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WR Gabriel Davis, Free Agent (5 Viewers)

I drafted him at 8.7, he's currently slated to be on the bench unless he overtakes Cooks as the second flex. That's said, with Kamara out weeks 1-3 he'll get those 3 games to prove his worth.

QB - Hurts
RB - A. Jones, Kamara (Perine)
WR - Jefferson, Watson, Cooks, (Davis, Thomas)
TE - Andrews
D -
K -
 
Dr. Octopus said:
Ilov80s said:
If you are looking for another pro Davis angle, report from camp on Shakir has been that he’s faded into the background.
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But on the flip side Sherfield has impressed in the slot.
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Davis was never going to play the slot much anyway, so there was always going to be someone there. Could be the rookie TE a decent amount as well. Now maybe that’s always where Shakir was likely to go anyway but he seemed to have the potential to play outside as well. I’m much less worried about a 27 year old journeyman than a 2nd year player. I feel comfortable with what Sherfield is and it’s not a threat to anyone’s fantasy season.
 
WR 31 through 2 weeks.

I'm not sure what to make of it just yet, but I do think the offensive performance in the Raiders game is much more the norm we'll see in the future compared to the offense in the Jets game.
 
Grigs Allmoon said:
WR 31 through 2 weeks.

I'm not sure what to make of it just yet, but I do think the offensive performance in the Raiders game is much more the norm we'll see in the future compared to the offense in the Jets game.
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He was actually dropped in my league prior to last week and I quickly scooped him up. He is what he is at this point. A volatile WR3 that will have a ton of stinkers mixed in with a few blowup games. I dont mind using him as a flex if the rest of your team is strong and can withstand his low games because his high games will be week winners.
 
jobarules said:
Grigs Allmoon said:
WR 31 through 2 weeks.

I'm not sure what to make of it just yet, but I do think the offensive performance in the Raiders game is much more the norm we'll see in the future compared to the offense in the Jets game.
Click to expand...
He was actually dropped in my league prior to last week and I quickly scooped him up. He is what he is at this point. A volatile WR3 that will have a ton of stinkers mixed in with a few blowup games. I dont mind using him as a flex if the rest of your team is strong and can withstand his low games because his high games will be week winners.
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He's like the Lee Evans of yesteryear.
 
tricky92 said:
jobarules said:
Grigs Allmoon said:
WR 31 through 2 weeks.

I'm not sure what to make of it just yet, but I do think the offensive performance in the Raiders game is much more the norm we'll see in the future compared to the offense in the Jets game.
Click to expand...
He was actually dropped in my league prior to last week and I quickly scooped him up. He is what he is at this point. A volatile WR3 that will have a ton of stinkers mixed in with a few blowup games. I dont mind using him as a flex if the rest of your team is strong and can withstand his low games because his high games will be week winners.
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He's like the Lee Evans of yesteryear.
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Ha. There's a blast from the past.

Excellent comparison. He once had a game with 2 80 yard plus TDs in the first quarter and over 200 yards in the first quarter. Crazy
 
efactor said:
tricky92 said:
jobarules said:
Grigs Allmoon said:
WR 31 through 2 weeks.

I'm not sure what to make of it just yet, but I do think the offensive performance in the Raiders game is much more the norm we'll see in the future compared to the offense in the Jets game.
Click to expand...
He was actually dropped in my league prior to last week and I quickly scooped him up. He is what he is at this point. A volatile WR3 that will have a ton of stinkers mixed in with a few blowup games. I dont mind using him as a flex if the rest of your team is strong and can withstand his low games because his high games will be week winners.
Click to expand...
He's like the Lee Evans of yesteryear.
Click to expand...
Ha. There's a blast from the past.

Excellent comparison. He once had a game with 2 80 yard plus TDs in the first quarter and over 200 yards in the first quarter. Crazy
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I actually had him in my active line-up that week. I was following that game on the ESPN web site and when he scored the second 80 yard TD I thought the site glitched! Haha
 
As someone who has owned Gabe Davis in both my dynasty leagues since he’s been in the league ….

I can’t help but feel he is hanging on by a thread every week. Can’t explain it fully, but I do think he is more a product of situation rather than all out talent. Hands do seem to let him down regularly - they are nothing more than ordinary, however, he DOES have a good size and speed combo and he IS trusted by Josh Allen at this point.

Injury free and actually very consistent right now let’s hope he keeps on building on this and gaining value because there’s a small part of me that feels like he may be undergoing a sell now type of run of form

Maybe he just keeps improving though and becomes a high level footballer and fantasy asset
 
I expected at least some 'Are you in or out on the Boom/Bust Gabe Davis?".

Great time to sell him after the TNF matchup scoring his highest point total of the season.

However, this 'boom' game is definitely different than his normal 40 yard TD games that we see. This was a career setting 9rec/12tar/87yds/1TD boom game.

3rd lowest ADOT, 2nd most tar of career, most catches by 3. Basically targeted way more than normal on much shorter routes. Nerds talk about the ADOT being lower than norm.

I then look to why shorter throws:

- Josh Allen shoulder comes to mind, as they want to limit his bigger throws and then connecting the dots a bit I saw some earlier pressers w/ Gabe Davis developing in the shorter routes.
- Maybe this is the new 3 WR sets we see while Dawson Knox is out on IR?
- zone coverage

Also, another bonus point and why I traded for Gabe Davis just before TNF came on was, the Bills DST is decimated. Weekly Shootout Potential and they really don't run that much.

I'm in on Gabe Davis for now and this might be a sticky trend going forward until at least Allen's shoulder gets better and/or Dawson Knox returns, but if they succeed why would they go back? Kincaid looked great and they just accelerated his growth with that confidence building game.

Anyways I wouldn't say go buy high on Gabe Davis, unless someone is desperate to get rid of the 'boom/bust' guy but, I think selling high is good but the reward if this is the new trend is greater than what you would most likely get in a trade.
 
Gabe Davis is a weird one in that he’s a WR that produces like a TD-dependent TE. For his career with his per-17 game average his targets, catches, and receiving yards are similar to a guy like Owen Daniels, at a better TD rate than Daniels. It seems like if Davis doesn’t score a TD that week then he isn’t giving you much of anything. He’s the type of WR in fantasy that I can’t stand: hard to trust as a starter, frustrating to watch when he inevitably blows up on your bench. His type of output would be much more palatable in fantasy if he was doing it out of the TE position, where those peaks and valleys are to be expected. At WR you want to see more targets than what he actually gets.
 
jobarules said:
Im desperate to get rid of him just due to how nuts he drives me.

I benched him weeks 2-5 and last night (5 TDs).
I started him weeks 6-7 (5 total points).
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I did the exact same. Have to strongly consider starting him next week after last night. Target share was ridiculous but hard to tell of this is the new norm or an outlier.
 
Started in 3/4 dynasty leagues (at one point I had 18 dynasty shares) last night and only 1/5 redrafts. I decided to go with Doubs this week in most other spots. The dynasty starts were hedges though where I will likely have a couple other guys out and decided I needed to put him in. Not because of confidence. Stoked it worked out.

Yes I think the 2TE sets are done for now and the Bills have found their much better identity now. Which may or may not mean much for Davis but it just might be more of this.
 
His home numbers are much better than his road numbers (excluding Jax as that was London).

There may be something about teams that play man vs zone

He's about to hit a string of tough defenses
 
12 targets after two 1.something finishes in a row in .5ppr. Last four:19.0/1.6/1.1/19.2. Definition of frustrating.
 
Jacob Gibbs
The Bills completely changed the role for Gabe Davis in Week 8:

- Average route depth of 7.2 yards. Davis had never had a route depth lower than 8.5 yards in a full game.
- 39% first-read target share led the Bills and ranked 8th overall on the week
- 6.7-yard average depth of target (his aDOT was 15.1 coming in)
- tied Ja'Marr Chase with the most "open" or "wide open" targets (9), according to @FantasyPtsData

From a Fantasy standpoint, this was the high point for Davis in 2023. Super curious if we'll see him used this way again in Week 9.
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I put him on my trade block in dynasty, along with some other players, as the team was a hopeful contender that’s currently 4-4 because it’s now buggered at RB. One offer back - Tank Bigsby. I feel that’s derisory he’s a top 24 WR right now in 0.5ppr
 
Faust said:
Jacob Gibbs
The Bills completely changed the role for Gabe Davis in Week 8:

- Average route depth of 7.2 yards. Davis had never had a route depth lower than 8.5 yards in a full game.
- 39% first-read target share led the Bills and ranked 8th overall on the week
- 6.7-yard average depth of target (his aDOT was 15.1 coming in)
- tied Ja'Marr Chase with the most "open" or "wide open" targets (9), according to @FantasyPtsData

From a Fantasy standpoint, this was the high point for Davis in 2023. Super curious if we'll see him used this way again in Week 9.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...

based on the above, how we feeling on starting gabe again this week
 
The Dude said:
Faust said:
Jacob
Gibbs

The Bills completely changed the role for
Gabe Davis
in Week 8:

- Average route depth of 7.2 yards.
Davis
had never had a route depth lower than 8.5 yards in a full game.
- 39% first-read target share led the Bills and ranked 8th overall on the week
- 6.7-yard average depth of target (his aDOT was 15.1 coming in)
- tied
Ja'Marr Chase
with the most "open" or "wide open" targets (9), according to @FantasyPtsData

From a Fantasy standpoint, this was the high point for
Davis
in 2023. Super curious if we'll see him used this way again in Week 9.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...

based on the above, how we feeling on starting gabe again this week
Click to expand...
With byes this week I'm starting him over Joshua Palmer @ Jets.
How do I feel about it? I agree with the "super curious if we'll see him used this way again in week 9" statement. With the way the Bills have been messing with Cook's usage, nothing would surprise me. I'd be happy with a 2/50/1 performance. I'd be disappointed with another 3/21/0. Somehow I see a repeat of the 12 targets resulting in 9/87/1 as a long-shot. He's still Gabe Davis and he still plays for the Bills.
 
The Dude said:
Faust said:
Jacob Gibbs
The Bills completely changed the role for Gabe Davis in Week 8:

- Average route depth of 7.2 yards. Davis had never had a route depth lower than 8.5 yards in a full game.
- 39% first-read target share led the Bills and ranked 8th overall on the week
- 6.7-yard average depth of target (his aDOT was 15.1 coming in)
- tied Ja'Marr Chase with the most "open" or "wide open" targets (9), according to @FantasyPtsData

From a Fantasy standpoint, this was the high point for Davis in 2023. Super curious if we'll see him used this way again in Week 9.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...

based on the above, how we feeling on starting gabe again this week
Click to expand...
Love it, fire him up
 
The Dude said:
Faust said:
Jacob Gibbs
The Bills completely changed the role for Gabe Davis in Week 8:

- Average route depth of 7.2 yards. Davis had never had a route depth lower than 8.5 yards in a full game.
- 39% first-read target share led the Bills and ranked 8th overall on the week
- 6.7-yard average depth of target (his aDOT was 15.1 coming in)
- tied Ja'Marr Chase with the most "open" or "wide open" targets (9), according to @FantasyPtsData

From a Fantasy standpoint, this was the high point for Davis in 2023. Super curious if we'll see him used this way again in Week 9.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...

based on the above, how we feeling on starting gabe again this week
Click to expand...
I can tell you that every week I've started Davis he cratered and when I put him on my bench he went off. This guy is frustrating beyond belief.

I'm still up in the air on whether I'm going start him or zack moss.
 
Ilov80s said:
The Dude said:
Faust said:
Jacob Gibbs
The Bills completely changed the role for Gabe Davis in Week 8:

- Average route depth of 7.2 yards. Davis had never had a route depth lower than 8.5 yards in a full game.
- 39% first-read target share led the Bills and ranked 8th overall on the week
- 6.7-yard average depth of target (his aDOT was 15.1 coming in)
- tied Ja'Marr Chase with the most "open" or "wide open" targets (9), according to @FantasyPtsData

From a Fantasy standpoint, this was the high point for Davis in 2023. Super curious if we'll see him used this way again in Week 9.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...

based on the above, how we feeling on starting gabe again this week
Click to expand...
Love it, fire him up
Click to expand...
Starting with confidence in 3 leagues.
 
Dynasty I’ve been trying to sell because he becomes a UFA end of this season and I don’t trust him to end up in a better spot for production. Every time he shows some consistency or turns a corner a week like this occurs and it just makes it impossible.
 
I was forced to start him, as I was literally out of WRs. In that league I'm still hanging on by a thread somehow. I could have selected any number off the waiver wire to give me some minimal points. Yeah I know about the spike weeks,but this is still frustrating. Not a lot of 'starting' WRs have a floor of absolute zero, and some weeks that's tough to ride out.
 
Last edited:
GPS said:
I was forced to start him, as I was literally out of WRs. In that league I'm still hanging on by a thread somehow. I could have selected any number off the waiver wire to give me some minimal points. Yeah I know about the spike weeks,but this is still frustrating. Not a lot of 'starting' WRs have a floor of absolute zero, and some weeks that's tough to ride out.
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I have him, have started him as a FLEX and probably am eliminated already.. Not because I am doing bad, but tbh this is probably the least fun I have had playing FF. Signing on and having to look at projections and figuring out who to start is getting tiring to me. Going to have to really think next season if I want to play. I get my lose money thing now by throwing some money on Fan Duel every week.
 
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