Ted Lange as your Bartender
Footballguy
I'm #8 in the power rankings. I don't think my RBs are good enough for my team to be ranked that high, but hey, who's to argue with the Turk 
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
Subscriber Contest (6 Viewers)
- Thread starter eaglezzz
- Start date
I'm #8 in the power rankings. I don't think my RBs are good enough for my team to be ranked that high, but hey, who's to argue with the Turk 
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
UPDATE FOR WEEK 5!!!6 out of 7 entries above survived week 5UPDATE!!!!Entry with most QBs still alive - 10 QB guyEntry with most RBs still alive - 15 RB guy
Entry with most WRs still alive - 18 WR guy
Entry with most TEs still alive - 7 TE guy #1
Entry with most TEs still alive - 7 TE guy #2
The Myth The Legend - 21 Kicker guy!!!
Entry with the most TDs still alive - 17 TD guy
-QG
Every single one of the above entries is still alive after week 4
-QG
The only casualty was 7 TE guy #2. So This is your champion amongst the 7 TE guys :( -QG
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
The funniest thing about 15 RB guy? Last week he got 41.60 from the 3 RBs that contributed to his score. He got 58.20 from the 3 WRs that contributed to his score. He actually would've survived if all 15 of his RBs had gotten 0. :(
10 QB has possibly the goofiest alignment in the whole contest. 10-3-8-1-7-1
18 WR used only 3 of his WRs last week. His flex was one of his 3 TEs. In fact he has used a WR as a flex only once in 5 weeks.
-QG
10 QB has possibly the goofiest alignment in the whole contest. 10-3-8-1-7-1
18 WR used only 3 of his WRs last week. His flex was one of his 3 TEs. In fact he has used a WR as a flex only once in 5 weeks.
-QG
With half of the field gone, I think most of the "junk" entries are gone. So if the 18 roster entries started with a greater percentage of junk entries, they should be gone.One of the interesting arguments that has been made by the 18-er crowd is that there were a higher proportion of "junk" entries amongst the 18-player entries at that this is part of the explanation for their lower survival rate to date in the contest. (They also impugned the honor of 21-kicker guyin the process). Anyhow I was curious what the week-to-week results showed. If their hypothesis is correct, at some point the "junk" entries should largely be filtered out and the difference in survival would presumably be greatly reduced if not disappear.I've grouped the entries by size. 18 (18ers get their own category), 19-21, 22-24, 25-27, and 28-30Here's the results by week along with the overall survival percentageWeek 1 - 92.07% survival rate:18: 88.68%19-21: 93.03%22-24: 95.96%25-27: 97.14%28-30: 95.62%Week 2 - 83.41% survival rate:18: 82.32%19-21: 83.46%22-24: 83.64%25-27: 87.23%28-30: 85.36%Week 3 - 84.96% survival rate:18: 80.07%19-21: 85.48%22-24: 89.60%25-27: 92.12%28-30: 94.83%Week 4 - 85.32% survival rate:18: 79.31%19-21: 85.48%22-24: 91.46%25-27: 93.48%28-30: 94.34%Week 5 - 84.15% survival rate:18: 83.51%19-21: 83.31%22-24: 85.95%25-27: 85.76%28-30: 84.76%Well that's pretty interesting. Perhaps week 5 is an anomaly and perhaps the bigger rosters had more of their pet guys off or underperforming this week (or the smaller rosters had less of their favorite studs off or underperforming) or perhaps week 4 was sort of a "great purge" of flawed smaller entries. It will be very interesting to see if week 5 proves the exception or the rule moving forward.-QG
47 of us remain. Maybe Big Ben and Santonio will help my uniqueness. I guess they don't factor into the calculation since they have not scored any points yet.
apalmer
Footballguy
Even though 21-kicker guy has made it this far while taking a 0 in his flex spot every week, this week he'll also get no points at TE or D. That's a lot to overcome--especiallyif Rodgers is out and he has to make do with Garrard.86.9%right in the middle of the pack.Is this the week for 21-kicker guy? The Turkomatic has him at only 26.2%
-QG
apalmer
Footballguy
Ben/Santonio owner here. Part of the reason I took them was the thought that it might help my uniqueness (ddin't think many teams would risk having that much money be worthless for the first 4 or 5 weeks). The other part was my hope that both could put up top tier numbers down the stretch for far less than top tier cost. Interestingly, my more valuable uniqueness factor seems to be my TE combo of Davis and Witten. Only 37 teams started with that combo and only 19 remain. Only 1 of those also includes Santonio, so that has become my "lightning strike" hope: somehow make it to the finals and then hope that those 3 players all explode.
Wide Right
Footballguy
Congrats to all that are still alive. 53.3% of the field has been elimated. We are over half way there!
bicycle_seat_sniffer
Smells like chicken
IM OUT!
i suck at this
i suck at this
Marauder
Footballguy
Only 61 of the original 165 Brady/Stafford owners left.
Only 4 of the original 10 Winslow/Heath Miller owners left.
I'm the only team with all four of these guys. These four guys are the key to my team. In the unlikely event that these guys light it up in the seond half and my RB's and WR's hold serve I could have a chance to go deep in this.
Only 4 of the original 10 Winslow/Heath Miller owners left.
I'm the only team with all four of these guys. These four guys are the key to my team. In the unlikely event that these guys light it up in the seond half and my RB's and WR's hold serve I could have a chance to go deep in this.
Marauder
Footballguy
I think this speaks to the importance of TE's in this contest. That 1.5 ppr for TE's is huge. I know I have had a TE count as my flex in all five weeks so far and even 18 WR guy has had a TE count as his flex more often than a WR. Very interesting.The funniest thing about 15 RB guy? Last week he got 41.60 from the 3 RBs that contributed to his score. He got 58.20 from the 3 WRs that contributed to his score. He actually would've survived if all 15 of his RBs had gotten 0.
10 QB has possibly the goofiest alignment in the whole contest. 10-3-8-1-7-1
18 WR used only 3 of his WRs last week. His flex was one of his 3 TEs. In fact he has used a WR as a flex only once in 5 weeks.
-QG
JKL
Footballguy
Well, I have about an 88% chance of advancing per the Turk, which is an improvement on recent weeks. If you would have asked me before the season, I would have thought week 6 would be a tough week for me, with my two highest priced running backs, DeAngelo and Spiller on byes. Since I have used each only once for a start though, I guess it's a "so what that they are on byes" this week. Week 10 now looks like the rough one, with Tolbert (4 starts), Brandon Jackson (3 starts), and Michael Bush all out. I'll need one of them to play well by then.
I'm also really glad for the Roethlisberger return. Not only do I have him, I also have Heath Miller (only 32 teams with that combo, 26% survival rate), so his return will hopefully add two good players to my roster.
I'm also really glad for the Roethlisberger return. Not only do I have him, I also have Heath Miller (only 32 teams with that combo, 26% survival rate), so his return will hopefully add two good players to my roster.
My Power rank is #323. Wow kind of surprised myself.
I have a couple of guys banged up now with Calvin Johnson and Finley. I am not so worried about Johnson as I have Marshall and Bess and Branch back from bye weeks and also have Garcon starting to get involved.
I am concerned about my TE's though with Finley out a few weeks. I have Scheffler who has been solid but has a bye week 7 and then I have Gronkowski who has his bye over but is over shadowed by Hernandez.
I think one area I went wrong in is TE's I should have took 4 or 5 instead of 3 - I also maybe should have took 3 QB's instead of 2 (Even though the combo of Rivers/Big Ben has paid off). I like having depth at RB and WR with 8 RB's and 11 WR's. I also took 3 K, and 3 Def
If I did it all over again I would go like this
2 QB - (2 QB might be best if no injuries but it is a big risk)
7 RB - (Even only having to start 2 RB's - RB's get dinged up pretty quick it is better to have more)
10 WR - (PPR 1 pt makes having some good WR's very important)
5 TE - (TE's are becoming a huge part of the offense in the NFL and for 1.5 pt a catch is becoming huge)
3 K - (I like the 4 kicker strategy but I think 3 is plenty as long as they have different byes and play indoors/warm weather and can kick distant FG's)
3 D - (Grabbing 3 of the lower end Def/ST seems to be a smart move that will surely score you some consistant points - make sure they all have dif Byes)
I don't really see a need to take 4 K/Def I think 3 is plenty with different byes and the same strategy of the 4 will almost be identical. Using those 2 spots for an extra handcuff RB or 2nd WR on a team could be of alot more use.
I have a couple of guys banged up now with Calvin Johnson and Finley. I am not so worried about Johnson as I have Marshall and Bess and Branch back from bye weeks and also have Garcon starting to get involved.
I am concerned about my TE's though with Finley out a few weeks. I have Scheffler who has been solid but has a bye week 7 and then I have Gronkowski who has his bye over but is over shadowed by Hernandez.
I think one area I went wrong in is TE's I should have took 4 or 5 instead of 3 - I also maybe should have took 3 QB's instead of 2 (Even though the combo of Rivers/Big Ben has paid off). I like having depth at RB and WR with 8 RB's and 11 WR's. I also took 3 K, and 3 Def
If I did it all over again I would go like this
2 QB - (2 QB might be best if no injuries but it is a big risk)
7 RB - (Even only having to start 2 RB's - RB's get dinged up pretty quick it is better to have more)
10 WR - (PPR 1 pt makes having some good WR's very important)
5 TE - (TE's are becoming a huge part of the offense in the NFL and for 1.5 pt a catch is becoming huge)
3 K - (I like the 4 kicker strategy but I think 3 is plenty as long as they have different byes and play indoors/warm weather and can kick distant FG's)
3 D - (Grabbing 3 of the lower end Def/ST seems to be a smart move that will surely score you some consistant points - make sure they all have dif Byes)
I don't really see a need to take 4 K/Def I think 3 is plenty with different byes and the same strategy of the 4 will almost be identical. Using those 2 spots for an extra handcuff RB or 2nd WR on a team could be of alot more use.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Curious what the typical scoring distribution by position has been for the surviving entries is to this point. I think we have a sense of what the optimum number of guys seem to be at different positions but this would be cool too.
Glad I chose to zag on TEs - Finley being out will have a profound impact on who survives over the coming weeks. Wonder what the most "dead" money that a surviving entry has at this point is?
-QG
Glad I chose to zag on TEs - Finley being out will have a profound impact on who survives over the coming weeks. Wonder what the most "dead" money that a surviving entry has at this point is?
-QG
THE UNDERCOVER BROTHA
Footballguy
you play to win the game...
Ahh well, Finley is a BIG loss to my chances.
Have to suck it up and deal with it, Some guys lost Grant who cost more than Finley.
Ahh well, Finley is a BIG loss to my chances.
Have to suck it up and deal with it, Some guys lost Grant who cost more than Finley.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
38 guys left with Finley AND Grant
That's out of an original 137 btw.-QG
Touchdown There
Footballguy
318 of the Big Ben owners have Finley. Ouch.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
This Entry (not mine) I believe has the most "dead" money at $53 lost, and thats only including Backup QB's that need a injury to play, players out for the year and players who were cut. Philip Rivers
Matthew Stafford <- Another $16 that could be dead money for a couple more weeks
Sam Bradford
Josh Johnson <- $5 dead money unless Freeman get's hurt
Ryan Grant <- $27 gone
Jerome Harrison <- $18 that some may consider "dead"
Marion Barber
Tim Hightower
Arian Foster
Leon Washington
Eddie Royal
Mike Williams
Bernard Berrian <- R.Moss acquisition may have made this another $6 of dead money
Chris Chambers
Harry Douglas
Deon Butler
Devery Henderson
Deion Branch
Greg Camarillo <- R.Moss acquisition may have made this another $3 of dead money
Jermichael Finley <- $21 gone
Jermaine Gresham
Donald Lee <- $2 dead for another couple weeks
Ryan Succop
Sebastian Janikowski
Olindo Mare
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs
Detroit Lions
Str8Male Flight Attendant
Footballguy
How strong and unique your team is. The more unique top players you have compared to other teams gives you a higher power ranking.
IMO, I take them to mean that if from this point forward no one got eliminated and the winner of this contest went to the person with the most points between now and the end of the season, these would be the predicted order of finish. So essentially I don't think they mean much now, and I believe they are biased toward the projections of the maker (obviously), meaning they may be much higher on one player than you are, which is why you do or don't have a player on your team. And thus you are rewarded/penalized based on how closely your team resembles the makers projections.
bonesman
Footballguy
Used 5 weeks: Flacco, Roddy White
Used 4 weeks: Bradshaw, Tomlinson, Z. Miller, Lions DST
Used 3: Foster, Austin Miles, M. Williams, L. Murphy, J. Hanson
Used 2: D. Keller, Jacoby Jones
Once: Garcon, L. Robinson, Lindell, Bironas, 9ers DST
ZERO: Stafford, Spiller, Thomas Jones, Leon Washington, Camarillo, Gronkowski, Browns DST
Used 4 weeks: Bradshaw, Tomlinson, Z. Miller, Lions DST
Used 3: Foster, Austin Miles, M. Williams, L. Murphy, J. Hanson
Used 2: D. Keller, Jacoby Jones
Once: Garcon, L. Robinson, Lindell, Bironas, 9ers DST
ZERO: Stafford, Spiller, Thomas Jones, Leon Washington, Camarillo, Gronkowski, Browns DST
gregjcross
Footballguy
I think the bias is that its rewarding the break out players to this point. If you had A.Foster, A.Collie (esp. after week 3) and A.Gates on your team, its logic says, you must be pretty solid going forward. The reality could be anything but that .... but since obviously nobody can tell the future....there you have it. On my own team: Ive had major contrasts like : QB: P.Manning (rock Solid) Bradford (all over the place) and DA (dead duck)RB : Arian Foster and LT2 (great) and Ryan Matthews (most expensive back i have - lowest production compared to LT2 and Forte WR Desean Jackson and Tampa M.Williams (mostly great) and Greg Jennings & Crabtree (disapointments for the money)Well see what the future holdsAs long as I stay balanced, I'll be fine.
Parmcat
Canada: Beer, Bacon and Beavers
missed by like 3 points!I love you man!Way too premature to count yourself out. You get Cassell and Shiancoe back this week to boost your QBs and TEs. If you only had Gore and Caddy in the previous 4 weeks you will still make the cut in 3 out of the 4 weeks (and Cassell and Shiancoe missed that week). The Turkometer gives you an 82.5% chance of advancing this week. Keep your head up!
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
:(missed by like 3 points!I love you man!Way too premature to count yourself out. You get Cassell and Shiancoe back this week to boost your QBs and TEs. If you only had Gore and Caddy in the previous 4 weeks you will still make the cut in 3 out of the 4 weeks (and Cassell and Shiancoe missed that week). The Turkometer gives you an 82.5% chance of advancing this week. Keep your head up!
-QG
H8fulHuck
Footballguy
That's a nice trio after making it through week 5. I wasn't willing to put that much dead $ through the beginning of the contest. I'd expect it to pay off for the 47 survivors. 31 if you take out the Finley owners.
H8fulHuck
Footballguy
:rimshot:Well with Ben playing there was an opening for a new cheerleader I guess
H8fulHuck
Footballguy
While I agree the TE is mui valuable in this contest, the real reason why 18 WR guy doesn't get points from that position is because the most expensive WR is only $8. The other positions like TE are more stud packed.I think this speaks to the importance of TE's in this contest. That 1.5 ppr for TE's is huge. I know I have had a TE count as my flex in all five weeks so far and even 18 WR guy has had a TE count as his flex more often than a WR. Very interesting.The funniest thing about 15 RB guy? Last week he got 41.60 from the 3 RBs that contributed to his score. He got 58.20 from the 3 WRs that contributed to his score. He actually would've survived if all 15 of his RBs had gotten 0.
10 QB has possibly the goofiest alignment in the whole contest. 10-3-8-1-7-1
18 WR used only 3 of his WRs last week. His flex was one of his 3 TEs. In fact he has used a WR as a flex only once in 5 weeks.
-QG
no idea how I made to #142 in the power rankings, but I'm liking it..... let's hope I didn't just jinx myself 
Team #102125
Team #102125
Hard to believe with Gore Best and Foster you've not used all three in the same week.no idea how I made to #142 in the power rankings, but I'm liking it..... let's hope I didn't just jinx myself
Team #102125
that's both a good and bad thing I would think. I will need Tolbert's production to continue in week 7 when both Best and Foster are on their bye week.... as is Andre Johnson...and I also need Stafford or Anderson to return to fill Flacco's bye week, those are my biggest concerns (FOR NOW)Hard to believe with Gore Best and Foster you've not used all three in the same week.no idea how I made to #142 in the power rankings, but I'm liking it..... let's hope I didn't just jinx myself
Team #102125
Kuz
Footballguy
1040. Entry 108058 2239 399 538 639 298 196 166 19.07 (4594)
apalmer
Footballguy
Post from the Turk yesterday morning:
sjslacker
Footballguy
Thanks!
abe froman
Footballguy
<dead man walking with Finley out and only Gronkowski left..
I feel your pain I have Finley, Scheffler and Gronkowski. I now need Sheffler and Gronkowski to be injury free the rest of the way. I think 4 or 5 TE's was the way to go
6100 Teams left here is some break downs of the upcoming weeks.
Week 6 - 5000 teams = 18% of teams being eliminated
Week 7 - 4000 teams = 20% eliminated
Week 8 - 3100 teams = 22.5% eliminated
Week 9 - 2300 teams = 34.8 % eliminated
Week 10 - 1600 teams = 30.4% eliminated
Week 11 - 1000 teams = 37.5% eliminated
Week 12 - 500 teams = 50% eliminated
Week 13 - 250 teams = 50% eliminated
So really starting week 9 is where the percentage of getting eliminated really goes up. I think I may be able to hold on until week 9 or 10 but after that it will be tough since my roster uniqueness is lacking
Week 6 - 5000 teams = 18% of teams being eliminated
Week 7 - 4000 teams = 20% eliminated
Week 8 - 3100 teams = 22.5% eliminated
Week 9 - 2300 teams = 34.8 % eliminated
Week 10 - 1600 teams = 30.4% eliminated
Week 11 - 1000 teams = 37.5% eliminated
Week 12 - 500 teams = 50% eliminated
Week 13 - 250 teams = 50% eliminated
So really starting week 9 is where the percentage of getting eliminated really goes up. I think I may be able to hold on until week 9 or 10 but after that it will be tough since my roster uniqueness is lacking
Last edited by a moderator:
abe froman
Footballguy
yea looking back I should of spread it around a little more. Rivers, Big Ben, CJohnson, Foster, Benson, Turner, Floyd, Braylon, Branch, Robinson, Murphy, Jacoby, Btwice, Gronk, DET/NOS/TEN .. $21 for a TE..d@mnit. I remember trying to configure rostering both Hernandez and Gronk to go with Finley.. wheres the damn flux capacitor when you need it.
Your roster sounds alot like mine. With Rivers, Big Ben, Foster, CJohnson, Branch, Murphy, Finley, Gronkowski. I have Bradshaw/Marshall/Garcon instead of your Turner/Floyd/Benson combo though.
Rivers paired with Ben was the best thing I did on this contest. I also remember having Hernandez paired with Gronkowski as well................. hindsight now. Maybe Hernandez goes down or Gronkowski starts getting those Redzone TD's - I think he still has potential to be a good value pick. Hernandez is a beast in this PPR 1.5 pt format though.
Rivers paired with Ben was the best thing I did on this contest. I also remember having Hernandez paired with Gronkowski as well................. hindsight now. Maybe Hernandez goes down or Gronkowski starts getting those Redzone TD's - I think he still has potential to be a good value pick. Hernandez is a beast in this PPR 1.5 pt format though.
Last edited by a moderator:
The one positive thing about the Finley injury is that such a high percentage of people own him. There are still 1804 entries out of the 6100 that have Finley on their team - That is 30% of entries that are still alive.
If you took a Gates/Clark/Davis/Miller instead of Finley you are in much better shape then Finley owners though.
If you took a Gates/Clark/Davis/Miller instead of Finley you are in much better shape then Finley owners though.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
If someone wants to give me a list of all "dead" players I can pull this info from the database...
TheChairman
Footballguy
38 live rosters with Grant and Finley
4 with Grant/Finley/Clayton
10 Grant/Finley/D Anderson
4 with Grant/Finley/Clayton
10 Grant/Finley/D Anderson
Last edited by a moderator:
I forgot to include D Anderson.Including these players as "dead":
Code:
Vincent JacksonDonnie AveryAntonio BryantKevin FaulkJerheme UrbanMatt JonesDwayne JarrettMark ClaytonJosh ReedJermichael FinleySteve HauschkaRyan GrantClinton PortisMontario HardestyBen TateLeonard WeaverLynell HamiltonGlen CoffeeTim TebowMichael VickJosh JohnsonCharlie WhitehurstByron LeftwichJerious NorwoodJames StarksTorry HoltDerek Anderson
