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2020 MLB Spring Training (1 Viewer)

I know it sounds weird, but tonight's game is pretty close to a must win for the Astros.  Very few teams lose the first two games at home of a 7 game series and go on to win it.  That's a lot of pressure tonight.  Of course, win tonight and ask the Yankees what's possible.  But with the Astros still not able to hit, this game tonight might decide the Series.

 
I know it sounds weird, but tonight's game is pretty close to a must win for the Astros.  Very few teams lose the first two games at home of a 7 game series and go on to win it.  That's a lot of pressure tonight.  Of course, win tonight and ask the Yankees what's possible.  But with the Astros still not able to hit, this game tonight might decide the Series.
This series is going 7 games. The more the Astros can grind out at-bats like they did last night, the better off they will be. At some point the Nats can't rely on just 4-5 pitchers. 

 
This series is going 7 games. The more the Astros can grind out at-bats like they did last night, the better off they will be. At some point the Nats can't rely on just 4-5 pitchers. 
To be clear, I'm not so much making a prediction as I am just saying how past examples have taken place.  If the Astros lose the first two at home, that means both Cole and Verlander don't get wins.  Then they need to win 2 out of 3 on the road.  The odds just get worse and worse.  But if they win tonight, I think even though the Nats gain home field advantage, the Astros become a slight favorite again.

 
I know it sounds weird, but tonight's game is pretty close to a must win for the Astros.  Very few teams lose the first two games at home of a 7 game series and go on to win it.  That's a lot of pressure tonight.  Of course, win tonight and ask the Yankees what's possible.  But with the Astros still not able to hit, this game tonight might decide the Series.
I'm much more worried for the Stros than most of the media thinks I should be, and was entering the series as well.

The Nats are the only team that can go toe to toe with the Astros on starting pitching, hugely important in the postseason.  The Astros big advantage is their bats but their bats have been straight trash in the postseason.  Like really, really trash.

Altuve is the only Stros hitter that is hitting over .265.  Springer has been hitting dingers but he's batting .184.  Alvarez, who has been nothing more than a liability this postseason, is actually out-hitting Springer, Correa, and Reddick for average with his whopping .205 avg.  Gurriel feels like he's been Babe Ruth out there compared to the rest of the lineup and he's only hitting .229.  The MVP has been invisible in the cleanup spot.

And all of that was against very modest starting pitching.  Now they get probably 4 games of Scherzer/Strasburg of the potentially 6 remaining.

You can't win a World Series like that.  I know the Nats' pen is trash, but for that to matter someone has to actually hit the damn ball.  Forget Cole/Verlander/Greinke.  The Astros bats have to come alive in a big way if they are going to win this thing and they've given absolutely zero indication of that happening at all this postseason.

 
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This series is going 7 games. The more the Astros can grind out at-bats like they did last night, the better off they will be. At some point the Nats can't rely on just 4-5 pitchers. 
92% of all pitches thrown this season for The Nationals were by 6 pitchers.

6.

 
If the Astros find a way to tie that game no doubt in my mind they take it but it is what it is. Hard to blame Springer with all he did otherwise than not getting the triple. They better find a way to win tonight. 

 
I'm much more worried for the Stros than most of the media thinks I should be, and was entering the series as well.

The Nats are the only team that can go toe to toe with the Astros on starting pitching, hugely important in the postseason.  The Astros big advantage is their bats but their bats have been straight trash in the postseason.  Like really, really trash.

Altuve is the only Stros hitter that is hitting over .265.  Springer has been hitting dingers but he's batting .184.  Alvarez, who has been nothing more than a liability this postseason, is actually out-hitting Springer, Correa, and Reddick for average with his whopping .205 avg.  Gurriel feels like he's been Babe Ruth out there compared to the rest of the lineup and he's only hitting .229.  The MVP has been invisible in the cleanup spot.

And all of that was against very modest starting pitching.  Now they get probably 4 games of Scherzer/Strasburg of the potentially 6 remaining.

You can't win a World Series like that.  I know the Nats' pen is trash, but for that to matter someone has to actually hit the damn ball.  Forget Cole/Verlander/Greinke.  The Astros bats have to come alive in a big way if they are going to win this thing and they've given absolutely zero indication of that happening at all this postseason.
Yet in baseball.....the reversion to the mean can happen at any moment.

On to game 2.

Astros in 6 is my prediction. The lack of any real pitching depth will be the Nationals undoing. But what a fantastic post season they have had. It has been fun to watch.

 
I'm much more worried for the Stros than most of the media thinks I should be, and was entering the series as well.

The Nats are the only team that can go toe to toe with the Astros on starting pitching, hugely important in the postseason.  The Astros big advantage is their bats but their bats have been straight trash in the postseason.  Like really, really trash.

Altuve is the only Stros hitter that is hitting over .265.  Springer has been hitting dingers but he's batting .184.  Alvarez, who has been nothing more than a liability this postseason, is actually out-hitting Springer, Correa, and Reddick for average with his whopping .205 avg.  Gurriel feels like he's been Babe Ruth out there compared to the rest of the lineup and he's only hitting .229.  The MVP has been invisible in the cleanup spot.

And all of that was against very modest starting pitching.  Now they get probably 4 games of Scherzer/Strasburg of the potentially 6 remaining.

You can't win a World Series like that.  I know the Nats' pen is trash, but for that to matter someone has to actually hit the damn ball.  Forget Cole/Verlander/Greinke.  The Astros bats have to come alive in a big way if they are going to win this thing and they've given absolutely zero indication of that happening at all this postseason.
Yup.  I've been saying this since the Rays series Game 3.  They entered a slump and have yet to break out of it.  There have only been 3 things keeping them alive: 1) Incredible pitching, 2) great defense, and 3) Jose Altuve.  And when their pitching sputters, the other two things aren't enough to win games.  

As someone else pointed out, the fact that the Nats had to use a good deal of pitchers last night could mean something if the Astros can win tonight.  And the thing about slumps is they go away as fast as they arrive.  So if they can figure out these hitting doldrums, I think they're still in the driver's seat.  But, yes, at this point, I think the Nats look like they are very close to winning their first championship.

 
If the Astros find a way to tie that game no doubt in my mind they take it but it is what it is. Hard to blame Springer with all he did otherwise than not getting the triple. They better find a way to win tonight. 
Full agreement that it's really hard to blame Springer with all he did. It's just sort of a fact that he could have run, and one accepts it, pats him on the ###, and moves on. 

 
Bregman needs to step up.  With the NY series and last night, he's 3 for 22 with one double.  Chants of MVP at each home AB.  If he can snap out of it I think the Stros will be fine. 

Curious to see what Strasburg has tonight.  I think Verlander will be better than his last game. Gonna be interesting.

 
If the Astros find a way to tie that game no doubt in my mind they take it but it is what it is. Hard to blame Springer with all he did otherwise than not getting the triple. They better find a way to win tonight. 
I watched the replay and it looked like Tucker was rounding third when Springer was nearing second.  The way it sounded, I was expecting it to be a terrible baserunning decision.  But it looked more like he had to hold up there.  Yes, he didn't run out of the box, but it didn't look like it affected the outcome.

 
This series is going 7 games. The more the Astros can grind out at-bats like they did last night, the better off they will be. At some point the Nats can't rely on just 4-5 pitchers. 
It's 6 pitchers plus Rainey if you count him as a 7th.  I think they are capable of pulling it off if Strasburg can give them at least 7 tonight.  I would expect Doolittle and Hudson to get the 8th and 9th again tonight in that scenario assuming it's a tight game.   Then they Thursday off.

The problem would be they likely can't all pitch three straight days in Washington so we will need to rely on Rainey or F. Rodney at least once in those games.  And still depending on the starters to go 6-7 each game.

Once we get back to Game 6 or Game 7 it's all hands on deck you can rest over the winter.  I expect Corbin will start Game 4 and be available in relief in Games 7 (possibly Game 6).  Max will start Game 5 and likely be able to give them an inning in a Game 7 too.

 
Gurriel has been ultra clutch too man.
Gurreil - .229
Chirinos - .091
Bregman - .231
Correa - .174
Brantley - .261
Springer - .184
Reddick - .125
Alvarez - .205

That's their postseason averages.  And somehow they made it to the World Series.  Meanwhile, Altuve is at .333.

 
Gurreil - .229
Chirinos - .091
Bregman - .231
Correa - .174
Brantley - .261
Springer - .184
Reddick - .125
Alvarez - .205

That's their postseason averages.  And somehow they made it to the World Series.  Meanwhile, Altuve is at .333.
You can't focus on BA''s in the post season. You gotta focus on clutch AB's, quality AB's and run producing bats. This is the kind of series where 1-2 runs will be the difference. Scratching and producing runs. The pitching in this series is off the charts in terms of 1-2-3 in the rotation for both squads. 

The reason the Stro's are in the WS is they have had outstanding pitching and great clutch hitting with RISP and some incredible defense. 

That is the essence of post season baseball.

And Gurriel has 10 RBI's this post season. Not bad.

 
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You can't focus on BA''s in the post season. You gotta focus on clutch AB's, quality AB's and run producing bats. This is the kind of series where 1-2 runs will be the difference. Scratching and producing runs. The pitching in this series is off the charts in terms of 1-2-3 in the rotation for both squads. 

The reason the Stro's are in the WS is they have had outstanding pitching and great clutch hitting with RISP and some incredible defense. 

That is the essence of post season baseball.

And Gurriel has 10 RBI's this post season. Not bad.
This couldn't be further from the truth.

 
This couldn't be further from the truth.
Come on Sheik. You have to be the most pessimistic Astros fan I have ever seen. They are in the freaking World Series. They outscored the Yankees and beat them in 6 games.

They did plenty right.

 
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Come on Sheik. You have to be the most pessimistic Astros fan I have ever seen. They are in the freaking World Series. They outscored the Yankees and beat them in 6 games.

They did plenty right.
I’m not being pessimistic at all, GB. I’m a realist. I’ve been called pessimistic and called a homer. I still think they can win. All I’m saying is if they play how they played in the regular season, they have a great chance. But if they play like they’ve played this whole postseason, it’s a huge uphill battle. 

 
My big worry for this game is Verlander has a tendency to give up the long ball even when he’s pitching great. If he gives up a moonshot early, could take the crowd right out of this game. The crowd being loud tonight is going to be important. 

 
The Stros fan behind the plate on the left hand side that try’s to wave the flag as Strasberg pitches is annoying the piss out of me.

 

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