Stock Thread (53 Viewers)

[Capella]

Thought amazon would be down 10% off that report. As bad of an earnings as I’ve seen from them.

 

[BassNBrew]

PINS kicking it today

 

[BassNBrew]

Thought amazon would be down 10% off that report. As bad of an earnings as I’ve seen from them.

1. They beat
2. Passed Wallyworld in sales
3. Investing in AI

Surprised they aren’t up

 

[Capella]

Thought amazon would be down 10% off that report. As bad of an earnings as I’ve seen from them.

1. They beat
2. Passed Wallyworld in sales
3. Investing in AI

Surprised they aren’t up

You see their future guidance?

 

[ConstruxBoy]

Any updated thoughts on Palantir technologies (PLTR)? Up 43% TD, is it overvalued? On it's way up still? Good or bad buy at current prices?

Sold 20% of what I owned after it jumped 20+% overnight.

Feel a little dumbish now....

I trimmed just under 20% and I think I'm back close to where I started.

Trimming more now as it's up afterhours.

Sold 50 more shares and diversified into LMT. Sell high, buy low.

 

[BassNBrew]

Thought amazon would be down 10% off that report. As bad of an earnings as I’ve seen from them.

1. They beat
2. Passed Wallyworld in sales
3. Investing in AI

Surprised they aren’t up

You see their future guidance?

Nope. All I can find is removing DEI and spending the most on AI.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

Thought amazon would be down 10% off that report. As bad of an earnings as I’ve seen from them.

1. They beat
2. Passed Wallyworld in sales
3. Investing in AI

Surprised they aren’t up

You see their future guidance?

I think AMZN the last few years has been an incredible buy any time they deliver poor future guidance, because all that usually means is that they're setting expectations way too low and they end up smashing through them on a future earnings report.

I think people have caught onto that somewhat which is why it's not down much despite guidance being so poor. I think people simply don't believe them as much anymore when they say the future is going to be bad, because they usually don't deliver on those bad future earnings reports (in a good way).

 

[McBokonon]

Wasn’t a lot of their guidance FX related (as opposed to AMZN itself)? It’s not nothing but the company is executing just fine.

 

[pecorino]

Any updated thoughts on Palantir technologies (PLTR)? Up 43% TD, is it overvalued? On it's way up still? Good or bad buy at current prices?

Sold 20% of what I owned after it jumped 20+% overnight.

Feel a little dumbish now....

I trimmed just under 20% and I think I'm back close to where I started.

Trimming more now as it's up afterhours.

Sold 50 more shares and diversified into LMT. Sell high, buy low.

I've been buying LMT, too. Took a big hit last week.

 

[Capella]

Thought amazon would be down 10% off that report. As bad of an earnings as I’ve seen from them.

1. They beat
2. Passed Wallyworld in sales
3. Investing in AI

Surprised they aren’t up

You see their future guidance?

I think AMZN the last few years has been an incredible buy any time they deliver poor future guidance, because all that usually means is that they're setting expectations way too low and they end up smashing through them on a future earnings report.

I think people have caught onto that somewhat which is why it's not down much despite guidance being so poor. I think people simply don't believe them as much anymore when they say the future is going to be bad, because they usually don't deliver on those bad future earnings reports (in a good way).

Good point. They do seem to game future earnings. Maybe I’ll buy some more over the next year.

 

[Sand]

Any updated thoughts on Palantir technologies (PLTR)? Up 43% TD, is it overvalued? On it's way up still? Good or bad buy at current prices?

Sold 20% of what I owned after it jumped 20+% overnight.

Feel a little dumbish now....

I trimmed just under 20% and I think I'm back close to where I started.

Trimming more now as it's up afterhours.

Sold 50 more shares and diversified into LMT. Sell high, buy low.

I've been buying LMT, too. Took a big hit last week.

Given the current administration you gotta think some defense names will do well over the next few years.

 

[McBokonon]

Any updated thoughts on Palantir technologies (PLTR)? Up 43% TD, is it overvalued? On it's way up still? Good or bad buy at current prices?

Sold 20% of what I owned after it jumped 20+% overnight.

Feel a little dumbish now....

I trimmed just under 20% and I think I'm back close to where I started.

Trimming more now as it's up afterhours.

Sold 50 more shares and diversified into LMT. Sell high, buy low.

I've been buying LMT, too. Took a big hit last week.

Given the current administration you gotta think some defense names will do well over the next few years.

A lot of defense names got hammered at the end of the year and haven’t climbed all the way back on DOGE fears. I started buying back the LDOS I sold a while back after it got whacked because I don’t really buy what DOGE is selling, certainly not when it comes to defense. I mean, good luck with that.

 

[Harry Frogfish]

Thought amazon would be down 10% off that report. As bad of an earnings as I’ve seen from them.

1. They beat
2. Passed Wallyworld in sales
3. Investing in AI

Surprised they aren’t up

You see their future guidance?

I think AMZN the last few years has been an incredible buy any time they deliver poor future guidance, because all that usually means is that they're setting expectations way too low and they end up smashing through them on a future earnings report.

I think people have caught onto that somewhat which is why it's not down much despite guidance being so poor. I think people simply don't believe them as much anymore when they say the future is going to be bad, because they usually don't deliver on those bad future earnings reports (in a good way).

Good point. They do seem to game future earnings. Maybe I’ll buy some more over the next year.

Buying MSFT 30 years ago, over and over, changed my life. They did similar. Continuously under-promising, over-delivering.

At the same time, analysts/experts -- trained by some of our great business schools -- would claim some of what ended up the greatest companies ever, were always too expensive. Based on crunching their P/E guidelines and a myriad of outdated business valuation models. Yet still, the theme continued, constant beats, etc.

Well, look how that turned out. Even MSFT, over time, knocked the Fed down on the mat.

Instead the monsters of tech and their braintrusts, along with the war-chests they sat on and put to good use were the way to go. Valuations are important, no question, but this also isn't real estate -- NTTAWWT -- in which you know over time you should be fine. Two different animals. And the average investor doesn't have the stomach nor the knowledge to stick with these big Tech types...yet that was where to be, no question. .

Remember the over-hype of the dot.com area and "bust". Lemmings ran and it was no longer the cocktail party talk. Even these latest disappointing earnings... Won't matter. We'll all still be checking our tech stuff first thing in the morning and the rest of the day. And unless you're going to Disneyland, so will your kids. Actually, either way.

The EPS beat-game has been in the playbook of the best companies for awhile now.


ETA this is not for everybody, which should be assumed. But as far as this boards's demographics are concerned, for the most part, it fits.

 

[Sand]

Hey UAMY, how you doin'?

 

[General Malaise]

Hey UAMY, how you doin'?

Lol....LET'S GO!

Got another one I'm NOT RECOMMENDING for sane people but is another funky metal stock that's reacting to the tariff news. Add TUNGSTEN to your list of critical metals this country needs for its military but doesn't really produce domestically. That sets up well for Almonty - ALMTF. It's got hair and warts and don't look too close at it under direct sun light, but.....it's having its moment in the sun right now. +135% YTD.

I don't own any of this personally but our fund managers found this one late last year and put some on. I think critical metals are going to be catching bids early this year as uncertainty and fear seems to attract money into these forgotten about names.

 

[Desert_Power]

Why stonks so happy?

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Hey UAMY, how you doin'?

Lol....LET'S GO!

Got another one I'm NOT RECOMMENDING for sane people but is another funky metal stock that's reacting to the tariff news. Add TUNGSTEN to your list of critical metals this country needs for its military but doesn't really produce domestically. That sets up well for Almonty - ALMTF. It's got hair and warts and don't look too close at it under direct sun light, but.....it's having its moment in the sun right now. +135% YTD.

I don't own any of this personally but our fund managers found this one late last year and put some on. I think critical metals are going to be catching bids early this year as uncertainty and fear seems to attract money into these forgotten about names.

Pretty sure you're just making this one up.

 

[Orange&Blue]

U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday said his administration was examining U.S. Treasury debt payments for possible fraud and suggested that the country's $36 trillion debt load might not be that high.
Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One, Trump said administration officials who have been combing through payment records in an effort to identify wasteful spending have turned their attention to the debt payments that play a central role in the global financial system.

_____________

without going into politics, how in the hell did this not rock the tbills/us dollar?

 

[bcat01]

U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday said his administration was examining U.S. Treasury debt payments for possible fraud and suggested that the country's $36 trillion debt load might not be that high.
Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One, Trump said administration officials who have been combing through payment records in an effort to identify wasteful spending have turned their attention to the debt payments that play a central role in the global financial system.

_____________

without going into politics, how in the hell did this not rock the tbills/us dollar?

Because you can't believe anything he says.

 

[pecorino]

I'm not touching any of that.

On a completely different note (though it does stand to gain if Mr Kennedy is not appointed to lead HHS), MRNA is now trading at $31.50. I'm accumulating today.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

I would like to shift some large parts of my portfolio (lots of overextended tech, mostly) into something more defensive. Likely just into SPY for a while. Tbese are not in tax-advantaged account, just standard taxable brokerage accounts.

Are there any strategies to this to save on or defer the taxes?

So far the only one I'm aware of is donating stock instead of cash, and then just using the equal amounts of cash to re-buy the new position. But that still leaves a lot of meat on the bone for taxes.

I'll of course be offloading any losers to offset some of the gains, but again that still is going to leave a big tax bill. In late 2021 I got scared of paying the taxes and ended up sitting on many extended positions that lost 60-80% when the market corrected 10-15%, so I'm looking to avoid making that mistake again as best I can, but the idea of paying a huge tax bill when I'm not withdrawing the money to spend it is annoying, at a minimum.

 

[identikit]

INTC having a good couple days

Up 9+% today

 

[Sand]

So far the only one I'm aware of is donating stock instead of cash

That's the only one I'm aware of. Of course, you can donate to a Donor Advised Fund for anticipated charity over the next few years and can book it in one year. If it's enough and gets you into itemized deduction territory (I think this qualifies - but I'm not a CPA, for sure!) that can help. I have a DAF through Fidelity and it's painless - keep donating my Apple stock that's at a basis of $1.67 every year to not pay those cap gains.

 

[guru_007]

I would like to shift some large parts of my portfolio (lots of overextended tech, mostly) into something more defensive. Likely just into SPY for a while. Tbese are not in tax-advantaged account, just standard taxable brokerage accounts.

Are there any strategies to this to save on or defer the taxes?

So far the only one I'm aware of is donating stock instead of cash, and then just using the equal amounts of cash to re-buy the new position. But that still leaves a lot of meat on the bone for taxes.

I'll of course be offloading any losers to offset some of the gains, but again that still is going to leave a big tax bill. In late 2021 I got scared of paying the taxes and ended up sitting on many extended positions that lost 60-80% when the market corrected 10-15%, so I'm looking to avoid making that mistake again as best I can, but the idea of paying a huge tax bill when I'm not withdrawing the money to spend it is annoying, at a minimum.

Well, if you sell now, you will not have to pay taxes on them for another 14 months or so

 

[stbugs]

Thought amazon would be down 10% off that report. As bad of an earnings as I’ve seen from them.

1. They beat
2. Passed Wallyworld in sales
3. Investing in AI

Surprised they aren’t up

You see their future guidance?

I think AMZN the last few years has been an incredible buy any time they deliver poor future guidance, because all that usually means is that they're setting expectations way too low and they end up smashing through them on a future earnings report.

I think people have caught onto that somewhat which is why it's not down much despite guidance being so poor. I think people simply don't believe them as much anymore when they say the future is going to be bad, because they usually don't deliver on those bad future earnings reports (in a good way).

Good point. They do seem to game future earnings. Maybe I’ll buy some more over the next year.

Buying MSFT 30 years ago, over and over, changed my life. They did similar. Continuously under-promising, over-delivering.

At the same time, analysts/experts -- trained by some of our great business schools -- would claim some of what ended up the greatest companies ever, were always too expensive. Based on crunching their P/E guidelines and a myriad of outdated business valuation models. Yet still, the theme continued, constant beats, etc.

Well, look how that turned out. Even MSFT, over time, knocked the Fed down on the mat.

Instead the monsters of tech and their braintrusts, along with the war-chests they sat on and put to good use were the way to go. Valuations are important, no question, but this also isn't real estate -- NTTAWWT -- in which you know over time you should be fine. Two different animals. And the average investor doesn't have the stomach nor the knowledge to stick with these big Tech types...yet that was where to be, no question. .

Remember the over-hype of the dot.com area and "bust". Lemmings ran and it was no longer the cocktail party talk. Even these latest disappointing earnings... Won't matter. We'll all still be checking our tech stuff first thing in the morning and the rest of the day. And unless you're going to Disneyland, so will your kids. Actually, either way.

The EPS beat-game has been in the playbook of the best companies for awhile now.


ETA this is not for everybody, which should be assumed. But as far as this boards's demographics are concerned, for the most part, it fits.

You want to see the opposite of low balling earnings/revenue to keep “beating,” look at SMCI. Missed estimates tonight and slashed full year 2025 revenue forecast from $28B to just over $24B.

Stock is up 9% AH because the CEO sees 2026 revenue at $40B. Hmm, that’s quite a turn around and well a 70% growth rate over a year that hasn’t even happened yet. 2 years away from the end of 2026.

I can’t say I’m surprised since this is the company whose auditors quit and wouldn’t sign off and by the way, months later they still aren’t even compliant with the Nasdaq:

Supermicro has until Feb. 25 to regain compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements. By then, it must file its annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended June 30, its quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the period ended Sept. 30, and any other required filings to stay current with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

[Sand]

You want to see the opposite of low balling earnings/revenue to keep “beating,” look at SMCI. Missed estimates tonight and slashed full year 2025 revenue forecast from $28B to just over $24B.

Stock is up 9% AH because the CEO sees 2026 revenue at $40B regards on wallstreetbets are bum rushing this one.

Fixed that for you.

 

[JB Breakfast Club]

Hooray for CVS

 

[urbanhack]

Upstart!

Really curious about COINs earnings tomorrow. I think they are going to kill it.

 

[Desert_Power]

Upstart!

Really curious about COINs earnings tomorrow. I think they are going to kill it.

If ever there were a pair of businesses to benefit from less consumer protection....

Anyways, UPST keeping my whole risky brokerage account green today.

 

[identikit]

Big move for CVS

Up 15+% today

 

[Judge Smails]

Doximity has crushed it. Doctor network effect paying off

 

[General Malaise]

BROS up $20/share? WTF?

I have to take some off here. This seems like a bit of an overshoot though I do like it!

 

[Capella]

BROS up $20/share? WTF?

I have to take some off here. This seems like a bit of an overshoot though I do like it!

Up 157% in [checks math] uhhhh 3 months. Yea maybe I should take some profits here.

 

[identikit]

BROS

I've never played that one correctly

 

[FreeBaGeL]

BROS

I've never played that one correctly

Same. Got tired of waiting for it to move about a month before it finally popped. Doh.

But at least I bought calls on HOOD around the same time.

 

[Ridgeback]

BROS

I've never played that one correctly

Nor did I. I sold 75% of my shares at $48.

 

[General Malaise]

BROS

I've never played that one correctly

Nor did I. I sold 75% of my shares at $48.

I lost a bunch of money on BROS after the IPO and even with this bump, I doubt I'm killing it here. Still.....happy with this action, as crazy as it may be.

Sold 1/4 of my position this morning.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Always good to just google, "BROS" and leave the word "ticker" off.

 

[BassNBrew]

BROS

I've never played that one correctly

Nor did I. I sold 75% of my shares at $48.

I lost a bunch of money on BROS after the IPO and even with this bump, I doubt I'm killing it here. Still.....happy with this action, as crazy as it may be.

Sold 1/4 of my position this morning.

Isn't this the company where you said the management were crooks or am I confusing that with another company?

I did well here in the past based on your recommendation. Bought and sold when it hit your price target. Had a second run from $30 to $45. Definitely an instance where I'd rather steal your stock pick than your Ducks football stream.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

BROS

I've never played that one correctly

Nor did I. I sold 75% of my shares at $48.

Same neighborhood. That was, well, dumb. I thought we'd see a pullback there. Seemed like too much too fast.

BROS, meet PLTR. PLTR, meet BROS. Screw you both.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Thanks! I meant, "Thanks". Stupid autocorrect.

 

[BassNBrew]

Out of Applovin on the 25% pop today. Don't know what the company does. Assume I bought it on a recommendation here that sounded good at the time. 5x in less than a year. Wish they all were like this.

 

[General Malaise]

BROS

I've never played that one correctly

Nor did I. I sold 75% of my shares at $48.

I lost a bunch of money on BROS after the IPO and even with this bump, I doubt I'm killing it here. Still.....happy with this action, as crazy as it may be.

Sold 1/4 of my position this morning.

Isn't this the company where you said the management were crooks or am I confusing that with another company?

I did well here in the past based on your recommendation. Bought and sold when it hit your price target. Had a second run from $30 to $45. Definitely an instance where I'd rather steal your stock pick than your Ducks football stream.

I had some negative things to say about some of the political leanings of the founders but they were never crooked. Hiring their current CEO from Starbucks has been a homerun hire so far.

Overall, I still like the business and think they will continue to grow but this is a very rapid rise in price, which always makes me nervous.

 

[Sand]

Always good to just google, "BROS" and leave the word "ticker" off.

I'm at work so definitely not doing this, but if I guess you'll get a selection of male bras for sale would I be right?

 

[Todem]

Hooray for CVS

We said this is a trade…..take your 30+% profits here.

Cash it in folks .

 

[Buckna]

Yeah, this morning I am almost at a triple on BROS in 6 months. Debating taking my initial investment off the table like I think @Todem has recommended in here before.

TTD is getting slaughtered today so BROS popping is offsetting that. Good to be diversified!

 

[identikit]

Hooray for CVS

We said this is a trade…..take your 30+% profits here.

Cash it in folks .

Kind of holding out for $70

 

[Todem]

Yeah, this morning I am almost at a triple on BROS in 6 months. Debating taking my initial investment off the table like I think @Todem has recommended in here before.

TTD is getting slaughtered today so BROS popping is offsetting that. Good to be diversified!

Take your original investment out. We did that with TTD at 126 a share….still up 27% in TTD despite the slaughter today. But it’s all house money the shares I still have.

Do it.

Find another good stock at a value or build some powder for a crappy day or week or even month in the market to reinvest.

Diversify and take the win when you make over 100%.

That’s how portfolios are built for the very long term.

 

[Dr. Octopus]

Always good to just google, "BROS" and leave the word "ticker" off.

I'm at work so definitely not doing this, but if I guess you'll get a selection of male bras for sale would I be right?

I always get the gay rom com movie of the same name - until I have to add “stock”.

 

[Todem]

Out of CVS at 66.60

Average Cost basis was $47

Boooyah.