Capella
Footballguy
These 12 weeks have been a really long year.He's basically just forecasting a bunch of stuff we would get timeouts for forecasting in this thread.Can’t follow along but it appears Powell delivered some bad news.
These 12 weeks have been a really long year.He's basically just forecasting a bunch of stuff we would get timeouts for forecasting in this thread.Can’t follow along but it appears Powell delivered some bad news.
It’s still ongoing, might need to wait for it to end before getting a good summary with a linkHe's basically just forecasting a bunch of stuff we would get timeouts for forecasting in this thread.Can’t follow along but it appears Powell delivered some bad news.
well, like it or not, it is news and we've been asked to post links to any news, so we're following the rules in here. This has to be reported upon.
Takeaway that they are more focused on making sure that inflation expectations remain anchored/they are not in a hurry to cut.Can’t follow along but it appears Powell delivered some bad news.
These 12 weeks have been a really long year.He's basically just forecasting a bunch of stuff we would get timeouts for forecasting in this thread.Can’t follow along but it appears Powell delivered some bad news.
He's also a Deadhead - which I kinda like.Alright, he's done. He likes to spend his free time playing guitar and going to the gym.
He's basically just forecasting a bunch of stuff we would get timeouts for forecasting in this thread.Can’t follow along but it appears Powell delivered some bad news.
Yeah, but you're our jag. So we tolerate it.It's one thing when a jagoff on a message board mentions "Stagflation" but quite another when it's the FED Chair.
Anyone buying today? Sold about 1/4 of my tech holdings when we got the pop and starting to buy back what I sold. Picked up some Amazon and Microsoft. Holding off on the chips.
I think that bullish should be the long term base case for everybody in regard to quality stock regardless of price. The market is financially engineered to basically almost guarantee this reality. Obviously, it hits harder when somebody of your knowledge and familiarity with the market reinforces that thought. With that said, I’m completely with you on being a long term bull. With that said, I recently stated that I felt like there will be a lot of market volatility and that I think that a short but sharp recession could be a near term outlook. I’m starting to think that recession is more likely and that if have one, it might not be a short as I once thought. I feel like the economics of Covid and the subsequent re-opening trained people and businesses to spend money. It feels to me like people are very hesitant to spend and businesses are possibly pulling back on investment right now. I’m not even sure if the uptick in consumer spending is outpacing the rate of inflation—so positive news regarding those numbers might be hard to trust. With that said—can I ask what your current base case is for the near term?All you continue to hear
“We don’t know, we don’t know, we don’t know”
This applies to right now. Power thru all this noise and ask yourself…..do I care 5-7-10 years from now?
Scoop up high quality stocks when they are being beaten down in times of high volatility and uncertainty.
I bought some more NVDA at just under $101.Anyone buying today? Sold about 1/4 of my tech holdings when we got the pop and starting to buy back what I sold. Picked up some Amazon and Microsoft. Holding off on the chips.
It's the only thing that is keep my MEL'S IRA from getting crushed. Bad news when both stocks and bonds go down together.Freaking gold up $111/LB to $3,340.
Mel Allen: "Hooooooow, about that!"
I tried to get a cowbell 100.01 limit order in but it didn't get that low.Gonna add some more NVDA in my account right before the bell.
This is great long term value down here IMO.
12 month target 160 a share.
In times of uncertainty I am certain the AI buildout will march forward over the next decade.
Super long on it.
My first fear here is we decide to delist them as part of our escalation.I am high on 2 Chinese companies bawd on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
They are pink sheets both i think.My first fear here is we decide to delist them as part of our escalation.I am high on 2 Chinese companies bawd on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
They are pink sheets both i think.My first fear here is we decide to delist them as part of our escalation.I am high on 2 Chinese companies bawd on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
Near term base case is some trade deals get done. But the pace is not as fast as the market wants and we continue this whipsaw volatility thru the entire summer, the Fed gets some clarity to cut once this year, tax bill gets done and the market sling shots back to the February highs and we eeek out a 4-6% gain for the entire year on the S&PI think that bullish should be the long term base case for everybody in regard to quality stock regardless of price. The market is financially engineered to basically almost guarantee this reality. Obviously, it hits harder when somebody of your knowledge and familiarity with the market reinforces that thought. With that said, I’m completely with you on being a long term bull. With that said, I recently stated that I felt like there will be a lot of market volatility and that I think that a short but sharp recession could be a near term outlook. I’m starting to think that recession is more likely and that if have one, it might not be a short as I once thought. I feel like the economics of Covid and the subsequent re-opening trained people and businesses to spend money. It feels to me like people are very hesitant to spend and businesses are possibly pulling back on investment right now. I’m not even sure if the uptick in consumer spending is outpacing the rate of inflation—so positive news regarding those numbers might be hard to trust. With that said—can I ask what your current base case is for theAll you continue to hear
“We don’t know, we don’t know, we don’t know”
This applies to right now. Power thru all this noise and ask yourself…..do I care 5-7-10 years from now?
Scoop up high quality stocks when they are being beaten down in times of high volatility and uncertainty.
I'm down with BYD but not sure about ****in with LuckinI am high on 2 Chinese companies based on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE in China and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
I'd be all over $3300/lb gold...Freaking gold up $111/LB to $3,340.
Mel Allen: "Hooooooow, about that!"
I'm sure you meant 7-figure limit orders, right? This is the FFA, after all.SOXL sure has a wonderful way of dropping 10% with minutes of whenever I purchase any.
My larger 7-something limit orders just may hit today.
They are making BANK in China. Stores are always busy. Like I said if they can expand outside of China because other countries shift away from the US, then they can continue to expand. I'm thinking Korea, Japan, Vietnam, Thailand, Philippines, hell maybe even India starts to align with China.I'm down with BYD but not sure about ****in with LuckinI am high on 2 Chinese companies based on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE in China and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
Sold up between 200% and 250%.At end of day, sold most of my SOXL at a loss and purchased a total bet...
Sqqq options
10 contracts at $1.04
$35.5 call
Exp 4/17
Wish me luck![]()
I am high on 2 Chinese companies based on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE in China and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
My first fear here is we decide to delist them as part of our escalation.I am high on 2 Chinese companies bawd on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
A lot of us got a ****in from Luckin. They were on the NASDAQ and got delisted for cooking the books. That's why they are pink sheets. I actually did quite well on it after the delist trading it. That said, I've got a boatload of Agfeed shares worth less that wheat pennies. Just consider anything from a Chinese company fake news and move on.They are pink sheets both i think.My first fear here is we decide to delist them as part of our escalation.I am high on 2 Chinese companies bawd on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
An awesome day to be short the market and long gold.
An awesome day to be short the market and long gold.
And antimony.
Silver.
Tungsten.
I'm doing a little bit of swing trading but keeping a much higher cash balance than I anticipated. Chances of a recession continue to grow; a lot of things should get cheaper.I understand the point of buying low, but I wouldn't invest anything. I heard buy low last week too.
I don't trust any of this.
is that a troy pound or avoirdupois? Great value either way. Costco troy oz coins are up to 3350/z. The last ones I got were 3150Freaking gold up $111/LB to $3,340.
Mel Allen: "Hooooooow, about that!"
nope, but I'm all in on HCAAnyone buying UNH?
I reluctantly sold all my TSMC today because I'm afraid of an angered China.I'm down with BYD but not sure about ****in with LuckinI am high on 2 Chinese companies based on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE in China and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
is that a troy pound or avoirdupois? Great value either way. Costco troy oz coins are up to 3350/z. The last ones I got were 3150Freaking gold up $111/LB to $3,340.
Mel Allen: "Hooooooow, about that!"

If there is one way to ensure that Powell puts more weight on independence/inflation than recession risk...Too Late Powell nickname inspired by the great Too Tall Jones?
I thought Biden gave MP a big chunk of money a few years ago to progress the refining piece of this. No?China suspends all rare earth exports.
This seems like a big problem. The market seems to keep pretending that there isn‘t a trade war happening.
So, we saw MP (Mountain Pass REE) up +20% today, US Antimony +13% and Almonty (Tungsten) +16% today, all on news that Trump wants to stockpile critical metals. We should have been stockpiling them much sooner because this was coming, Trump or not.
But here we are. China controls so so so so so much of the world's refined metals that we need in (waves hands around wildly) EVERYTHING!
We may be able to produce a few metals here but not enough to satisfy our appetites for them. And here is where China can play hardball and has us by the short hairs.
Oh, and let's say we do start producing commercial grade metal ore, who is going to refine and process them? The guys working at Shake Shack? The people educated and trained to do this don't live here and we've made it harder for them to come here.
Make any of this make sense to me.
If there is one way to ensure that Powell puts more weight on independence/inflation than recession risk...Too Late Powell nickname inspired by the great Too Tall Jones?
I sold a Jun 100 Put on NVDA back in February. At this point I find myself hoping they get assigned with the stock at like $99.50 or something. Although I wouldn't cry if it was never assigned as I'm long already.Looks like my NVDA 100.01 hasn't quite filled...
I sold a Jun 100 Put on NVDA back in February. At this point I find myself hoping they get assigned with the stock at like $99.50 or something. Although I wouldn't cry if it was never assigned as I'm long already.Looks like my NVDA 100.01 hasn't quite filled...