It seems like guys are putting up ridiculous numbers so far this year and I was wondering if scoring was really higher. My research shows that so far it is, both individual & team per game scoring are at 10 year high's right now. Obviously there is a lot of season left, but it would take a pretty good drop off to see it fall back to "normal" after we are about 40% through this season.
We currently have 7 guys avg > 30 ppg and 17 are at > 25 ppg. In the past 10 years, the most 30+ ppg scorers in a single season was 3 and the most 25+ ppg scorers was 15.
Also at the team level, we are at 113.5 ppg avg league-wide which is 1.4 pts above the best mark over the last 10 seasons. There was a noticeable jump of about 5 ppg in 2018-19 due to some rule changes (freedom of movement rules & short shot clock after offensive rebounds), but this season is moving up 2 ppg above that (so far).
There are likely other reasons as well, but some reasons I see for scoring going up are:
- More reliance on three-point attempts. Ten years ago, league average was 20 attempts/gm. Now we are at 34.5. On average, the league isn't any better at making them (34.4% now, 35.9% then), but they sure do jack them up. Doing the math, ten years ago, the number of points scored on three-pointers was 43 points per game. Now we are up to 71 points per game. That's likely the biggest difference in inflated scoring numbers.
- More emphasis on protecting three-point shooters' ability to land and hitting defenders with a flagrant foul. IMO, defenders are a lot more reluctant to run out at shooters for fear of giving up free throws for the flagrant on top of three free throws (or a made basket). Can turn into a 5-point play and possession on aggressive defenders.
- Instituting and calling take fouls. I have seen teams get called and they end up giving away a point for nothing, and I also have seen defenders not even bother to try to stop a break anymore. Both of those lead to more points. Won't add up to a lot of extra points, but a couple of calls a game are still gift points.