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[Couch Potato]

136 with P. Manning if he tops Kitna, TE Watson/C. Anderson and PK both kowskis to go. 150+ likely and I'll see 2,000 of you next week!

 

[Angry Beavers]

122.4 with the following possibilities to get better:

14.9 - Maroney

13.2 - Wayne

4.6 - Watson

8 - NE K

This is going to be close!

 

[nowayrams]

157.8 with

manning -4.5

gabriel -11.9

raiders -5

 

[ctriopelle]

Whoever thought this would be a low cut week may be gravely mistaken. Based just on the posters, scoring looks to be WAAAAAY up today. I haven't taken the time to check scoring vs % owned (and don't intend to), but I think the cut is going to be pretty high. 130's+ doesn't seem out of the question.

Edited to add...

I'm at 142 or so, plus Wayne-10.8 and Watson-4.2...

 

[JMJ]

I may be out this week:

P.Manning

R.Johnson

F.Gore

F.Taylor

TJHoush

R.Smith

D.Mason

B.Watson

J.Hanson

Chicago/Indy Def.

 

[Erin Go Bragh]

Whoever thought this would be a low cut week may be gravely mistaken. Based just on the posters, scoring looks to be WAAAAAY up today. I haven't taken the time to check scoring vs % owned (and don't intend to), but I think the cut is going to be pretty high. 130's+ doesn't seem out of the question.

I agree. I'm hoping those who are having bad weeks are just choosing not to post.

 

[username]

94.7 ++

Peyton -0

Gabriel - 9.1

B. Watson or Pope

the best 'kowski

crossing my fingers

 

[my man otis]

Whoever thought this would be a low cut week may be gravely mistaken. Based just on the posters, scoring looks to be WAAAAAY up today. I haven't taken the time to check scoring vs % owned (and don't intend to), but I think the cut is going to be pretty high. 130's+ doesn't seem out of the question.

I agree. I'm hoping those who are having bad weeks are just choosing not to post.

but if you had a crappy week you're not wasting time posting here.i'd bet the avg score posted here is much higher than mean or median.

 

[WisWolvrns]

As Ben Watson scores does the cut line go... with such a majority of owners still alive having him, if he has a big 2nd half, the cut line will go up. If he tanks, I doubt the cut will be as high as last week.

 

[CrossEyed]

Sitting at around 164. Looks like I make the cut to 3,000.

 

[TheLastDispatch]

Sitting at around 164. Looks like I make the cut to 3,000.

Looks like Ill make it to. Since that cut was last week.

 

[my man otis]

Sitting at around 164. Looks like I make the cut to 3,000.

cut is 2k this week. 3k was last week.

 

[Couch Potato]

Sitting at around 164. Looks like I make the cut to 3,000.

Cut was 3K last week. It's 2K this week.

 

[Kleck.]

<-------

Some good scores being posted.

 

[Couch Potato]

<------- Some good scores being posted.

Sorry to see you go if it happens, Kleck. I'm hoping us long-timers have good representation at the end.

 

[CrossEyed]

Sitting at around 164. Looks like I make the cut to 3,000.

Looks like Ill make it to. Since that cut was last week.

Sitting at around 164. Looks like I make the cut to 3,000.

cut is 2k this week. 3k was last week.

Sitting at around 164. Looks like I make the cut to 3,000.

Cut was 3K last week. It's 2K this week.

Woohoo, 2,000 is even better.

 

[ctriopelle]

As Ben Watson scores does the cut line go... with such a majority of owners still alive having him, if he has a big 2nd half, the cut line will go up. If he tanks, I doubt the cut will be as high as last week.

Last week's scoring with this week's cut would have given us a cut of about 126-127. Remember, this is a 2/3 survival week, and the worst we have seen before is only 3/4. Granted we dont have a 60% plus held player having a week like Watson did last week (yet anyway, but he's looking doubtful right now), but there have been a LOT of 20-40% held players with pretty good numbers. That said, the cut will probably be pretty close to 130 after tomorrow unless we have a very popular player go crazy. I would bet Drinin's post to have the pre MNF cut in the high 110's to low 120's. Just my guess...

 

[Cowboys#1]

yikes harrison and jackson went nuts today

too bad im done.

one week late ### hats!

 

[nowayrams]

lots of gore + watson teams will go down this week

 

[JohnDoe]

Using rough math I have 120.3 this week with whatever Gabriel adds to his score tonight and Seabas on Monday night. It will be close.

 

[ctriopelle]

lots of gore + watson teams will go down this week

?!?!Lots of people own both of them, myself included. I'll probably even use both of their scores. I would think that something close to 33% of us get axed, as only 33% of the contest gets whacked. Since both are so widely held, I would expect them to get hit the same as the general population....Sitting at about 146 now and feeling pretty comfortable.

 

[Sabertooth]

Fingers crossed at 134 right now. Only live player left is Watson.

 

[nowayrams]

at gore 12.7 and watson 4.2 i would expect bad results for this combo.

 

[TheLastDispatch]

at gore 12.7 and watson 4.2 i would expect bad results for this combo.

meh. most people dont have gore as their number 1. i dont think a ton have watson as their number 1 either. could be wrong on that one though.

 

[nowayrams]

at 74.5% of 3000 & 74.0% of 3000 i would expect bad results for that combo!

 

[sinatravolta]

at gore 12.7 and watson 4.2 i would expect bad results for this combo.

Uh 12.7 from an RB for $10 is really not bad. Watson is on a ton of teams but hasn't done much most of the year, so 4.2 (if he even stays at that) isn't going to all of a sudden kill a bunch of teams. It's not like some other widely held TE went off today. A higher proportion of teams with both of these guys may go down compared to those without - but if so I bet it will be a very small margin.

 

[joffer]

at 74.5% of 3000 & 74.0% of 3000 i would expect bad results for that combo!

luckily i was able to afford more than those two players

 

[Otis]

Wow my week wasn't as bad as I thought. Some quick and dirty math has me sitting around 130, mostly thanks to Miami, Harrison, and FWP.

Gonna be an interesting week... any early estimates on the cut off yet?

 

[Kleck.]

Rough numbers - 114.3 with no one left. I blew my wad too early and scored 185 last week. Could sure use some of that now.

 

[username]

135.4 and Seabass - 8.0

Not a great number but I like my chances.

 

[ctriopelle]

151.5 and done (unless Curry can bust 15). Cut will be close to 130.

 

[PizzaDeliveryGuy]

136.3 with J.Brown -8

 

[TheLastDispatch]

just over 115. its gonna be close, but i think i'm gonna be a few points shy.

 

[RenegadeGM]

Looks like I'm at 142 with Seabass trying to top 8 points. Oh yeah, I have Burleson too, but I've already assumed I won't be using him.

142 should be good enough, but I guess you never know until the results are posted.

 

[The Man With No Name]

157.2 this week. Too bad I got knocked out by less than a point last week, thanks to my wr's.

 

[jamny]

118.6 with D.Jax left.

Looks like another big game needed on Monday Night.

:crossesfingers:

Please come back soon Shaun Alexander.

 

[Oh the Humanity]

Whoever thought this would be a low cut week may be gravely mistaken. Based just on the posters, scoring looks to be WAAAAAY up today. I haven't taken the time to check scoring vs % owned (and don't intend to), but I think the cut is going to be pretty high. 130's+ doesn't seem out of the question.

I agree. I'm hoping those who are having bad weeks are just choosing not to post.

but if you had a crappy week you're not wasting time posting here.i'd bet the avg score posted here is much higher than mean or median.

Don't go by the posters. Every week it's been the same thing. Everyone having a great week posts, everybody starts speculating a number in the 120's, then it ends up much lower unless Watson has a great day, (like last week) because almost everyone has Watson. I don't post when I have a low score.I guess Gore is in the same category as Watson.By the way, did I tell you I got 150 this week.

 

[nerangers]

I think I am at 131.7, and hoping that will be enough. It would be great to survive through all of the bye weeks.

 

[johnnybronco]

119.7 with Burelson -6.5 left, it's going to be close, damn close

 

[QuizGuy66]

Done with 143.6

I hope that's good enough to get me through.

Good luck fellow posters!

-QG

 

[Pencil]

187.1 with Janakowski left Monday night. Barely made the cut a couple weeks ago so I know all too well that this weeks filet mignon can be next weeks Taco bell.

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Manning 23

Kev Jones 30

FWP 32.7

TJ Housh 15.6

Reg Wayne 15

Lee Evans 13.8

Ben Watson 9.4

Matt Stober 14

Miami 21

In at 174.5, looking forward to another cut next week....we go from 2,000 to 1,000 next week...should be mighty interesting.

 

[Nugget]

1500 next week

 

[ryoly]

146 after tonight's game plus whatever Janikowski can muster tomorrow night and Burleson -11.6...good luck to those posters who might be on the bubble.....

 

[Tibereas]

147.6 and thats all she wrote. I have no idea how I have gotten this far with my TE mess. Scheffler and Pollard :X . I should be out after next week.

 

[videoguy505]

Somehow bungled my way to 134.95. Fingers crossed. McNair was my top QB, Frank Gore my #2 RB, thanks to Tiki Barber, Clayton, Roy Williams, Watson, Stover, and the 'Fins. Barring a Ron Curry miracle, or Hasselbeck making a miraculous recovery by gametime, I'm holding here.

 

[Couch Potato]

I need to take a step back here and curb my enthusiasm a little bit, and give everyone that's made it to the final 2,000 a reality reminder. We've just survived 25% and 33% cuts, but...

Week 10 cuts 25% of remaining entrants, down to 1,500

Week 11 cuts 33% of remaining entrants, down to 1,000 (50% of the 2,000 alive now)

Week 12 cuts 50% of remaining entrants, down to 500 (25% of the 2,000 alive now)

If you are an average team still alive, you now have a 1 in 4 chance of making the week 13-16 runoff.

It's really cool that we've survived when 10,000 have died, but it's just gotten us to a place where we have a 25% chance from this point forward of making the last group. Pretty sobering.

 

[faux_bear]

I'll take a 25% chance over a 0% chance.

My enthusiasm shall not be curbed. Isn't that why we play fantasy football? To feel excited and hopeful about our chances of winning? 136.2 should be enough to move on to next week, right guys?

 

[Oh the Humanity]

I need to take a step back here and curb my enthusiasm a little bit, and give everyone that's made it to the final 2,000 a reality reminder. We've just survived 25% and 33% cuts, but...

Week 10 cuts 25% of remaining entrants, down to 1,500

Week 11 cuts 33% of remaining entrants, down to 1,000 (50% of the 2,000 alive now)

Week 12 cuts 50% of remaining entrants, down to 500 (25% of the 2,000 alive now)

If you are an average team still alive, you now have a 1 in 4 chance of making the week 13-16 runoff.

It's really cool that we've survived when 10,000 have died, but it's just gotten us to a place where we have a 25% chance from this point forward of making the last group. Pretty sobering.

That's kind of a glass half empty way of looking at it. I feel At this point my subscription has paid for itself. I'm one of 2000 people who are going to divvy up $50,000, which makes each entry worth an average of $25 dollars, not to mention the entertainment value of making 8 cuts against 11,900 people who care enough about FF to subscribe or get on the mailing list. If I lose next week it's been a nice run

 

[Couch Potato]

That's kind of a glass half empty way of looking at it. I feel At this point my subscription has paid for itself. I'm one of 2000 people who are going to divvy up $50,000, which makes each entry worth an average of $25 dollars, not to mention the entertainment value of making 8 cuts against 11,900 people who care enough about FF to subscribe or get on the mailing list. If I lose next week it's been a nice run

I hear ya... it's not so much 'glass half empty' as preparing myself to not feel let down too much if I go down next week. Low expectations = low disappointment. Pathetic, ain't I...