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WR/TE N'Keal Harry - MIN (1 Viewer)

Belichick STOLE this dude. Love the story of how the Cards tried to trade picks to get Harry and Big Belly told 'em to kick rocks. All draft season I was shaking my head at the thought of some team taking DK stiff hips over Harry. Turns out the league is getting smarter about this stuff. Or least Belly.

 
Is this really so tragic?  If Arizona's management handles the situation correctly, this could be a massive boon for them.

Unfortunately the vibe I'm getting matches what you said above, they've screwed the pooch.
One of the issues is 31 other franchises know the Cards can't play two guys at once . . . so that will drive the price way down. Potential suitors will have already drafted QB's or will do so today. The longer Arizona holds him, likely the less they can get for him.

Rosen didn't look great last year, so for his stock to start going up, he will need to show something on the field. If Murray is the guy they coveted, Rosen may not get much of a chance to showcase any improvement. If they do keep Rosen and he doesn't play much, his value will start to dip into that of a young back up quarterback as a guy to compete for playing time instead of that of future franchise quarterback.

Their best bet was probably the Redskins, as Rosen would have been someone they could have tried while hoping Smith could rehab and get back on the field. Next choice would be one of the teams with long in the tooth starters. Bottom line, the Cardinals are going to take a bath compared to what they gave up to get Rosen. They gave up a 3rd and a 5th to move up 5 spots to the #10 pick last year to select Rosen. There's no chance they get anything near Top 10 pick value for Rosen.

 
Their best bet was probably the Redskins, as Rosen would have been someone they could have tried while hoping Smith could rehab and get back on the field. Next choice would be one of the teams with long in the tooth starters. Bottom line, the Cardinals are going to take a bath compared to what they gave up to get Rosen. They gave up a 3rd and a 5th to move up 5 spots to the #10 pick last year to select Rosen. There's no chance they get anything near Top 10 pick value for Rosen.
Good reply and I agree with you, as regards the bolded, I'm not certain they can even get back the 3rd and 5th for him right now.

 
Arizona wanted to trade Rosen for NE's #32 pick and the Pats declined. Rosen has since unfollowed the Cardinals on social media. I am guessing Arizona botched this one pretty badly. They will either have to take pennies on the dollar for Rosen or roster two Top 10 picks at QB this year.
Ok maybe, just passing on what I heard 

 
Is this really so tragic?  If Arizona's management handles the situation correctly, this could be a massive boon for them.

Unfortunately the vibe I'm getting matches what you said above, they've screwed the pooch.
I actually give Zona a ton of credit. Props to them for not letting pride get in the way of making the right call. What they paid for Rosen is a sunk cost at this point. It should have nothing to do with roster moves moving forward. If Murray is their guy, selecting him is the right call, even if they get nothing for Rosen.

 
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Does he need to fill the "Welker", "Gronk", "Moss/Gordon" role though?

Bill B is the best ever because he knows how to get the best out of the talent a guy has.

I expect him to put Harry in the correct situations for him to succeed with what HE has.
This is how I see it. I do have concerns, however, in that WR news out of NE has always been about how well the player can read the defense and run the right option routes. Always tough for a rookie. The big take is that, at 1.32, Harry avoids the dreaded 'second-round-bust-WR' that has plagued NE. 

 
I actually give Zona a ton of credit. Props to them for not letting pride get in the way of making the right call. What they paid for Rosen is a sunk cost at this point. It should have nothing to do with roster moves moving forward. If Murray is their guy, selecting him is the right call, even if they get nothing for Rosen.
Yep. 

 
This is how I see it. I do have concerns, however, in that WR news out of NE has always been about how well the player can read the defense and run the right option routes. Always tough for a rookie. The big take is that, at 1.32, Harry avoids the dreaded 'second-round-bust-WR' that has plagued NE. 
Just to highlight some optimism from earlier in the thread, Rich Hribar said in watching Harry at one point he had 9 of his consecutive catches come on 9 different routes from 5 different alignments. He’s more versatile than I think he always gets credit for.

 
This may be happening with rookie WRs in particular.  The hit rate on them in recent years has been beyond atrocious.  
On top of that, like with RBs, we're seeing UDFAs making noise. Guys like Tyrell Williams, Robert Foster last year in Buffalo, others I'm not recalling right now.

 
Just to highlight some optimism from earlier in the thread, Rich Hribar said in watching Harry at one point he had 9 of his consecutive catches come on 9 different routes from 5 different alignments. He’s more versatile than I think he always gets credit for.
I remember that quote two. He’s going to be fine. I think if this wasn’t such a deep WR and stacked defensive draft Harry goes much higher. Pats stole him at 32

 
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All draft season I was shaking my head at the thought of some team taking DK stiff hips over Harry.
Why do I continue to be surprised despite year after year the draft not turning out as expected?  Metcalf falling to the second (or farther) after all the combine hype, being invited to the draft and what not. I liked Harry more, since Metcalf can only run straight, but Harry's not gumby either. You would have expected a player with his college production to get drafted sooner when a lot of teams need receivers. Makes you think the NFL has concerns about something; maybe lack of separation, even being more agile than Metcalf.

 
Why do I continue to be surprised despite year after year the draft not turning out as expected?  Metcalf falling to the second (or farther) after all the combine hype, being invited to the draft and what not. I liked Harry more, since Metcalf can only run straight, but Harry's not gumby either. You would have expected a player with his college production to get drafted sooner when a lot of teams need receivers. Makes you think the NFL has concerns about something; maybe lack of separation, even being more agile than Metcalf.
I think the WR falling this year had more to do with the extreme depth and talent elsewhere just pushing them down rather than their flaws.

 
Just to highlight some optimism from earlier in the thread, Rich Hribar said in watching Harry at one point he had 9 of his consecutive catches come on 9 different routes from 5 different alignments. He’s more versatile than I think he always gets credit for.
Once I saw the landing spot that was buzzing in my head too.  That obviously he has the smarts to know different positions and if that came across to BB then that's the reason they took him.  Smart guy that will know where to be, and he learn some nuances to the position from the best coach/QB duo ever.  It's just a smart pick, how many franchises can you actually say that about over and over again?  

 
Belichick STOLE this dude. Love the story of how the Cards tried to trade picks to get Harry and Big Belly told 'em to kick rocks. All draft season I was shaking my head at the thought of some team taking DK stiff hips over Harry. Turns out the league is getting smarter about this stuff. Or least Belly.
If Rosen for 32, by itself, no way.  If Rosen and AZ's 2nd round pick (#33)...that would have been tough to decline.  However, sounds like NE truly wanted Harry.

 
Once I saw the landing spot that was buzzing in my head too.  That obviously he has the smarts to know different positions and if that came across to BB then that's the reason they took him.  Smart guy that will know where to be, and he learn some nuances to the position from the best coach/QB duo ever.  It's just a smart pick, how many franchises can you actually say that about over and over again?  
The Patriots have drafted poorly the last few years.

 
I love this pick because the "Brady" factor will ensure N' Harry is taken before my picks and someone I like better falls to me.

 
Did you read the article?  The Pats are bad, relative to their peers.
Part yes and part no. They have had picks taken away. And they have traded picks for players. A lot of their recent picks went on IR so the verdict is still out. If people want to say the picks they made haven’t done much yet, that’s fine. But they got contributions from guys they traded picks for. 

 
Did you read the article?  The Pats are bad, relative to their peers.
I did, not sure it’s all that significant. Of course it doesn’t include 2012 when they got Hightower and Chandler Jones. They recently drafted a franchise QB in round 2. That was a pretty huge hit. Plus ofcourse they always have the most picks from trading back because they don’t value the draft as much as most teams. 

Heres an examination from 2012-2017 that shows the Pats as one of the better drafting teams. 

https://ftw.usatoday.com/2017/04/nfl-draft-performance-grades-best-drafting-teams-picks-classes-2012-2016/amp

 
Part yes and part no. They have had picks taken away. And they have traded picks for players. A lot of their recent picks went on IR so the verdict is still out. If people want to say the picks they made haven’t done much yet, that’s fine. But they got contributions from guys they traded picks for. 
Sure - and they also draft later than their peers, on average. But the track record doesn't support the idea that the Patriots are any better at this than the rest of the league. 

 
One thing I'll say about Harry and the Pats is that usually when WRs wash out with the Pats it's because they don't have the head for it and can't run the system, and it sounds like a big part of the reason they took Harry is because they think he excels at that part of it. 

 
I did, not sure it’s all that significant. Of course it doesn’t include 2012 when they got Hightower and Chandler Jones. They recently drafted a franchise QB in round 2. That was a pretty huge hit. Plus ofcourse they always have the most picks from trading back because they don’t value the draft as much as most teams. 

Heres an examination from 2012-2017 that shows the Pats as one of the better drafting teams. 

https://ftw.usatoday.com/2017/04/nfl-draft-performance-grades-best-drafting-teams-picks-classes-2012-2016/amp
Something like this is probably a better way to look at it, as it at least attempts to account for draft spot. If the Patriots are drafting 28-32 every year, they don't have the same options that teams drafting earlier do. Yeah - I was probably wrong to say that they've drafted poorly. Their hit rate hasn't been great, but they're making the shotgun approach work for them. I personally wouldn't put any extra stock in the fact that the Pats drafted him, based on the assumption that they're better at it than their peers. But again, it's not accurate to say they've drafted poorly, either. 

 
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Maybe not, but they continually make smart moves as an organization.  Drafting poorly as a result isn't a reflection of that.  
I addressed it above, but I don't think it was accurate to say they've been drafting poorly. The shotgun method is working for them. They haven't produced much high end talent via the draft the last few years, but as A99 pointed out, injuries and forfeited picks have played a role. My apologies for getting us off track. 

 
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Something like this is probably a better way to look at it, as it at least attempts to account for draft spot. If the Patriots are drafting 28-32 every year, they don't have the same options that teams drafting earlier do. Yeah - I was probably wrong to say that they've drafted poorly. Their hit rate hasn't been great, but they're making the shotgun approach work for them. I personally wouldn't put any extra stock in the fact that the Pats drafted him, based on the assumption that they're better at it than their peers. But again, it's not accurate to say they've drafted poorly, either. 
I think they have drafted as poorly as most teams. There are probably a couple teams that are just exceptionally bad but mostly it’s a total crapshoot imo.

 
News, Rumors and Buzz I’m Hearing Ahead of the NFL Draft’s Second and Third Rounds

Excerpt:

New Patriots WR N’Keal Harry had his 30 visit in Foxboro during the week of April 8, and that's when he really got New England’s attention. One thing the World Champions do with their pre-draft visitors is give them a bunch of plays to study early in their visit, and then test them on it later. As I heard it, Harry aced the test—and that’s important in a very complex offense. It’s even more impressive when you consider that Harry had four 30 visits that week.
 
Ok. But then what happened last night that caused him to drop?  
I'll take a stab: The Pats spread the ball around to the nth degree, and their X never really runs up huge fantasy numbers besides Moss. Brady gets rid of the ball underneath, and often too quickly for even intermediate routes to develop. The total WC/close to the line of scrimmage offense works because of the threat of the potential for deep routes and the defense fears getting beat for a big play, which rarely happens, but all you need is the threat of it. It's something that Gordon was instrumental in last year as a glorified decoy.

I think this time will be different. Harry should be an integral part of the offense with Gronk's retirement and no real receiving replacement on the horizon. 

 
That’s all valid.  But he posted that comment during the 2nd round last night, to me meaning other players were leapfrogging him and causing him to drop.  Maybe it was just a randomly timed post 24 hours after Harry was drafted into a situation that poster didn’t like.

 
That’s all valid.  But he posted that comment during the 2nd round last night, to me meaning other players were leapfrogging him and causing him to drop.  Maybe it was just a randomly timed post 24 hours after Harry was drafted into a situation that poster didn’t like.
Harry is still a 1.1 or 1.2 pick imo. I dont see him dropping or having dropped

 
That’s all valid.  But he posted that comment during the 2nd round last night, to me meaning other players were leapfrogging him and causing him to drop.  Maybe it was just a randomly timed post 24 hours after Harry was drafted into a situation that poster didn’t like.
I can't speak for the poster, but that's probably it. 

 
Harry is still a 1.1 or 1.2 pick imo. I dont see him dropping or having dropped
And I agree. I've got him as my first choice off the board after Henderson inexplicably went to the Rams. I'm not sold on Jacobs as 1.1.

I just started playing dynasty, though, so I have a ton to learn. But I'm boning up. 

 
I'll take a stab: The Pats spread the ball around to the nth degree, and their X never really runs up huge fantasy numbers besides Moss. Brady gets rid of the ball underneath, and often too quickly for even intermediate routes to develop. The total WC/close to the line of scrimmage offense works because of the threat of the potential for deep routes and the defense fears getting beat for a big play, which rarely happens, but all you need is the threat of it. It's something that Gordon was instrumental in last year as a glorified decoy.

I think this time will be different. Harry should be an integral part of the offense with Gronk's retirement and no real receiving replacement on the horizon. 
Who are these guys they plan on spreading it around too right now? It’s a bare cupboard. Also given how this class looks, wouldn’t a Brandon Cooks 114 target 1000/8 be a big score?

 
Who are these guys they plan on spreading it around too right now? It’s a bare cupboard. Also given how this class looks, wouldn’t a Brandon Cooks 114 target 1000/8 be a big score?
Yeah, I agree. Check my last sentence. I've got Harry as 1.1 or 1.2 in rookie dynasty drafts right now. 

Cooks's year was a bit too inconsistent to be completely fantasy viable because of week-to-week variance. Cooks had a great year for them, though. Lots of PI.

 
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Yeah, I agree. Check my last sentence. I've got Harry as 1.1 or 1.2 in rookie dynasty drafts right now. 

Cooks's year was a bit too inconsistent to be completely fantasy viable because of week-to-week variance. Cooks had a great year for them, though. Lots of PI.
Oh I know you were just fleshing out an argument. I’m just poking holes into it.

 
I like the pick but unless you're a supreme burner over the top or a touchdown machine, hard for an outside receiver to produce in New England. What is the list of "great" New England outside receivers?

Randy Moss
Deion Branch

Meanwhile, you've got Gronk, Hernandez, Welker, Edelman, Amendola, etc who all produced on the seam, slot, and crossing patterns. I'll give it to Gronk though, who as recently as the Super Bowl made big plays on the outside. From what I've noticed last year in fantasy, the Patriots are willing to take whatever the defense gives them. Against crappy pass defenses, Brady balls out for 400 yards. Against crappy run defenses, Brady is content to hand the ball off 40 times.

What I'm saying, is that drafting a Patriots outside receiver can have results based on the defensive matchup. Whereas on a team like Atlanta or Indianpolis, the game plan is to pass the entire game. Come out passing and unless we're up 21 points, sling it through the end of the 3rd quarter.

 

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