Ghost Rider
Footballguy
77% of the touches sounds about right, which would give 20+ to Williams (unless a 3rd back nabs a few touches here and there). I could see Bell getting 25 touches or so a game, while Williams gets 7-9, when averaged out over a span of games (since I see there being games where Williams hardly gets on the field and others where game situations see him getting 10+). That is kind of what I have said all along, in so many words.Doesn't matter; games where he doesn't play are games where your FF #1 RB doesn't get points for you.
You, yourself stated that "part of being the best is being lucky enough to stay healthy." The exact same sentiment applies to being lucky enough to avoid legal drama. In the 3 years Bell has been in the NFL, he has been "lucky" enough to play in more games than Peterson, while scoring more fantasy points.
Anyway, to your original point about the Steelers giving more touches to Williams; that's not how they operate. In Bell's career in Pittsburgh, he has gotten 77% of the RB touches in games he has played. That includes 79% in his rookie year (before he was "established" as a bona-fide stud NFL RB); getting 77% of the touches the week after he was knocked unconscious in a game against the Ravens his rookie year; and receiving 84% of the touches after his two-game suspension to start last year, during which DeAngelo Williams was 2nd in the league in rushes AND rushing yards.
The Steelers have shown no indication (past practice, nor coaches comments) that they will limit Bell's workload, either because they are worried about his injury history (see his 1st game as a rookie, coming off an injury, before the bye-earlier than expected where he got 80% of the RB touches AND his game after the concussion) or because of a capable/excellent backup (see split with Blount in 2014 AND split with DWill in games 3-8 from 2015). You can think they will limit his touches, but there is no basis for that belief.
Have you actually ready my posts? I have not once said that Williams is better than Bell or that he was going to steal a ton of his work. All I have done is pointed out that he was more productive last year from a "per touches" standpoint and has likely earned himself more touches this year when both are healthy, while acknowledging that Bell is still the man who will get the lion's share of the touches.Yeah and when Williams spelled Bell in those games he was garbage. What's your point? You think Williams is better than Bell? Do you honestly think that? If you're going to lower Bell's value over things like knee injuries where his knee was bent backwards by another player you have you lower Peterson's value on the chance he could beat his children again. I mean I understand the risk involved with Bell's injury past but Peterson has a lot of miles and is pretty old. I don't see AP as a significantly less injury risk.
Anyway back on topic because I know you're not saying Peterson is better at this stage in his career in the real NFL or in FF. If you think Williams is going to steal a ton of work from Bell I'd have to say after viewing past usage rates I disagree completely and I'm not worried in the slightest about Bell's usage going forward. The other concerns you mentioned in that post were legit though and need to be cooked into his price.