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WR Jerry Jeudy, CLE (3 Viewers)

Broncos selected Alabama WR Jerry Jeudy with the No. 15 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.

He'll slot in as the offense's No. 2 WR behind Courtland Sutton. Jeudy (6’1/193) was a two-year starting receiver at Alabama with exceptional route running that allowed him to win at all depths of the field. Despite facing top-notch competition in the SEC, Jeudy separated from teammates Henry Ruggs and DeVonta Smith in averaging at least 86 yards per game in back-to-back years in his age-19 and 20 seasons. He also led the FBS in 15-plus yard receptions in that span. Hands down the most polished route runner in the class, Jeudy's pedestrian 38th-percentile Adjusted SPARQ was one of Combine's biggest surprises. To win on the outside in the NFL, he’ll need to get stronger, but he otherwise projects as a go-to WR1 who can also thrive in the slot. Jeudy has been compared to Calvin Ridley and Stefon Diggs.

SOURCE: Mike Klis on Twitter

Apr 23, 2020, 10:03 PM ET
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Denver Broncos @Broncos

“I don’t think there’s any question that he’ll have a lot of success in the NFL.” - @AlabamaFTBL HC Nick Saban on @jerryjeudy

Tune in NOW to our Virtual War Room » j.mp/2S6udPJ
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https://twitter.com/broncos/status/1253810413981974529?s=21

Scott Barrett @ScottBarrettDFB

Saban makes it clear at the end, that - though Jeudy is also capable on the outside - he prefers him in the slot. Though,  that will most certainly be KJ Hamler's role in Denver.
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https://twitter.com/scottbarrettdfb/status/1254991700428193793?s=21

 
Dr. BD said:
He went 1.03 5 days ago in a draft of mine. I see a great WR2 much like Ridley. I don't think that's what people are looking for drafting him top 5

Would have been way more excited for him in LV as they said they want to use Ruggs like they wanted to use AB last year... except Jeudy matches that profile better than Ruggs. So that's confusing. 
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It's an interesting set up all dependent on Drew Lock. It's like getting a Ferrari SF1000 and tossing the keys to a 16 year old. 

 
Ilov80s said:
Fantasy mostly 

Just not sure I am so excited about Drew Lock's number 2 WR in a pretty crowded offense with 2 work horse running backs. 
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I suppose all that could be said about Jeudy has already been said.  Now it's wait and see time.  I like his odds.

 
I guess I missed the memo that Juedy was the #2WR and Courtland Sutton was Julio Jones or something. Wish I'd have known before I drafted my highest rated WR prospect since 2015.

 
Ilov80s said:
It's an interesting set up all dependent on Drew Lock. It's like getting a Ferrari SF1000 and tossing the keys to a 16 year old. 
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Thought he had a pretty solid season? 

His passer rating was 18th in the NFL last year.  Higher than Baker, Brady, Jones, Rivers, Etc.  

In terms of QBR, in his 5 starts, his weekly ranking was:  20th, 1st, 32nd, 18th, 21st. 

Outside of that KC game he played pretty damn well for a Rookie in his other 4 starts.  Not even a bottom 10 QB in the league.

 
There should be more discussion about him as a top 3 pick, I think. Ceedee Lamb also.  

In the fall, everyone knows that you can get a back that contributes for weeks at a time. Backups, 3rd down backs, etc. 

In the spring, everyone goes RB crazy.

Someone telling me there are FIVE backs that are better dynasty investments than Jerry Jeudy? No. No ******* way.  Teams are ditching RBs 4 years into their career, stud RBs hold out.....meantime, good WRs can contribute for a decade. 

 
Deamon said:
Thought he had a pretty solid season? 

His passer rating was 18th in the NFL last year.  Higher than Baker, Brady, Jones, Rivers, Etc.  

In terms of QBR, in his 5 starts, his weekly ranking was:  20th, 1st, 32nd, 18th, 21st. 

Outside of that KC game he played pretty damn well for a Rookie in his other 4 starts.  Not even a bottom 10 QB in the league.
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He wasn't terrible. He didn't do much though, it was a very conservative few games for him. His depth of target was about the lowest in the NFL last year. 

 
Ilov80s said:
He wasn't terrible. He didn't do much though, it was a very conservative few games for him. His depth of target was about the lowest in the NFL last year. 
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He was a rookie 2nd round pick that had been on IR almost all of the year.  The odds were stacked severely against him and he played decently for sure.

He now has a year of getting healthy, maturing, and a TON of more weapons added.  Plus a much improved OL.  Don't expect him to play like a top 5 pick, but last year was extremely encouraging and better than expected.

 
massraider said:
There should be more discussion about him as a top 3 pick, I think. Ceedee Lamb also.  

In the fall, everyone knows that you can get a back that contributes for weeks at a time. Backups, 3rd down backs, etc. 

In the spring, everyone goes RB crazy.

Someone telling me there are FIVE backs that are better dynasty investments than Jerry Jeudy? No. No ******* way.  Teams are ditching RBs 4 years into their career, stud RBs hold out.....meantime, good WRs can contribute for a decade. 
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Well there aren’t likely to be FIVE better than Jeudy, but if you’re in a position for one of those five vs Jeudy you’re wagering on that ONE being better than him.  Additionally, middling WRs in terms of production can give you middling production for a long time....and not be at all impactful from a fantasy perspective like stud RBs can be for a few short years. You need a perfect storm to end up with Michael Thomas, Hopkins, or Adams.  Your RB needs only one thing.  Volume.  

 
massraider said:
There should be more discussion about him as a top 3 pick, I think. Ceedee Lamb also.  

In the fall, everyone knows that you can get a back that contributes for weeks at a time. Backups, 3rd down backs, etc. 

In the spring, everyone goes RB crazy.

Someone telling me there are FIVE backs that are better dynasty investments than Jerry Jeudy? No. No ******* way.  Teams are ditching RBs 4 years into their career, stud RBs hold out.....meantime, good WRs can contribute for a decade. 
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True but often the impact a RB has over those 4-5 years is bigger than a WR has over 10 years. Would you rather have a WR who averages 1000/7 for 10 years or a RB who averages 1500/12 for 5 years? 

 
SayWhat? said:
Well there aren’t likely to be FIVE better than Jeudy, but if you’re in a position for one of those five vs Jeudy you’re wagering on that ONE being better than him.  Additionally, middling WRs in terms of production can give you middling production for a long time....and not be at all impactful from a fantasy perspective like stud RBs can be for a few short years. You need a perfect storm to end up with Michael Thomas, Hopkins, or Adams.  Your RB needs only one thing.  Volume.  
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and hope you didn't cut bait on Adams after 2 disappointing seasons. RBs tend to reveal their hand quicker. I am trying to think of a highly touted RB who had 2 poor seasons before breaking out. 

 
Ilov80s said:
and hope you didn't cut bait on Adams after 2 disappointing seasons. RBs tend to reveal their hand quicker. I am trying to think of a highly touted RB who had 2 poor seasons before breaking out. 
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Lynch?.........nevermind.....he did better than I thought. 

 
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Deamon said:
He was a rookie 2nd round pick that had been on IR almost all of the year.  The odds were stacked severely against him and he played decently for sure.

He now has a year of getting healthy, maturing, and a TON of more weapons added.  Plus a much improved OL.  Don't expect him to play like a top 5 pick, but last year was extremely encouraging and better than expected.
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I agree, he showed he belongs. Now we see what his growth is and how it looks when asked to open up the offense. 

 
Ilov80s said:
True but often the impact a RB has over those 4-5 years is bigger than a WR has over 10 years. Would you rather have a WR who averages 1000/7 for 10 years or a RB who averages 1500/12 for 5 years? 
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How many RB can you count on for 5 years? 

And leaving that aside, DeAndre Swift or Cam Akers are a better shot at being a 5 year, 10 TD stud than Jerry Jeudy has of being a 10 tear PPR stud?  That seems crazy to me.

 
massraider said:
How many RB can you count on for 5 years? 
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The rarity of it is what makes a 3 down feature back so valuable. 

And leaving that aside, DeAndre Swift or Cam Akers are a better shot at being a 5 year, 10 TD stud than Jerry Jeudy has of being a 10 tear PPR stud?  That seems crazy to me.
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Maybe not but the payoff is probably worth the bigger risk. 

 
Ilov80s said:
The rarity of it is what makes a 3 down feature back so valuable. 

Maybe not but the payoff is probably worth the bigger risk. 
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I would need to see data on this.  I'm not asking anyone to do research here, but it feels like recently stud backs stopped being stud backs in a hurry.

 
Deamon said:
Outside of that KC game he played pretty damn well for a Rookie in his other 4 starts.  Not even a bottom 10 QB in the league.
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But not far from it, either.  His cupboard was stacked with weapons this offseason, and he will (probably?) take a few strides forward this year to be ... an average QB.

I sold my shares after the NFL draft, it seemed like a solid sell high window.

 
massraider said:
I would need to see data on this.  I'm not asking anyone to do research here, but it feels like recently stud backs stopped being stud backs in a hurry.
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I’m trying to think of who I’d consider a stud back recently. CMC obviously is a wait and see, but his game may lend to some longevity because he gets the ball in space as a receiver a lot. Gurley? He could easily resurface in Atlanta as a stud if he can hold up, or at least on a ppg basis. Guys like lesean Mccoy dropped off quick but he’s been around forever, you got your moneys worth. Leveon bell? Well, that seems like a special case. We’ll see what happens with him this year, along with Melvin Gordon. Some others that topped the list in fantasy points recently like Jordan Howard could stay relevant. I think it’s better to look at a 5-7 year window and hope the guy finishes as a top 12 rb 3-5 times, and stays healthy. There’s a lot of movement at the top 12 of rb every year. 

 
tangfoot said:
But not far from it, either.  His cupboard was stacked with weapons this offseason, and he will (probably?) take a few strides forward this year to be ... an average QB.

I sold my shares after the NFL draft, it seemed like a solid sell high window.
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I think the Denver O and Lock take a solid step forward in 2020.   The running game should be improved which will help the passing game.   Jeudy has the potential to be a very good WR and should be more than just a WR2 in that O.   I expect him to be operating as a WR1b by mid season.   He is a smooth and gifted route runner that should be open often thanks to the running game and a really good WR lined up on the other side of the formation.  

 
Snorkelson said:
I’m trying to think of who I’d consider a stud back recently. CMC obviously is a wait and see, but his game may lend to some longevity because he gets the ball in space as a receiver a lot. Gurley? He could easily resurface in Atlanta as a stud if he can hold up, or at least on a ppg basis. Guys like lesean Mccoy dropped off quick but he’s been around forever, you got your moneys worth. Leveon bell? Well, that seems like a special case. We’ll see what happens with him this year, along with Melvin Gordon. Some others that topped the list in fantasy points recently like Jordan Howard could stay relevant. I think it’s better to look at a 5-7 year window and hope the guy finishes as a top 12 rb 3-5 times, and stays healthy. There’s a lot of movement at the top 12 of rb every year. 
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This is a consideration for me going forward and why I may favor CEH this year ahead of the rest even though I dont think he is the most talented back or has the most upside. An Ekeler-type production is impactful and possibly lends to a longer career. 

 
massraider said:
I would need to see data on this.  I'm not asking anyone to do research here, but it feels like recently stud backs stopped being stud backs in a hurry.
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I had same thought the other day. I'm sure I'm missing someone but I was trying to think of recent RB's who gave you 5+ stud type years and I was not coming up with any current stud RB's.  LT, Peterson  did it and while not as consistent McCoy were names I came up but those studs years they had almost seem like a different era. Bell don't count either as he's given you 3 stud seasons, one 6 game stud season,  two subpar seasons and a ghost season but he's as close as I could think up of current RB's who gave you 5+ years of stud type production, or RB1 type production. Maybe I'm missing someone?

Snorkelson said:
I’m trying to think of who I’d consider a stud back recently. CMC obviously is a wait and see, but his game may lend to some longevity because he gets the ball in space as a receiver a lot.
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I was thinking of him as someone who could buck the trend the other day but he did average 17 actual carries a game last year and his league leading among RB's snap count might drain him faster then we think.

Kamara would be my best bet of current RB's to buck the trend and have longevity because his usage and snap counts are kept in check. Of course with him the concern is post-Brees system, specifically Taysom Hill threat and if he's even on the team in 2021.

 
Snorkelson said:
I’m trying to think of who I’d consider a stud back recently. CMC obviously is a wait and see, but his game may lend to some longevity because he gets the ball in space as a receiver a lot. Gurley? He could easily resurface in Atlanta as a stud if he can hold up, or at least on a ppg basis. Guys like lesean Mccoy dropped off quick but he’s been around forever, you got your moneys worth. Leveon bell? Well, that seems like a special case. We’ll see what happens with him this year, along with Melvin Gordon. Some others that topped the list in fantasy points recently like Jordan Howard could stay relevant. I think it’s better to look at a 5-7 year window and hope the guy finishes as a top 12 rb 3-5 times, and stays healthy. There’s a lot of movement at the top 12 of rb every year. 
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Gurley was a big hit. He's scored 70 TDs in his 5 NFL seasons. 

 
Dr. BD said:
About a year ago I found this when looking at top 5 finishes... I would consider a top 5 back a "stud"...

I could dig into my WR profiler information to tease out similar data for WRs, but it would only be top 12 vs 13-24 finishes. But then we are comparing apples to oranges. In the quote above I did not look at top 12 RB finishes, only top 5. I imagine the stats would be different if we looked at top 12. Maybe I will do that in some free time :)

I imagine we will find that top 12 RBs typically last about 4-5 years, if that in many cases. Gurley is a great example of a guy who just fell off a cliff. Everyone knows that WRs last longer than RBs. However, you need to have a good RB to win in fantasy football... so at some point you have to draft them (going back to the rebuild with WRs, win with RBs strategy). Although, I could argue that I rebuilt with WRs and traded for RBs (Mixon, Zeke, Hunt traded for to go along with Saquon, JT, Dobbins. Maybe that's a better strategy- draft WRs and when you're saturated trade them or picks for RBs...
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That’s a pretty rigorous definition of stud back- top 5 production, sustained. If you have a guy that has 3 years of rb1 production and 2 years of rb2 production is that just a good rb or is that a stud? Curious who would be some good backs that never had a top finish. 
Also curious if an extended offseason might be good for Gurleys knees. 

 
SayWhat? said:
Well there aren’t likely to be FIVE better than Jeudy, but if you’re in a position for one of those five vs Jeudy you’re wagering on that ONE being better than him.  Additionally, middling WRs in terms of production can give you middling production for a long time....and not be at all impactful from a fantasy perspective like stud RBs can be for a few short years. You need a perfect storm to end up with Michael Thomas, Hopkins, or Adams.  Your RB needs only one thing.  Volume.  
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Agreed.

 
Dr. BD said:
By top 5 being studs, I didnt mean that was my definition of a stud, rather the top 5 would be considered "studs." sort of from the approach of top 5 backs would be considered studs, but studs arent just top 5 backs. 

Thd quote was a discussion regarding the likelihood of Gurley being a top 5 back for a 3rd consecutive year.

To satisfy Massraider, I would ask him to define what stud means to him, then we can look at the data. We all know what it's going to say though...  
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I mean, we can make it top 12 finishes? 

How many top 12 finishes seasons define a stud? 5? How many backs have done that in the last 10 years?

 
Dr. BD said:
By top 5 being studs, I didnt mean that was my definition of a stud, rather the top 5 would be considered "studs." sort of from the approach of top 5 backs would be considered studs, but studs arent just top 5 backs. 

Thd quote was a discussion regarding the likelihood of Gurley being a top 5 back for a 3rd consecutive year.

To satisfy Massraider, I would ask him to define what stud means to him, then we can look at the data. We all know what it's going to say though...  
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I wonder if there are any backs who consistently finish in the 5-20 range year after year but never crack the top 5. Is simply keeping a starting/relevant job and not getting injured for 5 years uncommon?  Take frank gore- looking back to 2012-2017 seasons he finished as an rb1/2, before that I’m sure he was as good or better, just the site I looked at only went back to 2012 for fantasy stats. Never a really prolific stat accumulator, usually in a committee, but produced solid consistent seasons his whole career (until the last 2 seasons, but who is counting on him at this point.) I’m not sure anyone would consider gore a “stud rb” at any point of his career, but a decade of consistent rb1/2 finishes seems pretty worthwhile if you drafted/held him for that long. 

 
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I suspect Sutton will be the top WR in Denver, especially in non-PPR. It's pretty incredible what he did last season given QB play & how much focus Ds put on stopping him. Sutton could very well go monster-mode this season if Lock keeps developing.

Jeudy should be a nice chain-mover. How good of a FF WR he becomes will depend a lot on just how effective the Broncos can be at incorporating their weapons.

 
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If you have Sutton currently on your team in dynasty PPR league, do you feel comfortable on taking Jeudy at high 1st round pick?  And how do you feel about having two WRs on the same team?   The way I see those two... Sutton as alpha WR and Jeudy gobbles up the receptions as WR who excels in short and intermediate area. 

 
Football Jones said:
I suspect Sutton will be the top WR in Denver, especially in non-PPR. It's pretty incredible what he did last season given QB play & how much focus Ds put on stopping him. Sutton could very well go monster-mode this season if Lock keeps developing.

Jeudy should be a nice chain-mover. How good of a FF WR he becomes will depend a lot on just how effective the Broncos can be at incorporating their weapons.
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This is kind of where I come out. As talented and promising as Jeudy is, he's got a very talented WR alongside him in Sutton, a promising TE in Fant, and a quality pass-catching back in Gordon.

Jeudy will do wonders for the Broncos' offense overall, just not sure how that will translate into individual fantasy production with so many mouths to feed.

 
Aznflyer14 said:
If you have Sutton currently on your team in dynasty PPR league, do you feel comfortable on taking Jeudy at high 1st round pick?  And how do you feel about having two WRs on the same team?   The way I see those two... Sutton as alpha WR and Jeudy gobbles up the receptions as WR who excels in short and intermediate area. 
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Would not be a fan of that scenario long-term...if you have Sutton and Jeudy falls to you at the right spot then I would not pass on him...that being said both of these guys project as starting level fantasy WRs and I would not want to build my starting line-up with two WRs from the same team, that usually is not a recipe for success unless it is a prolific offense and even then you have room for error...since it is Dynasty and he is a rookie I'd have no issues taking him but I would definitely plan on one of them being traded at some point in the future.

 
Did not read the entire thread but in comparing Jeudy with Lamb and their short and long term situations....

Sutton's contract ends after 2021.  Could he potentially walk?

Amari Cooper just agreed to a long term deal, but has a potential out after 2021 as well.  Does this affect where you would rank or take one over the other?

I have been a huge fan of Jeudy since he committed to Alabama, and nothing has changed that.  I am a huge fan of Lamb as well and think it is real close between the two.

 
Aznflyer14 said:
If you have Sutton currently on your team in dynasty PPR league, do you feel comfortable on taking Jeudy at high 1st round pick?  And how do you feel about having two WRs on the same team?   The way I see those two... Sutton as alpha WR and Jeudy gobbles up the receptions as WR who excels in short and intermediate area. 
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If you believes that Jeudy is the best player available, you should take him. 

I was just looking at one of my leagues' top performers at WR. Within the top 24 at WR, there are 3 sets of teammates.  Godwin/Evans (Godwin finished 2nd overall, with Mike Evans on the same team.)  Julio/Ridley and Kupp/Woods.  Imagine passing on Chris Godwin when he came out because Mike Evans was already there.  

I am a massive, massive Jeudy fan, full disclosure.  

Having said that, I don't think Sutton, Hamler, Fant, Albert O is bad news for Jeudy's fantasy prospects. I think Jerry Jeudy is terrible news for Fant and Hamler owners. 

In the short term, the Broncos OL is less than great, so a guy who wins from the slot as quick as Jeudy does seems like a nice security blanket for  young QB. The real bonus is that he isn't simply a faster Jarvis Landry, he also gets deep, with a QB who chucks it.  

 
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