attrition. I have dangled him in trades to no avail. It's not like a NYJ RB is in high demand on a team not scoring too many points, playing from behind (hence a few more receptions for Carter), and is not necessarily a hot commodity, yet. I'm glad I picked him up off the FA waiver wire for free and remain cautiously optimistic that he can be put into a line up. Now, another good game or two and others may begin to take notice.

It seems like Michael Carter is moving close to bottom end RB 2 and for sure Flex start depending upon match ups, bye weeks, team line ups, etc. That's a nice trend. FBG's have him at RB #24 ROS in one of my leagues, and RB #23 in another. Not too bad. That essentially qualifies as a low end RB #2. This week he starts in a Flex spot on one of my teams and on the bench in another. 

 
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I have seen him play two full games against the Pats and he definitely passes the eyeball test...I like what I see with him...he is in a tough situation but he looks the part...he can run and his receiving ability will hopefully lead to some quality garbage time points...with RBs being slim picking I would be real careful dealing him, especially in Dynasty unless you are getting a solid RB back in the deal...one thing that does give me caution is I have been unimpressed with the Jets coaching staff so I'm not overly optimistic things are going to get better too quickly there.

 
I like what I saw this past week, but I wasn't happy that Ty Johnson received the goaline carries when they were close before Ty Johnson got concussed. I think Carter would have a much larger role if Ty wasn't a factor, Ty alone had 6 catches-65 yards. A big what if those were all Michael Carter plays....

 
I also like his future, but I haven't seen where I can use him yet.  That day is coming and I hope the jets get better in the off-season.  That team is a mess.

 
Team Smokin' said:
I own two shares of Michael Carter and cautiously optimistic with his increasing role. I'm watching him trending up the board. I have played him a couple times and he's down well. What to do moving forward. He's definitely a hold and possible play in a league where RB's always seem to be slim pickins through injury attrition. I have dangled him in trades to no avail. It's not like a NYJ RB is in high demand on a team not scoring too many points, playing from behind (hence a few more receptions for Carter), and is not necessarily a hot commodity, yet. I'm glad I picked him up off the FA waiver wire for free and remain cautiously optimistic that he can be put into a line up. Now, another good game or two and others may begin to take notice.

It seems like Michael Carter is moving close to bottom end RB 2 and for sure Flex start depending upon match ups, bye weeks, team line ups, etc. That's a nice trend. FBG's have him at RB #24 ROS in one of my leagues, and RB #23 in another. Not too bad. That essentially qualifies as a low end RB #2. This week he starts in a Flex spot on one of my teams and on the bench in another. 
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You'd be better off trading a better name value player and just start Carter- He looks like he will be RB2 viable rather shortly.

 
Week 8 Fantasy Football Stats: Chargers' run D holding Justin Herbert back?

Excerpt:

Mike Carter ran a route on over 60% of the dropbacks in Week 7

There are a lot of competing factors here. We can choose to believe that this is a permanent bump in playing time for a talented rookie coming out of the team’s bye or this could be a matter of circumstance. We have to remember that Ty Johnson missed some time with a concussion but the fact that Tevin Coleman was out of the mix could be encouraging if it opens up more chances for Carter to shine.

Carter is only going to hit home if he functions as a pass-catcher. There’s a chance that backup Mike White and veteran Joe Flacco, while not possessing the theoretical ceiling of Zach Wilson, can run the offense inside of structure better than the rookie. That could include more dump-offs to Carter instead of scrambling outside of the pocket and pointing down the field waiting for a miraculous play that never comes.
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Whoa. Stud. Where did THAT come from? Never in my wildest dreams imagine 27 half ppr points from a jet. Their whole team barely accomplishes that feat lol

 
TampaMike19 said:
Whoa. Stud. Where did THAT come from? Never in my wildest dreams imagine 27 half ppr points from a jet. Their whole team barely accomplishes that feat lol
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Helped that Corey Davis was out to help him soak up a lot more targets, but make no mistake that the kid is for real.

 
Blowing up on benches all over the FF world - RB1 in PPR

Nice to see. Should be noted Ty Johnson also had a monster PPR week (RB9)

 
How legit do we think yesterday was? Haven't gotten to watch many Jets games (thank you, Jebus) but he's been putting up fairly consistent production for the last month.

Planning on rolling him out next week on Fournette's bye. I have Hubbard and Herbert, both of whom could turn back into pumpkins next week, and I figure Carter has the most guaranteed volume. Also, strictly by the numbers the Colts look like a bad match-up vs RBs, but if you dig in it's mostly a function of them not allowing TDs, which I would imagine is not a particularly sticky stat. In terms of yardage, plenty of RBs have had good games against them.

 
ignatiusjreilly said:
How legit do we think yesterday was? Haven't gotten to watch many Jets games (thank you, Jebus) but he's been putting up fairly consistent production for the last month.

Planning on rolling him out next week on Fournette's bye. I have Hubbard and Herbert, both of whom could turn back into pumpkins next week, and I figure Carter has the most guaranteed volume. Also, strictly by the numbers the Colts look like a bad match-up vs RBs, but if you dig in it's mostly a function of them not allowing TDs, which I would imagine is not a particularly sticky stat. In terms of yardage, plenty of RBs have had good games against them.
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Obviously can't expect that kind of production each week as the Jets offense stumbles, but overall I think he's legit. He may not be able to hold up as a workhorse, but not sure he needs to be. Has good burst/vision, catches the ball extremely well, and surprisingly adept between the tackles. Perhaps even more impressive was his blitz pick-up on a few occasions yesterday.

 
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menobrown said:
How is a 4th round RB doing this???
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Not sure if it was facetious, but happens all the time with RBs - with some exceptions, NFL teams by and large don't place a lot of value on the RB position and there a lot of talented guys that just don't get drafted until later in the draft by virtue of the position they play.

Mitchell was a 6th rounder, and there are countless other examples of RBs who have blossomed despite draft capital.

 
Foosball God said:
Current dynasty owners view him as worth multiple 1st round picks.  Current dynasty non  owners view him as a 2nd round pick.
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As a dynasty owner, no way do I think he's worth multiple 1sts.  Also, no way I'm trading him for a 2nd when that's where I drafted him.  

 
Shopping him while he is hot.

Been middling around with Claypool, Sutton, Cooks at WR (well, Patterson some days as WR...Najee and Swift my other RBs).  

Guy came after Swift with Deebo...can't quite do that...so offering up Carter as a counter (but also guy needs TE so giving up Henry and trying to pull back a Dallas for Buffalo D swap in the middle of all of it).

Im sure Im going to get a counter of straight up Carter for Deebo possibly if the guy likes him.

(Note...this was the Henry owner...guy is #1 in the league but now hurting big time at RB.

 
Hes a hold IMO, unless you get proven wr2 talent. I wouldn't trade for a Claypool wr3 type. I'd take woods, cooks, deebo, but those will be tough to get done 

 
menobrown said:
I could not hit reject fast enough if someone offered me Cooks or Woods for Carter.
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Agreed. Just saying if the guy was suffering at the position to maybe get that WR plus a RB combo 

Of course it makes sense to shop Carter to see if you can land a RB1 somehow in a combo trade, but the fact that he's on the Jets and that somewhat knowledgable fantasy players don't think that 8-9 receptions back to back games is sustainable on the Jets will turn people off. That said, he's a great hold then. Enjoy the production. I just hope he has a 3-5 reception per game minimum going forward. It's great for his fantasy value.

I also enjoy the fact that he had a 9 yard TD rush and he's generally staying on the field in the red-zone. Ty Johnson made a hell of a play for his TD but it's possible Carter could've gotten that one too 

 
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stud RB. time to trade for him has passed. his value has skyrocketed to the point where he's almost untouchable.

watch them give him 20 carries/gm, 10-12 tgts/gm going forward. 

 
Picked him up cheap in full PPR league and planing to start him this week with Swift on bye and CEH still dinged up.  Hoping those targets keep coming his way. 

 
For fantasy purposes, I hope he sees this volume moving forward, however I watched the game, the Bengals did not adjust their defensive scheme one time in the game. The RB's were open 4-5 yards down field for the Mike White checkdown every single pass play. It was sad to watch as a Bengals fan. While Carter looked good this game, I would temper expectations moving forward on a bad Jets team, volume should be there, but production too early to tell imo. 

 
Timmay said:
For fantasy purposes, I hope he sees this volume moving forward, however I watched the game, the Bengals did not adjust their defensive scheme one time in the game. The RB's were open 4-5 yards down field for the Mike White checkdown every single pass play. It was sad to watch as a Bengals fan. While Carter looked good this game, I would temper expectations moving forward on a bad Jets team, volume should be there, but production too early to tell imo. 
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Same for Ty Johnson, who was also a Top Ten back in half/PPR week 8. I view this game as an anomaly, not necessarily a harbinger of what is to come in the second half of the season.

 
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