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That's not a bad pick. I like Baltimore at home vs Cleveland week 10. Oakland is a weird team to figure out. 2 weeks ago people were advocating picking them to beat Atlanta at home, and now we are talking about them losing to Baltimore on the road (IMO Atlanta > Baltimore). Baltimore probably wins that game. Not a bad game to use them if you've got better options for week 10 (AZ, GB, TB)
The Bears have won 1 of their last 11 home games. I'm a huge Bears fan and I haven't seen much to prove to me that the Bears will win this weeks game. The defense is going to have to play much better and the offense needs to score which they are very bad at.
DET is the 7th most popular pick at 2.2% of users this week if you click the link in my OP.
I hate picking divisional games, but I think I'm leaning toward this one. You have to imagine Arz will bounce back in a big way.
1. Division
They may win but there is nnnnnoooooo way I'm going there.They lost to the Rams at home last year after being heavily favored. Granted that was a different Rams team but still...
Houston Tennessee to me is just a mess I don't want to touch.Two bad-ish teams going at it. No JJ Watt so what is the pressure going to be like? TEN can run, as you said. I can see picking Houston to bounce back with extra rest and motivation to avoid another embarrassment. For me, like I said above in one of my posts... I am less confident about that as I am about Washington.
Wow I remember this with the bengals being historically terrible prime time. Since the Dolphins are involved I'm avoiding at all costs.
Pick who you want but that scares me as much as Miamis unreliability
True but believe it or not, the Rams had a better O and D for that game than they do now. Cards are coming off an embarrassing loss and can't afford to lose this Division game.
I agree. I'm just very gun shy. Don't get me wrong, I'm not entirely confident on any pick this week.
I was thinking the same thing when I took the Lions vs the Titans. Good thing it's a double elimination pool.
I was in this situation as well, but I just went with Washington because this is the last game you can pick them on. I've done pretty well getting by with crappy teams:
Stuck with HOU so through on both. Stupid Browns and their turnovers, let WAS off the hook.
There's a risk with every team in the NFL. Cardinals seemed like a good pick and sucked too. Oh well, I last one more week than last year.
Rule #1 - No road games
I don't just look at the spread, but the % of public money on the favorite. If it is north of about 65%, AVOID.
Of course there's risk, it's the NFL but these pools are all about mitigating risk with sound reasoning at that point in time. Sorry man, but for all the reasons already stated, Detroit was not a good pick.Hawkeye21 said:
Without doing the leg work for actual stats, I have noticed the tendencies for heavy dogs playing on the road AND out of conference to lose more often. It makes sense since a lot of the tie breakers surround divisional play and same conference winning percentage. Winning the non conference games is naturally less emphasized and the players play like it IMO. You can also take away a lot of the rivalry factor and player familiarity when teams play so infrequently. I could be completely wrong but the theory has worked for me in survivor leagues.
Why not Minn at home vs Hou? If Eli and Cam can't get it going against this defense I don't see Osweiler doing it either.
I don't trust GB this week. Eli historically has done well at Lambeau and the Packers pass defense has been terrible these first few weeks. Plus with all the Odell drama this week I could see him and Eli going off this week.
Yeah, man, this game smells to me too.
Every single one of ur picks almost seem like coin flips. I'll be too much of a nervous reck picking them
I feel ya.
Played 3 games at Lambeau, last one was 4.5 years ago...
Strange I thought Eli was better than that...I guess that divisional playoff is fresh in my mind. GB is probably a fine pick and it's great they are coming off a bye. As a Packer fan I just hate all the negative attention Odell is getting. I don't want him to have any more motivation to torch a depleted secondary which the Packers have without Shields.
I'm banking on external turmoil = motivation (I'm going to kick their a$$es) but internal turmoil = distraction (why should I play for these a$$es?)
