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Previous writeups: preseason, week 5, week 8.

Pos Player Price Starts Starter PointsQB Tom Brady $14 7 206.25QB Marcus Mariota $7 2 55.5QB Kirk Cousins $3 3 92.15RB LeVeon Bell $32 4 94.6RB Marshawn Lynch $27 6 77.4RB C.J. Anderson $27 6 82.3RB Doug Martin $12 9 153.5WR Julio Jones $26 9 242.1WR Calvin Johnson $25 9 177.5WR Davante Adams $9 3 44.1WR Markus Wheaton $5 2 49.3WR Devin Funchess $5 2 32.5WR Eddie Royal $4 2 28.3WR Tyler Lockett $3 4 59.6WR Jarius Wright $2 0 0WR Corey Brown $2 2 29.3TE Tyler Eifert $9 9 183.3TE Jordan Reed $7 7 146.7TE Richard Rodgers $5 4 69.6TE Virgil Green $3 1 10.6TE Ben Watson $3 5 103.5PK Sebastian Janikowski $2 4 55PK Kai Forbath $2 1 8.7PK Josh Scobee $2 2 18.5PK Ryan Succop $2 5 38.2DST Atlanta Falcons $3 2 32DST Washington Redskins $3 3 31DST Tennessee Titans $3 3 29DST New Orleans Saints $3 4 38Still alive with it down to 500. I barely squeaked by in week 10, with my season-low score of 151 (just 3 above the cut). My 4th defense, the Washington Redskins, made their first start that week and I like to credit them with the win (though nearly every starter of mine was essential that week). I'm down to 2 RBs, but fortunately(?!) one of them is CJ Anderson. I thought I was through this week before Wheaton & Anderson blew up; then I ended up with my second 200+ point game of the season.

$248 of my team has made an appearance, with only $2 Jarius Wright still stuck to thebench. But $61 (Bell + Lynch + Scobee) is now probably out for the rest of the season.

Julio is the only one of my 5 pricey studs to live up to his price, though the others have had their moments (like Calvin + CJ this week). Martin, Eifert, and Reed have come through big as mid-priced guys, Watson has been huge, and almost all the other cheap guys have contributed (in most cases with the occasional big game, and not just by squeaking into the lineup).

I don't have very good odds to win this thing, with only Anderson & Martin at RB and a relatively low total score compared to most of the competition left. But, as they say, any given 4 Sundays. I'm one of only 31 teams left with the dangerous Cousins-Reed stack, so at least I have that going for me.

 
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Previous writeups: preseason, week 5, week 8.

Pos Player Price Starts Starter PointsQB Tom Brady $14 7 206.25QB Marcus Mariota $7 2 55.5QB Kirk Cousins $3 3 92.15RB LeVeon Bell $32 4 94.6RB Marshawn Lynch $27 6 77.4RB C.J. Anderson $27 6 82.3RB Doug Martin $12 9 153.5WR Julio Jones $26 9 242.1WR Calvin Johnson $25 9 177.5WR Davante Adams $9 3 44.1WR Markus Wheaton $5 2 49.3WR Devin Funchess $5 2 32.5WR Eddie Royal $4 2 28.3WR Tyler Lockett $3 4 59.6WR Jarius Wright $2 0 0WR Corey Brown $2 2 29.3TE Tyler Eifert $9 9 183.3TE Jordan Reed $7 7 146.7TE Richard Rodgers $5 4 69.6TE Virgil Green $3 1 10.6TE Ben Watson $3 5 103.5PK Sebastian Janikowski $2 4 55PK Kai Forbath $2 1 8.7PK Josh Scobee $2 2 18.5PK Ryan Succop $2 5 38.2DST Atlanta Falcons $3 2 32DST Washington Redskins $3 3 31DST Tennessee Titans $3 3 29DST New Orleans Saints $3 4 38Still alive with it down to 500. I barely squeaked by in week 10, with my season-low score of 151 (just 3 above the cut). My 4th defense, the Washington Redskins, made their first start that week and I like to credit them with the win (though nearly every starter of mine was essential that week). I'm down to 2 RBs, but fortunately(?!) one of them is CJ Anderson. I thought I was through this week before Wheaton & Anderson blew up; then I ended up with my second 200+ point game of the season.

$248 of my team has made an appearance, with only $2 Jarius Wright still stuck to thebench. But $61 (Bell + Lynch + Scobee) is now probably out for the rest of the season.

Julio is the only one of my 5 pricey studs to live up to his price, though the others have had their moments (like Calvin + CJ this week). Martin, Eifert, and Reed have come through big as mid-priced guys, Watson has been huge, and almost all the other cheap guys have contributed (in most cases with the occasional big game, and not just by squeaking into the lineup).

I don't have very good odds to win this thing, with only Anderson & Martin at RB and a relatively low total score compared to most of the competition left. But, as they say, any given 4 Sundays. I'm one of only 31 teams left with the dangerous Cousins-Reed stack, so at least I have that going for me.
Ooh I like this format :)

-QG

 
QBs -

Brady 244 (6) 185.15 points

Dalton 25 (5) 141.50

Flacco 20 (1) 27.50

RBs -

Ingram 118 (10) 172.70

Ivory 237 (8) 146.50

Matt Jones 115 (5) 79.90

CJ Anderson 123 (3) 58.10

T West 31 (0) 0.00

WRs -

Julio 305 (9) 242.10

Megatron 87 (9) 177.50

J Brown 149 (8) 132.10

D Adams 391 (3) 44.10

C Brown 52 (2) 29.30

Hawkins 3 (2) 25.80

Harvin 7 (2) 35.00

Royal 298 (1) 18.40

TEs -

Eifert 268 (8.5) 178.85

Olsen 153 (8.5) 178.65

R Rodgers 148 (4) 69.60

Chandler 52 (1) 19.30

PKs -

Gano 96 (9) 115.90

Janikowski 227 (3) 35.70

Scobee 277 (0) 0.00

TDs -

Giants 18 (7) 80.00

Tampa Bay 42 (4) 46.00

Atlanta 40 (1) 21.00

-QG

 
Tom Brady $14 30.50 34.90 26.30 0.00 28.05 26.60 33.25 33.90 21.85 24.60 16.85 26.00Sam Bradford $13 18.80 14.10 9.70 26.90 22.95 15.20 9.85 0.00 18.65 15.80 0.00 0.00 out?

Marcus Mariota $7 27.05 22.75 24.35 0.00 13.05 12.95 0.00 0.00 35.05 10.65 20.45 21.60

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C.J. Anderson $27 8.80 3.90 3.70 8.00 6.00 10.60 0.00 17.60 4.80 0.90 9.20 31.30

Lamar Miller $24 8.50 9.20 9.50 4.60 0.00 19.80 38.60 14.40 33.10 21.30 7.50 4.30

Frank Gore $22 5.10 7.10 22.40 13.70 15.80 11.40 12.50 12.20 17.20 0.00 13.00 5.70

Danny Woodhead $12 22.20 16.40 7.30 17.80 12.60 12.10 33.10 6.50 23.10 0.00 2.60 10.70

Matt Jones $7 2.80 29.60 3.80 1.10 10.70 0.00 8.10 0.00 6.40 27.70 3.20 7.40

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Julio Jones $26 35.10 26.50 40.40 7.80 17.70 15.30 24.20 34.20 23.70 0.00 25.00 10.60

Amari Cooper $19 9.70 23.90 21.40 14.90 8.90 0.00 24.30 9.80 21.80 12.90 1.40 18.50

Jarvis Landry $15 20.70 19.60 14.60 10.90 0.00 15.60 25.80 13.10 20.15 18.80 10.60 35.90

John Brown $12 14.60 9.50 9.20 15.80 17.30 29.60 16.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.20 14.90

Davante Adams $9 9.90 8.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.80 16.30 17.90 6.60 3.40

Eddie Royal $4 1.80 11.10 4.70 18.40 0.00 9.90 0.00 3.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Danny Amendola $3 4.40 4.20 14.90 0.00 2.60 17.50 22.60 2.10 7.20 17.90 20.70 0.00

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Kyle Rudolph $11 12.80 16.50 4.40 3.70 0.00 9.90 10.00 5.20 6.00 2.20 25.60 15.80

Tyler Eifert $9 35.90 16.90 0.00 11.40 33.00 15.00 0.00 9.90 30.80 7.10 18.70 14.50

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Randy Bullock $3 8.10 6.30 7.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 6.00 9.10

Josh Scobee $2 8.40 3.00 7.10 10.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 bye bye bye bye

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Jacksonville Jaguars $4 4.00 2.00 2.00 7.00 2.00 1.00 24.00 0.00 2.00 9.00 6.00 2.00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers $4 4.00 10.00 3.00 4.00 16.00 0.00 9.00 9.00 4.00 5.00 17.00 3.00

Tennessee Titans $3 14.00 2.00 7.00 0.00 6.00 6.00 4.00 3.00 8.00 5.00 8.00 5.00

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Still in by 2.1 points this week! I thought I would be dead a long time ago.

 
01) Davante Adams 1573 (prev 01)

02) Juilo Jones 1462 (prev 03)

03) Doug Martin 1258 (prev 02)

04) Eddie Royal 1153 (prev 05)

05) Josh Scobee 1143 (prev 04)

06) Tom Brady 1072 (prev 06)

07) Tyler Eifert 1024 (prev 11)

08) Sebastian Janikowski 973 (prev 07)

09) Chris Ivory 886 (prev 13)

10) Sam Bradford 855 (prev 08)

11) Jarvis Landry 835 (prev 14)

12) Markus Wheaton 828 (prev 09)

13) Brandin Cooks 777 (prev 12)

14) Ameer Abdullah 775 (prev 10)

15) Ryan Mathews 695 (prev 16)

16) John Brown 674 (prev 15)

17) Greg Olsen 649 (prev 23)

18) Christine Michael 621 (prev 17)

19) Lamar Miller 609 (prev unranked) - crazy 1420 eliminated in weeks 1-5 (60% of possible) only 329 since (35% of possible)

20) Miami Dolphins 607 (prev 21)

21) Mark Ingram 577 (prev 31)

22) Richard Rodgers 570 (prev 18)

23) Kirk Cousins 568 (prev 20)

24) Indianapolis Colts 546 (prev 24)

25) Carson Palmer 545 (prev 26)

26) Danny Woodhead 532 (prev 39)

27) Frank Gore 531 (prev 19)

28) Steve Johnson 522 (prev 25)

29) Tyler Lockett 519 (prev 33)

30) Tyrod Taylor 480 (prev 27)

31) Devin Funchess 471 (prev 28)

32) Danny Amendola 467 (prev 35)

33) Rob Gronkowski 462 (prev 22)

34) Ben Watson 443 (prev unra\nked)

35) CJ Anderson 442 (prev 30)

36) Owen Daniels 432 (prev 32)

37) Ryan Fitzpatrick 398 (prev unranked)

38) Dan Bailey 398 (prev 38)

39) Matt Jones 391 (prev unranked)

40) Jeremy Hill 383 (prev 34)

Dropped out: Adrian Peterson (was 29), Kyle Rudolph (was 36), Justin Forsett (was 38), Jeremy Maclin (was 40)
Updated Top 40 owned:

01) Davante Adams 391 (prev 01)

02) Doug Martin 371 (prev 03)

03) Julio Jones 305 (prev 02)

04) Eddie Royal 298 (prev 04)

05) Josh Scobee 277 (prev 05)

06) Jarvis Landry 275 (prev 11)

07) Markus Wheaton 269 (prev 12)

08) Tyler Eifert 268 (prev 07)

09) Tom Brady 244 (prev 06)

10) Chris Ivory 237 (prev 09)

11) Sebastian Janikowski 227 (prev 08)

12) Kirk Cousins 170 (prev 23)

13) Sam Bradford 167 (prev 10)

14) Steve Johnson 162 (prev 28)

15) Greg Olsen 153 (prev 17)

16) Ameer Abdullah 152 (prev 14)

17) Ryan Mathews 151 (prev 15)

18t) Carson Palmer 149 (prev 25)

18t) John Brown 149 (prev 16)

20) Richard Rodgers 148 (prev 22)

21) Brandin Cooks 147 (prev 13)

22) Christine Michael 146 (prev 18)

23) Danny Amendola 143 (prev 32)

24t) Indianapolis Colts 141 (prev 24)

24t) Tyler Lockett 141 (prev 29)

26) Adrian Peterson 139 (prev unranked)

27) Tyrod Taylor 126 (prev 30)

28) C.J. Anderson 123 (prev 35)

29) Ryan Fitzpatrick 121 (prev 37)

30) Mark Ingram 118 (prev 21)

31) Miami Dolphins 116 (prev 20)

32) Matt Jones 115 (prev 39)

33) Devin Funchess 110 (prev 31)

34) Kyle Rudolph 108 (prev unranked)

35) Ben Watson 104 (prev 34)

36t) Lamar Miller 99 (prev 19)

36t) Matt Prater 99 (prev unranked)

38t) Graham Gano 96 (prev unranked)

38t) Rob Gronkowski 96 (prev 33)

40) Danny Woodhead 92 (prev 26)

Dropped out: Frank Gore (prev 27) Owen Daniels (prev 36) Dan Bailey (prev 38) Jeremy Hill (prev 40)

-QG

 
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Here's the list of the 39 biggest busts in the contest. To make this list they needed to meet 2 criteria:

1) On 100 or more rosters

2) 1.0% or less survival rate

Sorted by the number of entries they appeared on:

Luck 2012 entries 21 alive

T.Y. Hilton 1397 14

D Bryant 1361 5

Charles 1102 8

Hyde 783 8

Bills 743 6

Seahawks 668 6

J Gray 633 4

Rams 626 6

Dem Thomas 539 1

V Cruz 512 5

J Graham 502 3

C Parkey 498 3

J Randle 489 1

Josh Hill 416 2

Yeldon 405 4

Gordon 396 3

M Forte 364 1

Colston 324 3

Spiller 319 3

Foles 295 3

C Patterson 291 1

F Jackson 259 1

M Wallace 226 0

P Manning 223 1

J Bell 215 1

A Morris 210 0

S Suisham 205 1

Ertz 168 0

A Jeffrey 168 1

B Perriman 161 1

M Floyd 160 1

T Smith 148 0

H Douglas 122 1

N Toon 121 1

T Wright 111 1

D Bowe 105 0

J Morgan 104 0

M Asiata 102 0

-QG

 
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Here's the list of the 39 biggest busts in the contest. To make this list they needed to meet 2 criteria:

1) On 100 or more rosters

2) 1.0% or less survival rate

Sorted by the number of entries they appeared on:

Luck 2012 entries 21 alive

T.Y. Hilton 1397 14

D Bryant 1361 5

Charles 1102 8

Hyde 783 8

Bills 743 6

Seahawks 668 6

J Gray 633 4

Rams 626 6

Dem Thomas 539 1

V Cruz 512 5

J Graham 502 3

C Parkey 498 3

J Randle 489 1

Josh Hill 416 2

Yeldon 405 4

Gordon 396 3

M Forte 364 1

Colston 324 3

Spiller 319 3

Foles 295 3

C Patterson 291 1

F Jackson 259 1

M Wallace 226 0

P Manning 223 1

J Bell 215 1

A Morris 210 0

S Suisham 205 1

Ertz 168 0

A Jeffrey 168 1

B Perriman 161 1

M Floyd 160 1

T Smith 148 0

H Douglas 122 1

N Toon 121 1

T Wright 111 1

D Bowe 105 0

J Morgan 104 0

M Asiata 102 0

-QG
Never seen year like this.

Hilton, Dez, Thomas, Jeffrey could be huge difference makers if they don't get steamrolled by Julio and Landry.

 
Bad year for the 18-player entries this time around.

Here's the historical percentages:

2010 5415 53 1.0% 1.9%

2011 3568 48 1.3% 2.3%

2012 4633 63 1.4% 1.9%

2013 5519 49 0.9% 1.7%

2014 5667 69 1.2% 1.8%

This year out 4156 entries with 18 players only 31 remain (0.7%) - and there's still one more big cut to go!

The highest ranked 18-player entry still alive is 152nd (86th out of the entries that are still alive).

Only 21 of the top 500 entries have 18 players. Only 6 of those 21 are still alive in the contest.

The small stud-laden roster theory doesn't look like it was the way to go this year.

Of course this is understandable when you look at the big $ players that have had their seasons cut short by injury or underperformed. Seems like there are way more than in prior years.

-QG

 
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Found the link to my original breakdown.

https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?/topic/729848-subscriber-contest-is-live/page-14#entry18345390

Looks like my last minute switch, which put Eifert on my team on replaced the Bengals D with the Giants worked out :)

Also shows how much luck can factor into this contest - I had Charles on a lot of my preliminary entries and Bridgewater instead of Dalton on many versions as well.

I was also spot on about Scobee's job security :lmao:

Later on the same page in the thread I note a "woulda coulda shoulda" adjustment that I thought of the day after the contest locked. That version woulda got knocked out in Week 11. The contest locked at just the right time :)

-QG

 
Was curious about who the best players have been in in terms of points scored as well as who the most important players have been in the contest in terms of actual points contributed in the contest.

Fortunately the Igomatic has the data readily available so I was able to compile the numbers.

Here's the top 10 at each position by points they scored based on the scoring system.

DST 1 Carolina Panthers $9 113

DST 2 Denver Broncos $8 108

DST 3 Arizona Cardinals $7 91

DST 4 New York Giants $4 90

DST 5 Seattle Seahawks $12 89

DST 6 Kansas City Chiefs $6 88

DST 7 Philadelphia Eagles $8 88

DST 8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers $4 84

DST 9 St. Louis Rams $10 82

DST 10 Washington Redskins $3 80

PK 1 Stephen Gostkowski $8 134.7

PK 2 Graham Gano $3 131.4

PK 3 Cairo Santos $4 126.3

PK 4 Josh Brown $4 118.5

PK 5 Justin Tucker $6 115.9

PK 6 Robbie Gould $3 109.6

PK 7 Chandler Catanzaro $4 108.7

PK 8 Blair Walsh $4 108.6

PK 9 Steve Hauschka $6 104.4

PK 10 Mason Crosby $7 101.8

QB 1 Tom Brady $14 302.8

QB 2 Cam Newton $20 279

QB 3 Carson Palmer $8 274

QB 4 Philip Rivers $13 261.5

QB 5 Andy Dalton $9 259.6

QB 6 Aaron Rodgers $25 252.2

QB 7 Blake Bortles $7 247.1

QB 8 Russell Wilson $21 241.1

QB 9 Derek Carr $7 240.6

QB 10 Eli Manning $14 239.8

RB 1 Devonta Freeman $14 232.4

RB 2 Adrian Peterson $32 205.7

RB 3 Mark Ingram $20 185.5

RB 4 Lamar Miller $24 170.8

RB 5 Doug Martin $12 168.7

RB 6 Danny Woodhead $12 164.4

RB 7 Chris Ivory $15 161.6

RB 8 DeMarco Murray $26 152.7

RB 9 LeSean McCoy $25 149.9

RB 10 Todd Gurley $22 146.7

TE 1 Rob Gronkowski $33 232.6

TE 2 Greg Olsen $21 194.3

TE 3 Tyler Eifert $9 193.2

TE 4 Delanie Walker $15 177.3

TE 5 Travis Kelce $20 173.9

TE 6 Jordan Reed $7 172.6

TE 7 Ben Watson $3 153.4

TE 8 Jason Witten $16 145.3

TE 9 Jimmy Graham $23 144.5

TE 10 Martellus Bennett $18 135.5

WR 1 Julio Jones $26 260.5

WR 2 DeAndre Hopkins $23 243.1

WR 3 Antonio Brown $33 237

WR 4 Odell Beckham Jr $31 226.8

WR 5 Larry Fitzgerald $15 224.2

WR 6 Brandon Marshall $20 218.1

WR 7 Jarvis Landry $15 205.8

WR 8 Allen Robinson $17 195.7

WR 9 Calvin Johnson $25 195.1

WR 10 A.J. Green $25 191.9

Next post will be the raw actual points contributed by position. This will be a little different list (certainly Cam won't be the #2 QB there).

11 of my 26 players ended up on the list (2 at each position except kicker where I had 1).

-QG

 
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Here is the top 10 at each position in terms of the actual points contributed to entries over the entire length of the contest.

DST 1 Miami Dolphins $7 71,971

DST 2 Denver Broncos $8 60,459

DST 3 Indianapolis Colts $5 51,698

DST 4 Arizona Cardinals $7 46,549

DST 5 Cleveland Browns $4 37,789

DST 6 Philadelphia Eagles $8 37,708

DST 7 Minnesota Vikings $5 34,411

DST 8 Cincinnati Bengals $5 27,185

DST 9 Kansas City Chiefs $6 24,892

DST 10 Jacksonville Jaguars $4 24,469

PK 1 Sebastian Janikowski $2 160,397

PK 2 Dan Bailey $5 64,373

PK 3 Josh Scobee $2 62,166

PK 4 Robbie Gould $3 47,391

PK 5 Steve Hauschka $6 41,179

PK 6 Graham Gano $3 40,803

PK 7 Stephen Gostkowski $8 40,522

PK 8 Dan Carpenter $3 38,842

PK 9 Blair Walsh $4 35,915

PK 10 Matt Bryant $5 33,290

QB 1 Tom Brady $14 630,394

QB 2 Carson Palmer $8 175,022

QB 3 Sam Bradford $13 139,220

QB 4 Tyrod Taylor $5 123,803

QB 5 Kirk Cousins $3 95,169

QB 6 Ben Roethlisberger $18 80,129

QB 7 Andrew Luck $26 77,235

QB 8 Philip Rivers $13 73,200

QB 9 Ryan Tannehill $15 71,408

QB 10 Eli Manning $14 65,655

RB 1 Doug Martin $12 384,663

RB 2 Chris Ivory $15 248,425

RB 3 Mark Ingram $20 228,377

RB 4 Adrian Peterson $32 211,773

RB 5 Ameer Abdullah $14 164,922

RB 6 Danny Woodhead $12 157,971

RB 7 Frank Gore $22 155,168

RB 8 Ryan Mathews $8 140,064

RB 9 Lamar Miller $24 138,044

RB 10 Justin Forsett $25 118,986

TE 1 Tyler Eifert $9 366,737

TE 2 Rob Gronkowski $33 348,480

TE 3 Greg Olsen $21 227,322

TE 4 Richard Rodgers $5 112,217

TE 5 Travis Kelce $20 109,197

TE 6 Jordan Reed $7 88,269

TE 7 Kyle Rudolph $11 84,268

TE 8 Ben Watson $3 74,009

TE 9 Owen Daniels $8 70,710

TE 10 Ladarius Green $6 57,299

WR 1 Julio Jones $26 817,344

WR 2 Jarvis Landry $15 318,793

WR 3 Brandin Cooks $21 220,363

WR 4 John Brown $12 200,034

WR 5 Antonio Brown $33 186,577

WR 6 Jordan Matthews $21 143,476

WR 7 Calvin Johnson $25 135,722

WR 8 Amari Cooper $19 119,822

WR 9 Allen Robinson $17 119,127

WR 10 Eddie Royal $4 117,486

Easy to see what the problem using a raw points scored over the length of the contest method - week 1 has 13000+ entries contributing and week 12 has only 1000. Thus Josh Scobee (!) is your #3 kicker in terms of points contributed. The next post will try to correct for this.

-QG

 
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This final chart shows the top 10 at each position in points used in the contest when you weight each week the same.

In order to do this I multiplied each week's total points scored by a factor of (13665/Number of Entries left that week).

For example in week 4 there were 9022 entries left. So I multiplied all of the results by (13665/9022)=1.514631.

In Week 12 there were 1005 entries left. So I multiplied all of the results by (13665/1005) = 13.59701.

Doing this puts all of the weeks on an equal bases and thus limits the weird Scobbe-like outliers.

With that - here's the list. With the weighting, the end product number is inflated and thus should be seen relative to the other numbers on this list not the numbers shown on the other lists.

DST 1 Miami Dolphins $7 152,560

DST 2 Indianapolis Colts $5 148,215

DST 3 Denver Broncos $8 91,388

DST 4 Minnesota Vikings $5 74,537

DST 5 Cleveland Browns $4 71,208

DST 6 Philadelphia Eagles $8 69,569

DST 7 Arizona Cardinals $7 68,970

DST 8 Cincinnati Bengals $5 65,334

DST 9 Jacksonville Jaguars $4 64,213

DST 10 Kansas City Chiefs $6 61,082

PK 1 Sebastian Janikowski $2 332,661

PK 2 Dan Bailey $5 144,838

PK 3 Graham Gano $3 138,347

PK 4 Matt Prater $4 109,167

PK 5 Blair Walsh $4 96,489

PK 6 Robbie Gould $3 89,743

PK 7 Josh Scobee $2 78,519

PK 8 Dan Carpenter $3 74,048

PK 9 Stephen Gostkowski $8 68,270

PK 10 Steve Hauschka $6 65,065

QB 1 Tom Brady $14 1,217,437

QB 2 Carson Palmer $8 441,454

QB 3 Kirk Cousins $3 288,266

QB 4 Sam Bradford $13 229,411

QB 5 Tyrod Taylor $5 218,849

QB 6 Ryan Fitzpatrick $3 200,086

QB 7 Ryan Tannehill $15 159,640

QB 8 Philip Rivers $13 149,230

QB 9 Andrew Luck $26 146,195

QB 10 Ben Roethlisberger $18 145,996

RB 1 Doug Martin $12 988,798

RB 2 Chris Ivory $15 609,620

RB 3 Adrian Peterson $32 496,640

RB 4 Mark Ingram $20 469,085

RB 5 Lamar Miller $24 408,569

RB 6 Frank Gore $22 327,611

RB 7 Danny Woodhead $12 311,913

RB 8 Ryan Mathews $8 275,616

RB 9 Ameer Abdullah $14 217,576

RB 10 Jeremy Hill $25 213,648

TE 1 Tyler Eifert $9 805,371

TE 2 Rob Gronkowski $33 651,530

TE 3 Greg Olsen $21 591,171

TE 4 Richard Rodgers $5 250,539

TE 5 Jordan Reed $7 210,351

TE 6 Ben Watson $3 204,126

TE 7 Travis Kelce $20 202,796

TE 8 Kyle Rudolph $11 186,273

TE 9 Owen Daniels $8 185,386

TE 10 Delanie Walker $15 94,339

WR 1 Julio Jones $26 1,618,229

WR 2 Jarvis Landry $15 837,769

WR 3 Brandin Cooks $21 543,861

WR 4 John Brown $12 432,221

WR 5 Davante Adams $9 361,633

WR 6 Antonio Brown $33 312,117

WR 7 Calvin Johnson $25 303,038

WR 8 Allen Robinson $17 268,338

WR 9 Markus Wheaton $5 263,492

WR 10 Danny Amendola $3 248,346

Going across all positions here are the top 25 players in terms of their weighted impact on the the contest:

WR 1 Julio Jones $26 1,618,229

QB 2 Tom Brady $14 1,217,437

RB 3 Doug Martin $12 988,798

WR 4 Jarvis Landry $15 837,769

TE 5 Tyler Eifert $9 805,371

TE 6 Rob Gronkowski $33 651,530

RB 7 Chris Ivory $15 609,620

TE 8 Greg Olsen $21 591,171

WR 9 Brandin Cooks $21 543,861

RB 10 Adrian Peterson $32 496,640

RB 11 Mark Ingram $20 469,085

QB 12 Carson Palmer $8 441,454

WR 13 John Brown $12 432,221

RB 14 Lamar Miller $24 408,569

WR 15 Davante Adams $9 361,633

PK 16 Sebastian Janikowski $2 332,661

RB 17 Frank Gore $22 327,611

WR 18 Antonio Brown $33 312,117

RB 19 Danny Woodhead $12 311,913

WR 20 Calvin Johnson $25 303,038

QB 21 Kirk Cousins $3 288,266

RB 22 Ryan Mathews $8 275,616

WR 23 Allen Robinson $17 268,338

WR 24 Markus Wheaton $5 263,492

TE 25 Richard Rodgers $5 250,539

FWIW 13 of my guys are on the individual top 10 lists. 11 show up in the overall top 25.

Found the whole exercise interesting - I don't think it reveals information that's all that surprising but fun nonetheless. Hope you enjoy it.

-QG

 
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I have 11 of the top 25 as well, including the top 4. If I make it through to the 250, I will need Allen Robinson and Mike Evans to explode to have a shot.

 
Last 2 bits of fun.

Here are two versions of an optimum lineup.

Version 1 is a 30-player entry made up of players that massively overly performed their price point (I made a couple concessions to slightly lower priced defenses - someone doing higher-level number crunching may find a better one). It actually ends up using only $248

Version 2 is an 18-player entry where I took all of the highest scoring players I could while staying under the cap. Again - others may be able to use supercomputers to come up with better but still it's another would-be monster.

Here they are :)

Version 1 (30-player):

QB Tom Brady 14

QB Andy Dalton 9

QB Carson Palmer 8

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick 3

RB Mark Ingram 20

RB Devonta Freeman 14

RB Doug Martin 12

RB Danny Woodhead 12

RB Theo Riddick 7

RB DeAngelo Williams 6

RB James Starks 6

WR Julio Jones 26

WR Larry Fitzgerald 15

WR Jarvis Landry 15

WR Michael Crabtree 9

WR Allen Hurns 6

WR Donte Moncrief 4

WR Tavon Austin 3

TE Tyler Eifert 9

TE Jordan Reed 7

TE Richard Rodgers 5

TE Jacob Tamme 4

TE Crockett Gillmore 4

TE Ben Watson 3

PK Josh Brown 4

PK Cairo Santos 4

PK Graham Gano 3

DST Carolina Panthers 9

DST New York Giants 4

DST Washington Redskins 3

WEEK TOT CUT RANK

wk 1 238 114.55 39

wk 2 239 146.1 8

wk 3 247.25 147.35 48

wk 4 243.25 123.5 1

wk 5 238.95 128.35 1

wk 6 212.95 140.75 137

wk 7 245.35 157.35 33

wk 8 245.6 143.5 2

wk 9 246.2 159.65 3

wk 10 189.35 148.05 148

wk 11 190.75 144.7 22

wk 12 229.95 179.6 17

total 2766.6 1

Version 2 (18-player):

QB Tom Brady 14

QB Carson Palmer 8

RB Mark Ingram 20

RB Devonta Freeman 14

RB Doug Martin 12

RB Danny Woodhead 12

WR Odell Beckham Jr 31

WR Julio Jones 26

WR DeAndre Hopkins 23

WR Larry Fitzgerald 15

WR Jarvis Landry 15

TE Delanie Walker 15

TE Tyler Eifert 9

TE Jordan Reed 7

PK Stephen Gostkowski 8

PK Graham Gano 3

DST Carolina Panthers 9

DST Denver Broncos 8

WEEK TOT CUT RANK

wk 1 246.2 114.55 11

wk 2 234.9 146.1 10

wk 3 255.8 147.35 16

wk 4 204.3 123.5 46

wk 5 251.35 128.35 1

wk 6 220.8 140.75 53

wk 7 232.35 157.35 134

wk 8 229.8 143.5 13

wk 9 216.9 159.65 86

wk 10 170.85 148.05 674

wk 11 200.95 144.7 5

wk 12 214.3 179.6 66

total 2678.5 1

-QG

 
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Sweet. Wow there are only 18 of us with him? It has been a horrible year :( I have both him and Adams lol not sure how I'm still in this

 
59.70 58.10 from R Rodgers, Megatron, and Adams. Not a bad start - this cut is severe though. Long way to go.

148 entries have Richard Rodgers btw.

(fixed for the lateral play to R Rodgers)

-QG

 
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8 owners have Gronk, Eifert, and R Rodgers

18 have just Gronk and R Rodgers (no Eifert)

57 have just Eifert and R Rodgers owners (no Gronk)

there are 65 other R Rodgers owners.

-QG

 
What did RR end up with? On NFL.com he went from 8 catches for 111 yards, to 8 catches for 147 yards after a 61 yard catch. No site seems to have accurate stats from tonight. No clue how many fantasy points he got.

 
Week 13 cut lines from recent seasons (2013 was a special year as there was a fanduel promotion and there was a final 500 instead of a final 250). Please note there are roster and scoring changes over the years - they are not accounted for here.

2014: 161.65

2012: 170.05

2011: 164.25

2010: 168.80

2009: 164.25

2008: 191.15

2007: 152.30

-QG

 
What did RR end up with? On NFL.com he went from 8 catches for 111 yards, to 8 catches for 147 yards after a 61 yard catch. No site seems to have accurate stats from tonight. No clue how many fantasy points he got.
I think it depends on how the lateral play is scored. Prior to the last drive had 7 catches for 100 yards. The touchdown play would make it 8 catches for 161 yards. HOWEVER, I believe that he gets "credited" for receiving yards on that lateral play - which would be minus a few yards.

-QG

 
What did RR end up with? On NFL.com he went from 8 catches for 111 yards, to 8 catches for 147 yards after a 61 yard catch. No site seems to have accurate stats from tonight. No clue how many fantasy points he got.
I think it depends on how the lateral play is scored. Prior to the last drive had 7 catches for 100 yards. The touchdown play would make it 8 catches for 161 yards. HOWEVER, I believe that he gets "credited" for receiving yards on that lateral play - which would be minus a few yards.

-QG
Ah ok makes sense. Just wish they'd figure it out. As of now, MFL, NFL.COM, Igomatics, and ESPN all have a different stat number for R. Rodgers. Strange they can't figure it out 30 min after the game haha

 
The lateral to R Rodgers gets credited as minus 16 receiving yards. The strange part is that they haven't given Aaron Rodgers the negative yardage for the lateral that went back to him. It wouldn't be surprising to me if this gets clarified at some point.

Under the rules - those lost yards should count against Aaron's total receiving yards (e.g. 0 receptions for like minus 20 yards) - which should cost him some points as well.

-QG

 
What did RR end up with? On NFL.com he went from 8 catches for 111 yards, to 8 catches for 147 yards after a 61 yard catch. No site seems to have accurate stats from tonight. No clue how many fantasy points he got.
I think it depends on how the lateral play is scored. Prior to the last drive had 7 catches for 100 yards. The touchdown play would make it 8 catches for 161 yards. HOWEVER, I believe that he gets "credited" for receiving yards on that lateral play - which would be minus a few yards.

-QG
Ah ok makes sense. Just wish they'd figure it out. As of now, MFL, NFL.COM, Igomatics, and ESPN all have a different stat number for R. Rodgers. Strange they can't figure it out 30 min after the game haha
I bet they had to go to the tape - I wonder how often they have to do that.

Anyway pretty awesome $5 investment :)

-QG

 
Ah I get it - the 16 yards that R Rodgers threw the ball back to A Rodgers are what goes against his receiving yards. Strictly speaking Aaron Rodgers should have a stat line of 0 receptions for 0 yards.

-QG

 
In some scoring systems, I've seen the various multilateral yardage gains/losses scored as return yards rather than multiple receiving yards updates.

Depends on site and league settings, but may explain some of the variation.

 
So painful watching and waiting.

In my mind 499 other owners own Blake bottles and Allen Robinson. Where's the jack daniels?

 
I think my husbands teams is short of the cut, but right now I have 131.1 with these guys left.

Brady

Carr

Cousins

His only 3 quarterbacks so all points count

Danny Woodhead minus about 11 from Ivory

Wheaton minus the same 11ish

Kelce and Watson minus the same 11ish

Gano and Janikowski all points count

defenses are done.

 
At 125.00 with only Brady/Cousins (-21.2), Olsen (-7.1), and Wheaton (-12.1) left.

Hopefully I'm missing something, but probably going to need a miracle...

Good luck everyone

 
I'm out. Farthest I've ever made it. Good luck guys.

ETA: I might have a chance with Watson (Gronk out)

 
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I'm feeling the heat. 146.3 + (Brady - 26.1) + (Anderson/Ingram/Matt Jones - 4.6/11.9/12.1) + (Philly Brown - 12.1/13.4/17.3) + (Olsen/Chandler - 12.1/13.4/32.6) + (Gano/Janikowski).

A lot of guys left but I need them to do something I think.

-QG

 
There's a lot of guys going Sunday Night and Monday night.

Here's the breakdown - I think I got everything correct. Some of these guys may end up inactive.

First Sunday - there's about 1.6 player per team going:

WR Markus Wheaton PIT 269 TD Indianapolis Colts IND 141 RB Frank Gore IND 88 QB Ben Roethlisberger PIT 46 WR Phillip Dorsett IND 43 TE Heath Miller PIT 34 WR Antonio Brown PIT 32 RB DeAngelo Williams PIT 30 PK Adam Vinatieri IND 21 WR Donte Moncrief IND 18 TD Pittsburgh Steelers PIT 17 WR T.Y. Hilton IND 14 WR Martavis Bryant PIT 13 WR Andre Johnson IND 12 TE Dwayne Allen IND 12 TE Coby Fleener IND 6 WR Sammie Coates PIT 4 RB Dan Herron IND 1 And not Monday. There's just under 1.5 guys going per entry:

QB Kirk Cousins WAS 170 RB Christine Michael WAS 146 RB Matt Jones WAS 115 TE Jordan Reed WAS 85 PK Dan Bailey DAL 80 WR Cole Beasley DAL 43 RB Darren McFadden DAL 32 TD Washington Redskins WAS 25 WR Terrance Williams DAL 20 TD Dallas Cowboys DAL 8 WR Dez Bryant DAL 5 TE Jason Witten DAL 5 PK Dustin Hopkins WAS 4 WR Pierre Garcon WAS 3 TE Gavin Escobar DAL 2 WR DeSean Jackson WAS 1 Really going to be a big Turk sweat this week :scared:

-QG

 

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