Snowmageddon 2022 (2 Viewers)

[Swing 51]

I think Sheik is in the Philly burbs.

 

[Otis]

I think Sheik is in the Philly burbs.

So sorry to hear that.

JK good buddy weathernerd.

 

[Steve Tasker]

Still going pretty strong here. Colder temps yesterday but back into the mid-high 40s later this week. Possible snow on Monday but doesn't look killer at this time. A mere 2.9 inches of snow total for December 2015 and 1.32 inches in November at my local weather station. 0.15 so far four days into January. Hard to believe that 7 feet fell in some spots in November a year ago.

 

[Koya]

Monday is looking less and less exciting if you are a snow lover in my area. The pattern change really takes effect that day, so while it would have been awesome to have a storm on the first day of the pattern change, not a huge deal it's going to most likely be a miss. The week is ahead is still ripe with storm signals, and those will most likely continue into mid March.

Where is your area, so I know how relevant this is to us East Coast folks?

Itchin' to unleash the Karacken, eh?

 

[TheIronSheik]

I think Sheik is in the Philly burbs.

So sorry to hear that.

JK good buddy weathernerd.

Yes. I am in the NW suburbs of Philly.

The way this works is, we start out with models in long range. They see the pattern change and start to run scenarios based off of those projections. As we get to the mid range outlook, the models are still using "best guesses" as to the data from weather systems over the Pacific. These systems, once they come ashore, can actually be sampled and real data is arrived from them. That real data is then put into models and the mid range models get a better idea of what's going on.

Going into today, the models are still using best guess data. And those models are showing a warmer solution for Monday. Some models are pushing the low inland and some are out to sea. Either way, the end result is not great for snow lovers. It ranges from rain, rain to a little snow or even nothing, depending how far inland you are. The system getting ready to come ashore is the system that will hit Friday night. It is pretty much a nuisance system, but it will determine what the system behind it does. The latest model runs are actually shifting this back to possibly being something good. But again, the real test will be over the next 3 or so runs as "real" data is fed into the models.

At this point, I'd say a good snow is about a 35% chance of happening.

 

[Nick Vermeil]

I may have said this already, but I have 4 buckets of snow melt this year after running out last year after the first storm. So NO SNOW FOR NYC.

 

[TheIronSheik]

You want storm signals? You got 'em! It's like the Oprah Winfrey Show around here. You get a storm signal! You get a storm signal! You all get a storm signal!!!

First off, the bad news: Most will see rain for the Sunday night event. The cold air just isn't in place yet. But the good news is that the next storm signal is not that far off. In fact, it's 3 days later on the 13th and 14th. Then, after that, the 16th-ish is a nice storm signal. And finally, the 20th-ish is a nice storm signal.

 

[TheIronSheik]

You want storm signals? You got 'em! It's like the Oprah Winfrey Show around here. You get a storm signal! You get a storm signal! You all get a storm signal!!!

First off, the bad news: Most will see rain for the Sunday night event. The cold air just isn't in place yet. But the good news is that the next storm signal is not that far off. In fact, it's 3 days later on the 13th and 14th. Then, after that, the 16th-ish is a nice storm signal. And finally, the 20th-ish is a nice storm signal.

Some of these signals are meh and some look OK. But the one for next weekend looks like the setup for the Blizzard of 96. NOTE: I'm not saying that is what will happen! Models are showing this thing as an amazing storm. Truly a thing of beauty. But it's 9 days out, Sheik. And you always say don't put much stock into long range models. Yes. That's exactly true. But that doesn't mean ignore them. And especially in this instance. Here's why: The pattern is beautiful for that time period. The cold air is in place. Everything is setting up perfect for this thing. There is a good possibility this really happens.

At 9 days out, I'd put the chances at about 15%. Normally for that range, I'd go as high as 5%.

So let's do a recap of what's been said here:

December - Above average temps CHECK

January - Normal temps, pattern begins to change CHECK

February to mid March - Very cold and very snowy pattern with the chance of big storms LOOKING GOOD AT THIS POINT

I keep seeing a lot of people talking about how we are near the mid point of January and still haven't seen snow. And that these storm signals are not panning out and that this winter will be a bust. But in reality, this winter is going just as planned so far. I still think the big one is coming. Maybe next weekend. But if that one doesn't pan out, we are going to have 6+ weeks of very, very good chances of seeing multiple big storms. Don't write off winter just yet.

 

[Leeroy Jenkins]

I think Sheik is in the Philly burbs.

So sorry to hear that.

JK good buddy weathernerd.

I think me and Shiek might be neighbors.

 

[AcerFC]

You want storm signals? You got 'em! It's like the Oprah Winfrey Show around here. You get a storm signal! You get a storm signal! You all get a storm signal!!!

First off, the bad news: Most will see rain for the Sunday night event. The cold air just isn't in place yet. But the good news is that the next storm signal is not that far off. In fact, it's 3 days later on the 13th and 14th. Then, after that, the 16th-ish is a nice storm signal. And finally, the 20th-ish is a nice storm signal.

Some of these signals are meh and some look OK. But the one for next weekend looks like the setup for the Blizzard of 96. NOTE: I'm not saying that is what will happen! Models are showing this thing as an amazing storm. Truly a thing of beauty. But it's 9 days out, Sheik. And you always say don't put much stock into long range models. Yes. That's exactly true. But that doesn't mean ignore them. And especially in this instance. Here's why: The pattern is beautiful for that time period. The cold air is in place. Everything is setting up perfect for this thing. There is a good possibility this really happens.

At 9 days out, I'd put the chances at about 15%. Normally for that range, I'd go as high as 5%.

So let's do a recap of what's been said here:

December - Above average temps CHECK

January - Normal temps, pattern begins to change CHECK

February to mid March - Very cold and very snowy pattern with the chance of big storms LOOKING GOOD AT THIS POINT

I keep seeing a lot of people talking about how we are near the mid point of January and still haven't seen snow. And that these storm signals are not panning out and that this winter will be a bust. But in reality, this winter is going just as planned so far. I still think the big one is coming. Maybe next weekend. But if that one doesn't pan out, we are going to have 6+ weeks of very, very good chances of seeing multiple big storms. Don't write off winter just yet.

We cant even get the backyard ice rink to freeze and its January 7th. Supposed to be 56 here on Sunday

WTF

Im putting the snowblower in the shed for the rest of the winter. Shut it down

 

[TheIronSheik]

I think Sheik is in the Philly burbs.

So sorry to hear that.

JK good buddy weathernerd.

I think me and Shiek might be neighbors.

I forget, where are you located?

 

[TheIronSheik]

You want storm signals? You got 'em! It's like the Oprah Winfrey Show around here. You get a storm signal! You get a storm signal! You all get a storm signal!!!

First off, the bad news: Most will see rain for the Sunday night event. The cold air just isn't in place yet. But the good news is that the next storm signal is not that far off. In fact, it's 3 days later on the 13th and 14th. Then, after that, the 16th-ish is a nice storm signal. And finally, the 20th-ish is a nice storm signal.

Some of these signals are meh and some look OK. But the one for next weekend looks like the setup for the Blizzard of 96. NOTE: I'm not saying that is what will happen! Models are showing this thing as an amazing storm. Truly a thing of beauty. But it's 9 days out, Sheik. And you always say don't put much stock into long range models. Yes. That's exactly true. But that doesn't mean ignore them. And especially in this instance. Here's why: The pattern is beautiful for that time period. The cold air is in place. Everything is setting up perfect for this thing. There is a good possibility this really happens.

At 9 days out, I'd put the chances at about 15%. Normally for that range, I'd go as high as 5%.

So let's do a recap of what's been said here:

December - Above average temps CHECK

January - Normal temps, pattern begins to change CHECK

February to mid March - Very cold and very snowy pattern with the chance of big storms LOOKING GOOD AT THIS POINT

I keep seeing a lot of people talking about how we are near the mid point of January and still haven't seen snow. And that these storm signals are not panning out and that this winter will be a bust. But in reality, this winter is going just as planned so far. I still think the big one is coming. Maybe next weekend. But if that one doesn't pan out, we are going to have 6+ weeks of very, very good chances of seeing multiple big storms. Don't write off winter just yet.

We cant even get the backyard ice rink to freeze and its January 7th. Supposed to be 56 here on Sunday

WTF

Im putting the snowblower in the shed for the rest of the winter. Shut it down

Good luck with that.

 

[Tom Servo]

You want storm signals? You got 'em! It's like the Oprah Winfrey Show around here. You get a storm signal! You get a storm signal! You all get a storm signal!!!

First off, the bad news: Most will see rain for the Sunday night event. The cold air just isn't in place yet. But the good news is that the next storm signal is not that far off. In fact, it's 3 days later on the 13th and 14th. Then, after that, the 16th-ish is a nice storm signal. And finally, the 20th-ish is a nice storm signal.

Is this a DC-Philly-NYC-Boston thing only? How far inland are you talking with this stuff?

I'll hang up and listen.

 

[Leeroy Jenkins]

I think Sheik is in the Philly burbs.

So sorry to hear that.

JK good buddy weathernerd.

I think me and Shiek might be neighbors.

I forget, where are you located?

West Chester

 

[walnutz]

Hey Sheik -- This may be a bit out but i have to drive up to the NOVA area on the 18th. Going to be there all day. I see the extended forecast calls for some Rain/Snow on the 20th/21st(which is when i will be driving home). Supposedly 1 to 3 inches. Any veracity to this? Also, how does the clearing of the roads/highways go up in that area from anyone that lives up there please.

Thanks.

 

[Uruk-Hai]

I'm in Virginia, nutz. They do a good job, IMO, of clearing the roads. The problems is that there's so many damned people who feel they HAVE to drive during a weather event (to get to, you know, important places like Target). So we get a lot of accidents that people in places like Buffalo would laugh at. Once you get away from the metro area, 1-3" of snow won't be a problem for you.

What part of NoVA are you gonna be in? I may be able to give you some workarounds to get you in and out.

 

[walnutz]

I'm in Virginia, nutz. They do a good job, IMO, of clearing the roads. The problems is that there's so many damned people who feel they HAVE to drive during a weather event (to get to, you know, important places like Target). So we get a lot of accidents that people in places like Buffalo would laugh at. Once you get away from the metro area, 1-3" of snow won't be a problem for you.

What part of NoVA are you gonna be in? I may be able to give you some workarounds to get you in and out.

I am going to be in Ashburn starting the 18th. I had the option to fly up there (from NC). Chose to drive because on Friday my class ends at 3 and I can be home at 7 where all the other guys can't have a flight scheduled before 6. So, by the time they are just getting on the plane I "should" be home cracking open a beer.

 

[Uruk-Hai]

I'm in Virginia, nutz. They do a good job, IMO, of clearing the roads. The problems is that there's so many damned people who feel they HAVE to drive during a weather event (to get to, you know, important places like Target). So we get a lot of accidents that people in places like Buffalo would laugh at. Once you get away from the metro area, 1-3" of snow won't be a problem for you.

What part of NoVA are you gonna be in? I may be able to give you some workarounds to get you in and out.

I am going to be in Ashburn starting the 18th. I had the option to fly up there (from NC). Chose to drive because on Friday my class ends at 3 and I can be home at 7 where all the other guys can't have a flight scheduled before 6. So, by the time they are just getting on the plane I "should" be home cracking open a beer.

For some reason I thought you were in STL, but no matter.

If you're anywhere in NC west of Raleigh, take I-77 to I-81 (blow the horn as you pass exit 283). I would take I-66 east to US 15 north (that's Haymarket, before it all turns to ####) and come down Rte 7 east ( or the Greenway toll road, depending on where exactly you're going in that area) to Ashburn

 

[walnutz]

I'm in Virginia, nutz. They do a good job, IMO, of clearing the roads. The problems is that there's so many damned people who feel they HAVE to drive during a weather event (to get to, you know, important places like Target). So we get a lot of accidents that people in places like Buffalo would laugh at. Once you get away from the metro area, 1-3" of snow won't be a problem for you.

What part of NoVA are you gonna be in? I may be able to give you some workarounds to get you in and out.

I am going to be in Ashburn starting the 18th. I had the option to fly up there (from NC). Chose to drive because on Friday my class ends at 3 and I can be home at 7 where all the other guys can't have a flight scheduled before 6. So, by the time they are just getting on the plane I "should" be home cracking open a beer.

For some reason I thought you were in STL, but no matter.

If you're anywhere in NC west of Raleigh, take I-77 to I-81 (blow the horn as you pass exit 283). I would take I-66 east to US 15 north (that's Haymarket, before it all turns to ####) and come down Rte 7 east ( or the Greenway toll road, depending on where exactly you're going in that area) to Ashburn

You had it right Uruk. I was in STL. Moved the family back home last year. I will be coming from Raleigh. So it is pretty easy to shoot up 95. The extended forecast is making me think it might be easier to just fly and suck it up about getting home later Friday night.

 

[Uruk-Hai]

Yeah, it's only an hour flight. If you DO drive, don't come all the way up 95. Get off on the PW County Parkway (or US 17 at Fredericksburg) and cut the Beltway out of your commute altogether

 

[Mr. Ected]

Ashburn should be OK, it is mostly planned suburban, flat roads, not too curvy. Uruk has it right about the drivers here. I'm just a bit west in Leesburg, and I'm shocked at how poorly DC drivers handle the snow. What may help you is if we get 1-3" they may close school, which will keep a bunch of people off the roads. Now there is a chance it could affect your event; but that's a different story.

 

[Billy Bats]

The longest Philly has gone from start of winter without seeing a snowflake.

Suck it, Shiek.

 

[Tom Servo]

You want storm signals? You got 'em! It's like the Oprah Winfrey Show around here. You get a storm signal! You get a storm signal! You all get a storm signal!!!

First off, the bad news: Most will see rain for the Sunday night event. The cold air just isn't in place yet. But the good news is that the next storm signal is not that far off. In fact, it's 3 days later on the 13th and 14th. Then, after that, the 16th-ish is a nice storm signal. And finally, the 20th-ish is a nice storm signal.

Is this a DC-Philly-NYC-Boston thing only? How far inland are you talking with this stuff?

I'll hang up and listen.

 

[Swing 51]

Storm late week for the northeast?

 

[STEADYMOBBIN 22]

Maryland-

As expected, we just got a dusting. It actually covered about 85% of the ground at one point before slowing down and warming up. It was still nice to see while chilling at home watching the games while the wife took the kids to her sisters.

Really pining for a blizzard.

 

[Chappy]

Storm late week for the northeast?

Looks that way. Currently eyeing up Friday afternoon through Saturday night. Could be a foot+.

 

[Swing 51]

Storm late week for the northeast?

Looks that way. Currently eyeing up Friday afternoon through Saturday night. Could be a foot+.

####

 

[Steve Tasker]

Pretty solid week this week. A good ~4-5" overnight Tuesday into Wednesday, melted on Friday with temps in the mid-40s, only to snow all day again today, maybe another 3-4".

 

[Mr. Ected]

Storm late week for the northeast?

Looks that way. Currently eyeing up Friday afternoon through Saturday night. Could be a foot+.

####

Interesting article from The Washington Post read the article on the WP site, it has charts.

Potential for major winter storm late next week, but also major question marks

By Wes Junker [SIZE=1em]January 17 at 2:06 PM[/SIZE]

Forecast models have converged on the idea that a significant storm will impact the area between next Thursday night and Sunday. If they are right, it could bring us our first meaningful winter weather event of the season. There is some chance this could produce heavy amounts of snow on parts of the region.

Next chance of accumulating snow: January 21-24

Percent chance of at least one inch: 30 percent (low probability mainly due to number of days away)

Not unsurprisingly six days out, a boatload of uncertainty still exists concerning the storm details. The models continue to jump from solution to solution. Until they reach a consensus, making a definitive forecast so far in advance is foolish.

A wide variety of solutions varying from one that would produce significant snowfall to one that would give us little or no snow are still possible. Like most potential storms the devil is in the details and right now, we don’t have a clear idea of where the storm will track relative to D.C. or how much cold air will still be around when the storm reaches us.

Some models take the primary storm to our north which would kill our snow chances while others like European and U.K. model show a favorable storm track for snow. There are even a few simulations that have the storm missing us to the south. Readers need to monitor forecasts closely during this week. The storm has potential to produce a significant winter storm or to be a dud, leaving snow lovers depressed.

Model discussion

Today’s European, GFS and Canadian models do a pretty good job of displaying how much uncertainty exists in the storm track.

The European model had been consistently suppressing the storm too far south to give us any precipitation. But last night’s and today’s version (see below) jumped the low track to an ideal one for a Washington snowstorm. Even with a favorable track, the surface temperatures are precariously close to freezing just east of the city. Any westward jog to the track would probably push the freezing line back towards or even a little west of the city.

Note the UK Model has a similar solution to the European, forecasting the storm to take a more-or-less ideal track for heavy snow in the D.C. area.
The last two runs of the GFS have offered more of a mixed bag of precipitation tracking a low northward to Kentucky before reforming it to our south. That almost always leads to precipitation type questions with the areas west of I-95 getting more snow than the city and points east. However, last night’s GFS simulated high pressure to our north in a favorable position to facilitate cold air damming suggesting that the low level cold air might be stubborn and linger across the area.

This morning’s GFS has a weaker high to the north and doesn’t hold the cold air in as long (see below). It pretty much takes the rain-snow line right through the city. Like the European, it would offer a winter storm but one that might give us a mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain. However, if the low tracks a little farther to the north and is slower to redevelop to the south, the wintry look might fade to one giving us some snow at the onset but then mostly rain.

Alternatively, a more rapid transition to a low along the coast would offer a snowier look. That’s the knife edge that our snowstorm chances are almost always balanced on. Slight changes to the track and intensity of a low can make a huge difference to the forecast.

The suite of simulations of the low pressure center position on Saturday morning from the European model ensemble, shown below, gives a good sense of the range of possibilities.

Low pressure centered just off the North Carolina Outer Banks is an ideal position for snow in the D.C. area.

Last night’s Canadian model showed more of a rain storm than a snowstorm. It did offer snow at the onset of the storm but tracked the low to Ohio before any secondary low formed. Such a track would promise D.C. mostly rain but could offer an ice storm in our western suburbs.

Today’s Canadian model tracks the low a tad south of last night’s run but still tracks a low to eastern Kentucky before reforming the low over southern Virginia (see below). It’s late reforming the low and therefore would change the snow to rain across D.C. Note that by 7 p.m. Friday both the surface and high altitude (5,000 feet) freezing lines are west of the city suggesting mixed precipitation or rain for close-in D.C., with a snowier scenario for the far western suburbs.

So what do we know? There is likely to be a storm impacting the Mid-Atlantic region sometime starting as early as Thursday night and ending as late as Sunday. The storm has potential to produce winter weather but also has the potential to be mostly a rain storm or even a miss to our south though the latter right now seems a long shot. Snow lovers, this is our first legitimate snow threat of the season but still is one that could disappoint.

 

[El Floppo]

Nyc got a dusting.

SOUND THE CLAXONS

 

[TheIronSheik]

And finally, the 20th-ish is a nice storm signal.

A couple things to touch on, but first with the good. This has the potential to be historic. No joke. Models will get a better handle on this come tomorrow when the energy moves onshore from the Pacific. But even right now, models are all agreeing on this being a direct hit for the northeast. With blocking in place, this massive storm will have no place to go, so it will slowly move up the coast dumping snow over about a 48 hour period. This type of setup, which I've been talking about all winter, is the type of setup that leads to storms being called "The Blizzard of..." And while there is reason to be very excited about this storm if you love snow, I will say that right now, it's not set in stone. That said, without trying to sound the hype alarms, this storm has the potential to drop snow totals that will be measured in feet over a very large swath of the northeast. I will definitely be watching this eagerly over the next 4 days.

No snow totals to really talk about yet, but starting time for this would probably be Friday morning into Saturday evening. As always, I'm referencing my area (SE PA) when I talk about timing.

So while this storm could put Philly over the average yearly snowfall with one punch, here comes the tempered news. After this storm, we will see a brief warmup take place next week. Near the end of next week, the cool down that has been predicted since fall should occur and leave us with more possibilities of cold and snow during February and March. And one major model is showing just that. The problem is that the other major model is showing the exact opposite. An extended warmup that would put anymore snow this winter in serious jeopardy. Right now, I'm leaning to the warmup, sadly. But we should find out one way or the other by end of next week.

Until then, we'll just have to enjoy this potential historic snowstorm coming our way Friday. Worry about next week, well, next week.

 

[Mr. Ected]

Good weather blogger from my area (Loudoun Co, NoVA) on FB as "Jay's Wintry Mix" has this to say about upcoming storm.

The latest GFS run shows a jaw dropping-slow moving--perfect storm. 2-3 feet plus snow for the area. If the current modeling holds, we may be looking at a crippling historic event that could rival the big ones of Jan 1996 and Feb 2010. What we know is that a very large storm is likely to develop with the potential of greatness. Of course, rare events are rare for a reason so there is some(well..alot of skeptism )but at the very least, I believe now we will see a snowstorm starting on Friday. The Canadien model is less tame. It only drops about 1-2 feet. There looks to be another threat on Jan 27-28 but will discuss that one later lol. We need 48 more hours of model runs before we can discuss a forecast.

 

[Jaysus]

Crap, my whiskey supply is running dangerously low.

 

[Dinsy Ejotuz]

I don't know jack about weather, but I've gotten pretty good at reading what all the weather nerds are saying and using that to form an opinion. Right now there's roughly 0% doubt that a big storm is coming, and a good chance that a wide swath of the Eastern Seaboard gets a lot of snow.

Exactly who gets a lot of snow and exactly how much snow will fall is TBD -- eg it might mix in with rain, especially in the south -- but everything points to a real chance for a crush job from DC north.

 

[TheIronSheik]

One odd thing is that a couple of the models are really suppressing a lot of the energy. The Canadian, for example, is showing much lower snow totals than the model is indicating. Why is that odd? Because the Canadian is one of the biggest snow totals currently out there. It is showing a bulls eye. So, it's holding back yet still showing widespread 20 to 30 inch snow totals. This storm could be a freaking monster!

 

[3C's]

Another weather nerd post: Every global model is now locked on, take your pick, little differences remain this morning. The models are colder, and in the first image you can notice, as a result, the para gfs QPF has massively increased. This results in 2-2.5 QPF that translates to atleast a wide swath of 20-30in of snow.

 

[TheIronSheik]

Another weather nerd post: Every global model is now locked on, take your pick, little differences remain this morning. The models are colder, and in the first image you can notice, as a result, the para gfs QPF has massively increased. This results in 2-2.5 QPF that translates to atleast a wide swath of 20-30in of snow.

Those models are also showing snowfall totals at 10:1 ratios. I've seen people saying it would probably be more like 13 or 15:1.

Also, wind is going to be a huge issue. If the models hold true, blizzard conditions would be present for a fairly large area.

 

[Chappy]

See, now you guys have me excited. If this doesn't happen, I'll be pissed!

 

[TheIronSheik]

With each new model run, I keep waiting for them to change and the snow totals to come down. And with each new model run, this things just looks more and more locked in.

Once sampling takes place tomorrow, I think it will be very easy to say it's actually locked in. If I had to predict, I think we will be calling this thing "The Blizzard of 2016" once it's over.

 

[3C's]

Another weather nerd post: Every global model is now locked on, take your pick, little differences remain this morning. The models are colder, and in the first image you can notice, as a result, the para gfs QPF has massively increased. This results in 2-2.5 QPF that translates to atleast a wide swath of 20-30in of snow.

Those models are also showing snowfall totals at 10:1 ratios. I've seen people saying it would probably be more like 13 or 15:1.

Also, wind is going to be a huge issue. If the models hold true, blizzard conditions would be present for a fairly large area.

just glad it's looking like Friday and into the weekend. No plans and I'm stocked up on the essentials (beer) so I should be able to ride this out from the comfort of my man cave.

 

[Mr. Ected]

Little girls b-day on Friday, she (turning 9) really wants to go to school for her big day. Her plans with mom that night are changeable, NBD. Middle boy and I are due to go to a Caps and Ducks game (He's a huge Ducks fan) Friday nite. I'm wary of it being too snowy for us to go, but not bad enough for Caps to postpone the game.

 

[E-Z Glider]

I think we will be calling this thing "The Blizzard of 2016" once it's over.

Kinda boring, IMO. I think I like "a historic event" better for now.

They're predicting The Blizzard of 2016 this weekend

They're predicting A Historic Event this weekend

 

[TheIronSheik]

Little girls b-day on Friday, she (turning 9) really wants to go to school for her big day. Her plans with mom that night are changeable, NBD. Middle boy and I are due to go to a Caps and Ducks game (He's a huge Ducks fan) Friday nite. I'm wary of it being too snowy for us to go, but not bad enough for Caps to postpone the game.

If the models hold true, I don't think there's a chance they play that game.

 

[TheIronSheik]

I think we will be calling this thing "The Blizzard of 2016" once it's over.

Kinda boring, IMO. I think I like "a historic event" better for now.

They're predicting The Blizzard of 2016 this weekend

They're predicting A Historic Event this weekend

Well, sure. You don't call it the BO2016 until AFTER it's over. Going into this weekend, we're predicting an historic event. But once that historic event happens, it will get a name.

 

[Tom Servo]

Crap, my whiskey supply is running dangerously low.

There's no Harrisburg airlift, GB. Get thee to the State Store pronto.

 

[Mr. Ected]

Little girls b-day on Friday, she (turning 9) really wants to go to school for her big day. Her plans with mom that night are changeable, NBD. Middle boy and I are due to go to a Caps and Ducks game (He's a huge Ducks fan) Friday nite. I'm wary of it being too snowy for us to go, but not bad enough for Caps to postpone the game.

If the models hold true, I don't think there's a chance they play that game.

I know, if DC gets 15+ with wind the city will be shut down. The downer in me figures we out a bit west will get 15-20, and downtown will just get 8ish and I'll be stuck at home with a PO'd pre teen with anger issues!! Joy!

 

[TheIronSheik]

Still looking beautiful after today's runs.

I see Adam Joseph is putting out a FB post telling people not to listen to anyone who is calling for a huge storm. At least just yet. I hate when pro mets do this. I get when they are calling out people on FB who are not pro mets posting snow maps for 7 days out. But there are a large number of very reputable pro mets out there who are saying this is going to be big. Including the NWS. Is it a guarantee? Hell no. Nothing ever is when you're forecasting. But this thing is pretty locked in. And to not give people advanced warning just because there's a small chance it might not happen is crappy.

AJ tends to get all high and mighty. Not a huge fan of him. It's a shame because most of the time, he's a very intelligent guy. I think his ego gets the best of him some times.

 

[Koya]

AJ tends to get all high and mighty. Not a huge fan of him. It's a shame because most of the time, he's a very intelligent guy. I think his ego gets the best of him some times.

How would you feel if every freakin' innernets schmo thinks he can do your job better than you?

Especially when half the time they are right.

 

[TheIronSheik]

AJ tends to get all high and mighty. Not a huge fan of him. It's a shame because most of the time, he's a very intelligent guy. I think his ego gets the best of him some times.

How would you feel if every freakin' innernets schmo thinks he can do your job better than you?

Especially when half the time they are right.

But what I'm saying is he's calling out other mets. Like the NWS and the Accuweather guys. Just seems very odd.

 

[Ramblin Wreck]

I think we will be calling this thing "The Blizzard of 2016" once it's over.

Kinda boring, IMO. I think I like "a historic event" better for now.

They're predicting The Blizzard of 2016 this weekend

They're predicting A Historic Event this weekend

Well, sure. You don't call it the BO2016 until AFTER it's over. Going into this weekend, we're predicting an historic event. But once that historic event happens, it will get a name.

How far South are the 12+ inches likely to be? Richmond included? Raleigh?