**TNF on Prime - Falcons at Buccaneers**(-5.5, 43.5) FF Playoffs Kickoff at 8:15 - Let's GO!!! (1 Viewer)

[Hot Sauce Guy]

On another note, it bears mentioning that Cousins looks great.

 

[bcat01]

Team with Pitts in my league started Mooney in flex spot...oof

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Team with Pitts in my league started Mooney in flex spot...oof

And didn’t start Pitts?

 

[Hobbes]

I can’t understand why Tampa doesn’t call some quick hitters. Oline is junk

It looks like Baker is trying to do too much. He needs to get the ball out quicker with the lack of protection.

Both guards out and it shows...

 

[fred_1_15301]

On another note, it bears mentioning that Cousins looks great.

If I somehow make the playoffs (and Baker isn’t helping my cause), I’m thinking of picking up Bryce Young for next week. Tampa pass D looks very suspect.

 

[Hobbes]

Should be a good finish....TB 13 ATL 10 (+4 from refs)

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Man, if Pennix doesn’t get hurt Pitts season probably looks a lot different.

 

[bcat01]

Team with Pitts in my league started Mooney in flex spot...oof

And didn’t start Pitts?

Sitting on the bench.

 

[efactor]

Team with Pitts in my league started Mooney in flex spot...oof

Ouch

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Pitts is having a massive night
Bucky Irving not so much
Egbuka is now part of a 4-5WR group with McMillan back, Evans back,

 

[efactor]

Egbuka is now part of a 4-5WR group with McMillan back, Evans back,

Godwin is the forgotten guy it seems

 

[fred_1_15301]

I have Bijan and Baker and my opponent has 3 TEs (Kincaid, Warren and Pitts). He started 2 of them and thankfully left Pitts out.

 

[Dez]

This is almost comical I am playing vs Cousins in a league............

 

[FarFromHome]

Let me start by saying I rarely watch games anymore. I'm a box score surfing champion, highlight guy and honestly, I use this sites game day thread.

As an Evans owner I'm quite thrilled with his first half

 

[Dez]

Played Pitts in 2 out of 4 leagues the 2 that mean the most at least.

 

[BLOCKED_PUNT]

Baker has only been sacked twice? feels like its been like 5 or 7 times.

this game.

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Pitts 40% of the Falcons' targets tonight from Kirk Cousins

 

[Terpman22]

Got Pitts in 3/6 dynos.

Made the playoffs in 3/6 dynos.

Pitts is not on a single playoff team.

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Pitts not an awesome blocker.

Now, why anyone would use him for that is a mystery…

 

[Buckna]

Baker has only been sacked twice? feels like its been like 5 or 7 times.

this game.

At least two were wiped out by penalties

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Got Pitts in 3/6 dynos.

Made the playoffs in 3/6 dynos.

Pitts is not on a single playoff team.

Damn

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Moar Pitts!

 

[Hobbes]

Yea...holding on a touchback...seems about right for this game.

 

[Buckna]

Pitts not an awesome blocker.

Now, why anyone would use him for that is a mystery…

Arthur Smith's favorite thing to do which got him in the doghouse and was partly why his stats sucked so much in years 2 & 3.

 

[Buckna]

Godwin sighting!

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Would like to see Bucky get some screen passes in space

 

[rockaction]

Pitts is ruining some people's seasons in the playoffs. Oh my word.

 

[Terpman22]

Got Mossed!

 

[IHEARTFF]

Godwin Evans Egbuka McMillan all on the field together. Got dayum.

 

[renesauz]

yeah...Evans still a stud

 

[Penguin]

Evans!

 

[Chaka]

Evans only needs 758 yards over the next 3 games, 22 minutes and 29 seconds to keep his streak of 1,000 seasons alive.

LFG!!!

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Pitts is ruining some people's seasons in the playoffs. Oh my word.

Or in my case, the opposite.

In the TEP league where he has 42+ my opponent has Cousins on the bench.

 

[Buckna]

I don't follow them closely but you'd think Atlanta would have drafted some taller corners having faced Mike Evans all these years...

 

[Ministry of Pain]

McMillan very active, feels like he's gonna be a decent part of the offense down the stretch

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Evans only needs 758 yards over the next 3 games, 22 minutes and 29 seconds to keep his streak of 1,000 seasons alive.

LFG!!!

So you’re saying there’s a chance.

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

McMillan very active, feels like he's gonna be a decent part of the offense down the stretch

Very excited to roster him in a dynasty league - bright future. Glad he’s 100%.

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

yeah...Evans still a stud

He just straight took that ball from the DB.

 

[rockaction]

Pitts not an awesome blocker.

Now, why anyone would use him for that is a mystery…

Arthur Smith's favorite thing to do which got him in the doghouse and was partly why his stats sucked so much in years 2 & 3.

I saw this thing from Sumer Sports's AI (it's just a research tool). I asked who had the most disparity in EPA between personnel groupings provided that the formation made up at least 10% of that team's total plays with that particular personnel grouping. The first two brought negative comments because the teams are choosing to play heavier in ways that are tremendously above the average and are also deleterious to their offense. Atlanta is making its case for running their offense through 12 personnel tonight for sure.

Arthur Smith came right up.

1. Atlanta Falcons - 0.365 EPA Gap

• 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE): +0.077 EPA/play (86.2% usage)
• 12 personnel (1 RB, 2 TE): -0.288 EPA/play (10.4% usage)
• This represents the most extreme efficiency difference in the NFL between commonly used formations

2. Pittsburgh Steelers - 0.360 EPA Gap

• 11 personnel: +0.015 EPA/play (51.4% usage)
• 13 personnel (1 RB, 3 TE): -0.345 EPA/play (16.4% usage)
• Their heavy tight end package is notably inefficient despite significant usage

3. Baltimore Ravens - 0.220 EPA Gap

• 12 personnel: +0.339 EPA/play (31.1% usage)
• 11 personnel: +0.119 EPA/play (28.1% usage)
• Unique among teams for being more efficient with additional tight ends

4. Tennessee Titans - 0.173 EPA Gap

• 12 personnel: +0.033 EPA/play (17.2% usage)
• 11 personnel: -0.140 EPA/play (68.6% usage)
• Another team performing better with heavier personnel groupings

5. San Francisco 49ers - 0.169 EPA Gap

• 21 personnel (2 RB, 1 TE): +0.145 EPA/play (34.9% usage)
• 11 personnel: -0.024 EPA/play (48.3% usage)
• Exceptionally efficient with fullback-based formations

***This is wrong. Never trust AI until you verify everything. Atlanta is spot-on by running this formation. I'll double check Pittsburgh

Atlanta Falcons 2025 Personnel Analysis​

11 Personnel (1 RB, 1 TE):

391 plays out of 795 total (49.18% usage)
Cumulative EPA: -56.29
EPA per play: -0.144
League ranking: 26th out of 32 teams

12 Personnel (1 RB, 2 TE):

293 plays out of 795 total (36.86% usage)
Cumulative EPA: +20.63
EPA per play: +0.070
League ranking: 8th out of 32 teams

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Tucker now seems to be the RB inside the 10 yd line for the Bucs tonight

14 penalties now for Atlanta
Check that 15 but the Bucs couldn't accept both penalties

 

[renesauz]

Good God....worst part is that Atlanta has EARNED most of these penalties, not soft or BS calls

 

[Chaka]

Gotta be honest; I have never liked how many defensive penalties come with an automatic first down. I get that they can't incentive defenses to commit penalties instead of playing defense but, would it be so bad if that Illegal Contact penalty was five yards and still 3rd down, instead of five yards and automatic 1st down?

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

#3 TE. Lmao

 

[renesauz]

that helps...NOBODY

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Devin Culp TD!
Gulp

 

[Penguin]

Devin Culp, that didn't help anyone

 

[fred_1_15301]

I rescind everything I said earlier about Baker lol.

 

[BLOCKED_PUNT]

fun fact!

In the league where I started Baker, my opponent has Evens as well as Pitts.

The score?

42.65-15.06

 

[Man In The Box]

Atta boy Baker

 

[Buckna]

And 3rd string TE Culp gets the TD...