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Stock Thread (16 Viewers)

Can’t follow along but it appears Powell delivered some bad news.
He's basically just forecasting a bunch of stuff we would get timeouts for forecasting in this thread.

well, like it or not, it is news and we've been asked to post links to any news, so we're following the rules in here. This has to be reported upon.
It’s still ongoing, might need to wait for it to end before getting a good summary with a link
 
Can’t follow along but it appears Powell delivered some bad news.
He's basically just forecasting a bunch of stuff we would get timeouts for forecasting in this thread.

well, like it or not, it is news and we've been asked to post links to any news, so we're following the rules in here. This has to be reported upon.
It’s still ongoing, might need to wait for it to end before getting a good summary with a link

This is a real time business.....
 
Anyone buying today? Sold about 1/4 of my tech holdings when we got the pop and starting to buy back what I sold. Picked up some Amazon and Microsoft. Holding off on the chips.
 
SOXL sure has a wonderful way of dropping 10% with minutes of whenever I purchase any.
My larger 7-something limit orders just may hit today.
 
All you continue to hear

“We don’t know, we don’t know, we don’t know”

This applies to right now. Power thru all this noise and ask yourself…..do I care 5-7-10 years from now?

Scoop up high quality stocks when they are being beaten down in times of high volatility and uncertainty.
 
All you continue to hear

“We don’t know, we don’t know, we don’t know”

This applies to right now. Power thru all this noise and ask yourself…..do I care 5-7-10 years from now?

Scoop up high quality stocks when they are being beaten down in times of high volatility and uncertainty.
I think that bullish should be the long term base case for everybody in regard to quality stock regardless of price. The market is financially engineered to basically almost guarantee this reality. Obviously, it hits harder when somebody of your knowledge and familiarity with the market reinforces that thought. With that said, I’m completely with you on being a long term bull. With that said, I recently stated that I felt like there will be a lot of market volatility and that I think that a short but sharp recession could be a near term outlook. I’m starting to think that recession is more likely and that if have one, it might not be a short as I once thought. I feel like the economics of Covid and the subsequent re-opening trained people and businesses to spend money. It feels to me like people are very hesitant to spend and businesses are possibly pulling back on investment right now. I’m not even sure if the uptick in consumer spending is outpacing the rate of inflation—so positive news regarding those numbers might be hard to trust. With that said—can I ask what your current base case is for the near term?
 
Gonna add some more NVDA in my account right before the bell.

This is great long term value down here IMO.

12 month target 160 a share.

In times of uncertainty I am certain the AI buildout will march forward over the next decade.

Super long on it.
I tried to get a cowbell 100.01 limit order in but it didn't get that low.
 
I am high on 2 Chinese companies based on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE in China and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
 
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I am high on 2 Chinese companies bawd on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
My first fear here is we decide to delist them as part of our escalation.
 
I am high on 2 Chinese companies bawd on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
My first fear here is we decide to delist them as part of our escalation.
They are pink sheets both i think.

Luckin has been mentioned in here before, I believe they were the ones cooking their books 5ish years ago and some FBG's got burned. Me personally, I'd never trust the financials of a Chinese company ever again. Learned that the hard way 15 years ago...
 
All you continue to hear

“We don’t know, we don’t know, we don’t know”

This applies to right now. Power thru all this noise and ask yourself…..do I care 5-7-10 years from now?

Scoop up high quality stocks when they are being beaten down in times of high volatility and uncertainty.
I think that bullish should be the long term base case for everybody in regard to quality stock regardless of price. The market is financially engineered to basically almost guarantee this reality. Obviously, it hits harder when somebody of your knowledge and familiarity with the market reinforces that thought. With that said, I’m completely with you on being a long term bull. With that said, I recently stated that I felt like there will be a lot of market volatility and that I think that a short but sharp recession could be a near term outlook. I’m starting to think that recession is more likely and that if have one, it might not be a short as I once thought. I feel like the economics of Covid and the subsequent re-opening trained people and businesses to spend money. It feels to me like people are very hesitant to spend and businesses are possibly pulling back on investment right now. I’m not even sure if the uptick in consumer spending is outpacing the rate of inflation—so positive news regarding those numbers might be hard to trust. With that said—can I ask what your current base case is for the
Near term base case is some trade deals get done. But the pace is not as fast as the market wants and we continue this whipsaw volatility thru the entire summer, the Fed gets some clarity to cut once this year, tax bill gets done and the market sling shots back to the February highs and we eeek out a 4-6% gain for the entire year on the S&P

My probability on this rises by the week.

It is such a news driven headline risk market right now…..you won’t get a straight answer literally from anyone.

It’s highly frustrating watching markets turning on news, tweets and fake news as well.

But this is our short term reality.

And can this country easily talk itself into a receesion? Well absolutely….it’s already started in earnest each passing week that goes by.

Uncertainty is the mothers milk of heavy volatility.
 
I am high on 2 Chinese companies based on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE in China and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
I'm down with BYD but not sure about ****in with Luckin
They are making BANK in China. Stores are always busy. Like I said if they can expand outside of China because other countries shift away from the US, then they can continue to expand. I'm thinking Korea, Japan, Vietnam, Thailand, Philippines, hell maybe even India starts to align with China.
 
I am high on 2 Chinese companies based on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE in China and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.

I am high on 2 Chinese companies bawd on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
My first fear here is we decide to delist them as part of our escalation.

I am high on 2 Chinese companies bawd on my visits there in the last decade: BYD and Luckin coffee. Both are EVERYWHERE and can grow a bunch outside of China if China grows economic links to other parts of the world.
My first fear here is we decide to delist them as part of our escalation.
They are pink sheets both i think.
A lot of us got a ****in from Luckin. They were on the NASDAQ and got delisted for cooking the books. That's why they are pink sheets. I actually did quite well on it after the delist trading it. That said, I've got a boatload of Agfeed shares worth less that wheat pennies. Just consider anything from a Chinese company fake news and move on.
 
I understand the point of buying low, but I wouldn't invest anything. I heard buy low last week too.

I don't trust any of this.
I'm doing a little bit of swing trading but keeping a much higher cash balance than I anticipated. Chances of a recession continue to grow; a lot of things should get cheaper.
 
China suspends all rare earth exports.

This seems like a big problem. The market seems to keep pretending that there isn‘t a trade war happening.

So, we saw MP (Mountain Pass REE) up +20% today, US Antimony +13% and Almonty (Tungsten) +16% today, all on news that Trump wants to stockpile critical metals. We should have been stockpiling them much sooner because this was coming, Trump or not.

But here we are. China controls so so so so so much of the world's refined metals that we need in (waves hands around wildly) EVERYTHING!

We may be able to produce a few metals here but not enough to satisfy our appetites for them. And here is where China can play hardball and has us by the short hairs.

Oh, and let's say we do start producing commercial grade metal ore, who is going to refine and process them? The guys working at Shake Shack? The people educated and trained to do this don't live here and we've made it harder for them to come here.

Make any of this make sense to me.
I thought Biden gave MP a big chunk of money a few years ago to progress the refining piece of this. No?

MP just announced that they are ceasing all exports of REE concentrate to China and will ramp up processing in the US. Stock was green when they announced this, now down 10% on the news.
 

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