Subscriber Contest (2 Viewers)

[FUBAR]

I'm going to wait until this Collie/Garcon situation is clarified before running the final numbers.

??? Huh ???

the suspense is killing me! I have Garcon here and Collie in other leagues and somehow I missed this situation.

 

[Doug Drinen]

I'm going to wait until this Collie/Garcon situation is clarified before running the final numbers.

??? Huh ???

the suspense is killing me! I have Garcon here and Collie in other leagues and somehow I missed this situation.

All yesterday, Collie was listed at 131 yards and Garcon at 75. Now some sites are showing Collie at 163 yards and Garcon at 43. Others still have 131 and 75.Assuming 163 and 43 (which I think is correct), the cut would be 125.90.

 

[WisWolvrns]

I'm going to wait until this Collie/Garcon situation is clarified before running the final numbers.

Philosophical question: does the fact that your sims had me ranked as just under the 6000th place team and I scored over 200 points motivate you to change the simulation algorithms? I have a 18 man roster / all studs and the simulation results had me perturbed, lol. Entry 101289.

Since the sim is based on the player stats projections, it will only be as close as the projections. Obviously making such detailed player by player projections is not an exact science, so where the projections turn out incorrect, the subsequent rankings will be incorrect. Look at it as the stock market. No one can predict every stock exactly, but can get close on most of them, however sometimes in any given week some major differences from projections to reality can occur.

 

[Donsmith753]

Just put together a very quick spreadsheet for entering stats and keeping track of things.

If cutoff is 125.9 I'm safe. Scored 172.25 this week.

 

[fsufan]

I'm going to wait until this Collie/Garcon situation is clarified before running the final numbers.

??? Huh ???

the suspense is killing me! I have Garcon here and Collie in other leagues and somehow I missed this situation.

All yesterday, Collie was listed at 131 yards and Garcon at 75. Now some sites are showing Collie at 163 yards and Garcon at 43. Others still have 131 and 75.Assuming 163 and 43 (which I think is correct), the cut would be 125.90.

NFL.com has him at 11 rec 163 yards and 1 TD. FGB championship legues have him at 10 rec 130 yards and 1 TD

 

[ctriopelle]

Just put together a very quick spreadsheet for entering stats and keeping track of things.If cutoff is 125.9 I'm safe. Scored 172.25 this week.

since OC and I won't be live scoring this year, one easier option for at least some people is to use the MFL gameday stats available to anyone using myfantasyleague.com. I think you will find most leagues scoring is pretty close to the contest scoring, or easy enough to adjust, and it will get you an idea of your players scores. Just use the top performers tab and hunt for your players by position. It's pretty easy to make a spreadsheet to tally things up after that.

 

[QuizGuy66]

:(

-QG

 

[PatsChowder]

note to self: Always take 3 QBs... It doesn't matter that the winner last year got by w/ 2.... take 3... even if the 3rd is Derrek Anderson :(

I gambled and only took 2 with Schaub and Roethlisberger, and only yesterday did I truly realize how risky that is. I should make it to the 2nd week (at 150+) thanks to Foster and Welker but not sure I can survive another 10 point game by Schaub.

I actually wanted to take 4 QBs, but ran out of room on my roster.

I will never take more than 2 QBs. It's too much money tied up that can be a starter elsewhere. Sucks if one of your QBs go down, but you have to get lucky with injuries anyway.

I think the ideal route to go is still 2 QBs, but if you are going to go with two, you can't pick Roethlisberger. Essentially, you're going with one for 5 weeks.It's also worth noting that the first place winner had two elite level QBs. I'm not necessarily sure that Roethlisberger qualifies as fantasy "elite." Maybe he does. Personally, QB was the hardest position to fill for me. I had settled on a Rivers/Flacco/Anderson combination, but changed on the last day to Schaub/Rivers (same $$). Ultimately, I felt more comfortable with Schaub during Rivers week 10 bye if I am lucky enough to get there.

 

[Bankerguy]

Where are the scores?

 

[Ministry of Pain]

220 this week, probably shot my wad and get bounced next week.

 

[apalmer]

note to self: Always take 3 QBs... It doesn't matter that the winner last year got by w/ 2.... take 3... even if the 3rd is Derrek Anderson

I gambled and only took 2 with Schaub and Roethlisberger, and only yesterday did I truly realize how risky that is. I should make it to the 2nd week (at 150+) thanks to Foster and Welker but not sure I can survive another 10 point game by Schaub.

I actually wanted to take 4 QBs, but ran out of room on my roster.

I will never take more than 2 QBs. It's too much money tied up that can be a starter elsewhere. Sucks if one of your QBs go down, but you have to get lucky with injuries anyway.

I think the ideal route to go is still 2 QBs, but if you are going to go with two, you can't pick Roethlisberger. Essentially, you're going with one for 5 weeks.It's also worth noting that the first place winner had two elite level QBs. I'm not necessarily sure that Roethlisberger qualifies as fantasy "elite." Maybe he does. Personally, QB was the hardest position to fill for me. I had settled on a Rivers/Flacco/Anderson combination, but changed on the last day to Schaub/Rivers (same $$). Ultimately, I felt more comfortable with Schaub during Rivers week 10 bye if I am lucky enough to get there.

Using the FBG projections in Draft Dominator, Roethlisberger projects to nearly as many points from week 6 on as any other QB. Because of the suspension, you can get the same points down the stretch for $14 as you would for $25 (or more). The downside, of course, is no production until Week 6. I paired him with Rodgers, knowing it's a risk, but hoping Rodgers alone can get me through Week 5. If he gets hurt or has a bad week, I may lose the gamble. If not, then down the stretch I have two stud QB's cheap. You don't win the contest by playing safe.

 

[Jayrod]

note to self: Always take 3 QBs... It doesn't matter that the winner last year got by w/ 2.... take 3... even if the 3rd is Derrek Anderson

I gambled and only took 2 with Schaub and Roethlisberger, and only yesterday did I truly realize how risky that is. I should make it to the 2nd week (at 150+) thanks to Foster and Welker but not sure I can survive another 10 point game by Schaub.

I actually wanted to take 4 QBs, but ran out of room on my roster.

I will never take more than 2 QBs. It's too much money tied up that can be a starter elsewhere. Sucks if one of your QBs go down, but you have to get lucky with injuries anyway.

I think the ideal route to go is still 2 QBs, but if you are going to go with two, you can't pick Roethlisberger. Essentially, you're going with one for 5 weeks.It's also worth noting that the first place winner had two elite level QBs. I'm not necessarily sure that Roethlisberger qualifies as fantasy "elite." Maybe he does. Personally, QB was the hardest position to fill for me. I had settled on a Rivers/Flacco/Anderson combination, but changed on the last day to Schaub/Rivers (same $$). Ultimately, I felt more comfortable with Schaub during Rivers week 10 bye if I am lucky enough to get there.

I went with a Schaub/Roethlisberger combo and no others. I don't think it will be a problem since the cuts will be so low for the first 5 weeks. If the rest of your roster isn't strong enough to handle the early weeks with only one QB, you don't have much of a chance anyway, IMO. I scored 188 with Schaub's 10 pt effort...and in fact his was the lowest score from any position included in my final numbers....followed closely by Finley.I like clearing the hurdle with that much ease and getting next to nothing from two high scoring positions....Schaub and Roeth will be a great combo down the stretch for the money....now if only Spiller shows up sometime this year, I should be OK.

 

[apalmer]

Where are the scores?

Earler this morning, Doug posted that he was going to wait to see how the Colts WR scoring issue got resolved before putting them up.

 

[Bankerguy]

Where are the scores?

Earler this morning, Doug posted that he was going to wait to see how the Colts WR scoring issue got resolved before putting them up.

Ahhhh....thanks.

 

[TheFanatic]

Initially I went with Eli and Big Ben. Had that from day one till the day before the contest closed. Changed it to Eli, Derek Anderson and BRadford. The goal here is to have more guys that might have a monster game here and there since I don't have to try to predict the monster game in this format. Having two guys in the NFC West is not a bad way to go...

I really hope to rely on Eli all season and expect huge things from him and so far he hasn't disappointed. Helped me to hit something like 224 the first week. Although Forte and Foster had much more to do with it than he did...

 

[Paper Lions]

dot

 

[dal_boys_phan]

Decided to swing for the fences and rostered Rothlisberger - my QBs are Roethlisberger ($14)/ Bradford ($9) / Derek Anderson ($6).

Figured that out of Bradford and Anderson, the combo should get me to when Roethlisberger gets back. As long as he does not go out with an injury, Bradford should be the starter all season for STL, so he was a no brainer. Anderson was the flier to add as the 3rd QB - too risky to go with only two in this contest.

 

[Glatty]

Just curious where those that posted their scores (or estimates) are getting the info. I remember the past few years there was someone who had a site that updated them after each game, but I don't have the link. Is that up again this year?

 

[Jayrod]

Just curious where those that posted their scores (or estimates) are getting the info. I remember the past few years there was someone who had a site that updated them after each game, but I don't have the link. Is that up again this year?

New rules made it too difficult to do again this year.Most guys are just calculating their own scores with spreadsheets.

 

[Jayrod]

Is it that tough to watch a recording and count how many passes a guy caught? With all of the fantasy football guys out there, surely the number of catches a guy has isn't that difficult. Its not like we are talking targets or assisted tackles here.

 

[apalmer]

Is it that tough to watch a recording and count how many passes a guy caught? With all of the fantasy football guys out there, surely the number of catches a guy has isn't that difficult. Its not like we are talking targets or assisted tackles here.

Everybody in the NFL offices is too busy watching video of the female reporter allegedly harrassed by the Jets. She was looking pretty harrassable on the Today Show this morning.

 

[gandalas]

I am not too worried about my chances this week:

QB: Derek Anderson (over Shaub and Henne) - 297 yards, 1 Td, 1 fumble

RB1: Chris Johnson - 142 yards, 2 TD. 4 receptions for 8 yards

RB2: Arian Foster - 231 yards. 3 TD. 1 reception for 7 yards

Flex: Ronnie Brown - 65 yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions for 20 yardsd

WR1: Wes Welker - 8 receptions for 64 yards, 2 TD

WR2: Jabar Gaffney - 3 receptions, for 34 yards, 1 TD

WR3: Devery Henderson or Deion Branch - 2 receptions for 38 yards, 1 TD

TE1: Todd Heap (over Celek) - 6 receptions for 72 yards

K: Rob Bironas - 43 yard FG, 5 XP

Def: Titans - 4 sacks. 1 Fumble, 1 INT, 13 points allowed

I just want to know for sure that I made the cut and start worrying about next week!

 

[Modog814]

I am not too worried about my chances this week:

QB: Derek Anderson (over Shaub and Henne) - 297 yards, 1 Td, 1 fumble

RB1: Chris Johnson - 142 yards, 2 TD. 4 receptions for 8 yards

RB2: Arian Foster - 231 yards. 3 TD. 1 reception for 7 yards

Flex: Ronnie Brown - 65 yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions for 20 yardsd

WR1: Wes Welker - 8 receptions for 64 yards, 2 TD

WR2: Jabar Gaffney - 3 receptions, for 34 yards, 1 TD

WR3: Devery Henderson or Deion Branch - 2 receptions for 38 yards, 1 TD

TE1: Todd Heap (over Celek) - 6 receptions for 72 yards

K: Rob Bironas - 43 yard FG, 5 XP

Def: Titans - 4 sacks. 1 Fumble, 1 INT, 13 points allowed

I just want to know for sure that I made the cut and start worrying about next week!

You're good.

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

 

[texasheat]

I had Grant in this thing until the final hour.... whew

 

[The_Hoser]

Best I can figure (and I have my shoes off to do this) I'm at 181.75, pending the Garcon/Collie outcome. I'm surprised I did that well, considering my second-best RB was Fred Taylor and second-best WR was Aromashodu. Thank God for solid TEs and that flex.

GLA in Week 2.

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

Good call, also the Foster owners that took Grant are going to run into probelms if they didn't take Jackson.

 

[videoguy505]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

Was just thinking that was the best $4 I spent.

 

[apalmer]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

Good call, also the Foster owners that took Grant are going to run into probelms if they didn't take Jackson.

748 teams had Grant. Only 48 of those also had Jackson. That's a major hit to 700 teams.

 

[LittlePhatty]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

Was just thinking that was the best $4 I spent.

4% owned.517 entries.Green Bay could bring in someone else. I hope Brandon takes the lead though. I watched the game and he looked a little hesitant running towards the line. Time will tell.

 

[loompa17]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

Was just thinking that was the best $4 I spent.

Me too. Now I've got plenty of strength at RB. Wish I could trade for a WR.

 

[CalBear]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

Good call, also the Foster owners that took Grant are going to run into probelms if they didn't take Jackson.

748 teams had Grant. Only 48 of those also had Jackson. That's a major hit to 700 teams.

And those teams will be disproportionately smaller rosters; Grant was $27, so the 30-man teams don't have him.

 

[cstu]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

I think Starks takes over when he gets back.

 

[TheFanatic]

Just curious where those that posted their scores (or estimates) are getting the info. I remember the past few years there was someone who had a site that updated them after each game, but I don't have the link. Is that up again this year?

They can't access the rosters this year as it violates the TOS here at FBG. At least that's the story. I think it sucks that I can't pay $2 or whatever it was for someone to calculate my squad. But they are doing all the players (or at least most of them) so you can check to see what your guys did. Some players are missing like Arian Foster, Graham Gano, and Louis Murphy. Probably missing more, but these were guys on my squad that I had to calculate myself...

 

[QuizGuy66]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

Was just thinking that was the best $4 I spent.

4% owned.517 entries.Green Bay could bring in someone else. I hope Brandon takes the lead though. I watched the game and he looked a little hesitant running towards the line. Time will tell.

switched him out for Scott at the last minute -QG

 

[FUBAR]

Assuming 163 and 43 (which I think is correct), the cut would be 125.90.

should be good then. Romo, DWill, Moss and Harvin had me slightly worried. Thank you Mr. Foster.

 

[The Iguana]

posted now.

 

[Cliff Clavin]

2nd last place entry:

Aaron Rodgers $29 20.30

Drew Brees $28 17.25

Peyton Manning $28 39.65

Tony Romo $26 20.10

Tom Brady $24 30.90

Maurice Morris $2 2.50

Mike Tolbert $1 2.60

Greg Camarillo $3 3.90

Ted Ginn $3 2.90

Patrick Crayton $3 0.00

Donald Lee $2 0.00

Garrett Hartley $6 2.00

Stephen Gostkowski $6 9.00

Nate Kaeding $6 2.00

Mason Crosby $6 14.00

David Akers $5 10.00

Ryan Longwell $5 5.00

Nick Folk $4 11.00

Neil Rackers $4 13.00

Adam Vinatieri $4 6.00

Robbie Gould $4 8.00

Jeff Reed $3 14.00

Rob Bironas $3 10.00

New York Jets $9 8.00

Minnesota Vikings $7 1.00

Philadelphia Eagles $6 7.00

Baltimore Ravens $6 4.00

Green Bay Packers $6 7.00

Pittsburgh Steelers $6 4.00

Cincinnati Bengals $5 0.00

 

[LittlePhatty]

posted now.

Yep!http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2010/week-1.php

 

[LittlePhatty]

And those teams will be disproportionately smaller rosters; Grant was $27, so the 30-man teams don't have him.

It's not impossible. I have 28 players and I spent $27 on Best plus another $27 on Roddy White.100331

I went cheap at TE though, which will probably be a mistake.

 

[QuizGuy66]

This Guy missed the cut by .05

Btw he had Adrian Peterson AND Chris Johnson (one of only 253 entries to do so) and thus and 18-guy roster. 12 of those ADP/CJ guys are out.

-QG

 

[belljr]

SON OF A.... I somehow only picked 1 TE. no idea how I screwed that up and didn't notice this.

ugh...

 

[QuizGuy66]

More importantly:

One of the two 21-kickers guys is still alive!!!

Yes!



-QG

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

Good call, also the Foster owners that took Grant are going to run into probelms if they didn't take Jackson.

748 teams had Grant. Only 48 of those also had Jackson. That's a major hit to 700 teams.

Probably the 1st wave of Foster owners that could be gone.

 

[tigerz]

Will $4 Brandon Jackson be this year's gamechanger?

Good call, also the Foster owners that took Grant are going to run into probelms if they didn't take Jackson.

748 teams had Grant. Only 48 of those also had Jackson. That's a major hit to 700 teams.

And those teams will be disproportionately smaller rosters; Grant was $27, so the 30-man teams don't have him.

Yeah, I'm one of the unlucky ones who picked up Grant without Jackson. The prices did not make it easy for me to pickup a handcuff. Oh well, with four more decent RBs left I think it would be a lot worse if I lost one of my two starting QBs. 22 Players left, not expecting much this year though.

 

[LittlePhatty]

88% survival rate for 18 Player rosters.

All other roster sizes appear to be in the low to mid 90s, most around 95% survival in Week 1.

 

[QuizGuy66]

21 guys with Foster got eliminated.

8255 survived.

208 out of 3419 Finley guys went :wave:

88 out of 961 Tolbert guys were gone.

18-guy survival rate: 88.68%

19-guy survival rate: 91.55%

20-guy survival rate: 93.72%

21-guy survival rate: 95.01%

22-guy survival rate: 94.74%

23-guy survival rate: 96.59%

24-guy survival rate: 97.15%

25-guy survival rate: 97.01%

26-guy survival rate: 97.73%

27-guy survival rate: 96.57%

28-guy survival rate: 97.78%

29-guy survival rate: 92.96%

30-guy survival rate: 95.57%

People spending < $250 survived at a 1 90.72% rate

1 QB teams survived at a 90.38% rate

2 QB teams survived at a 91.65% rate

3 QB teams survived at a 93.53% rate

4 QB teams survived at a 94.97% rate

5+ QB teams survived at a 85.55% rate

Overall survival rate was 92.07%

-QG

 

[yellowdog]

How many Jermichael Finley/Aaron Rodgers teams were eliminated?

 

[QuizGuy66]

Couple other interesting guys:

Roethlisberger survival rate: 94.67%

Santonio survival rate: 88.17%

Hardesty survival rate 74.38%

Ben Tate survival rate 69.81%

Steve Smith 1 (which I think is Carolina) survival rate: 95.88%

Steve Smith 2 (which I think is Giants) 87.81%

Both Steve Smiths: 6 out of 7 are left.

Forte and Foster: 747 entries. 100% survival rate

-QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

How many Jermichael Finley/Aaron Rodgers teams were eliminated?

96 out of 1152 - that's a 91.67% survival rate. Slightly below average.-QG