Trent is just in year 2, so he's got almost 3 full season on that cost controlled rookie contract.
Which is great for the Browns, but not so much for the Colts.
When NFL franchises sit down and decide on who they want to invest in long term, they have to essentially re-vet the player all over again. How are his work habits? How does he deal with the press? How does he deal with team mates? How does he deal with things when things don't go his way? How marketable is he to local business and corporations? Does he drive season ticket sales and fan interest? What key demograhics does he appeal to now? Does he have any lingering off the field concerns to worry about? Does he have any lingering injury concerns? Has he reached his peak yet? How much longer will his peak last? What are the trends for similar players at similar positions around the league recently?
In the new NFL front office climate, teams have to start thinking about a re-up starting in Year 3 of that rookie contract. At a demarcation point in Year 4, an agent will typically advise a young player to run the gauntlet and try to have a career year and drive up the next contract ( i.e. Joe Flacco last year) The Colts will have to evaluate Richardson long term for a season he wasn't on their team, but ended up injured and wearing a flak jacket most of the year and under Pat Shurmur. How much of Richardson's struggles in Year 1 relate to him? Or his coaches? Or that franchise? Year 2, he's already 2 games done, going into a new system where he doesn't know the playbook.
The new system is designed to prevent situations like JaMarcus Russell and Logan Mankins. On one side, young players making top shelf money before they even play a snap. And on the other side, players who have proven themselves and are essentially losing one full contract across their career because they had to sign cost controlled 5 year deals with a team leveraged sixth year option.
If Richardson succeeds in Indy, he is an expensive re-up coming at the SAME TIME as when the Colts have to deal with Andrew Luck's 2nd contract. Teams, whenever possible, want to avoid having two major contract issues riding the same off season. This will be a potentially expensive re-up at a position that classically has a short shelf life and where most players hit their decline phase within their 2nd contracts and generally has low positional value.
If Richardson fails in Indy, he brings an opportunity cost question for the franchise. What could they have gotten with that first round pick? With a full and complete situation to truly evaluate that young player. Are you giving snaps to a player that you could get 70-75 percent of his production at 5 -15 percent of the overall cost? ( Cost is just not salary and cap space, but also roster space, coaching time and investment against what other players could give you)
The Browns are giving up the Number#3 player in last years draft for what could be a low first rounder, implied in that cut rate is the very narrow window that Indy has to evaluate Richardson for the long term.
On the reverse side of this coin, Lombardi has to consider the expanded role of today's GMs. It's not just about dealing with personnel, it's also dealing with the media, the ownership and helping to market the franchise. For a team that has had constant upheaval after constant upheaval, it's demoralizing for the fanbase and it's hard to sell season tickets and those expensive luxury boxes when there appears to be no constants within the franchise itself. At least the Cardinals can say Larry Fitzgerald is still there. A stalwart in the storm. No matter how bad things got for the Skins, they had Darrell Green. I think Ray Bourque must have been the most empathized with player in the NHL for about a decade, for the long suffering Bruins. Any sport, any franchise, you need some touchstones for the fanbase to galvanize around. Whether it's Tony Gwynn in San Diego or Ryne Sandberg with the Cubs, you need a guy you can market around and give the fans some hope. Churning players might be good for rearming draft picks. However churning players on a franchise that has seen so much upheaval in the last decade, I think you create a dangerous tipping point with your fanbase.
How often in the current NFL do you see 1st round draft picks traded for players? ( Remove senile Al Davis and any combination of inexperienced front office situations like Xanders/McDaniel) It doesn't happen often anymore and that infrequency happens for a reason.
Out of the four trades Grigson could have made, this one makes the least sense and incurs the most long term cost. This trade does not reek of collusion, it reeks of two ownerships bull rushing their GMs and going full tilt Steinbrenner on their front offices.
If this was going to happen, it should have happened in the preseason and off season. Not after the season has started.