sinatravolta
Footballguy
Back on Oct. 10th (see page 33 of this thread), I made this prediction:
"For the fun of it - I'm projecting cut lines for the rest of the elimination weeks. To me the major considerations are: what percentage are being cut, how many teams are on a bye, are there very frequently owned players on a bye, and as the year goes on the sense that scoring will slowly go down as more guys are injured/replaced compared to what we knew when we picked prior to the season.
Week 6: 6 teams on bye, lots of frequently owned guys - Watson, Edwards, Jennings, Williamson, Manning etc., cutting 17% of remaining contestants - cut line: 95
Week 7: 6 teams on bye, some frequently owned guys - Gore, Bush, Bryant, cutting 20% - cut line 104
Week 8: 4 teams on bye, few frequently owned guys - Kitna, Evans, cutting 25% - cut line 123
Week 9: 4 teams on bye, very few frequently owned guys - Delhomme, L.J. Smith (8.8%), cutting 33%, cut line 132
Week 10: no byes, cut 25%, cut line 130
Week 11: no byes, cut 33%, cut line 136
Week 12: no byes, cut 50%, cut line 145
Someone could probably do better looking at what the 25% line was in previous weeks, etc., but this is a first shot at it."
Week 6 cut was 109.5 (off by 14.5)
Week 7 was 101.2 (off by 2.8)
Week 8 was 121.5 (off by 1.5)
Week 9 was 129.8 (off by 2.2)
So after being pretty far off in week 6, my predictions have been pretty good. That means this week the projection is for a cut of 130. Then the next two weeks get really tough.
"For the fun of it - I'm projecting cut lines for the rest of the elimination weeks. To me the major considerations are: what percentage are being cut, how many teams are on a bye, are there very frequently owned players on a bye, and as the year goes on the sense that scoring will slowly go down as more guys are injured/replaced compared to what we knew when we picked prior to the season.
Week 6: 6 teams on bye, lots of frequently owned guys - Watson, Edwards, Jennings, Williamson, Manning etc., cutting 17% of remaining contestants - cut line: 95
Week 7: 6 teams on bye, some frequently owned guys - Gore, Bush, Bryant, cutting 20% - cut line 104
Week 8: 4 teams on bye, few frequently owned guys - Kitna, Evans, cutting 25% - cut line 123
Week 9: 4 teams on bye, very few frequently owned guys - Delhomme, L.J. Smith (8.8%), cutting 33%, cut line 132
Week 10: no byes, cut 25%, cut line 130
Week 11: no byes, cut 33%, cut line 136
Week 12: no byes, cut 50%, cut line 145
Someone could probably do better looking at what the 25% line was in previous weeks, etc., but this is a first shot at it."
Week 6 cut was 109.5 (off by 14.5)
Week 7 was 101.2 (off by 2.8)
Week 8 was 121.5 (off by 1.5)
Week 9 was 129.8 (off by 2.2)
So after being pretty far off in week 6, my predictions have been pretty good. That means this week the projection is for a cut of 130. Then the next two weeks get really tough.

Some good scores being posted.
DOAH!

