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Week 06 2024 who should I start thread **OFFICIALLY UNOFFICIAL** (1 Viewer)

Chaka

Footballguy
This is where we ask questions and offer help.

Thank you to all the posters who come here to offer that help.

A couple notes:

I attempt to give well considered responses to all questions posted. I can't get to everything, but I'll try.

1) This only works if people participate. If you ask for help it is good form to offer help to someone else.

2) Please post the matchup. e.g. Cousins vs Den or James Cook @ Mia

3) Please post important league scoring considerations (e.g. PPR, super-flex etc).


4)
Please go easy on the nicknames, save that for other threads. We can't help if we don't know who you are talking about.

View this as an exercise to help focus your thoughts about teams in general. Players you own may not be involved in these WDIS questions but certainly you will own players on many of these teams. Analyzing other players will help you identify things you may have otherwise not considered.

Let's move on to week 6
 
Assuming Fields remains the starter

Justin Fields @ LV
Calbe Williams v Jax (in London)
 
Fields @ LV or Mayfield @ NO
Need two from these three in a full ppr league
Tracy v Cinn
Stevenson v Hou
Dowdle v Det
TIA
 
Fields @ LV or Mayfield @ NO
Need two from these three in a full ppr league
Tracy v Cinn
Stevenson v Hou
Dowdle v Det
TIA
I want to say Fields as the Raiders just lost Christian Wilkins indefinitely. But Mayfield is straight up balling and Fields floor is getting benched at halftime.

Mayfield>Fields

Tracy if Singletary is out. I probably pair him with Dowdle because it looks like the Cowboys have fully committed to him as their lead back.

If Singletary plays I go with Dowdle & Stevenson.
 
I'll start:

Assuming Fields remains the starter:
Jared Goff @ Dal
Justin Fields @ LV

Assuming Fields remains the starter

Justin Fields @ LV
Calbe Williams v Jax (in London)
I Just cant trust Fields with Artie Smith as his OC.

This matchup smacks of a "Mike Tomlin Special" to boot: Road game off a home loss, questionable opponent, team will come out flat for 2-3 quarters and prolly lose by three cuz they run out of time after Coach T bumbles his timeouts trying to get Artie's six TEs onto the field for a 4th and half an inch situation in the third quarter.

Dont really care how jank LV mat be on defense right now, I think Im taking the field>Fields (seewutididthere?)
 
I actually don't have any questions this week but love these threads!


I'll start:

Assuming Fields remains the starter:
Jared Goff @ Dal
Justin Fields @ LV

This is a tough one. I think the Steelers will trounce LV, but that is because of their defense and how bad the LV offense is. Could Fields have a great game? Absolutely. Will he need to have a great game, probably not. I can see PIT DST going crazy and the Steelers just managing the game on offense here. I trust the Cowboys to put up more points than the Raiders and feel Goff should have to throw more. Vegas has the DAL/DET game at a higher total as well. I think for this reason Goff has a better floor, while Fields has the higher ceiling because of how awful the Raiders defense is.

Assuming Fields remains the starter

Justin Fields @ LV
Calbe Williams v Jax (in London)

I'll take Fields in this matchup because the Jaxsonville D is tough against the run, and I am not sure I trust Williams over Fields throwing the ball based on experience alone (more turnover prone IMO). Plus, factor in the traveling for this game, it could be a weird one. Fields slight edge here.
 
Must win game for me.

Assuming Taylor is out, I need two of the three:

Dobbins @ Denver
ETN @ Chicago
Najee @ LV

Leaning towards the bold
 
Must win game for me.

Assuming Taylor is out, I need two of the three:

Dobbins @ Denver
ETN @ Chicago
Najee @ LV

Leaning towards the bold
I don't blame you for either choice. I am a little hesitant about Dobbins because I don't know the status of Alt & Slater. If both those guys are playing then I agree, if not... I might go with Etienne.

Najee gets 20 opportunities/game with Warren out. This is a big plus matchup and bigger because Wilkins is out for the Raiders. I would definitely start him.
 
Must win game for me.

Assuming Taylor is out, I need two of the three:

Dobbins @ Denver
ETN @ Chicago
Najee @ LV

Leaning towards the bold
I don't blame you for either choice. I am a little hesitant about Dobbins because I don't know the status of Alt & Slater. If both those guys are playing then I agree, if not... I might go with Etienne.

Najee gets 20 opportunities/game with Warren out. This is a big plus matchup and bigger because Wilkins is out for the Raiders. I would definitely start him.
I have thought that the past two weeks with Harris and he just doesn't live up to the rankings.

Appreciate it.
 
Must win game for me.

Assuming Taylor is out, I need two of the three:

Dobbins @ Denver
ETN @ Chicago
Najee @ LV

Leaning towards the bold
I don't blame you for either choice. I am a little hesitant about Dobbins because I don't know the status of Alt & Slater. If both those guys are playing then I agree, if not... I might go with Etienne.

Najee gets 20 opportunities/game with Warren out. This is a big plus matchup and bigger because Wilkins is out for the Raiders. I would definitely start him.
I have thought that the past two weeks with Harris and he just doesn't live up to the rankings.

Appreciate it.
He doesn't live up to his draft status in the least. The Steelers, despite heavy investment of draft capital has a pretty pedestrian offensive line for the past few seasons, hopefully for them Fautanu and Frazier help develop it into something better than it has been.

For Najee his value is entirely based on volume, he's a 20 touch guy with Warren out and he looks to be missing this game. Based on that alone I like him more than your other options. Throw in a depleted Raiders offense & defense and this game could be a nice clock control game for Najee and the Steelers.
 
PPR. Need a WR between one of these two:

* D. Wicks vs AZ - Yup, he burned us last week. Looks like Doubs is back this week, probably no Watson. The matchup is there. His target share should be there. Question is will he catch the damn ball?

or

* JSN vs SF - Not sure the second year breakout is taking place. Seems to be settling in to the short yardage guy. Saved his day with a late TD, but the volume doesn't seem to be there. Lockett not dead yet. Not a great matchup.

Note: I'm an underdog by 10 ish points.

Which?

Thanks
 
PPR. Need a WR between one of these two:

* D. Wicks vs AZ - Yup, he burned us last week. Looks like Doubs is back this week, probably no Watson. The matchup is there. His target share should be there. Question is will he catch the damn ball?

or

* JSN vs SF - Not sure the second year breakout is taking place. Seems to be settling in to the short yardage guy. Saved his day with a late TD, but the volume doesn't seem to be there. Lockett not dead yet. Not a great matchup.

Note: I'm an underdog by 10 ish points.

Which?

Thanks
JSN may not be having a full breakout but he's getting much more consistent targets than Wicks. As I said last week, unless you expect the Packers to be down by 28, I wouldn't hold out hope for Wicks to have a big day. JSN had 16 targets in a tight win over NE, he had 12 targets in a big loss at Detroit and he had 7 targets in a close game last week. He had two down games but one was week one and the other was a laugher against Miami.

JSN seems more matchup proof than Wicks IMO and I think they have similar upside.

JSN>Wicks
 
Geno vs San Fran
Goff @ Dallas
I like Geno and the Lions are super run heavy when they can be, and they usually can, but I think I go with Goff this week.

But it's definitely close and there is nothing wrong with rolling Geno. I just like Goff's opportunity against a depleted Dallas D. And not facing a very, very desperate San Francisco defense.

Goff>Geno
 
Ppr
Pick 2 - one WR, one flex
Ridley vs Indy
Kirk @ Chicago
Watson vs Arizona
Irving @ New Orleans

I currently have Watson and Ridley in but really not confident.
 
Purdy (Thurs) v Goff?

Thank You!
Very similar players IMO and similar matchups. it should be close between them. The Niners are desperate for a win for sure but it is looking like Parsons may miss another game too.

I'm on the Goff train this week. But both are decent options.

Goff>Purdy
 
Ppr
Pick 2 - one WR, one flex
Ridley vs Indy
Kirk @ Chicago
Watson vs Arizona
Irving @ New Orleans

I currently have Watson and Ridley in but really not confident.
Kirk isn't the player we were hoping for back in August, but he's had three productive games in a row, and a couple with a big target share. Even with a tougher matchup I like him more than Ridley, who is seeing less than five targets per game on a team with a QB room on par with the Raiders.

Watson had a limited practice so you need to follow that closely. We also don't really know his role on this offense. It doesn't look like he is going to be a high percentage target hog. But he is a long ball specialist with a good QB and plenty of upside.

If you think the Saints are going to struggle to score with Rattler at QB, Irving becomes a solid option become the Bucs can put points on the board. That nodes well for Irving, who is simply better than White IMO.

Kirk>Watson>Irving>Ridley
 
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Need to make a quick decision today on

Geno vs Niners
Flacco @ Titans

Thanks
Is Flacco even starting this week? Do you have another option if Richardson gets the start?

Geno>Flacco

unless we hear more about Richardson's health before tonight.

Wasn't even aware ARich could play this week my bad. I could and should have prioritized a QB on the waiver run last night, not much left and certainly nothing better than Geno. I guess even if ARich plays, you go Geno over him?
 
Ppr
Pick 2 - one WR, one flex
Ridley vs Indy
Kirk @ Chicago
Watson vs Arizona
Irving @ New Orleans

I currently have Watson and Ridley in but really not confident.
Ridley/krk. Don’t like the options, but I don’ like to use players the week after an injury.
 
Need to make a quick decision today on

Geno vs Niners
Flacco @ Titans

Thanks
Is Flacco even starting this week? Do you have another option if Richardson gets the start?

Geno>Flacco

unless we hear more about Richardson's health before tonight.

Wasn't even aware ARich could play this week my bad. I could and should have prioritized a QB on the waiver run last night, not much left and certainly nothing better than Geno. I guess even if ARich plays, you go Geno over him?
Yes, Pittman is out also for the Colts. Geno is safer unless you need upside.
 
Need to make a quick decision today on

Geno vs Niners
Flacco @ Titans

Thanks
Is Flacco even starting this week? Do you have another option if Richardson gets the start?

Geno>Flacco

unless we hear more about Richardson's health before tonight.

Wasn't even aware ARich could play this week my bad. I could and should have prioritized a QB on the waiver run last night, not much left and certainly nothing better than Geno. I guess even if ARich plays, you go Geno over him?
Classic upside v safe play question. Depends on your needs and risk aversion. With no Pittman I probably like Geno more this week.

Geno>Richardson
 
JSN vs SF or Tolbert vs Lions?

Leaning Tolbert due to Dallas lacking any sort of run game, Detroit being great against the run, and the chance of this being a high scoring affair.

Thoughts? TIA
 
DK or Ayuik .5ppr

AND

Goff Vs. Mayfield Vs. Geno
Mayfield>Goff>Geno

Mayfield is just playing so well, throwing tons of TDs and has a much worse run game backing him up.

Kind of a push between Aiyuk & DK. I like DK's talent more and the Seahawks pass a lot more than San Francisco (8x/game) but I think either is a good option.

For me
DK>Aiyuk
 
Tolbert vs DET
Shakir @ NYJ

Engram @ CHI(London)
Kraft vs ARZ




G Smith vs SF
Stroud @ NE

Need 1
Jam Williams @ DAL
Jav Williams vs LAC
Downs @ TEN
 
JSN vs SF or Tolbert vs Lions?

Leaning Tolbert due to Dallas lacking any sort of run game, Detroit being great against the run, and the chance of this being a high scoring affair.

Thoughts? TIA
I mean, I don't know much about Tolbert the player but he does seem relevant to the Cowboys offense. My problem is JSN just sees more time on the field and more targets. JSN hasn't seen fewer than 79% of his teams snaps and averages 84%, 294 total). Tolbert has seen over 75% twice in five games and averages 78%, 269 total.

However, I find that when I try to justify something with deeper dive stats, I often miss some obvious factors. JSN may have 11 more targets but he has only one more reception and only 10 more receiving yards overall. He also has one fewer TD.

So, yeah I have no problem with

Tolbert>JSN
 
PPR. I need a winner.

Keenan Allen or Jauan Jennings? Can't believe I'm even asking the question Keenan!
I think Keenan is great for Caleb but I am not so sure Caleb is great for Keenan.

Jauan turned back into a pumpkin last week for sure. And it is definitely difficult to find targets for him with Kittle, Deebo & Aiyuk already there.

But when you say "I need a winner" do you mean a home run? If so Jauann is still your guy IMO.

Otherwise, I guess Keenan is probably your option.

TBH I don't love either so, in those cases I usually go with the upside.

Jauann>Keenan
 
Tolbert vs DET
Shakir @ NYJ

Engram @ CHI(London)
Kraft vs ARZ




G Smith vs SF
Stroud @ NE

Need 1
Jam Williams @ DAL
Jav Williams vs LAC
Downs @ TEN
Tolbert>Shakir

I am concerned by the Bills in general ATM, the Jets have an outstanding defense and they may get some kind of bump post Saleh.

Kraft>Engram

Engram's health is a bit of a concern and he has a tougher matchup. Kraft will lose looks with Doubs back and possibly Watson but I am inclined to ride the wave.

Geno>Stroud

No Nico, possibly no Mixon and, IMO, NE can make games ugly. No team is throwing the ball more than Seattle, but it is a difficult matchup against a desperate Niner team. Still, it's a home game, the Seahawks have great targets and a legitimate run game and they are probably pretty desperate themselves after back-to-back losses.

Jameson>Javonte>Downs

It is very, very close between JW & JW.

Javonte is coming into his own a bit so he may be a solid volume play. But I get the feeling Payton is trying to build Nix's confidence so much that it will come at the expense of Javonte at the goal line. As a guy who started Javonte last week and watches all Raider games (yes, I'm a masochist) that QB sneak last week was major B.S. and I worry we will see more of that. Along with Payton's patented goal line play action passes to the third TE or some tackle eligible stuff. Again, Javonte is a good volume play and I do think there is upside but I have some concerns.

Jameson is all about the big play and this looks like one of those games that could turn into a track meet. Of course that means the final score is going to be 13-10 or something. Still I love the way he is being used this season and am willing to play for the home run. YMMV

Downs is only a good play if Flacco gets the start. IF Flacco starts and without Pittman, Taylor and possibly Sermon then I would revise this to Downs>Jameson>Javonte because I think he will see plenty of volume and he is a big play option.
 
Pick 2 please, full PPR
Justice Hill vs WAS - already starting Derrick Henry
Trey Sermon and/or Tyler Goodson vs TEN - would surely start Goodson if both JT/Sermon are OUT
Tyrone Tracy vs CIN - sounds like Singletary may be active, but would love if he sat another week
Gus Edwards vs DEN - questionable and losing ground to Dobbins
 
Assuming Fields remains the starter

Justin Fields @ LV
Calbe Williams v Jax (in London)
Tougher. The Bears are in London already. I guess if you need upside (rush TDs), take Fields. Caleb has been improving every week though.
JAX just gave up 359 yards and 3 TDs to Flacco. 345 yards and 2 TDs to Stroud the week before. 4 TDs the week before to Allen. 338 yards to Tua week 1. They did slow down Watson week 2. Close, but I'd go with Caleb. Plus, Jax offense may be finding its stride, so higher scoring game.
 
Pick 2 please, full PPR
Justice Hill vs WAS - already starting Derrick Henry
Trey Sermon and/or Tyler Goodson vs TEN - would surely start Goodson if both JT/Sermon are OUT
Tyrone Tracy vs CIN - sounds like Singletary may be active, but would love if he sat another week
Gus Edwards vs DEN - questionable and losing ground to Dobbins
Gus already lost all the ground to Dobbins, particularly in close games or when trailing. He's only an option if you think the Chargers will win. Also you need to check the status of the Chargers two starting tackles Alt & Slater.

I agree about Goodson but Tennessee is a tough matchup and it's on the road. But in a desperate pinch Goodson may be a decent dart throw even if Sermon plays. He saw half as many opportunities last week 8-16 but he was much more efficient 57-63 yards and he saw a 41% snap share. If Sermon is limited then Goodson may see more opportunities regardless.

Singletary will definitely muck things up for Tracy, the question is to what degree.

Hill is going to get you seven opportunities, rain or shine. Unfortunately it looks like that holds true even when the Ravens roll their opponents. He saw 10 total opportunities against the Bills even when they were up by 18 in the third and 25 in the fourth. Maybe if they roll Washington and Henry isn't close to 200 yards rushing (he was at 181 when they went up by 25 with 11:23 remaining in the 4th. A smart coach would have sent him to the bench for some well deserved rest.

All this is to say, you gotta wait until you know about Signletary & Sermon

All I know is probably not Gus.

Assuming Sermon and Singletary play...

Hill>Tracy>Goodson>Gus
 

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