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The countup to 3000 hits (1 Viewer)

IMO - Jeter will not get 3000 hits.

Players who I think have a shot (other than the obvious Palmeiro):

Pujols - 787 after 4 seasons (24 years old)

A-Rod - 1707 after 11 seasons (28 years old)

Juan Pierre - 859 after 5 seasons (26 years old)

However, its really still to early to tell with these guys. You have to play a LONG time to reach 3000.
wait a second A-Rod is not 28 years old at all, he's going to be 30 in a month
Born: July 27, 1975, New York, NY
 
IMO - Jeter will not get 3000 hits.

Players who I think have a shot (other than the obvious Palmeiro):

Pujols - 787 after 4 seasons (24 years old)

A-Rod - 1707 after 11 seasons (28 years old)

Juan Pierre - 859 after 5 seasons (26 years old)

However, its really still to early to tell with these guys.  You have to play a LONG time to reach 3000.
wait a second A-Rod is not 28 years old at all, he's going to be 30 in a month
Born: July 27, 1975, New York, NY
My bad. For those ages I was just using baseball-reference.com and their age last season. I think b-r.com uses their age in June though so it said 28. I was too lazy to do the math.
 
IMO - Jeter will not get 3000 hits.

Players who I think have a shot (other than the obvious Palmeiro):

Pujols - 787 after 4 seasons (24 years old)

A-Rod - 1707 after 11 seasons (28 years old)

Juan Pierre - 859 after 5 seasons (26 years old)

However, its really still to early to tell with these guys.  You have to play a LONG time to reach 3000.
I'm curious as to why you don't believe he will get to 3,000 hits. He will only be 31 in a few days and should easily finish with over 1,900 hits this year.His 162 game average throughout his career is 206 hits. Barring injury, that will get him to 3,000 before his 37th birthday. If Jeter is not spectacular, he is extremely consistent. If he cuts down on the strikeouts and stays healthy into his early 40's, he could actually attain 4,000 hits. I'm not saying it will happen, but it certainly could.
I wouldn't be surprised at all to see Jeter in the OF in a few years, al a Robin Yount. SS is much more demanding than say, LF. It will be interesting to see if Jeter plays beyond his current contract. We'll see 7 years from now. 3,000 hits would certainly cement his place in Cooperstown.

 
0-4 last night in game 2 against KC, though with a man on 2nd and two outs last night..I had visions of some typical Jeter heroicshe's in a slide here. 1793 for the career

 
2-4 last night. If Sierra had not grounded out in the ninth Jeter could have had a chance to do soemthing with the bases juiced1795 for the career

 
[QUOTE=']Raffy needs 55 to make him even more of a lock for the HoF than he already is...
[/QUOTE]Which is a shame in its own right as he is certainly one of many in the HOF that don't deserve it at all, but hey, I'll take my Palmeiro complaints somewhere else.Jeter is truly great.

 
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Its just my opinion, but I'd be surprised if he makes it. Of course its certainly not out of the question, but personally I'd give him a 10% chance.
Have to admit, this made me laugh and nothing more. 10% is folly at best.
Another negative is he doesn't have a ton of power. A lot of the 3000 club are able to maintain their careers because even if the batting avg suffers, they still have some pop. This won't be the case for Jeter, he'll need to continue to stay a .300 hitter throughout his career. (which, in retrospect, severely damages Juan Pierre's chances)
To further poke holes in your theory, a lot of the 3000 hit club had power? Interesting...Pete Rose

Ty Cobb

Tris Speaker

Cap Anson

Honus Wagner

Paul Molitor

Eddie Collins

I only listed seven players of the top 10 on the all-time most hits list as the other three (Musial, Aaron and Yastrzemski) had power. Did these guys have a lot of power? Among all seven combined, there were TWO 20 homer seasons. :no:

 
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Its just my opinion, but I'd be surprised if he makes it.  Of course its certainly not out of the question, but personally I'd give him a 10% chance.
Have to admit, this made me laugh and nothing more. 10% is folly at best.
Another negative is he doesn't have a ton of power.  A lot of the 3000 club are able to maintain their careers because even if the batting avg suffers, they still have some pop.  This won't be the case for Jeter, he'll need to continue to stay a .300 hitter throughout his career.  (which, in retrospect, severely damages Juan Pierre's chances)
To further poke holes in your theory, a lot of the 3000 hit club had power? Interesting...Pete Rose

Ty Cobb

Tris Speaker

Cap Anson

Honus Wagner

Paul Molitor

Eddie Collins

I only listed seven players of the top 10 on the all-time most hits list as the other three (Musial, Aaron and Yastrzemski) had power. Did these guys have a lot of power? Among all seven combined, there were TWO 20 homer seasons. :no:
:lmao: Cobb was top 10 in slugging 16 of 24 season, #1 eight different times.

Speaker was top 10 in 16 of his 22 seasons.

Honus Wagner - 15 of 21 seasons, 6 times in first.

Eddie Collins - 9 top tens. Cap Anson - 12.

Molitor and Rose are the only exceptions from the list you've given and they both played a very long time. Do you see Jeter finishing his career as a DH or at 1B?

Jeter has zero top ten finishes in SLG%.

I still give Jeter a 10% chance.

 
1 for 4 today.. I think he's got a 10 game hitting streak.. although he did leave 4 on base today..1810 at the end of the night..(926 views) how long before the total views pass the total hits????????

 
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1 for 4 today.. I think he's got a 10 game hitting streak.. although he did leave 4 on base today..

1810 at the end of the night..

(926 views) how long before the total views pass the total hits????????
Well, if you started the thread 35 days ago, and it's averaging lets say 30 views a day, and Jeter continues his pace of a hit per day I'd pinpoint August 12th as that day.He did swing at a bad pitch that resulted in a DP, but did hit a liner with the basesloaded that was at Burnitz.

 
1 for 4 last night.. 1813made the last out, on a ball which looked like it may get through the hole until the pitcher slowed her down.I thought after the rally in the 8th that they may pull this one out..not such luck

 
18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is...

 
[QUOTE=']18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is...
[/QUOTE]It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot.By the way, 5 hits for DJ tonight!

1818!

 
GiantsSeasonTicketholder..you beat me to it :thumbsup:i'll update it as well..5 for 6... 1818 ..bumping the average to .309Derek Jeter tied a career high with five hits and scored a career-best five runs.

 
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Giantseasonticketholder said:
[QUOTE=']18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is...
It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot.
[/QUOTE] :rolleyes: Yea, I guess there should be NO pitchers in the hall since they only play about 10% of everyone else. Plus there hitting stats are way below hall standards. Not to mention AL pitchers don't even go to the plate.

:lmao:

 
Giantseasonticketholder said:
[QUOTE=']18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is...
It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot.[/QUOTE]I see that you are an idiot...Before this season...

1B : 2046

DH : 423

OF : 212

This year...

1B : 58

DH : 11

Yes he does some DHing, but he usually plays the field...

 
So, let me get this straight - we have a thread for someone who's 1100+ hits away from 3000 hits, but no thread for someone who's 18 hits away from 3000 hits?

 
18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is...
It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot.[/QUOTE]I see that you are an idiot...Before this season...

1B : 2046

DH : 423

OF : 212

This year...

1B : 58

DH : 11

Yes he does some DHing, but he usually plays the field...

[/QUOTE]Sorry, I guess I'm still sore over that joke of a Gold Glove he was given in 1999.3,000 hits will put him in for sure. :thumbup:

 
']18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is... [/QUOTE]It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot. [/QUOTE] :rolleyes: Yea said:
That's not my point, but to further expand yours, there will be less and less primarily starting pitchers going to the Hall in the future. Clemens, Maddux, Pedro, and RJ are first ballot, no question. Is there another sure-fire HOF'er out there after that?
 
']18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is... [/QUOTE]It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot. [/QUOTE] :rolleyes: Yea said:
That's not my point
What is?
He is Eddie Murray, but he plays in better ballparks and in a more hitter friendly time. 600 hr's and 3000 hits are Hall worthy already.
 
']18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is... [/QUOTE]It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot. [/QUOTE] :rolleyes: Yea said:
That's not my point
What is?
He is Eddie Murray, but he plays in better ballparks and in a more hitter friendly time. 600 hr's and 3000 hits are Hall worthy already.
Are you at least attempting to make sense here?
 
']18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is... [/QUOTE]It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot. [/QUOTE] :rolleyes: Yea said:
That's not my point, but to further expand yours, there will be less and less primarily starting pitchers going to the Hall in the future. Clemens, Maddux, Pedro, and RJ are first ballot, no question. Is there another sure-fire HOF'er out there after that?
Tom Glavine maybe?This guy's not a starter, but I think Mariano Rivera should be first ballot HOF.
 
']18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is... [/QUOTE]It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot. [/QUOTE] :rolleyes: Yea said:
That's not my point, but to further expand yours, there will be less and less primarily starting pitchers going to the Hall in the future. Clemens, Maddux, Pedro, and RJ are first ballot, no question. Is there another sure-fire HOF'er out there after that?
Possibly John Smoltz... 170 wins, 154 saves, 3.26 ERA, 1.17 WHIPComparison to Eck (who pitched relief a lot longer)... 197 wins, 390 saves, 3.50 ERA, 1.16 WHIP
 
I'm not a big fan of Raffy's case for the Hall, but 600/3000 is not going to be denied. I don't like that he has basically been a better then average part-time player for a long time. But then again, thats part of baseball, so it qualifies.COlin

 
I'm not a big fan of Raffy's case for the Hall, but 600/3000 is not going to be denied. I don't like that he has basically been a better then average part-time player for a long time. But then again, thats part of baseball, so it qualifies.

COlin
Just "better than average"?I realize he's no Willie Mays, but 8 straight years with 38 or more HR's. That has to be a record.

 
18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is...
It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot.
[/QUOTE] :rolleyes: Yea, I guess there should be NO pitchers in the hall since they only play about 10% of everyone else. Plus there hitting stats are way below hall standards. Not to mention AL pitchers don't even go to the plate.

:lmao:

[/QUOTE]That's not my point, but to further expand yours, there will be less and less primarily starting pitchers going to the Hall in the future. Clemens, Maddux, Pedro, and RJ are first ballot, no question. Is there another sure-fire HOF'er out there after that?
[/QUOTE]Possibly John Smoltz... 170 wins, 154 saves, 3.26 ERA, 1.17 WHIPComparison to Eck (who pitched relief a lot longer)... 197 wins, 390 saves, 3.50 ERA, 1.16 WHIP

[/QUOTE]Possibly. I feel if he stayed as a closer, he would easily have surpassed 300 save and with his career as a starter, it woould most certainly have been enough to get him there.Rivera is a definite First Ballot but he is not a starter. I think closers will become more prevelant in HOF voting in the next 20 years and there will be more closers getting in than starters.

 
][QUOTE][QUOTE=shuke][QUOTE][QUOTE= said:
18 more for Raffy and make his lock for the Hall of Fame (first ballot) even more of a lock than it already is...
It's sad when a DH gets in the Hall. Part time players don't deserve it. Especially on the first ballot.
:rolleyes: Yea, I guess there should be NO pitchers in the hall since they only play about 10% of everyone else. Plus there hitting stats are way below hall standards. Not to mention AL pitchers don't even go to the plate.

:lmao:

[/QUOTE]That's not my point, but to further expand yours, there will be less and less primarily starting pitchers going to the Hall in the future. Clemens, Maddux, Pedro, and RJ are first ballot, no question. Is there another sure-fire HOF'er out there after that?
[/QUOTE]Possibly John Smoltz... 170 wins, 154 saves, 3.26 ERA, 1.17 WHIPComparison to Eck (who pitched relief a lot longer)... 197 wins, 390 saves, 3.50 ERA, 1.16 WHIP

[/QUOTE]Possibly. I feel if he stayed as a closer, he would easily have surpassed 300 save and with his career as a starter, it woould most certainly have been enough to get him there.Rivera is a definite First Ballot but he is not a starter. I think closers will become more prevelant in HOF voting in the next 20 years and there will be more closers getting in than starters.

[/QUOTE]Are you actually trying to trademark "first ballot"?BTW, answer my question please. What was your point regarding the DH? How is that any more of a "part time player" than a pitcher?

 
I realize he's no Willie Mays, but 8 straight years with 38 or more HR's. That has to be a record.
actually I think it's 9 straight years...95 3996 3997 3898 4399 4700 3901 4702 4303 38
 

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