Interesting and very informative article by Chase here. I'm definitely looking forward to parts 2 & 3. I know I'll be viewing the kicking game (and decisions made in that regard by Head Coaches) a little different this year.
Thanks, Ruffrody.To some extent I think the final results will be noncontroversial, as really, I don't know anyone who has ever ranked kickers. There's certainly nowhere near a consensus on who the top 5 kickers of all time are, even among hardcore football fans. I'm expecting a lot less pushback then on an article on the Greatest QBs Ever, for exampleInteresting and very informative article by Chase here. I'm definitely looking forward to parts 2 & 3. I know I'll be viewing the kicking game (and decisions made in that regard by Head Coaches) a little different this year.
. That said, because of the independent nature of the position, I think ranking kickers is also a lot easier (once you figure out the right way to rank them) than ranking QBs.linkKicker Nick Folk took a significant step in his rehab from hip surgery by doing some light running around the track during this morning's practice.
Thanks, Ruffrody.To some extent I think the final results will be noncontroversial, as really, I don't know anyone who has ever ranked kickers. There's certainly nowhere near a consensus on who the top 5 kickers of all time are, even among hardcore football fans. I'm expecting a lot less pushback then on an article on the Greatest QBs Ever, for exampleInteresting and very informative article by Chase here. I'm definitely looking forward to parts 2 & 3. I know I'll be viewing the kicking game (and decisions made in that regard by Head Coaches) a little different this year.. That said, because of the independent nature of the position, I think ranking kickers is also a lot easier (once you figure out the right way to rank them) than ranking QBs.
* 1999: K-ball implemented for all kicking plays in a gameIt's finally here, the PFR blog post we've all been waiting for (or at least that I have been waiting for)...
The Greatest Field Goal Kickers Ever, Part I - by Chase Stuart
Time flies when you're kicking a brick. It's actually now been around long enough to have the rules tweaked twice (2002 and 2007).* 1999: K-ball implemented for all kicking plays in a gameIt's finally here, the PFR blog post we've all been waiting for (or at least that I have been waiting for)...
The Greatest Field Goal Kickers Ever, Part I - by Chase Stuart
It's been 10 years?![]()
We’re going to examine every attempt from every distance (in ten-yard increments) in every year and compare each kicker to the league average. A missed 50-yard field goal in 1965 was very common; a missed 36-yard field goal today is very rare. My method adjusts all kicks for distance and era. Further, we’re not going to just consider the ability of the kicker but also his value to the team — missing a 50-yard field goal is more costly to a team than missing a 20-yard field goal because of the cost in field position. We can do that with the help of Professor Romer. To be clear, this won’t be perfect — kickers in Denver and domed stadiums have an advantage, while kickers who play a bunch of games in particularly tough environments will be at a disadvantage. But this sure beats the heck out of every other method to rank kickers...
I'm just glad that after nine months you finally decided to take that risk. I'm sure that was a tough decision given the negativity towards the subject previously established by Mr. Drinen. In the end, you've done the right thing.Thanks, Mike. I'm a little worried that we're going to crash the PFR server here.
linkLast week Nick Folk started jogging in his rehab from hip surgery and next week he moves up to kicking a volleyball. "Feels awesome," Folk said. "I can't complain. It's more tired than anything else. It's not like it's sore, just tired." Folk said he will return to Vail, Colo., on Saturday for a checkup with Dr. Marc Philippon, who performed the surgery. Folk will progress from a volleyball to a soccer ball to kicking off a tee and said he will be ready to go for training camp.
linkNY GIANTSRookie camp sure may not be the most thrilling thing in the world to watch, but it gives you a chance to see a little more of the guys who normally creep under the radar during full-squad practices.... Kicker Graham Gano is getting plenty of solo work this week with Steve Hauschka not around, and he's making the most of the opportunity. Gano booted through a 60-yarder mid-way through practice, and did so with some players and coaches talking trash in his ear to try and distract him.
linkK Lawrence Tynes missed wide left from 27 yards away. It was a low snap from DT/LS Jay Alford, but P Jeff Feagles did a good job to get it down in time.
I think if you're trying to measure the "greatness" of the kicker, it's incorrect to take into consideration the rules on where the ball will be placed if the FG is missed. A 50-yard FG is a 50-yard FG, whether in 1988 or 2008; the position of the ball afterwards has no bearing on how the kicker performed.Thanks, Ruffrody.To some extent I think the final results will be noncontroversial, as really, I don't know anyone who has ever ranked kickers. There's certainly nowhere near a consensus on who the top 5 kickers of all time are, even among hardcore football fans. I'm expecting a lot less pushback then on an article on the Greatest QBs Ever, for exampleInteresting and very informative article by Chase here. I'm definitely looking forward to parts 2 & 3. I know I'll be viewing the kicking game (and decisions made in that regard by Head Coaches) a little different this year.. That said, because of the independent nature of the position, I think ranking kickers is also a lot easier (once you figure out the right way to rank them) than ranking QBs.
But it has an impact on the value of the kicker to the team. And the kicker knows beforehand where the ball will be placed following a miss. All this formula really does is put a bigger premium on the longer kicks, something that should not be controversial.(And a 50-yard FG in 1988 is not the same as one in 2008. It's much more common to see successful 50-yarders today.)I think if you're trying to measure the "greatness" of the kicker, it's incorrect to take into consideration the rules on where the ball will be placed if the FG is missed. A 50-yard FG is a 50-yard FG, whether in 1988 or 2008; the position of the ball afterwards has no bearing on how the kicker performed.Thanks, Ruffrody.To some extent I think the final results will be noncontroversial, as really, I don't know anyone who has ever ranked kickers. There's certainly nowhere near a consensus on who the top 5 kickers of all time are, even among hardcore football fans. I'm expecting a lot less pushback then on an article on the Greatest QBs Ever, for exampleInteresting and very informative article by Chase here. I'm definitely looking forward to parts 2 & 3. I know I'll be viewing the kicking game (and decisions made in that regard by Head Coaches) a little different this year.. That said, because of the independent nature of the position, I think ranking kickers is also a lot easier (once you figure out the right way to rank them) than ranking QBs.
A kick is a discrete event; the consequences are irrelevant to the performance of the kicker. Someone who kicked a FG back when they were worth 4 points isn't a better kicker just because his kick was worth more, and someone who misses a kick in the 7-yards-back era isn't a worse kicker just because the consequences of his miss are greater.And controlling for era also seems wrong for discrete events. If it's much more common to see successful 50-yarders today, it must be because today's kickers are better (if you've controlled for domes).Chase Stuart said:But it has an impact on the value of the kicker to the team. And the kicker knows beforehand where the ball will be placed following a miss. All this formula really does is put a bigger premium on the longer kicks, something that should not be controversial.(And a 50-yard FG in 1988 is not the same as one in 2008. It's much more common to see successful 50-yarders today.)CalBear said:I think if you're trying to measure the "greatness" of the kicker, it's incorrect to take into consideration the rules on where the ball will be placed if the FG is missed. A 50-yard FG is a 50-yard FG, whether in 1988 or 2008; the position of the ball afterwards has no bearing on how the kicker performed.Thanks, Ruffrody.To some extent I think the final results will be noncontroversial, as really, I don't know anyone who has ever ranked kickers. There's certainly nowhere near a consensus on who the top 5 kickers of all time are, even among hardcore football fans. I'm expecting a lot less pushback then on an article on the Greatest QBs Ever, for exampleInteresting and very informative article by Chase here. I'm definitely looking forward to parts 2 & 3. I know I'll be viewing the kicking game (and decisions made in that regard by Head Coaches) a little different this year.. That said, because of the independent nature of the position, I think ranking kickers is also a lot easier (once you figure out the right way to rank them) than ranking QBs.
linkNFL sources told FOX 26 Sports Wednesday kicker Kris Brown has agreed to terms on a four-year extension. Brown, one of the most accurate kickers in the NFL, has one-year left on his contract. So his new deal ties him to the franchise through the 2013-2014 season. League sources told FOX 26 Brown's extension is worth $10 million, with $2.5 million guaranteed. Last season Brown connected on 29-33 field goal attempts for 89.7%. Brown is one of two original Texans on the Houston roster. He signed as a free agent with the team prior to the 2002 season.
Do you think Jesse Owens is one of the 50 best runners of all time?(Also, Yepremian led the NFL in FG% three times and Longwell never did, although that isn't a very good statistic as it's very susceptible to Simpson's paradox.)Here's an example of what I see as the fallacy of adjusting for eras. Garo Yepremian comes up very high on the career list, while Ryan Longwell is at #32. Ryan Longwell made over 80% of his field goals, and 99% of his extra points, kicking in Green Bay 8 games a year, plus a game at Soldier Field. Is Garo Yepremian, who made just 67.1% of his field goals and 95.7% of his extra points (20 missed extra points for his career) really a better kicker than Longwell? I don't think the argument "kickers in 1972 missed more extra points than kickers in 2002, therefore Yepremian is better" makes any sense; it's the exact same play, a kick from the middle of the field inside the 10 yard line. If kickers today make more extra points, they're better than kickers in 1972.
Do I think running is comparable to kicking extra points in terms of athletic accomplishment? No. Runners today have numerous advantages over the runners of Owens' time, including nutrition, equipment, and track surface. Whereas a guy kicking extra points at Lambeau Field is a guy kicking extra points at Lambeau Field.Do you think Jesse Owens is one of the 50 best runners of all time?Here's an example of what I see as the fallacy of adjusting for eras. Garo Yepremian comes up very high on the career list, while Ryan Longwell is at #32. Ryan Longwell made over 80% of his field goals, and 99% of his extra points, kicking in Green Bay 8 games a year, plus a game at Soldier Field. Is Garo Yepremian, who made just 67.1% of his field goals and 95.7% of his extra points (20 missed extra points for his career) really a better kicker than Longwell? I don't think the argument "kickers in 1972 missed more extra points than kickers in 2002, therefore Yepremian is better" makes any sense; it's the exact same play, a kick from the middle of the field inside the 10 yard line. If kickers today make more extra points, they're better than kickers in 1972.
That's because there are a lot of kickers who are better than Yepremian.(Also, Yepremian led the NFL in FG% three times and Longwell never did, although that isn't a very good statistic as it's very susceptible to Simpson's paradox.)
Do I think running is comparable to kicking extra points in terms of athletic accomplishment? No. Runners today have numerous advantages over the runners of Owens' time, including nutrition, equipment, and track surface. Whereas a guy kicking extra points at Lambeau Field is a guy kicking extra points at Lambeau Field.Do you think Jesse Owens is one of the 50 best runners of all time?Here's an example of what I see as the fallacy of adjusting for eras. Garo Yepremian comes up very high on the career list, while Ryan Longwell is at #32. Ryan Longwell made over 80% of his field goals, and 99% of his extra points, kicking in Green Bay 8 games a year, plus a game at Soldier Field. Is Garo Yepremian, who made just 67.1% of his field goals and 95.7% of his extra points (20 missed extra points for his career) really a better kicker than Longwell? I don't think the argument "kickers in 1972 missed more extra points than kickers in 2002, therefore Yepremian is better" makes any sense; it's the exact same play, a kick from the middle of the field inside the 10 yard line. If kickers today make more extra points, they're better than kickers in 1972.
That's because there are a lot of kickers who are better than Yepremian.(Also, Yepremian led the NFL in FG% three times and Longwell never did, although that isn't a very good statistic as it's very susceptible to Simpson's paradox.)

A large number of kickers today are better than all the kickers from Yepremian's era. Stenerud succeeded on just 66.8% of his kicks and 96.5% of his XPs. In 1971 he went 22/46, followed up by 21/36 in 1972; on any current NFL team, he probably would have been fired after the first year and certainly during the second. Yepremian led the league in 1971 by making 75.9% of his field goals; Longwell has done better than 80% in 10 of his 12 years in the league. The fact that Longwell has performed so much better than Stenerud, and still not led the league in percentage, indicates that a large number of players are performing better than Stenerud did.Kicking field goals is a lot more like shooting free throws than it is like running a 100m dash. If you look at NBA free throw shooting, the percentages for the top shooters look about the same in the 1970s as today. Calvin Murphy still holds the free throw percentage record, with 95.8% in 1981. In almost every other way the modern NBA game has evolved from what it was in the 1970s, but these discrete events have remained the same.That's because there are a lot of kickers who are better than Yepremian.(Also, Yepremian led the NFL in FG% three times and Longwell never did, although that isn't a very good statistic as it's very susceptible to Simpson's paradox.)
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I have no doubt that today's kickers are better. That said, things for modern kickers are much easier:1) Hashes moved in (1972)A large number of kickers today are better than all the kickers from Yepremian's era. Stenerud succeeded on just 66.8% of his kicks and 96.5% of his XPs. In 1971 he went 22/46, followed up by 21/36 in 1972; on any current NFL team, he probably would have been fired after the first year and certainly during the second. Yepremian led the league in 1971 by making 75.9% of his field goals; Longwell has done better than 80% in 10 of his 12 years in the league. The fact that Longwell has performed so much better than Stenerud, and still not led the league in percentage, indicates that a large number of players are performing better than Stenerud did.Kicking field goals is a lot more like shooting free throws than it is like running a 100m dash. If you look at NBA free throw shooting, the percentages for the top shooters look about the same in the 1970s as today. Calvin Murphy still holds the free throw percentage record, with 95.8% in 1981. In almost every other way the modern NBA game has evolved from what it was in the 1970s, but these discrete events have remained the same.That's because there are a lot of kickers who are better than Yepremian.(Also, Yepremian led the NFL in FG% three times and Longwell never did, although that isn't a very good statistic as it's very susceptible to Simpson's paradox.)
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Today's kickers are just better.
Almost none of these apply to Ryan Longwell; Yepremian played in Miami, Longwell played outdoors in Green Bay. Yepremian had, on average, better surfaces and more warm weather games than Longwell. Longwell never played with a kickoff specialist. What resources do you devote to improving kicking percentages? A guy to catch the ball and throw it back to the kicker?I have no doubt that today's kickers are better. That said, things for modern kickers are much easier:1) Hashes moved in (1972)2) More domed stadiums3) More warm weather teams4) Better surfaces5) Better holders/snappers6) More resources (time/money) available to devote to improving kicking percentages7) Addition of kickoff specialists means teams can kick field goals with their more accurate kicker
Special teams coaches, for example. I'm sure kickers spend significantly more time reviewing film of kicking, etc.I believe all players can only be compared to their peers; it's unfair to compare players from one era to players from another without seeing how far each player distanced himself from his peers.Almost none of these apply to Ryan Longwell; Yepremian played in Miami, Longwell played outdoors in Green Bay. Yepremian had, on average, better surfaces and more warm weather games than Longwell. Longwell never played with a kickoff specialist. What resources do you devote to improving kicking percentages? A guy to catch the ball and throw it back to the kicker?I have no doubt that today's kickers are better. That said, things for modern kickers are much easier:1) Hashes moved in (1972)2) More domed stadiums3) More warm weather teams4) Better surfaces5) Better holders/snappers6) More resources (time/money) available to devote to improving kicking percentages7) Addition of kickoff specialists means teams can kick field goals with their more accurate kicker
I can agree with both of those statements. What I can't agree with is a list of "Greatest Field Goal Kickers Ever" which is artificially weighted to benefit people who kicked before 1994. Kickers perform far better now than they ever have before, so when you put out a list of the top 50 kicker seasons of all time, and only one in the top 50 is from an active kicker, you've failed the smell test. Horst Muhlmann going 25/37 (67.6%) in 1970 is somehow better than Jason Elam going 29/31 (93.5%) in 2008? It's ridiculous.I believe all players can only be compared to their peers; it's unfair to compare players from one era to players from another without seeing how far each player distanced himself from his peers.
Would you agree that a great kicker in 1970 was more valuable than a great kicker today?(Note: I do not know whether Muhlmann in '70 was better than Elam last year; 2008 data were excluded from my study.)I can agree with both of those statements. What I can't agree with is a list of "Greatest Field Goal Kickers Ever" which is artificially weighted to benefit people who kicked before 1994. Kickers perform far better now than they ever have before, so when you put out a list of the top 50 kicker seasons of all time, and only one in the top 50 is from an active kicker, you've failed the smell test. Horst Muhlmann going 25/37 (67.6%) in 1970 is somehow better than Jason Elam going 29/31 (93.5%) in 2008? It's ridiculous.I believe all players can only be compared to their peers; it's unfair to compare players from one era to players from another without seeing how far each player distanced himself from his peers.
No, I wouldn't agree that a great kicker in 1970 is more valuable than a great kicker today. Frankly, if the best kickers are going to miss a third of their field goals, it might be a better idea to just go for it on fourth down.Would you agree that a great kicker in 1970 was more valuable than a great kicker today?(Note: I do not know whether Muhlmann in '70 was better than Elam last year; 2008 data were excluded from my study.)I can agree with both of those statements. What I can't agree with is a list of "Greatest Field Goal Kickers Ever" which is artificially weighted to benefit people who kicked before 1994. Kickers perform far better now than they ever have before, so when you put out a list of the top 50 kicker seasons of all time, and only one in the top 50 is from an active kicker, you've failed the smell test. Horst Muhlmann going 25/37 (67.6%) in 1970 is somehow better than Jason Elam going 29/31 (93.5%) in 2008? It's ridiculous.I believe all players can only be compared to their peers; it's unfair to compare players from one era to players from another without seeing how far each player distanced himself from his peers.
linkCLEVELANDThe Chiefs and seventh-round pick Ryan Succop have agreed to terms of a three-year contract that the kicker will sign Thursday morning, Succop's agent, Joel Turner, told The Star on Wednesday afternoon. Turner said the sides agreed to terms today, but a Chiefs employee had to leave team headquarters early Wednesday, delaying the signing another day. Turner would not reveal the amount of Succop's impending deal, but media organizations in South Carolina, where Succop played college football, reported that the contract will be worth $1.2 million. Succop will be the first player in the Chiefs' eight-pick draft class. But he was the last player drafted, known playfully as Mr. Irrelevant. He was with the team throughout offseason practice and is expected to compete in training camp with second-year kicker Connor Barth for the Chiefs' kicking job.
linkDALLASBrowns Assistant Head Coach/Special Teams Coordinator Brad Seely Press Conference
(On his thought on Phil Dawson and Joshua Cribbs)
Both of them are obviously very important. I've been fortunate enough to play in four Super Bowls and every one of them was decided by three points or less. The field goal kicking is an upmost necessity on a good football team. Phil brings that to the table. Here's a guy that has done it for a long time in a really tough place to kick. I think he is one of the unsung kickers in this league in a sense that this guy has been really good for a long period of time in a tough environment.
(On if Phil Dawson is like Adam Vinatieri)
That is an interesting question. In fact if you go back in Phil's history and Phil will tell you this too, he was on the practice squad for the Patriots with Adam. I am sure he took a lot of stuff when he was younger from Adam and I'd say they're very similar in a sense that both are very good outdoor kickers and both perform well under pressure.
linkWhen the Cowboys surprised everyone back in April and used a fifth-round pick on a kickoff specialist, Nick Folk said he was excited. And not just for one reason, but more like three. For starters, Folk said he was genuinely happy to see the Cowboys select David Buehler, whom he worked with some four years ago at a kicking camp in California. Secondly, with Folk knowing he would likely need hip/labral surgery, which he had on May, he knew the addition of Buehler wouldn't force Folk to rush back from the injury. But another reason Folk is excited about having another kicker on the squad is the thing that drives all players in all sports. "Competition," Folk said. "That's what it's about right there. I love to compete."
Folk admits being bothered to some degree that he's been "written off" as the kickoff specialist. While that is certainly the strongest part of Buehler's game, Folk said he's not giving in without a friendly battle. "If he beats me, then he beats me. Hopefully we'll have a good competition," said Folk, who is hoping to return to full kicking duties by the start of training camp on July 28. "But it's probably a good thing that he's here right now. It gives me some extra time to ease into things 100 percent. But I don't know what percentage I'll be at when we get to camp." Folk, who battled the nagging pain in his right hip area in the second half of last season, said it got to a point where he knew surgery was the only option. "It's been an ongoing thing for a while," Folk said of the pain. "Hopefully, we'll be ready for training camp. But I'm just trying to take it slow. I go back to Vail, (Colo.) on Saturday and get checked out again. I'll start kicking a volleyball on Monday and we'll see how that works out. Then I'll kick a soccer ball, from there I'll go to a football off the tee."
Folk said the idea in kicking smaller-sized balls is to get his body used to the kicking motion again, but doing so with less force against his leg. "It's just less pressure on my leg," he said. "I haven't done that motion in a while. So I'm just trying to ease back into things." While that sounds easy enough and is probably the smart thing to do coming back from injury, staying patient is difficult for Folk, who not only is ready to compete at the kicker position, but wants to prove wrong his critics that believe he struggled last year. Although he made 20-of-22 field goals, Folk knows the perception of his 2008 season, which followed a Pro Bowl rookie season in 2007, was due in large part to his struggles on kickoffs. Folk did not have a touchback last year and led the league in kickoffs out of bounds with four. "I know I was in the top five in percentage. I think I had a good season in field goals with a lot of my kicks coming at the end of the season," Folk said. "But it's hard to hear people say that. I think everyone can see that I had a good year in field goals, but the down part of the year was that I didn't kick off well. But that's something I plan to improve this year. I don't think I put my best foot forward on kickoffs at all. I'm sure I will put a better foot forward this year."
When asked to explain his struggles on kickoffs, Folk hesitated to give an excuse, but did say he had problems with directional kicking, something former special teams coach Bruce Read stressed to Folk just before the start of the season. "Here's the best way I can explain it . . . ask any golfer to aim way off to the right, but put it right down he middle. That's kind of what we did," Folk said. "It was a good idea if you can get it down. Some kickers can get it down. But it took me a little longer to do that. Last year, I was told (before the season) that we'd be kicking it down the middle a lot. So that's what I worked on all summer. Then (Read) came back and said he wanted to hide everything. It's not easy to do. Go tell Tiger to aim into the woods every time, but still manage to get it down the middle of the fairway. It's not easy."
With Folk being out, and new special teams coach Joe DeCamillis recovering from his neck injury that has limited his time, the kicker said he wasn't sure on the exact philosophy on kickoffs this year. However, despite just two years in the NFL, Folk knows that keeping two kickers on a 53-man roster is rare enough, but getting both active on the 45-player game-day roster will be even tougher. With that, Folk knows improving his kickoffs are a must or it could present a difficult situation for the coaching staff each week, especially if Buehler is playing on a few other special teams units. "There will be some situations some time when they might need another DB," Folk said. Are they going to take the backup kickoff guy or are they going to take the backup field goal guy? And if he plays some special teams . . . obviously it's going to be a tough decision for them. "But I really can't worry about it right now. All I can do is get healthy and start kicking again like I know I can. If I can do that, I think it will all work out."
There is some good discussion in this thread: Why are there so many accurate kickers in this era?Special teams coaches, for example. I'm sure kickers spend significantly more time reviewing film of kicking, etc.I believe all players can only be compared to their peers; it's unfair to compare players from one era to players from another without seeing how far each player distanced himself from his peers.Almost none of these apply to Ryan Longwell; Yepremian played in Miami, Longwell played outdoors in Green Bay. Yepremian had, on average, better surfaces and more warm weather games than Longwell. Longwell never played with a kickoff specialist. What resources do you devote to improving kicking percentages? A guy to catch the ball and throw it back to the kicker?I have no doubt that today's kickers are better. That said, things for modern kickers are much easier:
1) Hashes moved in (1972)
2) More domed stadiums
3) More warm weather teams
4) Better surfaces
5) Better holders/snappers
6) More resources (time/money) available to devote to improving kicking percentages
7) Addition of kickoff specialists means teams can kick field goals with their more accurate kicker
Not to pile on, Chase, but the 50-yarder thing is also a function of the head coach deciding to take the risk of attempting the kick. I don't think you can penalize a kicker for missing a more difficult kick because of the consequences of the miss.A kick is a discrete event; the consequences are irrelevant to the performance of the kicker. Someone who kicked a FG back when they were worth 4 points isn't a better kicker just because his kick was worth more, and someone who misses a kick in the 7-yards-back era isn't a worse kicker just because the consequences of his miss are greater.And controlling for era also seems wrong for discrete events. If it's much more common to see successful 50-yarders today, it must be because today's kickers are better (if you've controlled for domes).But it has an impact on the value of the kicker to the team. And the kicker knows beforehand where the ball will be placed following a miss. All this formula really does is put a bigger premium on the longer kicks, something that should not be controversial.(And a 50-yard FG in 1988 is not the same as one in 2008. It's much more common to see successful 50-yarders today.)I think if you're trying to measure the "greatness" of the kicker, it's incorrect to take into consideration the rules on where the ball will be placed if the FG is missed. A 50-yard FG is a 50-yard FG, whether in 1988 or 2008; the position of the ball afterwards has no bearing on how the kicker performed.Thanks, Ruffrody.To some extent I think the final results will be noncontroversial, as really, I don't know anyone who has ever ranked kickers. There's certainly nowhere near a consensus on who the top 5 kickers of all time are, even among hardcore football fans. I'm expecting a lot less pushback then on an article on the Greatest QBs Ever, for exampleInteresting and very informative article by Chase here. I'm definitely looking forward to parts 2 & 3. I know I'll be viewing the kicking game (and decisions made in that regard by Head Coaches) a little different this year.. That said, because of the independent nature of the position, I think ranking kickers is also a lot easier (once you figure out the right way to rank them) than ranking QBs.
Kickers aren't penalized for taking 50-yarders. The expected value of a 30 yard FG is the same as the expected value of a 50 yard FG in my formula.Not to pile on, Chase, but the 50-yarder thing is also a function of the head coach deciding to take the risk of attempting the kick. I don't think you can penalize a kicker for missing a more difficult kick because of the consequences of the miss.
Except that kickers since 1994 are penalized more for misses. That's broken.Kickers aren't penalized for taking 50-yarders. The expected value of a 30 yard FG is the same as the expected value of a 50 yard FG in my formula.Not to pile on, Chase, but the 50-yarder thing is also a function of the head coach deciding to take the risk of attempting the kick. I don't think you can penalize a kicker for missing a more difficult kick because of the consequences of the miss.
But they're given more credit for makes.Except that kickers since 1994 are penalized more for misses. That's broken.Kickers aren't penalized for taking 50-yarders. The expected value of a 30 yard FG is the same as the expected value of a 50 yard FG in my formula.Not to pile on, Chase, but the 50-yarder thing is also a function of the head coach deciding to take the risk of attempting the kick. I don't think you can penalize a kicker for missing a more difficult kick because of the consequences of the miss.
That's also broken. A field goal is a field goal.But they're given more credit for makes.Except that kickers since 1994 are penalized more for misses. That's broken.Kickers aren't penalized for taking 50-yarders. The expected value of a 30 yard FG is the same as the expected value of a 50 yard FG in my formula.Not to pile on, Chase, but the 50-yarder thing is also a function of the head coach deciding to take the risk of attempting the kick. I don't think you can penalize a kicker for missing a more difficult kick because of the consequences of the miss.
Ok, sorry. I must have misunderstood the quote from the article.Chase Stuart said:Kickers aren't penalized for taking 50-yarders. The expected value of a 30 yard FG is the same as the expected value of a 50 yard FG in my formula.Not to pile on, Chase, but the 50-yarder thing is also a function of the head coach deciding to take the risk of attempting the kick. I don't think you can penalize a kicker for missing a more difficult kick because of the consequences of the miss.
Hmmm. A bunch of the links got messed up when I copied them. They should be working now. P.S. Sorry about all those pufferfish things.Not trying to complain, but what information am I supposed to get from these tweets again? Are the links supposed to go somewhere?