fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
Agree
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*** San Francisco 49ers *** Aiyuk remains a holdout (15 Viewers)
- Thread starter Wingnut
- Start date
Wingnut
Footballguy
I put $20 on em last May at 9/1. Also put $20 on DET at 22/1 and $20 on BAL at 20/1.
Just like last season where I had SB bets on 3 of the final 4 teams and KC screwed me. I feel they're gonna do it again.
ChiefD
Footballguy
Congrats on the win.
Wingnut
Footballguy
We were one of the 3 losses in white last time we played yall. We can do it again.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Never bet on my teams. If they win, I'll be happy anyway. I do often bet on their opponents in big spots, since then if they lose I soften the blow with a little payday. Had some money on Detroit last week, and got some down on KC as well. Purely emotional plays - if I lose I think of it like "paying" to guarantee the win for SF.
Wingnut
Footballguy
Moody has missed eight field goal attempts and one extra point. Here’s how he missed them:
- Preseason 1: 40 yards, wide left
- Preseason 1: 58 yards, wide right
- Week 6: 54 yards, wide left
- Week 6: 41 yards, wide right
- Week 7: 40 yards, wide right
- Week 18: 38 yards, wide right
- Week 18: extra point, wide right
- Divisional: 48 yards, blocked
- Conference: 48 yards, wide right
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
Have taken Niners annually for 3 straight years on the futures. The year they lost to the Rams I got them at something like +16 or !800 IIRC, that would've been nice.
The money is a bonus. Since they made it this year, I don't need to make any other bets, boxes, or anything stupid. My team is playing, if they win great, if they lose, the money is just material.
I'm not much of a gambler since I hate losing more than I enjoy winning. The 49ers winning the SB is prob the one and only scenario I would enjoy them winning more than anything, and I'd like to profiteer off it as well. If they lose, it's misery regardless, so whatever.
Man, it would be great if they could wear the throwback white jerseys.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
Purdy Porn
www.youtube.com
They Don't Realize What Brock Purdy is Doing - QB Film Breakdown | Chase Daniel Show
Chase Daniel Patreon Community:https://bit.ly/PatreonCDChase Daniel Show brought to you by LAUNCH HYDRATE! Use code CHASE for 40% off! Focus, Recovery, and ...
www.youtube.com
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
You got this.
Wingnut
Footballguy
Nick Bosa to Brock Purdy in the 49ers locker room: “Did you think you’d be this good?” video:
ChiefD
Footballguy
You are a formidable foe my friend. Much like the niners this year.
I just hope the Chiefs can play a good solid game. The offense simply cannot score 17 points and expect to win against the niners. This game is gonna be played in the 20's at least, and I'm honestly not sure the Chiefs can get there.
Refreshing to see someone truly enjoying the experience of their favorite team making it to the Big Game
If you watch either of the Niners' playoff games, that should help assure you that it is indeed possible, likely even.
The Brock Purdy effect
But yeah, pretty wild especially when you consider the draft capital they gave up to get him. A lot of teams would have been stubborn and felt they had to save face. Glad the 49ers didn't stack one mistake on top of the other.
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
There might be a few hundred people in the world as excited for this game as I am. My kids at 7 and 11 are even more pumped, just enhancing it for me. The questions I get from them are smarter than 3/4 of the stuff I read on a football message board. Furthermore, I’m hosting a SB party with roughly 30 or so people. If all of that isn’t enough, financially, it’s a pretty nice windfall if they win.Refreshing to see someone truly enjoying the experience of their favorite team making it to the Big Game
The outcome here is completely binary. From a mental aspect, I need to be somewhat prepared if the outcome is the one I do not like.
Now if you’ll excuse me, I gave ChiefD a taste in SB thread, he’s continuing to look for more. He needs to understand, when the text goes off to a friend in a FF matchup, they go running, I’m going to have to show him why.
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
Line is down to 1.
I am still surprised SF opened as the favorite.
I suspect by the time the game gets here (or sooner) it will be SC +1.5 or +2
ETA - just checked and it’s back at SF -2
Wild.
I am still surprised SF opened as the favorite.
I suspect by the time the game gets here (or sooner) it will be SC +1.5 or +2
ETA - just checked and it’s back at SF -2
Wild.
Random thoughts from my rewatch of the NFCCG:
Chase Young wasn't quite as bad as I thought. Yes, he was bad, and he had some awful lack of effort plays and a couple times where he just got wiped out by a WR. But he did have a couple tackles for losses and did a better job of setting the edge through the rest of the game than I had thought initially. What stuck out to me was Kinlaw getting dominated and Gregory doing who knows what on a bunch of plays. Gregory is just bad.
Brock's first half wasn't as bad as I thought. He made some huge throws while getting drilled. The pick was on a play where his arm got hit. This might be an absurd take and certainly counter to conventional wisdom, but I think he needs to be ready to tuck it and scramble out of the pocket more often. He doesn't have the size and strength to sit in the pocket like Dan Marino and deliver a strong throw downfield while getting pulverized by a 280 lb lineman and a lot of his awful throws are from him getting hit while he's releasing. But he does have the lower body strength, speed, and pocket awareness to get out and buy himself more time and space. That's going to be really important in the Super Bowl when Chris Jones is going to be regularly beating the Niners' interior line.
The narrative that the Niners got lucky and caught all the breaks in the second half is incomplete at best, IMO. If that 50 yard pass to Aiyuk is incomplete, the Niners are still marching down the field anyway. That Lions D wasn't getting any stops in the second half. Also, the Lions got a huge break when they got away with a blatant roughing the passer at the beginning of the 4th quarter. That basically cost SF 4 points. Ambry Thomas also dropped an easy interception in the 4th as well that kept the Lions in it.
The only Dan Campbell call I had a problem with was the 4th & 3 with 7 mins left in the fourth. That was a long 3 yards, and Detroit was not moving the ball easily on SF at that point like they had been in the first half.
Chase Young wasn't quite as bad as I thought. Yes, he was bad, and he had some awful lack of effort plays and a couple times where he just got wiped out by a WR. But he did have a couple tackles for losses and did a better job of setting the edge through the rest of the game than I had thought initially. What stuck out to me was Kinlaw getting dominated and Gregory doing who knows what on a bunch of plays. Gregory is just bad.
Brock's first half wasn't as bad as I thought. He made some huge throws while getting drilled. The pick was on a play where his arm got hit. This might be an absurd take and certainly counter to conventional wisdom, but I think he needs to be ready to tuck it and scramble out of the pocket more often. He doesn't have the size and strength to sit in the pocket like Dan Marino and deliver a strong throw downfield while getting pulverized by a 280 lb lineman and a lot of his awful throws are from him getting hit while he's releasing. But he does have the lower body strength, speed, and pocket awareness to get out and buy himself more time and space. That's going to be really important in the Super Bowl when Chris Jones is going to be regularly beating the Niners' interior line.
The narrative that the Niners got lucky and caught all the breaks in the second half is incomplete at best, IMO. If that 50 yard pass to Aiyuk is incomplete, the Niners are still marching down the field anyway. That Lions D wasn't getting any stops in the second half. Also, the Lions got a huge break when they got away with a blatant roughing the passer at the beginning of the 4th quarter. That basically cost SF 4 points. Ambry Thomas also dropped an easy interception in the 4th as well that kept the Lions in it.
The only Dan Campbell call I had a problem with was the 4th & 3 with 7 mins left in the fourth. That was a long 3 yards, and Detroit was not moving the ball easily on SF at that point like they had been in the first half.
Yep, I don't think it was pass interference because the DB was playing the ball, but it was a great read and throw.
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
Yea, really wonder who the shield is rooting for?
nypost.com
Taylor Swift has generated a whopping $330 million for NFL with Travis Kelce romance
The NFL’s favorite love story is certainly a lucrative one.
nypost.com
Wingnut
Footballguy
Chiefs' defense since Week 10:
EPA/play: #19
Success Rate: #9
EPA/pass: #13
EPA/rush: #30 (!!)
Explosive Rush Rate: #20 (!!)
Chiefs' rush defense to the edges has been especially bad, that's the area where they've been taken advantage of.
EPA/play: #19
Success Rate: #9
EPA/pass: #13
EPA/rush: #30 (!!)
Explosive Rush Rate: #20 (!!)
Chiefs' rush defense to the edges has been especially bad, that's the area where they've been taken advantage of.
Wingnut
Footballguy
Efficiency Rankings of #49ers' playoff opponents (since Week 10):
Offense:
Packers: #2
Lions: #5
Chiefs: #12
Defense:
Packers: #25
Lions: #27
Chiefs: #12
Mahomes is the great equalizer, but this might be the worst offense SF has faced all postseason, but the best defense.
Offense:
Packers: #2
Lions: #5
Chiefs: #12
Defense:
Packers: #25
Lions: #27
Chiefs: #12
Mahomes is the great equalizer, but this might be the worst offense SF has faced all postseason, but the best defense.
Wingnut
Footballguy
I don't know how this is possible, but the Chiefs have only scored 30 points 3 times this season (Bears, Raiders, Chargers).
49ers scored 30 points 10 times this season.
Mahomes is Mahomes, but I don't know if the Chiefs have the ability to play in a shootout.
49ers scored 30 points 10 times this season.
Mahomes is Mahomes, but I don't know if the Chiefs have the ability to play in a shootout.
Wingnut
Footballguy
Oh they want KC to win and Swift on the stage with Kelce for the Lombardi hoisting, no doubt.Yea, really wonder who the shield is rooting for?
Taylor Swift has generated a whopping $330 million for NFL with Travis Kelce romance
The NFL’s favorite love story is certainly a lucrative one.
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
So what’s the genius going to dial up?
I’m seeing a lot of Deebo/CMC in the backfield together, with a lot of motion trying to confuse the defense. He’s def going to try and showcase the genius stuff during the game.
I’m seeing a lot of Deebo/CMC in the backfield together, with a lot of motion trying to confuse the defense. He’s def going to try and showcase the genius stuff during the game.
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
Commercial came on for NFC Championship apparel, kids wanted some 
I set that shirt on fire if they don’t win the SB, who buys those? I’ll get them a SB shirt if they win.
I set that shirt on fire if they don’t win the SB, who buys those? I’ll get them a SB shirt if they win.
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
Tampa Bay Bucs NFC South Champs
I’d lol if I saw someone wearing something like that.
I’d lol if I saw someone wearing something like that.
Seahawk Fans would wear “2023 NFC wildcard champs” proudly. Well, if they had actually been able to win enough games to get a wildcard anyway
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ChiefD
Footballguy
I don't know about that. The NFL and CBS will get everything they need just by having her show up.Oh they want KC to win and Swift on the stage with Kelce for the Lombardi hoisting, no doubt.Yea, really wonder who the shield is rooting for?
Taylor Swift has generated a whopping $330 million for NFL with Travis Kelce romance
The NFL’s favorite love story is certainly a lucrative one.
One thing I thought that was pretty cool at the AFC championship game was CBS not interviewing her. I'm guessing they went to her people before the game and she said "do not even bother. I will not be doing interviews at all, especially if the Chiefs win."
It was telling to me that sure, they showed her, but Traci Wolfson or nobody that I could tell was trying to squeeze in for an interview. Tells me she doesn't really want to be part of the show. (but clearly she has to be despite that).
If the Chiefs miraculously somehow won this thing, I would be shocked if she went up on the stage at all, much less talk.
Wingnut
Footballguy
When you have Mahomes, a reverse jinx isn't necessary and has no power. It's like reverse jinxing the Chicago Bulls back in the Jordan days, they're gonna win regardless.
I don't think Swift will speak after they win, but she will 100% be on stage with Kelce when they present the trophy. There's zero chance she's not IMO.
Wingnut
Footballguy
The 49ers will fly the entire organization — from office staffers to interns — to Las Vegas for Super Bowl LVIII. There will be multiple charter jets making the trip, per owner Jed York
York also revealed that Kyle Shanahan told him he thought Brock Purdy would be SF's best quarterback all the way back in training camp of 2022 — when Purdy was still a rookie and the 49ers had both Jimmy Garoppolo and Trey Lance on the roster.
Shanahan's quote, according to York: "I think our third-string quarterback is our best quarterback."
Later, York added that Shanahan said "I think that Brock will be our quarterback at some point."
York also revealed that Kyle Shanahan told him he thought Brock Purdy would be SF's best quarterback all the way back in training camp of 2022 — when Purdy was still a rookie and the 49ers had both Jimmy Garoppolo and Trey Lance on the roster.
Shanahan's quote, according to York: "I think our third-string quarterback is our best quarterback."
Later, York added that Shanahan said "I think that Brock will be our quarterback at some point."
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Wingnut
Footballguy
KPShow:
Nick Bosa on if anything stands out when watching the Chiefs offensive tackles: "They hold a lot."
On what he can take from last season's home defeat to the Chiefs: "Definitely some things that I need to be ready for because they were gameplanning me in that game."
From @geoffschwartz:
Since 2019 (including playoffs):
Jawaan Taylor and Donovan Smith rank #1 and #3 in holding penalties
Since 2020 (including playoffs):
Jawaan Taylor leads the NFL in pre-snap penalties
Certainly a point of emphasis from Bosa for a reason. Feels like they’re trying to highlight this as much as possible leading up to the game to make sure the refs are aware and looking for this.
Nick Bosa on if anything stands out when watching the Chiefs offensive tackles: "They hold a lot."
On what he can take from last season's home defeat to the Chiefs: "Definitely some things that I need to be ready for because they were gameplanning me in that game."
From @geoffschwartz:
Since 2019 (including playoffs):
Jawaan Taylor and Donovan Smith rank #1 and #3 in holding penalties
Since 2020 (including playoffs):
Jawaan Taylor leads the NFL in pre-snap penalties
Certainly a point of emphasis from Bosa for a reason. Feels like they’re trying to highlight this as much as possible leading up to the game to make sure the refs are aware and looking for this.
JohnnyU
Footballguy
Way to go Lee Harvey. Glad to see it isn’t another MAUTO guy.
ChiefD
Footballguy
JohnnyU
Footballguy
AAA
JohnnyU
Footballguy
One of the best posts I’ve ever read here. Very funny
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
Listen guy, we’re gonna have to watch Taylor Swift and Kelce hoist the Lombardi trophy together… no need to toss all their endorsements in our face too!
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
Don’t like Jed, but still a good move!
Wingnut
Footballguy
Look about 10 posts up
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
I got lost in the MAAUTO talkLook about 10 posts up
Wingnut
Footballguy
6 things 49ers can learn from SB LIV loss to Chiefs
www.nbcsportsbayarea.com
Six things 49ers can learn from Super Bowl LIV loss to Chiefs
Matt Maiocco uncovers a half-dozen lessons the 49ers can learn from their previous Super Bowl experience against the Kansas City Chiefs.
www.nbcsportsbayarea.com
6 things 49ers can learn from SB LIV loss to Chiefs
Six things 49ers can learn from Super Bowl LIV loss to Chiefs
Matt Maiocco uncovers a half-dozen lessons the 49ers can learn from their previous Super Bowl experience against the Kansas City Chiefs.
You mean scoring TDs is better than FGs? Who knew? I don't remember the distance needed for the 1st downs on the FGs in that game, but kicking FGs was not the reason they lost that game. Pretty much all on Jimmy melting down in the 4th quarter (2.3 QBR in 4th quarter). I cut him a little slack because I think he was concussed after the two helmet to helmet hits that didn't get called, but plays were open and he missed the throws. He played pretty well the first 3 quarters with the exception of a couple knucklehead throws, one a pick and one that should have been a pick. Mahomes made a couple dumb throws too so hopefully that happens again.
I do agree with the point about not giving Deebo more touches in the run game or on short passes late. Deebo was wide open in the flat for an easy first down and possibly a huge play in crunch time and Jimmy didn't check down. Easy flip but he tried to force it and one of the plays that Jones batted down.
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